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0:00
You're. Listening to T I P.
0:03
Hey. Everyone will come to this Wednesday's release
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of the Bitcoin Fundamentals podcast. This.
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This episode is brought to you
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by FX's Feud, Capote vs. the
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Swans. Inspired by actual events, the
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Stream on Hulu. Well.
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Today's gas is none other than
0:40
Mister John Perkins, who's a noteworthy
0:42
author. And the author of these
0:45
books called confessions of an economic Hitman.
0:48
For. People not familiar with John
0:50
He writes in gory detail all
0:52
the ways that these strategies took
0:54
place all around the world because
0:57
he was an economic hitman actually
0:59
executing these strategies on half of
1:01
government entities. This. Interview
1:03
was so mind blowing and something that
1:06
you've just gotta share with anybody that's
1:08
interested in understanding how this entire field
1:10
scheme has been played for the past
1:12
half century. During. The Interview: My
1:14
good friend Nicola Chew gum. Who's.
1:17
A big fan of John's work. accompany
1:19
me on a asking questions and part
1:21
of the discussion. So. Without
1:23
further delay, here's my chat with
1:25
Mister John Perkins. Celebrating
1:30
ten years you are listening
1:32
to Bitcoin Fundamentals by the
1:34
Investors Podcast net lacks now
1:36
for your highest priced in
1:39
this. Hey.
1:48
Everyone welcome to the show! I'm here
1:50
with John Perkins and Nico a Sugar
1:53
and John. I have to start off,
1:55
I read a lot of books. This.
1:57
Book has to be in my town. Books
1:59
I've read in the past five years. And
2:02
anybody who's listening to the show I'm just
2:04
I'm this. Start off the show. You have
2:07
to read this book. Because. It's
2:09
so profound. Especially with everything that's
2:11
happening in the world right now. For
2:13
people that are not doubt and or haven't
2:15
read your books this is where I can
2:18
one start this conversation john as just what
2:20
isn't economic hitman. How did you
2:22
become one? Really, just kind of start
2:24
with the basic for maybe somebody that's not familiar with
2:26
your work. Okay, prison for
2:29
as long as my make sure This others three
2:31
is a trilogy of economic hitmen but I presume
2:33
you're talking about the latest one which deals with
2:35
guess I was a month Get men, get us.
2:38
Okay, Yeah. This event? The
2:40
New Confessions of an economic hitman. Of
2:42
this test the second in the this survey
2:45
sent from it is a third when they
2:47
came out insists Nico Nico has that covers.
2:50
It was the third one. yeah to Sarah. Okay,
2:53
so an economic hitman. My
2:56
masters title was a Chief Economist
2:58
or major International Consulting for a
3:00
month span of anywhere from thirty
3:02
to fifty people working for me,
3:04
depending on. The specific and
3:07
in and projects. And
3:09
majeure really was to identify countries
3:11
and have resources or corporations. Lot
3:13
like a loyal is where I
3:15
usually the lower what we call
3:18
lower income or developing countries. And.
3:20
Then I went there arrange alone.
3:23
For. Their country and from the World Bank
3:25
for comfort from a lot of money. But.
3:27
The money would actually go to the country. Instead.
3:30
It would be transferred from a bank
3:32
and probably in Washington D, C or
3:34
New York. Do. A big construction
3:37
companies bank like the Best Halliburton or
3:39
better O'brien Rude or Star Webster it
3:41
you probably know the names yes sir
3:44
and companies and would make a lot
3:46
of my building big infrastructure projects in
3:48
the country and is in identified. Things.
3:51
Like electric power systems.
3:53
Industrial. Parks Highways,
3:56
For. Us Air Force. Things.
3:58
that we could show with help grow
4:00
the economy. You mentioned the economy
4:02
by GDP. And so originally
4:05
when I took on this job, I thought, you
4:07
know, like I'm doing something really good here, helping,
4:09
you know, helping these countries
4:11
become more prosperous. But
4:13
over time, I began to realize that really
4:15
what we were doing was making the rich
4:17
of those countries richer and more
4:20
powerful and helping our own corporations to
4:22
make a lot of money because in
4:24
the people that benefit it were the
4:27
rich who owned the big industries and
4:29
the commercial establishments, the
4:31
businesses that benefited tremendously from
4:34
better infrastructure. And
4:36
yet the majority of the people in the
4:38
country who were involved in these kinds of
4:40
activities ended up suffering because
4:42
money was diverted from healthcare,
4:45
education, and other social
4:47
services to pay the interest on
4:50
the debt. And but,
4:52
you know, that's not obvious. Yeah. When
4:55
you show the statistics of gross
4:57
domestic product GDP growth, it looks
4:59
like everybody's benefiting. The fact is
5:01
GDP is an extremely biased statistic,
5:03
biased toward the rich and powerful.
5:06
And, you know, the other side of this
5:08
coin was that if
5:10
the president of the country or
5:13
the Minister of Finance or whoever I was dealing with
5:16
didn't accept these loans, they were very
5:18
aware that there were people in the
5:20
background we call jackals who were usually
5:22
CIA assets who were prepared to overthrow
5:25
that government or assassinate someone. And, you
5:27
know, unfortunately, the United States has a
5:30
long history of this with Allende and
5:32
Chile and Arbenz and Guatemala and Mosaddeck
5:34
and Iran and the Mumbai
5:36
and the Congress on the Xi'an
5:39
and in Vietnam and most recently
5:41
as a lie in Honduras in
5:43
2009 where we've actually instituted
5:45
these practices of overthrowing or
5:47
assassinating leaders. And so these
5:50
presidents know this, you know, so basically what
5:52
I'm saying is, hey, given
5:54
this time I got a whole lot
5:56
of money that's going to help you and your
5:58
family and your friends. But if you choose
6:00
not to take this money in this town, I got a gun. I
6:03
never actually carried a gun, but these presidents knew what
6:05
I was talking about, that there were people behind me
6:07
that did carry guns. Yeah. When
6:09
I was reading it, the so what, like
6:12
if I had to really compress what I
6:14
experienced after finishing the book, it
6:16
was very simply, it was
6:19
your job was to get
6:21
other countries, other businesses, individuals,
6:24
and get up to their eyeballs as
6:26
much as possible to basically
6:28
force feed a dollar network effect
6:31
around the world. Would
6:33
you say that that's properly characterized based on?
