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Should President Trump Be Allowed on the 2024 Ballot?

Should President Trump Be Allowed on the 2024 Ballot?

Released Thursday, 11th January 2024
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Should President Trump Be Allowed on the 2024 Ballot?

Should President Trump Be Allowed on the 2024 Ballot?

Should President Trump Be Allowed on the 2024 Ballot?

Should President Trump Be Allowed on the 2024 Ballot?

Thursday, 11th January 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

Last month, the Supreme Court of Colorado

0:02

and the main Secretary of State determined

0:04

that President Trump engaged in an insurrection

0:06

after taking an oath to uphold the

0:09

Constitution, and that he's therefore

0:11

disqualified from serving as President of the

0:13

United States under Section 3 of the

0:15

Fourteenth Amendment. Hello, friends.

0:20

I'm Jeffrey Rosen, President and CEO of

0:22

the National Constitution Center, and welcome to

0:24

We the People, a weekly show of

0:26

constitutional debate. The National

0:28

Constitution Center is a nonpartisan nonprofit

0:31

chartered by Congress to increase awareness

0:33

and understanding of the Constitution among

0:36

the American people. In this episode,

0:38

we'll delve into the meaning and purpose of

0:40

Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment and

0:43

the arguments for and against President Trump's

0:45

eligibility to run for president for a

0:47

second term, a question the Supreme Court

0:50

has decided to review.

0:52

Joining me to answer these questions

0:54

are two of America's leading experts

0:56

on Section 3,

0:58

and it's an honor to convene them today. Gerard

1:01

Maglioca is the Samuel R. Rosen

1:03

Professor at the Indiana University Robert

1:05

H. McKinney School of Law. He's

1:07

the author of four books, including

1:10

biographies of John Bingham and Bushrod

1:12

Washington, and has written extensively about

1:14

Section 3. Gerard, it's wonderful

1:16

to welcome you back to We the People. Thanks,

1:19

Jeff. Nice to be here. And Josh

1:21

Blackmon is Professor of Law at the South

1:23

Texas College of Law, Houston, where he holds

1:26

the Centennial Chair of Constitutional Law. His

1:28

latest book, An Introduction to Constitutional Law,

1:30

was a top five bestseller on Amazon,

1:32

and he's filed a brief with Seth

1:34

Tillman in Trump v. Anderson on behalf

1:36

of the petitioner. Josh, it's wonderful to

1:39

welcome you back to We the People.

1:41

Thanks so much, Jeff. Let's

1:44

begin with an overview of this

1:46

complicated and historic case. Gerard,

1:48

what are the constitutional issues and how do

1:51

you think the U.S. Supreme Court should decide

1:53

them? Well, where to begin? The

1:57

Supreme Court, in granting review, did

1:59

not specify... Which issues it wanted

2:01

Briefed or argued. So the argument is

2:03

gonna be something of a free for

2:05

all and could last five or six

2:08

hours. Probably air unless they do something

2:10

to limit things between now and then.

2:12

Bus basically and and and in no

2:15

particular order. The. Issues include.

2:17

Was. January sixth and insurrection within

2:19

the meaning of section three. Did.

2:22

Donald Trump engage in that

2:24

insurrection. If January sixth

2:26

was an insurrection, Is. The

2:28

presidency and office that is covered by

2:31

Sachs and three. Was. Donald Trump,

2:33

an officer of the United States

2:35

subject to sex and three when

2:37

he took the oath to be

2:39

President. Can. Section three

2:42

be enforced. By. A court

2:44

without an act of Congress setting

2:46

forth some procedures to implement that.

2:48

Is. They is the whole case, justiciable

2:50

at all. Ah, These

2:53

are and and I have not exhausted the

2:55

issues with that with that list of six.

2:57

So. My. View is the

2:59

Colorado Supreme Court's decision should be

3:01

affirmed. I think the majority got

3:03

a correct. And. I

3:05

think then if that decision is affirmed.

3:08

That. Would also permit. Congress.

3:11

If it's so desires to give

3:13

down from amnesty as he can

3:15

do by about two thirds of

3:17

each house, it also to some

3:20

extent allow states. Pursue. The

3:22

Primaries According to state laws. As

3:24

everyone knows, some states have rejected

3:26

these challenges to Trump's qualifications because

3:28

they say state law doesn't permit

3:30

such a challenge in a primary

3:32

and may not permitted at all.

3:35

And. Affirming the Colorado Supreme Court doesn't

3:37

necessarily mean that all states was far

3:39

from from the bout. although the Supreme

3:41

court could. Try. To say that

3:43

I could allow each stage of kind

3:45

of do what it wants, at least

3:47

in the primary process. Ah though that

3:50

gets a bit more murky. Thank.

3:52

You for that great overview and for outlining

3:54

the six question So hopefully we'll delve into

3:56

them. And and in a moment but a

3:58

trash black and them. You broadly

4:01

how you think us Supreme court

4:03

should resolve this case. Say.

4:05

Skyn chef have we on? It's a pleasure

4:07

you Gerard are. He's one of the leading

4:09

lights in this air and also really good

4:11

guys and was happy to see you see

4:13

my old friend I'm so I do have

4:16

a dog in the fire on a lot

4:18

of the arguments that it advance for advanced

4:20

by myself or my house has starred Tom

4:22

and many years ago long for Donald Trump

4:24

was even on the horizon. Tillman since Two

4:26

Thousand and Eight has taken the position of

4:29

the present is non officer the United States.

4:31

It's not a new position as articulated many

4:33

years ago but still means the. Most

4:35

forceful voice for their position in cities or

4:37

markets are he persuaded me rock two thousand,

4:39

twelve, or thirteen. So I've been on the

4:41

Tillman boat for a while. I

4:44

think it's. Possible. And the

4:46

maybe been likely that a number of

4:48

justice is find this argument attractive. It

4:51

would love to say that Trump is

4:53

not subsection three without having to say

4:55

what insurrectionist the other argued with who

4:57

advance in last two years or so

4:59

is at section three requires was cotton

5:02

force and legislation that is Congress was

5:04

passed. Some procedure ot person who is

5:06

disqualified can be removed from office or

5:08

otherwise odd. No such legislation been used

5:11

to knock Trump of the ballot and

5:13

said the been using state law. And

5:16

hear the leading authority is a key or

5:18

Griffin's case when she just she's for talk

5:20

a lot about it. But if I had

5:22

to sort of predict which is not worth

5:24

very much I think the first argument on

5:26

officer of United States in the second Arkansas

5:28

execution will receive. At. Least majority the

5:31

court. Would. Result in reversing the decision

5:33

of the Scour The Supreme court's whether the

5:35

the Five or block I couldn't tell you

5:37

by I'm very skeptical. Navy Chart agrees that

5:39

you get a majority to of from across

5:41

the board. Thank you very

5:44

much of as well. Let's now delve

5:46

into those two arguments that you just

5:48

flag animal want the others the first

5:51

as is the President and Officer of

5:53

United States and covered by section. for

5:55

you're Not Gerard, tell us your views

5:58

on not including. What? The

6:00

framers of Section Three thought about whether or

6:02

not the presidency was covered. right?

6:05

So first let me say that at It's it's

6:07

great to be on with Josh and I know

6:09

that. Josh and Professor

6:11

Tillman had this view prior to January

6:13

Six Twenty Twenty One because Professor told

6:15

him and emailed me about it prior

6:18

to January Six Twenty Twenty One when

6:20

I had posted the initial draft of

6:22

my first article on Sex and for

6:24

A so this is all of us

6:26

longstanding conversation that we've been having am

6:28

I testified about this question in the

6:30

trial in the Colorado case. I don't

6:33

want to. Sort. Of rehash that.

6:35

but basically they're just two thoughts.

