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Milei's Argentine Revolution? With Stephan Livera

Milei's Argentine Revolution? With Stephan Livera

Released Wednesday, 22nd November 2023
 1 person rated this episode
Milei's Argentine Revolution? With Stephan Livera

Milei's Argentine Revolution? With Stephan Livera

Milei's Argentine Revolution? With Stephan Livera

Milei's Argentine Revolution? With Stephan Livera

Wednesday, 22nd November 2023
 1 person rated this episode
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

Maybe he can try to

0:02

remove subsidies. Maybe he can remove labor

0:04

market regulations. Maybe he

0:06

can lower the taxes and lower the

0:08

spending. Fundamentally, as a libertarian,

0:10

you just want to lower the spending, lower the size of the state,

0:12

lower the taxes. Get out of the way. Hello

0:15

there. How are you all doing? It's been

0:18

a crazy week. Seems like we always

0:20

have crazy weeks in the world of Bitcoin. Firstly,

0:22

we had the election of Javier Millet

0:25

in Argentina. Now we had all the craziness

0:27

with Binance yesterday. What a world

0:29

we live in. Anyway,

0:29

welcome to the What Bitcoin Did podcast, which

0:32

is brought to you by the massive legends at RS Energy,

0:34

the largest NASDAQ-listed Bitcoin miner using 100%

0:37

renewable energy. I'm your host, Peter

0:39

McCormack, and today I've got my old buddy and

0:41

fellow podcaster, Stefan Levera, back on the show

0:44

after a long hiatus. Now, just a few

0:46

days ago, Argentina made history by electing

0:48

the first ever anarcho-capitalist

0:50

world leader. Javier Millet

0:52

is now in charge and promising some pretty

0:55

radical changes, but radical

0:57

changes that could see what Argentina needs. Radical

1:00

changes that maybe aren't radical, that actually

1:02

are common sense. Now, I recently

1:04

went to Argentina. I made a documentary ahead

1:07

of the election. I was looking at what was

1:09

happening with inflation in the country and who

1:11

people thought could win the election. So

1:13

if you haven't checked that out, go onto my YouTube channel, search

1:16

for Follow the Money. You will

1:18

see it there. I think it's the fourth film I've

1:20

made on this series. Anyway,

1:22

I was sat down with Danny. I was like, we've got to make a show about

1:24

this. And he was like, who do you want to talk to? I was like, come on,

1:27

man. It's got to be Stefan. Now, Stefan

1:29

and I have battled through libertarianism,

1:31

politics, democracy over the years. We

1:33

come from different viewpoints, but this was kind of one where

1:36

I felt like we both kind of won.

1:38

Democracy won and an anarcho-capitalist

1:41

world leader won. So I had to get him on

1:43

the show to talk through some of his policies, talk

1:45

about the changes he hoped that would come with Millet,

1:48

and whether this will encourage more libertarians to work within

1:50

government structures to bring about change. So I hope you enjoy

1:52

this. If you've got any questions about this or anything else, any

1:55

other feedback, please do get in touch. It's hello at whatbitcoindid.com.

1:59

Stefan,

2:02

how are you? Hey, Peter. Yeah, I'm doing

2:04

well. Right. We have a libertarian

2:07

president in place. How

2:09

do you feel about this? I

2:12

think it's remarkable. It's the first time we've

2:14

seen an explicitly anarcho-capitalist

2:16

head of state in the world. So

2:19

I think it's a remarkable step

2:21

in terms of liberty and

2:23

the philosophy getting a

2:26

certain level of exposure that

2:28

it had never gotten before. And I think this

2:31

may be the new wave,

2:33

right? If people think about Ron Paul in 2008 and

2:35

in 2012, this may be the next big wave, potentially. Now,

2:42

of course, there's things that could go wrong here too. But

2:44

also, I think it's fair to say that this

2:46

is a big step forward in terms of awareness

2:49

about the ideology and philosophy

2:52

of libertarianism. Well, listen,

2:54

this is a show I had to make. So I got on

2:56

the phone with Danny. As soon as he was

2:59

elected, I said, look, we've got to make a show on this. And he was like, who

3:01

do you want to make it with? I was like, Stefan, definitely

3:03

Stefan. I was like, we

3:05

have butted heads now for about five

3:08

years where there's things we agree

3:10

on and disagree on and sometimes argue

3:12

about. But it was kind of like this meeting

3:15

of all your ideas. But they

3:17

came through, I'm a pro-democracy person.

3:20

And so it came through a democratic process. So

3:23

I was like, I mean, I even privately messaged you. So I was

3:25

kind of like, Stefan's the person I've got to talk to,

3:27

because I've got so many questions

3:30

about this. So interestingly,

3:33

how closely have you been following

3:35

him? And in your world, your

3:37

anarcho-catholistic world, how

3:40

much does he align? Because I know there can be a lot of

3:42

differences. Sure. So

3:44

in terms of

3:47

how long has this guy been on my radar, probably

3:50

last six months or so,

3:53

like people were sort of talking about this guy. Now,

3:55

as you obviously know, I'm an English-speaking person.