6:37
Yeah, it's what's called the debt trap. And it's,
6:39
you know, it's the new, most convenient
6:42
and successful form of imperialism, building
6:44
an empire. And this empire is
6:46
really a corporate empire, more than
6:48
an American empire. Because
6:50
let's face it Preston, many of
6:52
these corporations, when they prosper,
6:55
they don't help the United States. They don't
6:57
help the citizens here. They don't pay taxes.
6:59
They may be listed as US corporations, but
7:01
as we all know, a very large percentage
7:03
of the most profitable Fortune
7:06
500 corporations don't pay taxes. And
7:09
yeah, I did also want to mention that, you
7:11
know, so when these countries couldn't pay the principal
7:13
on the debt, then the,
7:15
I go back in using the guise of
7:17
the International Monetary Fund and say, hey, we
7:19
can help you refinance your loan. But
7:22
to do that, you've got to meet
7:24
certain conditionalities. You've got to sell
7:26
your oil or whatever the resource was. And today
7:29
it's likely to be lithium or cobalt or some
7:31
of the minerals that are used in the high
7:33
tech industry. You've got to
7:35
sell these to our corporations that cut
7:37
rate prices without environmental or social regulations.
7:40
Or vote with us on the next vote
7:42
against Cuba at the United Nations, for example.
7:45
Or let us build a military base on your soil.
7:48
Or privatize all your public sector businesses,
7:50
your water and sewage systems and so
7:53
forth, and sell them to our investors
7:55
at low prices. Well, maybe all
7:57
of those things. And so, yes,
7:59
we were really building. building this corporate
8:01
empire and at the same time an
8:03
economic system that's really failing us, what
8:05
we call a death economy that's causing
8:07
climate change, that's causing a lot of
8:11
unrest around the world. John,
8:13
I have a question on that. So
8:15
the economic imperialism thing, like, rung so
8:17
true of what you were constructing. My
8:20
question is, at the beginning when
8:22
you're constructing these loans, would you have
8:25
already modeled out the additional loans based
8:27
on the country defaulting that we're going
8:29
to be taking and then the courses
8:31
of action that you were going to
8:33
take from an economic imperialism standpoint of
8:35
the military base or the taking some
8:37
of the production of the assets from
8:39
that country, was this already kind
8:42
of pre-planned four, five, six steps out?
8:45
Yeah, it's a strategy. So
8:47
it's defined as, in
8:49
the case of the minerals, they're the collateral.
8:52
So you give the loan to a country like, let's
8:54
say, Ecuador. It's got
8:57
a lot of oil out in their very fragile Amazon
8:59
area. And
9:02
you give them a big loan and you use
9:04
their oil that's still in the ground as collateral.
9:07
So when they can't pay their debt, you
9:09
go back in and say, now, okay, so now you
9:12
can let our oil companies come in and take that
9:14
oil at very cheap prices without any
9:16
regulations. And when
9:18
you're going forward with doing this, you're pretty aware
9:20
that the country is not going to be able
9:22
to pay back these debts. But
9:25
they are going to be able to show this economic note. So
9:28
the president is in an interesting
9:30
position because he's being handed this
9:32
report that we've done that
9:34
shows that if he takes on these
9:36
loans, the economy will grow and it
9:39
probably will. And he can take that to
9:41
the local press and to his
9:43
people and it can be a very popular thing. Oh
9:46
my goodness, you know, this president has done great
9:48
things. He's building all these highways. Look at how
9:50
the roads have improved. I was just in Ecuador,
9:53
one of the countries where I did this and
9:55
I just saw, you know, incredible road construction and
9:57
now most of the Chinese are playing the same
9:59
thing. game as we are. So they're doing the same
10:01
thing. They're building hydroelectric plants and
10:04
mines and so forth. And this
10:06
can look very, very good on paper
10:08
to the people. And let's
10:10
face it, presidents, even under the best
10:12
conditions, don't serve for more than, usually
10:15
more than eight years, possibly 10 in
10:18
most countries. And often, it's a lot
10:20
fewer than that. Robert Leonard
10:22
And then on that point, so the economic growth,
10:24
I think you hit on the electrical systems in
10:27
your first book, and then you hit on the
10:29
Chinese construction of dams and roads in
10:31
the third book, and this economic
10:33
imperialism. Can you walk us
10:35
through, when you're putting together these models, how
10:38
much of the debt? So let's say I
10:40
take out $10 in debt, how much of
10:43
that debt would you expect to come
10:45
back to Western countries? Like through programs
10:47
with Hal Burton and Bechtel versus
10:49
how much money is staying in that country? Robert
10:52
Leonard The money itself, all
10:54
of it plus interest, then
10:57
plus more comes back because the
10:59
construction company, you mentioned Hal Burton, let's
11:01
say, is making big profits off this,
11:03
which theoretically some of it comes back
11:06
to the United States. Although
11:08
Hal Burton now is, I think
11:10
officially, their headquarters is in Dubai,
11:12
but notwithstanding that.
11:15
And the banks are very insistent that
11:17
these loans ultimately get repaid in one
11:19
way or another. And
11:21
at the same time, the oil
11:24
is now being ciphered off or whatever
11:26
the resources out of the country to
11:28
the US or international, it's called an
11:30
international oil companies. So they're
11:33
not making money off that either
11:35
very much. So the whole system
11:37
is very, very rate. What
11:39
the country does show is that
11:42
it's experienced economic growth as a
11:44
result. But again,
11:46
most of that economic growth, it
11:48
benefits the very wealthy and powerful
11:50
in those countries. And in
11:53
so many of these countries in Africa
11:55
and in Latin America and elsewhere, you
11:57
know, very few families essentially control the
11:59
economy. economies of these countries and these
12:01
families go back to very long time ago
12:04
to colonial periods in Latin America, for example.
12:07
Most of these countries have families who
12:10
were given these incredible land grants,
12:12
their ancestors who were generals under
12:14
the Spanish conquistadores, under Cortez, with
12:16
Rosaro or one of the other
12:19
conquistadores who gave them huge amounts
12:21
of land and
12:24
their families still have tremendous power within
12:26
these countries. So they benefit significantly.