6:37

Your one is that a lot

6:39

of people. Described. The

6:41

President as an Officer of the

6:43

United States during the time that

6:45

the Fourteenth Amendment was under discussion

6:48

including President Johnson, John being on

6:50

leading members of Congress. The. Evidence

6:52

on that side of things is pretty strong.

6:54

The evidence on the other side is not

6:56

a strong. Ah, and

6:59

that's true, No matter what you think

7:01

about what's that term might have meant

7:03

in Seventeen Eighty Seven? That

7:05

is to say I'm happy to

7:07

concede of though others disagree with

7:09

at the view of whether Officer

7:11

of the United States included the

7:13

President and Seventy Eighty Seven a

7:15

my view would be well even

7:17

if it did. Ah, Exclude

7:20

the president. During. The

7:22

Construction People to find the President as

7:24

an Officer of the United States. Now

7:26

the second saying is kind of more

7:28

of a purpose of approach. Which is

7:30

to say. Look. Everyone

7:32

agrees that Donald Trump is the

7:34

only President who never took an

7:36

oath to the constitution before he

7:39

became President, right? He never served

7:41

and an elected position and appointed

7:43

physician or military position. Ah,

7:45

Unlike all other presidents. So if

7:47

you were to say that section

7:49

three does not apply to Donald

7:51

Trump because. The. President is not

7:54

an Officer of the United States. It

7:56

would mean that he alone among all

7:58

Presidents, would not be covered by Section

8:00

Three. We saw President since Eighteen Sixty

8:03

Eight. Ah, an aggressor. Why would that

8:05

make sense? Does. Is there

8:07

a reason for that? Now is the tax

8:09

or unambiguous. Then. You'd say well

8:12

we just have to do it because that's

8:14

what it says but the text is not

8:16

on ambiguous and I would say then that

8:18

there's gotta be a reason to say that

8:21

Trump. Is. To be excluded

8:23

from section three were if President

8:25

Biden did exactly the same thing

8:27

and all other aspects of the

8:30

case for satisfied to say that

8:32

section three applied. Well.

8:34

Fine would be covered because he was

8:36

a senator before he became President. Trump

8:38

would not be covered because he wasn't

8:41

any government official before he became president

8:43

and I just don't think that really

8:45

make sense. Just

8:47

please tell we the people listeners your

8:50

view about why the President is not

8:52

an officer. The United sates. The

8:55

starting point here really is the fact that

8:57

office of United States is not a free

8:59

so is made up nice and succeed and

9:01

was use in for provisions of the constitution

9:03

and seventeen indeed I have been try to

9:05

lose to this. Be

9:08

pointless, close as the President points officers

9:10

or the United States. Presence.

9:13

On off an Isis or the commission's

9:15

class of the present or commissioned officers

9:17

United States present anatomist himself or the

9:19

Impeachment clause separates the President, the vice

9:21

present from offices of United States and

9:23

the key one is he owes Clause

9:25

says that do been Article Six Oath

9:28

for the officers in I see to

9:30

the present is not taken out of

9:32

Six Oath Never done It. This.

9:35

Is what the truck or Suv persuasive than

9:37

a nice for clauses the President is not

9:39

an officer. The high seats don't get eaten

9:41

sixty eight. We have

9:43

a draft process of section three, which durant

9:45

read about it someplace. We

9:48

don't know exactly why they chose the

9:50

words they did that. This precise wording

9:52

of Adopt is caucuses, his private meetings

9:55

or non the Capital For you know,

9:57

there were many different approaches, many different

9:59

draft. Ah, some versions

10:01

would have disenfranchised. All.

10:03

Former rebels. Some. Approaches would

10:05

have said all Rebels club hold

10:08

any office. But. The

10:10

only one up with something of a compromise. And.

10:12

A compromise said that

10:14

certain people. Can't.

10:16

Hold certain positions,

10:19

And they reach for language. And

10:21

the reefer language from the oath clause. In

10:23

fact, Section three very closely tracked the or

10:25

clause name. I say, wait a minute, you

10:28

know. Blackmon. Until mean that

10:30

sounds creative, But who said this Needs and sixty

10:32

eight. Years we've

10:34

heard from any record of anyone saying

10:36

in Section Three debates at the prison

10:39

is an office the nicest Desert Shield.

10:41

Some evidence to the point that the

10:43

Presidency is an office under the I'd

10:45

say it's discharge. Current evidence that affects

10:48

witnessed anything sing the present is an

10:50

office United States, but there's evidence of

10:52

the country are. We recently found Abacus

10:54

Free focusing on a Louisville Kentucky newspaper

10:57

and the Global Kentucky Newspaper was discussing.

10:59

Some other issues and said oh by the

11:01

way depressants and offers the united sates. He.

11:04

Points to the same evidence we two

11:06

points to the commission's cause. He points

11:08

the peace talks He points just a

11:10

stories of the presents an office the

11:12

I see so least some people who

11:14

are familiar with the topic in a

11:16

to succeed said the press on offers

11:18

the united sates dizzy tax will arguments

11:20

and I'm I'm glad that you're I'd

11:22

agree that gifts are going to purpose

11:24

and intentions. ah original public meaning rejects

11:27

that approach of jurisprudence and recently from

11:29

Boston to recall just as courses said

11:31

we don't care if the framers this

11:33

of rice ecstasy for. Wanted to protect

11:35

gays lesbians for matters the worth

11:37

they chose with into words trolls,

11:39

Law controls the President's not. An.

11:41

Officer of United States. will

11:44

let's turn out to be question

11:47

of president gerard as you mentioned

11:49

there are two leading opinions on

11:51

this case by supreme court justice

11:54

both by chief justice salmond chase

11:56

and they point in opposite directions

11:58

tell us about and

14:00

applied of its own force. No

14:02

act of Congress was required for Davis to

14:04

invoke it as a defense in his trial. And

14:07

the Chief Justice must have agreed

14:09

with that because he sided with

14:11

Davis's position in that

14:13

case. Now, that wasn't an opinion. Okay.

14:16

So in that sense, it's something

14:18

one has to sort of construe rather

14:20

than saying there are two different opinions.

14:24

But they are a contradictory. There

14:27

are explanations that have been

14:29

given, unpersuasive to me, that

14:31

they can be reconciled. But

14:34

more to the point, even if

14:36

you can reconcile them, it seems to me

14:39

that at best he was

14:41

right in Davis and wrong in Griffin.

14:43

That is that actually

14:45

maybe the first cut, yeah, it is applying

14:47

of its own force was correct.