12:30
John, one of the things that I
12:32
think is lost on a lot of
12:34
listeners of our community is just how
12:36
this relationship with the IMF and the
12:38
World Bank works in
12:41
harmony with this US
12:43
agenda to push dollar dominance around
12:45
the world through this indebtedness. So if
12:48
you were going to explain that relationship very simply
12:50
for people to kind of be able to wrap
12:52
their head around it because I think people are
12:54
familiar with the word IMF or World Bank and
12:57
they know that they're out there but they just
12:59
don't understand how they fit into the bigger picture.
13:02
Well, those organizations are all part of
13:04
what we call the Washington Consensus, just
13:07
to make it even a little bit more complicated. So it's
13:09
the World Bank, the sister
13:11
organizations, the Inter-American Development Bank,
13:14
the Asian Development Bank, the US
13:16
Treasury Department. But basically,
13:19
this would be a scenario. So USAID,
13:21
United States Agency for International
13:24
Development, sets aside a small
13:26
amount of money. In my day,
13:28
it would be several hundred thousand dollars now, it's probably a
13:30
couple of million. And it's
13:32
a grant to our country. Let's
13:35
stick with this case of Ecuador since we
13:37
started there. There could be so many different
13:40
countries. And that's this grant
13:42
is used to hire my company, the
13:44
consulting firm, to go in and
13:46
do a study and say the World Bank
13:48
is interested in giving a huge amount of
13:50
money to this country, Ecuador. My
13:53
job is to go in and make a study of
13:55
where that money should be spent. Should
13:57
it go into developing the electrical system? During
14:00
hydro electric facilities and transmission lines or
14:02
maybe should on the highway is. For.
14:05
Ports are Air Force. Items. Or
14:07
sustained assist. The best investment would
14:09
be a huge hydroelectric plants. And
14:12
all the transmission lines to go along with
14:14
as an example. And as I
14:16
would he have been in that this and
14:19
I'm sorry to interrupt you so in that
14:21
scenario but say that when they were ultimately
14:23
after was oil or some type of like
14:25
natural resource and you're looking at the the
14:27
set up inside this country in the say
14:29
they don't have a lot of power so
14:31
step one as we gotta get power into
14:33
the countries of it then they can extract
14:35
this rock commodity they were actually interested in
14:37
in year ten from our year Fifteen or
14:39
twenty or whatever. So. I'm assuming
14:42
that that there was like a much
14:44
bigger, grander strategy. With. Respect to
14:46
this. The. Timing of like how
14:48
you guys did this. Were you part
14:50
of that orchestrating math? Or were you
14:52
a little bit more granular in. Are
14:55
just the power like you admit been told?
14:57
Let's let's go after power inside this country.
15:00
I. Wouldn't know. I would know
15:02
been implemented good at my job. I know
15:04
that the as part of this is exactly
15:07
what you're suggesting. And so chances are
15:09
this hydroelectric plant that worried that risk that
15:11
we're getting them that we're going back to
15:13
the World Bank to say give this country
15:15
a large amount of money to hire are
15:17
com is the role I do electorate my
15:19
chances are. The hydroelectric plant
15:21
is I need Amazonian area
15:23
where the waterfalls, rivers rivers
15:26
rivers are best puts kobe
15:28
headwaters of the Amazon the
15:30
sacred headwaters area. And
15:32
that's where the oil happens to be revealed.
15:34
Hydroelectric plant your also building big roads get
15:37
a construction with to me in their bridge
15:39
is no be a big benefit to the.
15:42
Trouble is also. Told the
15:44
others that there is that a pet that sort
15:46
of thing that often does are not always. Anyway,
15:49
So I go back to the country with
15:52
this the study of as a sub scare
15:54
you do with this study the World Bank
15:56
is is willing to give you this very
15:59
large loans and. You but you have
16:01
to sign off on and use oil is your
16:03
collateral. And so the President
16:05
says Wonder Woman Texas of the People and
16:07
gives his report to the local newspaper. isn't
16:09
says you know I personally wander in, maybe
16:11
he's eating I have a referendum and the
16:14
people that say yes over by dust assume
16:16
shows of our economy's going to grow It.
16:19
As a present here and as I there
16:21
has been going on last year's years. We.
16:23
Got hyperinflation which which they get rid of
16:26
that has report which opened up. And
16:28
so then. Then the money is
16:30
diverted to be construction company in the
16:32
United States that say what one of
16:34
the big muslim it mentioned earlier. Make
16:37
good on builder fill the project
16:39
and meanwhile the country's name. The.
16:42
Interest on the law and then
16:44
to bring money from social services
16:46
or other programs to pay the
16:48
interest. But. In the end
16:50
of the catholic pay the principles
16:53
and so your budget. Remember the
16:55
collateral as low as a loyal
16:57
yes assets some hours max start
16:59
taking oil. Oh and also
17:01
and that novices romeo and as the
17:03
I am out was his cab or
17:06
you might fall the policing force behind
17:08
okay he roll back to the internet
17:10
and wrong by. And are
17:12
we doing is the I am as we
17:14
say. Yeah, well and you get me, some
17:16
of these are the conditionalities. It let us
17:18
build a military business or less exactly what
17:21
happened in one point in Ecuador. For example,
17:23
built the Sewage knows Her at Us military
17:25
base. On the coast of
17:27
Ecuador and on and on so it's
17:29
better. Scenario starts with a glance country
17:31
has enough to pay for from us
17:34
bureau said it's them loose ends of
17:36
alone and then it moves into the
17:38
conditionalities to restructure the loan. To
17:41
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T.com. Or right. Back.
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To the show. Can you walk us
20:27
through at it was a a the books
20:29
out how the I am as kind of
20:31
works as as backstops are allowed to get
20:34
like the listeners is to understand that if
20:36
western lenders the on the World Bank a
20:38
reply these loans are doing these laws to
20:40
developing countries. And are concerned about the
20:42
credit worthy. As like this was it seemed like a
20:44
machine that you had created or that you are a
20:46
part of L A you could replicate time and time
20:49
again. But. It seems like the I
20:51
M F was that backstop that would com
20:53
and restructure those loans and make sure that
20:55
the western lenders were always made on our
20:57
lawn so and you could read repeat over
20:59
and over again. In. The country up
21:01
to it's eyeballs and death. Yeah
21:04
uses gonna Bury Room Nicola nominal
21:06
is there's more specific question I
21:08
did you hear about I use
21:10
them on the. I
21:13
was more to has more curious of like the
21:15
lenders and sorry the lenders and the I am.
21:17
As for Lacy said. That the
21:19
understandably I'm of is always gonna stop and
21:21
or in this side the scenario and kind
21:24
of how is that working relationship of. Assassinating
21:26
from your seat of your actually on the
21:28
ground and were just observing this from really
21:30
your words. In
21:33
his financial institutions. I
21:35
know the school be the case and in and
21:37
the before they make been mates alone in the
21:39
apollo the checked in with the i am as
21:41
make sure that the country that there. Will.
21:43
Be doing this move them he may be probably
21:46
already know this allows but they won't make sure
21:48
that rather doing this as a country where they
21:50
are noom of will step in and the maybe
21:52
some countries where they wouldn't happen. And.
21:54
If they would make the loans, most countries. So.
21:57
There is. This is a small Boy
21:59
Network Barrel. Each other very well
22:01
and. And the If the various
22:03
levels of of these organizations and they
22:05
they communicate with each other. Treatment by.
22:08
John. It seems like when I look
22:10
at interest rates since the early eighties,
22:12
they've just continued to go down up
22:15
until cove It And I think that
22:17
that continual step down in advanced economies
22:19
of interest rates going lower and lower.
22:22
Ah, Help mask everything that was happening
22:24
because as they rolled the Dad, they
22:26
were able to roll it at a
22:28
lower interest rate. which just seem like
22:30
we're kicking this principle further and further.
22:32
If you can't repay it, will them.
22:34
Orders will negotiate the commodities are they
22:37
the military base or whatever. But I
22:39
think it was almost like a tailwind
22:41
for them to have these interest rates
22:43
going lower and lower. I'm curious if
22:45
you agree with that. He. And
22:47
more importantly, for where we're at right
22:49
now moving forward, it almost seems like
22:51
they're not going to be able to
22:54
get inflation under control on advanced economies
22:56
right now. In Does this cause this
22:58
entire economic hitman model to really start
23:00
to blow up in the face of
23:03
these advanced economies? As
23:05
he covered her questions or that it's a it's
23:07
be observed first one is the lower interest rates.
23:10
Does help. I. Think because suddenly the
23:12
banks are in a position or the economic
23:14
hitman or a position to go to countries
23:16
and says a lot period as rates pretty
23:18
low you can afford to smoke very many
23:20
couldn't afford it before and a higher interest.
23:22
but now with the lower interest rates as
23:24
a business the time. To. Do this
23:27
and as as you do take out to be alone.
23:29
Are. Your ideas? the regular analogy with a
23:31
home buyer and United States or zero interest
23:33
rates go down. The banks will tell them
23:35
out. It. On a server Three hundred
23:38
thousand dollar home you can for four hundred
23:40
thousand all along the transit users race a
23:42
lower. when interest rates go up you go
23:44
to bathroom or less expensive home. Same.
23:47
sort of thing. And is far as
23:49
the is into. the next person was
23:51
a the his interest rates are increasing to
23:54
receive the system blowing out Yeah does
23:56
that. Does this model really start to
23:58
get hard for them to country. role
24:00
and like we're seeing El Salvador
24:02
right now basically, you
24:04
Kaylee given the middle finger to
24:06
the IMF and World Bank and
24:08
adopted Bitcoin as a
24:10
new legal tender inside of the country. Like
24:13
I think that there's countries that
24:15
are starting to figure this out in
24:17
a very meaningful way. And
24:20
I'm just kind of curious if you would agree that
24:22
it's starting to unravel itself at this point. Well,
24:25
I think the biggest unraveling force
24:27
for the Washington consensus is China
24:30
because China steps in and will
24:32
may offer lower interest rates or
24:34
better deals in other
24:36
respects. Actually we can go
24:39
to Ecuador as an example when
24:41
Rafael Correa was elected president. I know
24:43
Correa very well. I was just recently
24:45
in Mexico City on a TV program
24:47
where he interviewed me. He
24:49
likes my books. He has a PhD
24:52
in economics from the University of Illinois.
24:54
Incidentally. He knows our system extremely well.
24:56
He was president of Ecuador for 10
24:58
years. And one of the first things he
25:00
did was to appoint a
25:02
commission to look into whether Ecuadorian
25:04
people really owed the money that
25:07
the World Bank and IMF said Ecuador
25:09
owed. And the commission concluded
25:11
that I think it was about $10
25:13
billion. I may have the number wrong, but
25:15
there was a lot of money that they said, no, the
25:18
Ecuadorian people don't owe this. This money
25:20
was taken out as a loan by
25:22
the military dictatorships back in the seventies
25:25
without the consent of the people. The
25:27
people didn't get any benefits. These
25:29
military dictators now are long gone. They're living
25:32
in Switzerland or Miami
25:34
or someplace. And maybe
25:36
they owe the money and Correa laughing. They
25:38
said, maybe John Perkins owes the money. He
25:41
was one of those economic children that was
25:43
here back then. But
25:45
the Ecuadorian people don't owe it. And he
25:47
refused to pay a fairly significant amount of
25:49
that in the billions of dollars.
25:52
And they're fought by the standard
25:55
and poor's and fitch ratings through
25:57
Ecuador entered the dump. They
26:00
basically said Ecuador is a worthless country.
26:03
Nobody should invest to go to Ecuador to do
26:05
anything. And immediately, the Chinese
26:07
stepped in and they gave Ecuador a
26:09
big loan, very low
26:11
interest rates that made it easy for Ecuador
26:14
to pay off the interest and the total
26:16
ratings run up and then China made
26:18
another loan. And as a result,
26:20
Pareya, who again has a PhD from
26:22
the US university in economics
26:26
through the United States law basically, and he closed
26:28
that. He did not renew the lease on this
26:30
huge military base. So the United States had to
26:32
move its military base from Ecuador to Columbia. He
26:35
went up against the United States and
26:38
embraced China. And so
26:40
now Ecuador has a lot of money as
26:42
a China and China's gone in and built
26:44
a huge dam, they're building big mines. They're
26:46
doing the same thing that
26:48
we were doing, except they've
26:50
offered some better conditions, Ecuador,
26:53
at least the conditions that appear
26:56
to be better, not
26:58
always what they appear to be. And
27:01
I will say one other thing here, that
27:03
China has an incredible
27:06
marketing tool. And
27:08
that is if they had about 10% economic
27:11
growth for 30 years,
27:14
they brought about 800 million people
27:17
out of poverty, they
27:19
increased the middle class tremendously.