14:50

And then Griffin got it wrong in saying that

14:52

an act of Congress was required. But there'll be

14:54

plenty of room for discussion of that when the

14:56

court hears the case. Josh,

14:59

in your brief with Professor

15:01

Tillman, you argue that

15:03

the Chief Justice's positions are consistent

15:06

because he was holding that Section

15:08

3 may be used as a

15:10

shield, but not a sword. Tell

15:12

us more about that distinction. This is

15:14

a point that's more of a federal courts than about Section

15:17

3. But the Constitution,

15:19

when we say it's self-executing, really has two

15:21

different meanings. So for example, if

15:25

the police prosecute you and

15:27

they decide to deny you some right, for

15:30

example, they try to admit evidence that was

15:32

seized illegally, or perhaps

15:35

they beat you in

15:37

their custody and they're prosecuting

15:39

you, you

15:41

can always raise the Constitution as

15:43

a defense. That is, the government's

15:45

prosecuting me for some crime. But

15:47

in the course of this prosecution, they

15:51

violate the Fourth Amendment. They

15:53

did something wrong. You don't need

15:55

any sort of federal legislation to raise

15:57

the Constitution as a defense. Everyone

16:00

agrees about that. What

16:02

if you want to go on the offense? That

16:05

is, what if you want to seek some sort of

16:07

affirmative relief against the government for

16:09

violating the Constitution? You need what's

16:11

called the cause of action. And we have that. It

16:13

was called Section 1983. This

16:16

is a statute that traces its roots to

16:18

Reconstruction. It was an act shortly after the

16:20

14th Amendment was passed in

16:22

various forms. And this says that

16:25

if any state official deprives you of your

16:27

rights under the color of law and yada yada yada,

16:29

you can go seek a remedy against

16:31

that official. We've always had

16:34

Section 1983. So

16:36

we never really had to think about this distinction, but it's

16:39

been there for a very long time. What

16:42

happened in Davis's case and what happened

16:45

in Chase's case reflects this distinction. In

16:48

the case of Jefferson Davis, it was a criminal

16:50

prosecution. And Davis made an argument

16:52

that perhaps you might find strange, but he

16:54

said that Section three displaced

16:57

any possible treason prosecution. In other words, because

17:00

Davis says, I can't hold any sort of

17:02

future office, you

17:04

can't prosecute for treason. That's the sole punishment. Now,

17:06

the argument might be right, might be wrong, but

17:09

he's saying as a criminal prosecution, a

17:11

defense is you can't raise it. Whereas

17:14

in Griffin's case, it was what's called a habeas case.

17:17

Who is Griffin? George or any

17:19

about this. He was a man, a black man

17:21

who was charged with shooting someone else, even killed

17:24

him, but he charged with shooting someone else, as

17:26

it seems to guy almost got lynched for it. He

17:30

was seeking habeas relief in federal court. And

17:34

what Chase was saying is you need some sort of statute

17:37

in order to say that the

17:39

judge who sentenced Griffin

17:42

was disqualified. So these

17:44

cases can be reconciled. There's a point of federal

17:46

courts, it's not really a question of Section three.

17:50

I would just put even just a little bit of caution.

17:54

We don't exactly know what Chase

17:56

said during the Jefferson Davis

17:58

trial. Right? And this

18:00

gets into the weeds, but there are actually

18:02

two versions of the case have been reported.

18:05

One report in 1869 where Chase

18:07

had absolutely nothing about whether Section

18:09

3 requires federal legislation. And

18:12

there was another version of the case reported some

18:14

years later, maybe even after Chase's death, that said,

18:17

the Chief Justice told the report and put on the

18:19

record that Section 3 executes on its own force. I

18:22

caution slightly because the reporter of that case

18:24

is not the most reliable person. Number

18:27

one, he was actually the lawyer in Griffin's

18:29

case, it's a coincidence. But more importantly, he

18:31

was a former Confederate general who apparently tried

18:33

to kidnap Abraham Lincoln. He might

18:36

have had an incentive to perhaps give Jefferson Davis

18:38

more credit than he was due. We

18:40

don't know why that sentence was there. It was not reported

18:42

at the time. But even if it's there, I

18:45

think you can reconcile these based on a fairly

18:47

deeply rooted aspect of federal court jurisprudence. Gerard,

18:50

further thoughts on that distinction about Section

18:52

3 as a sword, not a shield,

18:55

and then give us a sense of the history

18:58

and original understanding of Section 3 and

19:00

enforcement. In your article about Section 3

19:02

amnesty, you note that after Griffin's case,

19:04

Congress passed the first Ku Klux Klan

19:07

Act, known as the Enforcement Act of

19:09

1870, to protect

19:11

voting rights guaranteed by the 15th Amendment.

19:14

One of those sections, which gives

19:17

federal prosecutors the right to bring

19:19

warrants against state officials who

19:21

obstructed black voting rights, has been

19:23

invoked by Jack Smith, the special

19:26

prosecutor, to charge President Trump with

19:28

fraud to deny voting rights. And

19:30

the 1870 Act also said that

19:32

people who didn't resign if they

19:35

were ineligible were guilty of a

19:37

misdemeanor. What is that history, which

19:39

is about the effort to

19:41

enforce black voting rights through

19:44

the Enforcement Act, tell us about whether

19:46

or not Section 3 is enforceable

19:49

against President Trump without action from

19:51

Congress? Okay, well,

19:53

let me try to unpack that with three

19:55

points. First, on the question of sword versus

19:57

shield. You know, Mr. Griffin, using

20:00

Section 3 as a shield to try to

20:02

stay out of jail. So

20:04

I don't think that the cases can be

20:07

reconciled with that idea in

20:09

mind because Chief Justice

20:11

Chase did not allow Mr. Griffin

20:14

to use Section 3 to shield

20:16

himself from prison. It was his

20:18

defense basically in his

20:20

appeal of his criminal conviction. So

20:23

I guess I don't find

20:25

that a particularly good way to

20:27

distinguish between those two cases. Okay,

20:31

on enforcement, the first thing

20:33

to note is that Congress immediately

20:36

following ratification of the 14th

20:38

Amendment, indeed even right before

20:40

ratification, was giving people amnesty.

20:43

That is, they were exercising their power to,

20:45

with a two-thirds vote in each house, to

20:47

give people waivers under

20:50

Section 3. Now that was done before

20:52

there was any federal enforcement legislation. It

20:54

was also done in Virginia in

20:56

1868 at the time when Chief Justice

20:58

Chase was saying that he needed an

21:00

act of Congress to enforce Section 3.

21:03

So what were people getting waivers from?

21:06

They were getting waivers from a disqualification

21:08

that Section 3 imposed upon

21:10

them and that states couldn't

21:12

force or the army couldn't force against

21:15

them by removing them from office.

21:19

So that tells us that an act

21:21

of Congress is not required for enforcement

21:23

because they were giving waivers to people

21:26

from enforcement before any act of Congress

21:28

was there to do the enforcing. Now

21:32

when Congress passed the Enforcement Act in 1870, they had

21:34

a civil remedy for enforcing

21:37

Section 3 through a quill-warrant election

21:40

and a criminal remedy

21:42

that for people who were sort of

21:45

willfully refusing to leave office when they

21:47

were ineligible. And I think

21:49

the main thing that that tells us is that you

21:52

don't require a criminal

21:54

conviction is not required for disqualification.

21:56

So one argument that's been made

22:00

by others is that, well, President

22:02

Trump was not charged with insurrection.

22:04

He's not been convicted of insurrection.

22:06

Therefore, he can't be disqualified. So

22:09

that's wrong because hardly

22:12

anybody was convicted of anything at the

22:14

time related to their activities in the

22:16

Civil War. Yet

22:19

they were disqualified. And when

22:21

Congress got around to doing

22:23

an enforcement act, they provided that it

22:26

could be done civilly through a suit

22:28

filed by a United States attorney to

22:31

remove someone from office. So

22:34

I think it just reinforces the

22:36

point that this is a civil

22:38

action. It's not a punishment. It's

22:40

simply saying you are not meeting

22:42

the qualifications for office and

22:45

that it can be enforced in the absence of

22:47

a criminal charge. Josh,

22:49

your response to the history just mentioned about

22:52

why he thinks that the

22:54

history of enforcement under Section 3 suggests that

22:56

the clause is indeed self-executing. Sure.

22:59

Griffin was seeking what's called a collateral challenge,

23:01

that he was convicted in a state court

23:04

and he sought relief in a federal court.

23:06

That is, that the judge who preside over

23:08

his trial is disqualified. That is affirmative relief.

23:10

It was affirmative relief in 1868. And

23:14

even today, you need federal legislation to seek

23:16

cavious relief. You need some sort of

23:18

remedy to allow the courts to hear this. So,

23:22

true, he was trying to stand up jail, but this was

23:24

seeking affirmative relief in a federal court. It

23:27

might be useful to walk through some landmark cases that

23:29

people perhaps don't fully understand. One

23:31

of the first 14th Amendment cases was the slaughterhouse cases.