27:22
That's the same time since the early 70s, the
27:24
United States has not had any real increase
27:27
in average minimum wage. If you take
27:29
a run into inflation since the 70s,
27:33
we've gone from 60% middle class
27:35
down to 50%. If you're
27:37
the president of a poor country, and
27:39
you're looking for an economic model, you're
27:42
probably very, very tempted to
27:45
look at the Chinese model, not
27:47
necessarily the political system, but
27:49
the economic model is a very impressive
27:51
one. John, on that,
27:53
do you see China running the same playbook as
27:56
the United States and other Western developed economies have
27:58
run to deal with the Chinese economy? that
28:00
have the backing of the World Bank and
28:02
the IMF? Or do you see China in
28:04
this type of scenario running kind of an
28:06
economic proxy war against the United States? It's
28:08
both, Nico. You know, I was
28:10
asked to teach at an MBA program
28:13
in Shanghai, which is mainly Chinese students
28:15
who had been singled out to
28:17
be the future leaders
28:19
of the economy of China. And
28:22
very quickly, I learned that the reason I'd been
28:24
invited was because these students wanted to pick my
28:26
brain as to what I had done that was
28:28
successful. What I was successful and what I'd done
28:30
that were failures. And they've done
28:32
an amazing job. They've been much
28:34
more efficient in some respects. They really have
28:36
learned from our mistakes and our successes. And
28:40
I talked in this latest book about the
28:42
four pillars of the economic hit-man strategy.
28:44
One of those is fear. You know,
28:47
fear, we talk about fear of Russia,
28:49
fear of China or whatever, and they
28:51
talk about fear of us or
28:54
fear of your neighbors. Another
28:56
one is death, which we've been discussing. And
28:59
the third one is anxiety over insufficiency. Oh,
29:01
you're a really, really poor country and we're
29:03
going to help you relieve that anxiety. We're
29:05
going to help you rise out of poverty.
29:08
And the last one is divide and conquer. And
29:11
China's made alterations in the way all
29:13
of those are approached. But
29:16
especially, they've made
29:18
a huge alteration in the last
29:20
one, divide and conquer. So
29:23
for example, when the United States would go
29:25
into a country like, let's move from Ecuador
29:27
to Peru, like Peru, for no
29:29
particular reason, but just because, yeah. Anyway,
29:32
so, and they would say
29:34
to Peru, hey, you know, let's, we'll
29:36
do this deal and we'll give you
29:38
most favored nation in our
29:40
trading agreement. So bilateral trade between Peru
29:42
and the United States will be really
29:45
good. China, on the other
29:47
hand, goes and says, we're not interested in
29:49
bilateral trade. We're interested in connecting
29:51
you with the world. The new
29:53
Silk Road, the Belt and
29:55
Road Initiative. And so Peru, we're
29:57
going to, we're going to build you these power plants.
29:59
going to do basically the same thing the United States would
30:02
do, but we're also going to build you a big port
30:04
so you're going to be connected with
30:06
Africa and Asia and
30:08
Europe. And it's not just
30:10
about China and Peru, it's about where can
30:12
I help Peru become a world integrated
30:15
with the world on a commercial basis.
30:18
And that's huge. Countries really like
30:21
that. Oh, and incidentally, we're
30:23
not going to ever try to influence your
30:26
policies, your government policies. We're not going
30:28
to build a military base and China
30:31
hasn't built military bases in very many
30:33
places other than in its own sphere
30:35
of influence with a couple of exceptions
30:38
like Djibouti where it
30:40
refuels its ships that go around African
30:42
Horn and so forth. But
30:44
it doesn't have a military preference. And they say,
30:46
we're not going to build a military base here.
30:48
We're not going to ask you to privatize your
30:50
industries and sell them to our people. We're not
30:53
going to ask you to vote with us in
30:55
the United Nations vote, which isn't entirely
30:57
true because they do expect these countries
30:59
to side with them on the Taiwan
31:01
issue. But they seem
31:03
less draconian. And
31:05
let's face it, there's a tremendous amount
31:08
of resentment against the United
31:10
States and our European allies and
31:12
the World Bank because of the
31:14
way we've imposed our will on
31:16
countries. And we've been
31:18
willing to overthrow democratically elected
31:21
presidents like Ayende and Abend.
31:23
And we've backed terrible dictatorships
31:26
like Pinochet and
31:28
Chile and many others. One
31:32
of the stories that really stuck out to
31:34
me in the book, it was somewhat early
31:36
on you were talking about you were just
31:38
implementing a lot of these field reports and
31:40
coming up with the various models. And there
31:42
was a person that I forget which country
31:45
it was, but there was a person who
31:47
was working on a report that was estimating
31:49
that the growth would be like 10%. And
31:53
your boss was like, that's not enough. It needs
31:55
to be juicier than that. And you were like,
31:57
oh, well, I could come up with a model
31:59
that does. 20% or basically
32:01
double what the other person was doing. And
32:04
the other person was very hesitant to adjust their model.
32:07
And because you were able to not only
32:09
expand it, but do it in a way
32:11
that was really backed up with what appeared
32:13
to be a lot of evidence, like
32:16
you were promoted immediately. And
32:18
this behavior of trying to get
32:20
the country in as much debt
32:22
as possible by sensationalizing a lot
32:24
of the reporting and the numbers
32:27
was just somewhat mind
32:29
blowing to me that this was
32:31
the incentive structure that you were
32:34
dealing with. Can you talk
32:36
about just some of the mechanics
32:38
of this and how other people
32:40
that were doing similar jobs as
32:42
yourself really kind of talk
32:44
to the incentive structure that was behind all of
32:47
this? Yes, that's
32:49
a really good point, Preston. Yeah,
32:51
you're talking about my relationship with
32:53
a guy named Howard Parker who's...
32:56
Yes. And he
32:59
was very old school and
33:01
we're looking at electrical growth and if you
33:03
could show that the economy was
33:05
going to grow by let's say 12% if
33:07
the electrical
33:09
growth went up by 9% or 10%.
33:13
And Howard would say, well, and he'd
33:15
worked for a utility industry all of his
33:17
life retired as very high up executive of
33:19
a major US utility company and then gone
33:21
to work for our consulting firm. He'd say,
33:23
well, the United States has never
33:25
been electrical growth of more than 6% a
33:28
year anyway. And I would
33:30
say, yes, but if you
33:32
get to suppress demand, if
33:35
you build these facilities and you have the electricity
33:37
bill, people will buy it. They just can't get
33:39
it now. That's why the growth is so low.