23:33

Right? This is where a bunch

23:36

of butchers objected to

23:38

a Louisiana law that limited to where you could

23:40

slaughter animals. And

23:42

they argue that it violates the Privileges or Immunities

23:44

Clause to have this violation of a right to

23:46

a living. What's not well known

23:48

is that the butchers didn't sue the government.

23:52

Instead, this was an enforcement action by the

23:54

Louisiana Attorney General against the butchers. And

23:57

they raised as a defense the prosecution, wait

23:59

a minute. in it. This

24:02

is a shield. The

24:04

14th Amendment is a shield. You can't prosecute us

24:06

because of privileges or immunities, called surprise or remedy.

24:09

The case decides the very next day is Bradwell

24:11

against Illinois, a very infamous case where

24:13

the court said that a woman has no

24:15

constitutional right to be an attorney. Here

24:18

Bradwell actually invoked enforcement legislation. She cited

24:20

a federal habeas Corpus Act, a

24:22

sort of weird claim, but

24:24

she came to court not based on the 14th Amendment, but

24:26

based on a statute. Every other

24:28

case you know about from Brown v. Board

24:30

of Education on down involves a federal legislation.

24:34

The Quill Ranto statute mentions actually very

24:36

useful. Shortly after Chief Justice

24:38

Chase Rose's opinion, we've not seen any

24:40

debates in Congress saying, oh, Chase is

24:43

wrong. Chase is wrong. Instead, they said,

24:46

well, let's pass a statute. And

24:48

in some regards, maybe Congress responded to

24:50

Griffin's case. That is, well, maybe

24:53

Chase is right. Maybe Chase is wrong, but

24:55

we should respond by creating this mechanism, this

24:57

Quill Ranto, which is used to enforce Section

24:59

3. So even if Chase may not have

25:01

been correct, and I think he was, Griffin's

25:04

case settled the matter. And for 150 years,

25:07

people favorably cited Griffin's case. It's been cited

25:09

all over the board in federal courts and

25:11

state courts. It's only until recently when some

25:13

good friends of mine decides otherwise, people start

25:16

questioning Griffin's case. There's a concept called liquidation.

25:18

When you have this precedent that's so deeply

25:20

entrenched, it becomes the law. And I think

25:23

even in any event, the courts should

25:25

find Griffin's case not binding, but highly persuasive

25:27

of the evidence as understood in 1868. Well,

25:31

let's turn now to the question

25:34

of whether or not January 6th

25:36

was an insurrection. How did

25:38

the Colorado court and main secretary

25:40

of state find that it was?

25:43

And what procedures do you think

25:45

the Constitution requires for deciding

25:47

whether or not something was

25:49

or wasn't an insurrection? Basically,

25:52

we can understand an insurrection

25:54

through a Common

25:56

Law approach, primarily looking at

25:58

cases that. Before the

26:00

Civil War Looking at other legal

26:03

authorities to understand that it basically

26:05

involves the public use of violence

26:07

by a group of people. Ah

26:10

that are attempting to hinder prevent

26:12

the execution of of the law

26:14

and then for section three purposes

26:16

I would say prevent the execution

26:18

of the constitution because the constitution

26:20

or oath is referred to as

26:22

well as the kind of constitution

26:24

itself in the text of section

26:27

three. Now the

26:29

process for determining that. Look

26:31

into sections he doesn't tell us the

26:33

answer to that. Ah, everyone

26:36

at the time understood the Civil

26:38

War to be an insurrection, so

26:40

that issue didn't arise in the

26:42

immediate aftermath of the Civil War.

26:44

Now what if what we have

26:47

we have the state election. Ballot.

26:50

Eligibility Challenge process to evaluate

26:53

that. And. That

26:55

varies from state to state. In Colorado,

26:57

it involved a bench trial that lasted

26:59

for a week. In. Maine

27:01

it involved at all day administrative

27:03

proceeding before the Secretary of State

27:06

and I understand now that essentially

27:08

the appeal of that decision has

27:10

been put hold now that the

27:12

Supreme court has granted surfer are

27:15

so. Ah, there is no

27:17

uniform process for that. That's.

27:19

Too bad, but I don't think

27:21

it means that there is a

27:24

problem one has to look at

27:26

the individual adjudication set have taken

27:28

place and evaluate whether they're consistent

27:30

with to process. And if so

27:32

then that is enough, at least

27:35

for the purpose of the factual

27:37

findings that were made. I would

27:39

add that the factual findings regarding

27:41

January Six also drew quite a

27:44

bit from the Congressional Report. right?

27:46

Which was a and of report

27:48

of a house of Congress not

27:50

just of state court so. I.

27:53

Think that that. Should.

27:55

Give. Confidence. in

27:57

the factual findings know whether you then

28:00

want to say that that means that

28:02

therefore Donald Trump engaged in insurrection or

28:04

that it was an insurrection, those are obviously

28:06

legal questions that the court's going to have

28:08

to review de novo.

28:12

Josh, how do you

28:14

think the court should rule if it

28:17

decides those questions de novo was

28:19

January 6th an insurrection? And

28:22

might the history of using

28:25

the law to prosecute

28:27

as insurrection forms of political

28:29

protests that their defenders said

28:31

were legitimate, give the court

28:34

pause as it tries to identify adequate

28:36

procedures for deciding what an insurrection is?

28:40

This is what I think Justice Frankford would call

28:42

a thicket, right? For

28:46

starters, no one from January

28:48

6 has been charged with

28:50

insurrection. Jack Smith, who's

28:52

not a shrinking violet, has

28:54

charged people with a vicious conspiracy obstructing

28:56

official proceedings and so on. But

28:59

no one has charged anyone with insurrection to federal

29:01

statute. The statute was signed to law by President

29:03

Lincoln in the midst of the Civil War. The

29:07

second point I'll make is we don't

29:09

think you need a conviction under the

29:11

insurrection statute to be disqualified by Section

29:14

3. We don't take that position. We

29:16

think it'd be a very good indication that there was a

29:19

termination of insurrection. The

29:22

third point is even if January 6th

29:24

was an insurrection, you still have

29:26

to prove that Trump himself engaged in it. Now

29:28

this is undisputed. He didn't go to the Capitol.

29:30

He didn't break a window. He didn't knock over

29:33

a flagpole and stab someone with

29:35

it. He didn't put on a Viking helmet

29:37

and started screaming on the speaker's desk. He

29:40

didn't do these things. He did

29:42

give a speech. There's some

29:44

first amendment issues there. He did

29:46

issue some tweets in the weeks leading up to the

29:48

event. And he did, according

29:51

to some, not take actions to

29:53

stop the actions at the Capitol.

29:57

We've written in our article, that is Seth and I, that

29:59

whatever Trump did does not amount to

30:01

engaging. He may have given aid and

30:04

comfort. He may have supported it, but

30:06

didn't personally engage in this specific intent

30:08

crime. So if

30:10

the court actually gets past the execution issue

30:12

and gets past the Office of the United

30:14

States issue, perhaps

30:17

one off ramp is to say that whatever happened on

30:19

January 6, Trump didn't engage in it. But I am

30:21

skeptical the court wants to do this. Why? You

30:25

can see where this leads, Jeff, your question hinted at it.

30:27

Where the various Black Lives Matter riots

30:29

and rallies in the summers of 2021

30:33

and 2020 were those insurrections. Was

30:35

the occupation of a city block in the

30:37

state of Washington? The no

30:40

go zone? Was that an insurrection? You

30:43

know, what will protest the White House

30:45

insurrection that Donald Trump wants to vote the Insurrection

30:47

Act for? Whatever the court says

30:50

here, but insurrection will come back to haunt

30:52

it very, very quickly, which is why I

30:54

can't imagine the court affirms across the board.