33:42
So I believe that what I was
33:44
saying was correct and my
33:46
boss very hardly was pushing me to
33:48
make these much higher forecasts than Howard
33:50
would make. And I thought
33:52
it was correct. And
33:54
I think, and I also, I come out
33:57
of the Peace Corps and
33:59
I was... steeped in this idea
34:01
that we could really help poor
34:03
countries rise out of poverty.
34:06
And you know, I was, I'd been
34:09
to business school where I saw these
34:11
econometric models that show this relationship between
34:13
infrastructure growth and GDP growth and I
34:15
thought GDP growth was a good measure
34:17
at that time. It took me quite
34:19
a long time to realize that GDP
34:21
growth is basically a
34:23
tool of the rich. It's
34:25
a poor statistic if you want to
34:28
measure true prosperity. Yes. We have a
34:30
friend, Alan Farrington, and this is like
34:32
one of his favorite talking points is
34:34
bashing how terrible GDP is. It's like
34:37
listening to him go down that path
34:39
is amazing. I'll
34:43
leave it at that. But yes,
34:45
it's a lie as far as
34:47
measuring overall prosperity is concerned. And
34:49
you know, I think there's a
34:51
tremendous number of people in this industry
34:54
today working for the World Bank or
34:56
whoever that really believe they're doing the
34:58
right thing. And at the top,
35:00
I think they got to know the
35:02
truth behind it. I believed for a
35:04
long time that I was doing the right thing. And
35:07
I have to tell you that once I
35:09
started to understand I wasn't and this, I
35:11
was helped in this very much by the
35:13
head of state of Panama, Omar Torrijos, who
35:16
understood the system and told me,
35:18
John, don't you understand that what you're, you're lying
35:20
to yourself and you're telling all the rest of
35:22
us a lie. Once I really
35:24
understood that, I didn't want to believe it. I
35:26
was making a lot of money. I came
35:28
to, you know, relatively poor teachers.
35:31
I was a poor teacher's son
35:33
in New Hampshire. We weren't barbing
35:35
or impoverished, but I never left
35:37
New England until I joined the
35:39
Peace Corps. And now
35:41
I'm traveling first class all
35:43
over the world, lining and dining
35:45
in the best restaurants and staying in
35:48
the finest hotels and, you know,
35:50
hanging out with president. I
35:53
didn't want to give that up. So once
35:55
I began to understand the fallacy of the
35:57
system, I didn't want to understand it. I
35:59
want to. the faults or the line
36:01
that everybody was out there promoting. And
36:03
I think there's an awful lot of people in
36:05
that situation today. You know, we all
36:08
lie to ourselves at one level or
36:10
another but, you know, I can
36:12
just, I don't drive out much.
36:15
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you're connected with a ton of different investors
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40:02
right, back to the show. No,
40:06
I think it just speaks so much to your
40:08
character to be able to hear
40:11
the other side of the argument and then you talk
40:13
about this so well in the book and I love
40:15
the way that you show this
40:17
struggle as you're discovering this and you're having
40:19
these conversations with other people when you are
40:21
trying to understand the other side of
40:24
the impact of what's happening. And
40:27
I just find it so profound
40:29
to speak to your character, to
40:31
then have the courage to
40:34
write and explain your point
40:36
of view to the world whether people want
40:38
to side with you or
40:40
not. I just think it's so profound
40:43
and I think it's just so courageous of you
40:45
and I think Nico's got the next question. So
40:47
go ahead Nico. John,
40:49
I had a real big question on this and I feel
40:51
like it was, I think there's
40:53
a seminal moment in US economic imperialism
40:56
that you hit on in all the
40:58
books and this is the deal with
41:01
Saudi Arabia and the
41:03
transition to a petrodollar and
41:05
Saudi buying US Treasuries. I
41:07
would love if you can just
41:10
simply walk through for all the
41:12
listeners that deal and the petrodollar
41:15
post that. Yeah, that was
41:17
quite, yeah. So the context is
41:19
the early seven days when Saudi,
41:22
so OPEC which was led by Saudi
41:24
Arabia and Saudi Arabia was the biggest
41:26
oil producer in the world had a
41:28
lot of clout and did not like what
41:31
was going on with Israel and our support
41:33
of Israel and Israel defeating
41:36
their world in many respects. And
41:39
so there was an oil embargo imposed against the
41:41
United States and you guys are probably too young
41:43
to remember it in person but
41:45
I do very well. And you know long
41:47
lines at the gas stations and our economy
41:49
was in a nosedive and
41:52
it looked very, very serious. Without
41:54
oil what are we going to do? And we
41:56
were very, very dependent on imported oil. So
41:59
the Treasury Department comes to me and
42:01
others at my company and they said, you
42:03
know, we can't let this happen again, do
42:05
something. I go off to
42:07
Saudi Arabia with several of my assistants and people
42:10
who work for me and set
42:12
up an office there and the State
42:14
Department, I mean the Treasury Department signed
42:16
a very large contract with my company
42:18
to develop the electrical system
42:20
in that country also. But
42:23
we had to work out a deal with the Saudis on
42:25
this whole thing and this wasn't about
42:27
debt because Saudi Arabia didn't need to borrow money
42:29
from anybody, they had the money. We
42:32
wanted them, we wanted their money and
42:34
we also wanted to have them beholden
42:36
to us so they couldn't put us,
42:38
they couldn't blackmail us again like they
42:40
had basically with the oil embargo.
42:42
So, we worked out this deal basically whereby
42:45
as you said, Saudi
42:47
Arabia would have to reinvest
42:49
most of their petro dollars
42:52
in US Treasuries and the
42:54
interest from those Treasuries bonds
42:56
would be used to pay US
42:59
corporations to essentially westernize Saudi Arabia
43:02
to build big cities that were
43:04
western type of cities to
43:06
build petrochemical plants and other industries
43:09
in Saudi Arabia. And
43:11
at the same time, part of the
43:13
deal was that Saudi Arabia would never
43:15
sell oil for anything other than
43:18
dollars. So, as you also mentioned, Nixon had
43:20
just taken us off the gold standard in
43:23
1971, I think, and
43:25
the dollar was floating out there,
43:27
it was rather nerve-wracking time and
43:30
so now suddenly on from the gold
43:32
standard, it truly is a petro dollar.