30:57

I think it's easy enough to say that no, it's

30:59

been charged with insurrection. Name the federal government thinks within

31:02

the direction. That's good enough for us. Gerard,

31:05

further thoughts on that question

31:07

of whether this is a dangerous

31:10

line to draw because it risks

31:12

calling political protests and insurrection at

31:14

the time of the founding during

31:17

both fries rebellion and the whiskey

31:19

rebellion. There were concerns that the

31:21

federal government was converting what John Adams called

31:24

a riot into an insurrection. And one reason

31:27

Adams pardon the fries

31:30

rebellion rebels,

31:32

including John fries was because he

31:34

didn't want to criminalize political

31:36

protest, which had been done on

31:38

this edition acts. Is there a danger here? And

31:41

might that lead the court to require

31:43

very high procedures for deciding whether or not

31:45

something's an insurrection? Well, I'm

31:47

not sure it's so much a procedural question

31:49

as a substantive one, right? Now I would

31:52

distinguish between two things. One is the question

31:54

of whether January six was an insurrection. I

31:56

don't think it's a close case On

31:59

that on that point. Other examples wouldn't

32:01

be harder cases. Ah, but I

32:03

don't think they have to really

32:05

worry too much about that because

32:07

this is such a poor thing

32:09

in terms of an attack on

32:11

the national capital. To disrupt

32:13

the peaceful transfer of authority to

32:16

the Juliet Max elected. Next

32:18

administration. So. I think

32:20

that's an easier one on the question

32:23

of engagement. Look. Clearly

32:25

they're gonna talk about Brandenburg and First

32:27

Amendment cases and argument. I mean, I

32:29

think that's true. Not. So much

32:31

because it's it's a strong argument, but because.

32:34

They're. Very familiar with the First Amendment they

32:36

deal with at all times. I'm sure they're

32:38

gonna be more comfortable addressing the case from

32:40

that vantage point then they would be with.

32:42

Some of these are the issues we just

32:45

discussed which are more ah, unfamiliar to them.

32:47

Ah, And the look they they

32:49

will have to think about your how

32:52

brandenburg how the first Mm interact with

32:54

the Fourteenth Amendment. First of all because

32:56

section three is of course a modification.

32:59

Of. The Four of the First Amendment

33:01

Number One, Number Two. Well okay, what

33:03

do you think about the application of

33:05

the Brandenburg Standard if that's the standard

33:07

to be applied to what from did

33:10

and the facts that were found. On.

33:13

Now. I don't know

33:16

that they're going to look to best

33:18

first to resolve the case. I'm sure

33:20

they are gonna look to things that

33:22

are. Ah, A little cleaner

33:24

or simpler as at least possible

33:26

ways of resolving the case, but

33:29

they are. I'm not really terribly

33:31

concerned about the problems that it's

33:33

gonna pose, because to some degree,

33:36

this is something where they've they've

33:38

got a very clear record before

33:40

them. And. You know it's it's not

33:42

quite. You know that? This the Slaughterhouse

33:44

cases that adjustments as you know that

33:47

that there's the line about how the

33:49

Civil War is kind of to reason

33:51

to be called history but familiar to

33:53

us all. And I think that that's

33:55

kind of true for January Six, given

33:57

that they are all there aren't near

33:59

to. The scene of all of that

34:01

occurring. And I think from

34:03

that vantage point, they'll have a com

34:05

to be able to constantly resolve this

34:08

if they get to those questions. Just

34:11

more sauce please on whether or

34:14

not President Trump engaged and insurrection.

34:16

As you say, none of the

34:18

January Six descendants had been. So

34:21

charged and Congress in it's findings

34:23

that is l that's President Trump

34:26

had assisted or aided the insurrection

34:28

but not that he didn't days

34:30

in the insurrection. If the court

34:32

did reach this question, how would

34:34

they take into account these facts

34:36

and might say hold that the

34:39

Colorado court didn't apply a version

34:41

of the Brandenburg standard and and

34:43

require the findings to me for

34:45

some standards are tos more than

34:47

how you would result of this.

34:51

Section. Three defined to

34:53

offenses. Number. One engage

34:55

insurrection rebellion. Number.

34:57

Two. Given. Income for to

35:00

be enemies to their to specific offenses.

35:02

Engage insurrection, To.

35:05

Given. Aid Or Comfort enemies. Given

35:08

aid or comfort is somewhere to we

35:10

michael compost liability years or indirectly.your i's

35:12

that you helped to crime these assaulted

35:14

if is engaged in the your says

35:17

engage is a specific intent so as

35:19

actions that are describes the Genesis reports

35:21

maybe Rice Little getting aid and comfort

35:23

and insurrection but as with the taxes

35:26

it's just eight or cooper to enemies

35:28

that is foreign people from blood relations

35:30

and as issue here. Are

35:33

engaging insurrection so I don't think trump

35:35

engage in at. The. Heart of Questions

35:37

actually the first minish you the brand of

35:39

her question. Now unfairness says I rub as

35:42

as and January Seventh of Two Thousand and

35:44

Twenty One with flags as issues rise to

35:46

get so. and during the trump

35:48

impeachments we were viciously attacked say no no

35:50

no the first them it doesn't apply in

35:52

the peace and trials doesn't matter brand the

35:54

book says and with of those wrong then

35:57

but here we are weren't corp and brandenburg

35:59

ought to apply And

36:01

there's some irony. The government's arguing

36:03

that Trump's speech on January 6 was

36:06

in his private capacity, not in his governmental

36:08

capacity. I agree with that. And if Trump

36:10

is speaking as a private citizen, he has

36:12

a full plan of first amendment rights. Brandenburg

36:15

was a case that has some not so

36:17

pleasant facts. You had a Ku Klux Klan

36:20

member who was ranting about having a march

36:22

on Washington and doing some awful things. He

36:25

was basically charged with inciting violence, inciting

36:27

a crime. But the court said, no,

36:29

no, no, you can't prosecute him because

36:31

the so-called criminal activity was in

36:34

the future. It wasn't imminent. And

36:36

that's a key phrase, imminent. The

36:38

Colorado Supreme Court, when they're applying Brandenburg, said, we

36:41

will consider it not only the speech, but also

36:43

the tweets leading up to it. And

36:45

that's not clear. And in fact, I've had

36:48

some debates about this issue. Brandenburg didn't squarely

36:50

say that you can look to everything that

36:52

came before it's determined context. As

36:54

I read it, it's let's look at the

36:56

speech and did this speech by itself incite

36:58

violence. If you limit the justice

37:00

speech, I think it's protected under Brandenburg. Sure, he

37:03

said, fight like Calibriels said, march peacefully. I think

37:05

on balance this we protected speech. And if

37:08

it's protected speech, it certainly can't form the

37:10

basis. And

37:12

I think it's hard made a point

37:14

offhand that Section 3 modified the First

37:16

Amendment. My goodness, this is a

37:18

point that Bowdoin Paul made. You

37:20

need a serious theory of retroactivity to say

37:22

that Section 3 implicitly repealed the First Amendment,

37:24

at least in part. I

37:27

can point to Clement V. Landingham, who was a

37:29

member of Congress who rabble-roused. He was from Ohio,

37:31

but he opposed the Civil War. And

37:34

he engaged in free speech. And there's some evidence

37:36

that speech was protected. If

37:38

there's some argument that the First Amendment was repealed,

37:41

it might have been discussed in the Landingham proceedings

37:43

if it wasn't. So I'm going to be very

37:45

hesitant to say that the Fourth Amendment repeals the

37:47

First Amendment implicitly. I think that's a very tricky

37:52

and risky argument to make. Another

37:54

beat on how the U.S. Supreme Court might

37:56

resolve this question, Would it be

37:59

plausible? For civil Libertarian,

38:01

just as to hold that the

38:03

Brandenburg Standard applies that you can't

38:05

be held liable for engaging in

38:07

his direction under section three for

38:10

protected speech. And therefore

38:12

the A Colorado Supreme Court was wrong to

38:14

disqualify him and and what are the procedures

38:16

for. Taking. Account of his first mm

38:18

and arguments in the course the section Three proceedings.