43:36
And so, the agreement was that
43:38
Saudi Arabia wouldn't sell oil for anything
43:40
other than dollars and
43:42
also they would never
43:45
charge more for oil than the
43:47
oil companies would ultimately be in
43:50
agreement with. And our part
43:52
of the deal was that we would protect
43:54
Saudi Arabia. As long as they kept
43:56
their part of the deal, we would always stand behind
43:58
them as we did during the Gulf War. boards and
44:00
both go forwards under both presidents Bush. And
44:03
as we did after 9-11 when we, you know,
44:06
hustled some of their family members out of the country
44:08
and on and on.
44:10
And this deal has been extremely
44:12
significant. We called it
44:14
the Saudi Arabia money
44:16
laundering affair. And Sam, it kind
44:18
of was a money laundering affair,
44:21
oil laundering affair. You know, it's
44:24
beginning to fall apart now. Yeah. And
44:26
partly because China is now, you know,
44:29
becoming such a strong entity and Saudi
44:31
Arabia does not want to lose a
44:34
customer and that ally. And so
44:36
they're, you know, they're wavering a little bit. And
44:38
the other thing is that the
44:40
Arab world has been very unhappy with the
44:42
way we've treated the Muslims and our stance
44:44
on in Israel. And
44:47
despite Saudi Arabia's fairly
44:49
good relationship with Israel, despite
44:51
all these other things, what
44:54
happened in Iraq and Afghanistan and
44:57
so on, you know, it's been
44:59
a thorn in the side of
45:01
the Islamic world. And
45:03
so there's a lot of factors here.
45:05
Like we in the United States hear
45:08
about how poorly China treats its Uyghur
45:10
people of the Muslim groups. But
45:12
in the Muslim world, yeah, they're concerned
45:14
about that, of course. But
45:16
they also know that China is,
45:19
China has sent armies into any Muslim
45:21
countries, as we have in
45:23
Afghanistan and Iraq and elsewhere. So
45:25
this old
45:30
deal that's lasted since the early 70s
45:32
until now and it's still
45:35
in effect, it's losing some of
45:37
its teeth. You
45:39
know what I find really fascinating right now, John, is
45:42
if you would take all the countries in the
45:44
world and list the net producers on one side
45:46
and the net consumers on the other side, what
45:49
you'll find is all the net producers
45:52
are the enemies or have
45:54
been in the media the enemies of
45:56
the United States. I
45:58
just find that really quite fascinating. fascinating. And
46:01
like when we look at, well, why are, why is
46:04
the U S at odds
46:06
with anybody that has excess
46:08
production out of their country?
46:11
And I think it kind of holds a
46:13
key to understanding what's playing out right now
46:15
with the breakdown of the, of the petrodollar
46:17
system. And I think that also when we're
46:20
looking at interest rates and how they were
46:22
literally compressed, I think we got to what
46:24
was it, Nika, maybe 18 trillion
46:26
of negative yielding debt in the world of
46:28
all these advanced economies. It was somewhere in
46:30
that ballpark. So we basically compressed
46:32
the yields to nothing. The prices were
46:34
sky high on all debt, leading
46:37
up to COVID in 2020. And now
46:39
it seems like all of this mathematically
46:41
is starting to unravel itself with the
46:43
treasury and the Saudis
46:46
pricing everything in dollars. It
46:48
seems like this entire agreement is falling apart
46:50
and it's like, well, where does, where does
46:52
this go next? I'm curious
46:54
if you have any just thoughts on this
46:57
idea of the net producers versus the net
46:59
consumers at odds with each other in the
47:01
world and maybe what the
47:03
root cause of a lot of this
47:05
is. I was one
47:07
of the co-authors of a book called the game
47:09
is old as empire. And that's what
47:11
this is really, you know, where it's
47:14
building empires. And one
47:16
of the biggest net producers, I think you'd
47:19
say is China. Yeah. Yeah.
47:22
Of course, China definitely is threatening
47:24
your hegemony. Is
47:27
China an enemy? I would
47:29
really like to think of China as a
47:31
competitor, but
47:33
not an enemy. And you know, we're
47:35
all suffering from climate change, but we
47:38
can't afford to have enemies. Let's face it. Wars
47:41
are just wars are part of the
47:43
destruction of the environment and part of
47:45
our problem today. We don't need to
47:47
define China as an enemy. It is
47:49
a competitor, but competition can be
47:51
good if it drives you to be better. And
47:54
I would like to think that we look at it that way, but
47:56
we don't. We know anybody that
47:58
comes along. It seems
48:01
that to possibly be better than
48:03
us at doing anything, we object
48:06
to. Back
48:08
in the 70s, we went through something a
48:10
little bit similar with Japan where Japan
48:12
was threatening us as, you know, they were
48:15
so efficient and they worked so hard and
48:17
they put in so many hours and they
48:19
were moving out of a period where we
48:21
said they'd produce junk products into one where
48:23
they produced quality products. They were leaders in
48:25
quality. That was concerning to
48:27
us but Japan was a fairly small country,
48:29
it didn't have much of a military or
48:31
no military. It wasn't a
48:33
real threat. China now, they come along
48:36
and it's got this amazing economy and
48:39
it's also militarily very, very
48:42
imposing and impressive. And
48:44
so, and there's no question I think that
48:46
China wants to take over. They
48:49
would like to replace the dollar with the
48:51
UN or something. They don't want
48:53
to do it too quickly because we owe them
48:55
a lot of money so they don't want to
48:57
see it resolve or collapse because that'd be very
48:59
harmful to them. Plus, there's such an
49:01
interrelationship between China and the United
49:04
States and Europe, our NATO
49:06
allies, the European Union in
49:08
terms of trade, in terms of finance, in terms
49:10
of so many things that
49:12
China's being has to be
49:15
relatively careful and yet clearly,
49:18
they want to be the main
49:20
superpower. And
49:23
they're headed in that direction. And so, the
49:25
United States is strongly opposing it. And
49:28
I think that's probably a smart move on the part
49:30
of it but I think the idea of demonizing
49:33
them or seeing them as
49:36
an enemy in some sort of a war
49:38
or defining it as even defining it
49:41
as an economic war to me
49:44
is a big mistake. It is
49:46
a strong competition. We are extremely
49:48
competitive with China and they're competitive
49:50
with us. That can
49:52
be a good thing though, competition. I like to
49:55
think of when I was in school, I was
49:57
a pretty good tennis player and I
49:59
was always biased. Into the number one spot on
50:01
our team. I was your your number two
50:03
was tragic over numbersusa and as number one
50:05
and number two with that was you took
50:08
it over to be number one. And yeah
50:10
we played his part games. We. Were
50:12
in and and actually the reason we played
50:14
each other we improved. Bubbly,
50:16
You know the we were slightly competitive
50:18
and then we came together the doubles
50:21
team that in big matches were both
50:23
schools. We were the number one doubles
50:25
dance and so now the skills that
50:27
we've developed competing with each other. Or.