38:21

Rebel forces. I don't think that Section

38:23

Three repealed the first amendment. I just

38:25

said that it modified it just as

38:27

it modified all of the prior constitutional

38:29

amendments are, in the sense, amending. What?

38:32

Came before. I'm secondly

38:34

of Brandenburg as a criminal

38:36

case. right? And of course

38:38

we We think about that sort of

38:41

sending someone to prison. For. Their

38:43

speeds. That's a very, very serious matter

38:45

and there should be a very high

38:47

standard to do that. Here. We

38:49

are not sending Donald Trump to

38:51

prison in this. In this proceeding

38:53

with we are looking simply to

38:56

say whether he's disqualified from serving

38:58

as President again. So. The. Same

39:00

kinds of concerns that are behind Brandenburg

39:02

don't quite work in this context. Now

39:05

that said, that doesn't mean you necessarily

39:07

need to. Throw out the

39:09

Brandenburg standard could simply be to understand

39:11

it. Filtered. Through

39:13

Sex and Three and the fact that

39:15

it's a civil proceedings and as civil

39:18

remedy rather than a criminal one. I'm.

39:21

Ill. Beyond that mean

39:24

your I know. It's

39:26

at I wasn't I wasn't there on January

39:28

six fried. So I mean I'm a little

39:30

hesitant to sort of offer a direct opinion

39:33

about kind of what what, what happened and

39:35

what didn't happen. On. But

39:37

I mean I think that the Colorado

39:39

Records analysis of that was was sound.

39:42

And I don't know that that's going

39:44

to be the thing that's going into

39:46

trouble the court the most. I mean,

39:48

I would say that. You. Know

39:51

eat because the First Amendment is

39:53

more familiar terrain Them. I

39:55

would be. sort of

39:57

thinking that they will spend a

40:00

good deal of the argument talking about

40:02

the issues that Josh has flagged. Because

40:04

I just think that they're

40:06

just gonna be, that's more in your

40:08

wheelhouse, to put it a certain way.

40:12

But do I think that that is

40:14

something that should lead to

40:16

a finding that Trump did not engage

40:19

in insurrection? No, I don't.

40:21

And I do think, by the way, that specific

40:23

intent was satisfied. The

40:25

trial court pointed to the fact

40:27

of the, not only things that

40:29

occurred before the speech on

40:31

January 6th, but also the things that occurred

40:34

afterwards, namely the lack of action once

40:36

the violence began for several

40:39

hours to prevent

40:41

the violence from continuing. And that

40:43

that was evidence of intent. So

40:46

I think that standard was satisfied based on

40:48

the factual findings made. Josh,

40:51

might the justices examine

40:54

who should make this decision?

40:56

State election officials,

40:58

state courts, or whether it's

41:01

a determination that only the US Supreme Court

41:04

can make. And does it make

41:06

sense to have different states come to different conclusions

41:08

about whether or not President

41:10

Trump engaged in insurrection? Or

41:13

does the US Supreme Court, if it gets to this question,

41:15

have to decide it for the whole country? Right,

41:18

putting aside the question about self-execution,

41:21

if we are electing a president on

41:23

a national vote, and all

41:25

50 states impose different procedures before

41:29

disqualifying the president, we are in a

41:31

very, very dangerous place. So just to

41:33

draw a contrast, the Colorado trial

41:36

court that Gerard testified in held a full

41:38

hearing for a week. It was a pretty

41:40

elaborate proceeding. In Maine, you

41:42

had an elected partisan secretary of state

41:45

who has tweeted critically of Trump before,

41:47

had a hearing that lasted just

41:49

about a day. He said, yeah, well, Colorado said, right?

41:52

And you might imagine other states have even

41:54

less process. So

41:57

for better or worse, this case comes to the

41:59

Supreme Court now. with a full record

42:01

on which the court can rule. And

42:04

whatever the court does here, I hope and

42:06

pray that the court resolves

42:08

this authoritatively. Seth

42:10

and I make this point in our brief, we think

42:12

the self execution point is correct. And

42:15

the court rules on self execution grounds and

42:17

all the state litigation ends. But

42:19

Jeff, this doesn't end the crisis, right?

42:22

Why? January 6th, 2025, we

42:25

have a joint session of Congress

42:29

and it could be that a Congress

42:31

with a democratic vote says we will

42:33

determine that Trump is not qualified. And

42:36

any electoral votes for Donald Trump were not

42:38

given in a regular fashion. That's the statute

42:40

of use is regularly given. And

42:43

you can imagine they disqualified Trump, and

42:45

this actually isn't clear, would either make that the

42:48

Republican vice president becomes president

42:51

because no president qualified, or

42:53

you could have what's called a contingency election where

42:55

Biden, maybe Joe Manchin, could become president.

42:57

Crazy things can happen. I

43:00

saw a recent poll that said 80% of

43:02

Democrats think Trump should not be qualified. So

43:04

if the Supreme Court kicks this case in

43:06

any sort of procedural grounds, it just leaves

43:08

chaos for a year that Trump wins a

43:10

nomination, which looks pretty likely. And

43:13

if Trump wins a general election, which is possible, the

43:15

polls show he might, then we could

43:17

have a democratic control Congress saying no, for the sake of the

43:19

republic, we do not want Trump to be president. And

43:22

I don't know that an appeal could lie from

43:24

the joint session of Congress, the Supreme Court. I'm not

43:26

sure, maybe it can, maybe it can't, I don't know.

43:29

But it will be absolute chaos

43:32

if that happens. So I hope that whatever the court

43:34

does, they resolve this issue in the merits. Say that

43:37

the president's not an officer of the United States, their presidency

43:39

is not an office. There was no

43:41

insurrection, there's a brand new work defense. Mere

43:44

of the liberals will have that argument appeal to them. Something,

43:47

don't actually rule on self execution.

43:50

Don't rule that, oh, this only kicks in when the

43:52

president holds office, oh, don't do it now. This is

43:54

a brief by a Republican Senate committee. Rule

43:57

the issue, or, give your,

44:00

Gerard was looking for it and say, knock

44:02

them off the ballot, right? Own

44:04

your decision now, do it now, and

44:06

let the people pick

44:09

a different candidate. But a middle ground, which is

44:11

something that I know the chief often likes, I

44:14

think will be very, very dangerous here, and I don't

44:16

think it'll be appealing to the court. Well,

44:19

the middle ground brings us to the

44:21

sixth of the issues that Gerard identified

44:24

at the beginning of the show. Is Section

44:26

3 justiciable? The Supreme Court has, in a

44:30

series of cases, held that there is

44:32

a political question doctrine that

44:34

says that when a decision is textually

44:37

committed to another branch of government, and

44:39

when it raises pragmatic or prudential considerations

44:41

like calling the courts legitimacy into question

44:44

or risking chaos, then

44:47

judges should refuse to decide

44:49

it at all. Gerard,

44:51

tell us about what

44:53

the argument is in this case about

44:56

whether or not this is a political question

44:58

and whether you think some justices might accept

45:01

that argument. Well,

45:03

I'm worried that they might, and

45:05

for the reasons largely that Josh

45:08

has stated. So the inclination not

45:10

to decide this case might

45:13

lead them to say, hey, why don't you come

45:15

back to us after the Republican Convention if Trump

45:17

is a nominee, or why don't you come back

45:19

to us after November if Trump wins, because maybe

45:21

neither of those things or one of those things

45:23

won't happen. Now, one

45:26

way they could get to that, which we haven't

45:28

discussed so far, is the argument that, well, maybe

45:30

you can't hold office under Section 3, but you

45:32

can run for office. So

45:35

the running part, you have to let

45:37

everybody run. And so

45:39

then you can't really resolve it until the election

45:42

is over. Now, I

45:44

can understand why somebody might find

45:46

that appealing, but if

45:48

we hadn't have had January 6th, 2021, we

45:53

might say, well, hey, let the joint

45:55

session do it. That seems fine. That's

45:57

something the 12th Amendment seems to contemplate.