50:30
Serving as as a team? Yes! and I
50:32
met a guy I. That's a great example
50:34
of how competition to make him stronger. And
50:37
we all need to unify out
50:39
of to create that to transponders.the
50:42
economy. This economic system as polluting
50:44
and consuming itself for itself. destruction
50:46
into a wife, A colony that
50:49
pays people to clean up solution,
50:51
develop new technologies that the snow
50:53
ravaged parents. John.
50:55
I'm a question or lad. I'm
50:57
curious. A two part question point
50:59
is if their ability for the
51:01
Us to continually print more money
51:03
enabled really this entire economic hitman.
51:06
Economic Imperialism model over the
51:08
past fifty years. And then
51:10
second part it as you talk about bringing
51:12
the world together. Is something
51:14
like bitcoin that is unable to be
51:17
controlled by any country to be printed?
51:19
There's no more that can be created.
51:21
Do you think that that takes away
51:24
the teeth of all this economic imperialism?
51:27
And. He is that possibility of there.
51:30
However, if you look historically
51:32
at. This powerful. vampires.
51:35
They usually are able to overcome those
51:37
kinds of obstacles and we know that
51:39
China now is it a too many
51:41
of some sort of a form of
51:43
crypto currency. So. I suspect that
51:45
maybe what'll happen is that the a
51:47
smart and countries like China made in
51:50
on his facebook. And a
51:52
somehow cool off. The
51:54
Crypto Movement or I don't know. I.
51:56
mean i think that the i think that we are
51:59
gonna move away from the central
52:01
banking system because it's just plain not
52:03
working well and basically everybody
52:05
knows that whether they want to admit it
52:07
or not another question and cryptocurrency is here
52:09
and we all use it you know to
52:12
a certain degree like even if you've never
52:14
bought it bought anything you use a credit
52:16
card you know we're all we're all dealing
52:18
in digit digitized forms of currency on a
52:21
big scale a lot of places don't pay
52:23
don't don't take money anymore you know i
52:25
can't all so many places are
52:27
very shocked you can't buy anything with you
52:29
know with currency you get to use your
52:31
credit including on the airlines we're
52:34
definitely moving in that direction how
52:36
that plays out though remains to be
52:39
seen and i tried to believe that
52:41
the big powerful economies
52:43
like china and the united states and the
52:45
european union won't
52:47
somehow worm their way into having
52:49
control over these systems it
52:52
almost seems like co-opting is
52:55
the specialty of a lot of these the
52:57
government models that really like just co-op everything
52:59
uh with enough
53:01
time and duration john
53:03
i know you got to go uh real
53:05
soon here if there's one thing that you
53:07
want to leave our audience with maybe
53:10
a very short compressed
53:12
like so what of
53:15
of the book and what you were trying
53:17
to accomplish with this what what would that
53:19
message be for the audience well
53:22
i think the message is one of well i don't
53:24
think i know the message is one of hope that
53:27
we are in a time of extreme
53:29
crisis challenge and also
53:32
incredible opportunity yes you know as
53:34
i travel around the world speaking
53:36
at various events or as i
53:38
as they do lots of podcasts
53:40
in many countries i'm just
53:42
about to do one after this with
53:44
a podcast in south africa and
53:47
people around the world are
53:49
there's a consciousness revolution yes
53:51
people are really understanding that
53:54
we cannot continue with this
53:56
economic system we have which we call a
53:58
death economy do we have move into
54:00
a system where we key people to
54:03
mine the plastic in the oceans, you
54:05
know, and recycle it, to plant trees
54:07
and to reforest areas and to fill
54:09
the whole mine pits and to create
54:11
new technologies for energy and other things
54:13
that we haven't even dreamed of yet.
54:16
Solar and wind are improving
54:18
rapidly but they're still in
54:20
their infancy. So, we've got
54:22
this incredible opportunity. So, I'd like to leave
54:24
people with the idea that we should all
54:26
feel very blessed to be alive
54:28
at this time when we're
54:30
facing big crises but
54:32
we have incredible opportunities to move
54:35
the human experience to a new
54:37
level of consciousness and action that
54:40
takes us to a completely new understanding
54:42
of what it means to be successful
54:44
human beings, being human on
54:46
this amazing planet where we
54:49
live. God, I
54:51
love that. I love this
54:53
book. I'm serious like one of the top
54:55
books I've read in the past five years.
54:58
If you're listening to this and you have not read this
55:00
book, you have got to go out
55:02
and check this thing out. It is unreal.
55:05
John, thank you for your time. We'll
55:08
have links to that in the show notes.
55:10
We'll have links to anything else that you want us
55:12
to highlight there if people want to check it out
55:14
but thank you for your time, sir. This has just
55:16
been such a pleasure. My
55:18
pleasure indeed. Keep up your great work and
55:20
yeah, please connect to johnperkins.org. Yes,
55:23
sir. And the new book is on there too.
55:25
Yeah. Yes, sir. We'll have that pleasure. Thank you
55:27
guys so much. I really enjoyed it. Keep up
55:29
your great work. Thank you, sir. Have
55:31
a blessing. Thank you, John. Thank you. If
55:35
you guys enjoyed this conversation, be sure
55:37
to follow the show on whatever podcast
55:39
application you use. Just search for We
55:42
Study Billionaires. The Bitcoin specific shows
55:44
come out every Wednesday and I'd love to
55:46
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55:48
you enjoyed the show or you learned something
55:50
new or you found it valuable, if you
55:53
can leave a review, we would really appreciate
55:55
that and it's something that helps others find
55:57
the interview in the search algorithm. So, Anything
56:00
you can do to help out with a review,
56:02
we would just greatly appreciate. And with that, thanks
56:04
for listening and I'll catch you again next week.
56:30
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