46:00

And so on but now we've

46:02

seen it in action once and we've seen

46:04

how bad that can become and it would

46:06

be worse the next time so

46:09

to say either It's

46:12

a political question only Congress can decide

46:14

it in the joint session or

46:17

to say Look, we can't

46:19

do anything about it until after the

46:21

election so there's like this

46:23

very narrow time window between November

46:25

and January that Where

46:27

this will all get resolved somehow Or

46:31

else the joint session has to resolve it. Those

46:34

are both alternatives that are going to be very

46:36

unattractive Because of

46:38

what occurred on January 6 of 2021

46:42

so well, I think

46:44

there's you know, there is an Applausible argument

46:46

for the kind of idea of you

46:48

can run for office, but you can't

46:50

hold office I just think that's unworkable

46:52

and Looks very different

46:55

frankly now than it would have looked

46:57

in 2019, you know if we had been having

46:59

this conversation so I

47:01

I I certainly hope that they won't do

47:03

that and I would add that I hope

47:05

that you don't get a situation even where

47:08

say There's just a

47:10

concurring opinion that forms

47:13

the fifth vote that says that

47:15

Because you could just have one or two

47:17

of them saying that and that might lead to

47:20

us all being back here in

47:23

November December or whatever kind

47:25

of discussing this all over again And I just

47:27

think that that's not where we need to go.

47:29

We need to have this resolved now It

47:33

is significant that both of you agree that the court

47:35

should resolve this substantively one way or the other and

47:37

not Kick it down the road Josh

47:41

talk us through the options

47:43

if President Trump Wins

47:46

the nomination and this goes to the Congress

47:49

to count the electoral votes What does

47:51

the electoral count act say about? raising

47:53

objections and Don't the house

47:56

and Senate both have to agree to disqualify

47:58

someone and since they're in jail different

48:00

hands, wouldn't that mean that he would not be

48:02

disqualified in the counting or how could this

48:04

play out? It's going

48:06

to be wild, as they say. The

48:09

electoral count act was modified in the last year

48:11

or so. And there's a key

48:14

phrase, objections can be

48:16

raised if a vote is not regularly

48:18

given. That's a key word, regularly given.

48:21

It used to be that if one

48:23

senator and one representative raised objection, that's

48:25

enough. Now the threshold is

48:27

higher. If a fifth of each

48:30

house objects to a vote, then

48:33

the joint session breaks up and they each go to

48:35

their respective houses. And they vote.

48:39

And if a majority of each

48:41

house rejects an electoral vote, then

48:44

the vote's not counted. And

48:47

if a majority of the house

48:49

and majority of the Senate decides that Trump's

48:52

not disqualified, they can vote

48:54

to reject every single electoral vote in favor

48:56

of Trump. Now what happens then,

48:58

again, I don't know, one or two

49:01

things can happen. One, they can say that well,

49:04

the president is not qualified. So maybe

49:06

the Republican vice president takes office. Or

49:08

two, if no candidate receives a

49:11

majority of electoral votes, then they can have what's

49:13

called a contingency election, in

49:15

which someone in the top three can actually be

49:17

elected. And Trump's not it. It could be Biden,

49:19

maybe Joe Manchin, who gets a

49:21

single electoral vote somewhere, which I don't think

49:23

he will, but he could. Maybe West Virginia,

49:25

I don't know. And then we

49:28

have just absolute insanity. If

49:31

you think there were allegations at the 2020

49:33

election was about stopping the steal, which again,

49:35

I think is nonsense. This

49:38

is reviewed by a substantial majority of Americans

49:40

as stealing their votes. And even

49:42

if it doesn't happen, the spectrum of happening, the

49:44

threat of it happening, I think will be destabilizing

49:46

ways that we can't fully understand. So I was

49:49

kind of shocked to see that the Republican

49:52

Senate Committee said, oh, yeah, don't decide this

49:54

now, wait till he actually gets elected, then

49:56

decide it. That's just playing with, you know,

49:58

a loaded gun to quote. Justice Jackson, right?

50:02

The court should resolve this now, whatever it

50:04

is, give us a ruling, authoritative resolution, and

50:07

let us move on with our lives. We

50:09

can't, Gerard and I are getting

50:11

older and are old age. We can't deal with this another year.

50:13

It'll just be, I'll just let you

50:15

hear it through our over the time we're done, if

50:18

that's we get another year. Well,

50:21

it'll give us a lot to podcast about, no

50:23

question about that. Gerard, since

50:25

the House and Senate have to agree

50:28

to disqualify a candidate under

50:30

Section 3, isn't President Trump

50:32

safe if he wins the

50:34

Electoral College, since the House won't vote

50:36

to disqualify him and take us through

50:38

the various scenarios that might occur if

50:41

the Supreme Court kicks this down the road? Well,

50:44

first of all, he wouldn't necessarily be safe

50:46

because we don't know what the Congress will

50:48

look like in January, depends on how the

50:50

congressional elections go this fall, so who's

50:52

to know? Second is,

50:55

I can imagine, I guess, in

50:57

that scenario that the day after inauguration

50:59

day, there would be a whole lot of lawsuits

51:01

filed trying to say in some sense, Donald

51:04

Trump's not the real president. So

51:06

whatever he did, it's not lawful.

51:09

And that will either

51:11

be a nuisance or cause real problems,

51:15

just depending on what that's

51:17

about and how seriously people

51:19

take it. One

51:22

scenario I was trying to think through, and I'm not

51:24

sure I have a good answer to this, is,

51:26

okay, for example, suppose you were to say,

51:29

well, he can run for office, he

51:31

can't hold office. So when exactly can

51:34

someone then bring a court challenge? Is

51:36

it like the day after election

51:39

day when they're gonna bring some contest

51:41

in a state that says he didn't

51:43

really win Florida because he's not eligible?

51:46

Is it like after the

51:48

electors have voted and then

51:50

somehow you're gonna challenge what

51:53

they did in

51:55

a couple of weeks between the electors

51:57

meeting and the joint session meeting? I'm

52:01

not really sure how that would work.

52:05

I mean, one possibility, I guess, is

52:07

you just have election

52:09

contests being filed the day after

52:12

election if he wins, saying, okay,

52:14

he can't be, he didn't really

52:16

win my state. And

52:18

then, I don't know, that has to get

52:20

kicked up somehow to the Supreme Court or

52:22

to a state Supreme Court. It's

52:27

just something we can't really handle. I

52:29

mean, I think that's the basic problem.

52:31

You know, it's not like Bush versus

52:33

Gore where, look, sometimes

52:35

elections are very close and you

52:38

have to have recounts and it's

52:40

too bad, but you just

52:42

got to do the best you can to resolve it. This

52:45

is not that kind of situation. And

52:48

I just don't think the system can

52:50

really take it on without

52:53

some very bad ramifications.

52:57

Josh, more thoughts on this

53:00

case compared to Bush v. Gore. In

53:03

Bush v. Gore, the court famously

53:05

or notoriously reached

53:08

a decision on pragmatic grounds that

53:10

it was more important to avoid

53:12

chaos of an extended recount than

53:15

to follow the text and original understanding

53:17

of the Constitution and came up with

53:19

a previously unrecognized right of non-arborative treatment

53:21

of voters to stop the

53:23

recount. Gerard has just said that the case for

53:25

chaos is much higher in this case than it

53:27

was in Bush v. Gore

53:30

and therefore for, do you

53:32

believe as a result that for pragmatic and

53:34

prudential as well as textualist reasons, the

53:36

court should rule definitively here?

53:38

Help us distinguish this case from Bush v.

53:40

Gore. Bush v.

53:42

Gore sort of came out of nowhere, right?

53:45

In the span of a few weeks, entire strands

53:47

of constitutional doctrine were sort of just made up

53:49

on the fly. It

53:52

was not the court's best work. In

53:54

fact, in Morgan's Harper last turn,

53:57

the court sort of cleaned up some of the vestiges from Bush

53:59

v. Gore. against score.

54:01

The insurrection case is a little

54:03

bit different, right? You know, there's not a lot

54:05

of scholarship on it, but Girard's written

54:08

on it, I've written about it, Kurt Laschle, Saul

54:10

Tillman, Bowdoin Paulson, a few others have written on

54:12

it, and I think

54:14

all the issues have been vetted. You know, I know

54:16

Girard's position, he knows mine, we have to argue each

54:19

other's position with our eyes closed. So

54:21

we have pretty good

54:24

arguments, I think, on both sides of the court, one through

54:26

one way or the other. But

54:28

the chaos argument, I think counsels in favor

54:30

of some sort of definitive ruling one way

54:32

or the other. And we're not just talking

54:34

about, you know, a couple hanging chads and

54:36

Boca Raton, which are my my grandparents lives,

54:39

right? We're

54:42

talking about a national election where the candidate can't be

54:44

written in. I mean, Trump has had a hard word

54:47

to write, if we can write in the word Trump,

54:49

you can't even write the guy's name on the ballot

54:51

if you want to. So

54:54

the court has a lot on its plate. I

54:56

think Girard made this point earlier, well, the arguments

54:58

go six hours, instead of granting on

55:00

maybe six or seven questions presented, they just had

55:02

one. If he disqualified, my goodness.

55:04

So there'll be a free for all and we'll

55:06

see, you know, we'll see what happens there. I

55:08

think there might be some wrangling or argument we'll

55:10

see about that. But

55:13

let's get a ruling. I don't

55:16

think we're at the stage where the Supreme Court

55:18

says Trump is off the ballot and then people,

55:20

you know, reject the

55:23

Supreme Court, put him on the ballot. Conversely, if the Supreme

55:25

Court says Trump could be on the ballot, I

55:27

hope and pray that the Democrats in Congress say, you know

55:30

what, we're going to follow the Supreme Court. They're

55:32

not gonna say, you know what, Mr. Roberts, you made your rule

55:34

and go enforce it. We're going to disqualify Trump. I mean, that

55:36

you want to talk about a

55:38

constitutional crisis, if that phrase is one, the

55:40

Supreme Court says that Trump is not disqualified

55:42

and the joint session of Congress says he

55:44

is disqualified. And then we have litigation

55:46

about this. You

55:49

know, for all the talk about legitimacy and

55:51

just Thomas's RV and everything else, this is

55:53

an actual crisis. This is something we really

55:55

have to be worried about. So I hope whatever

55:57

the court does that President

55:59

Biden said, and says, okay, I'm gonna do what Al

56:01

Gore did, accept the court's ruling and move on. It'll

56:04

be nice if the court has unanimous ruling. I think that

56:06

would be helpful. In fact, I think my officer position can

56:10

garner nine votes. It won't upset

56:12

any apple carts. The self-execution argument

56:14

is harder because there's some pre-shrunk

56:16

positions in what the 14th Amendment means and whether

56:18

you need legislation. But I think, I

56:21

think our position get nine votes and we'll see what

56:23

happens. Well, it's time

56:25

for closing thoughts and this really illuminating

56:27

and important discussion. Gerard,

56:30

in a paragraph, how should

56:32

the US Supreme Court resolve

56:35

this case? Walk us through the various arguments and

56:37

how the court should resolve it. Well,

56:39

the Supreme Court should affirm the Colorado Supreme Court.

56:42

If you go through the list of issues that

56:44

I outlined at the beginning, if

56:46

you go through, tick them off one

56:49

by one, the answer on each of

56:51

them is that section three is satisfied

56:53

in relation to what Donald Trump did.

56:56

Now, you get to the end and that

56:58

means you have to follow the logic of

57:00

that to its conclusion. Now, the

57:02

conclusion, it's a big deal. It's

57:05

unprecedented for a presidential candidate.

57:08

That's all true. But I think when

57:10

you work through the details and the facts of the

57:12

case, it becomes a more

57:14

compelling conclusion than if you simply just

57:16

look at it as like, oh,

57:19

how can the Supreme Court take someone off the

57:21

ballot like that? And my

57:24

hope is that through programs like this

57:26

and other things that will go along in the next

57:28

month, people will become

57:30

more and more aware of the issues. And

57:32

look, they're gonna reach their own conclusions. I

57:34

mean, I don't know that the Supreme Court

57:36

is gonna be unanimous on this. It's

57:41

hard for me to see

57:43

that happening, but they should

57:46

take the step that the Colorado Supreme

57:48

Court did and follow

57:50

what was, I think, a well-reasoned opinion.

57:53

And Josh, last word in this important

57:56

discussion is to you in a

57:58

paragraph, how should... the US Supreme Court

58:00

decide this case? The opposite of

58:02

what Gerard said. I'm

58:04

mostly joking. I

58:07

think this case is hard, right? I'm not gonna

58:09

come out here and say that this is a slam

58:12

dunk for or against Trump. I think there's some really

58:14

difficult questions. But the

58:16

interpretive principle, sort of what's been guiding me throughout

58:18

this process, is when you have a provision that

58:20

limits the franchise, you have a provision that says

58:23

that you can't vote on the account of your

58:25

choice, it should be interpreted with

58:27

an eye towards democracy,

58:29

right, to letting the people pick their leaders.

58:32

I know many people don't like Trump. That's

58:35

fine, right? But if

58:37

the American people decide to make Donald Trump

58:39

president, then we get the country we deserve,

58:41

right? That's what we get. And

58:43

I think the Supreme Court will not

58:45

stand in the way of that happening. And

58:48

Trump has to run the table. It's one of

58:50

every possible issue. If I'm even right about

58:52

one of my issues, then this case is over. And

58:54

I suspect one of those issues will be ground for resolving

58:57

this dispute. Gerard MacBioga

58:59

and Josh Blackman for educating We

59:01

The People listeners and the

59:03

people of the United States about the urgently

59:06

important constitutional stakes of this case,

59:09

thank you so much. Thank

59:11

you. Thank you, Jeff. Today's

59:15

episode was produced by Lana Ulrich, Bill

59:17

Pollack, and Samson Mastashari. It was engineered

59:19

by Bill Pollack. Research was

59:21

provided by Samson Mastashari, Cooper Smith,

59:23

and Yara DeRose. Please recommend

59:25

the show to friends, colleagues, or anyone anywhere

59:27

who is eager for a weekly

59:31

dose of constitutional illumination and

59:33

debate. Sign up for the

59:35

newsletter at constitutioncenter.org/connect. And

59:37

always remember that the National Constitution Center is

59:40

a private nonprofit. We rely on the generosity,

59:42

the passion, the engagement, and

59:44

the devotion to the constitution of people

59:46

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are inspired by our nonpartisan mission. Support

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at constitutioncenter.org/membership, or give

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including the podcast Constitution Center. What

1:00:02

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1:00:15

Rosen.

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