3:58

I'm not fluent in... Spanish,

4:00

and so for that reason I wasn't as familiar

4:03

with him. But from what I've read of him,

4:05

it sounds like he sort of came up over the last

4:08

few years as a commentator

4:10

going on these shows and basically arguing with

4:13

statists about politics

4:15

and economics. And the funny

4:17

thing is, as you mentioned, in terms of the

4:20

broad, let's say, church of libertarianism

4:22

or the broad, you know, a big tent of libertarianism,

4:25

he's coming from the specifically Austrian

4:28

economics, let's say, wing

4:30

or part of that. Now, of course, I

4:33

have some disagreements with him, maybe on

4:35

the foreign policy aspects. But

4:38

for the most part, it seems like he aligns

4:40

with what many Austrian libertarians

4:43

and Austrian anarcho-capitalist would believe.

4:46

Of course, you know, I

4:48

think, as you can probably appreciate, sometimes

4:51

in certain circles online there can be a lot of purity

4:53

testing about exactly how much you follow

4:56

the ideology. And this can even happen even

4:58

in Bitcoin circles, right? I'm sure you see online people

5:00

sometimes they sort of compete about how hardcore

5:02

they can be about how much how many, you know,

5:05

coin joints they can do and how much multi-sig and

5:07

how hardcore they are with their security and how hardcore

5:09

they are about running their Bitcoin node. Now, of course,

5:12

you know, I encourage people to do these things, but I'm

5:15

not as much of a like to

5:17

the nth degree purity testing.

5:19

And I think the same thing can exist in libertarianism

5:21

where people can sort of be like, oh, see, I

5:23

agree with you on 95% of things. But

5:26

this last 5% is unforgivable and

5:29

people can sometimes miss

5:31

the forest for the trees. Which is

5:33

ridiculous when you have got a so

5:35

what should what should I be saying? Should I be saying he's anarcho-capitalist

5:39

or libertarian? Well,

5:41

I see them as I yeah,

5:44

so I see libertarianism

5:47

is the broader category and anarcho-capitalist is

5:50

let's say one type of libertarian

5:53

and you also have minarchist libertarians

5:55

who believe in a small state solution.

5:58

Now I think Javier Millay has said philosophically,

6:00

he's an anarcho-capitalist, but in practice,

6:03

in pragmatic terms, he's

6:05

more like a monarchist in terms of what are the policies

6:07

that he's actually going to be trying to drive.

6:09

So, I think it's

6:13

a fair position to take realistically,

6:16

given that you need time for

6:18

people to sort of get

6:21

familiar with that idea of, oh, okay,

6:23

a society where we've privatized everything.

6:26

Okay, so what is it that makes you a statist?

6:28

Everyone calls me a statist, but

6:31

he has come to power through a democratic

6:33

process, and he will

6:36

lead a party in government. So,

6:39

what part of that isn't statist? So, I understand.

6:42

Yeah, and that's a fair question, right? Because you

6:44

could say, well, hang on, is that a contradiction in

6:46

terms, right? An anarchist

6:49

who is trying to be

6:51

the president of a nation state and

6:54

presumably is going to be giving

6:56

orders within that nation state. It's a

6:59

fair question. I think the

7:01

way I would answer that is he

7:04

fundamentally is attempting to

7:06

reduce the size of the state, right? And as I'm

7:09

sure you might have seen, and listeners may have seen

7:11

some of the clips or the memes of exactly

7:13

the kinds of things he's saying, right? He's gone on

7:15

shows saying things like, f the state,

7:18

and I wipe my behind with the state. And,

7:20

you know, it's funny because sometimes

7:22

people sort of accuse people who are excited

7:24

about this of being statist. But if

7:26

there's one candidate who is

7:28

out here saying f the state, and I wipe

7:31

my ass with the state, I mean, if

7:33

that guy is there going in and trying

7:35

to reduce the size of the state, trying

7:37

to lower the taxes, trying to get rid of the regulation,

7:39

trying to bring about free trade, explicitly

7:42

saying he wants to end central banking,

7:45

well, then I think you can be excused

7:47

a little bit. Of course, you have to see

7:49

what he does in practice, right, of course, you

7:52

know, politicians, you can't really trust them, of course,

7:54

they could say one thing and do another. But

7:57

fundamentally, I think the important. The

8:00

important point that I would make is that this

8:03

philosophy has now gotten to this level

8:06

that a person who explicitly

8:08

calls himself a libertarian has now become president

8:11

of a nation as important as Argentina

8:14

with a population of 45 million people. And

8:16

I think it's important to point out here that there's a lot

8:18

of people who are trying to discredit him or they're trying to use

8:20

these terminology like, oh, he's far

8:22

right or he's Trump-like or he's fiery

8:25

or whatever, whatever these terms are. I think

8:27

libertarianism is not really far right.

8:30

It really is a different

8:32

category. Right now historically, libertarians

8:35

sort of use the term liberal or

8:37

classical liberal. Now of course,

8:39

that term liberal can mean different things.

8:42

In the American context, it probably means more like a

8:44

leftist nowadays. So

8:47

for better or worse, the term libertarian

8:49

and the ideology of libertarianism is now

8:52

going to be a lot more prominent.

8:55

People are at least going to look at it in the

8:57

same way that when Bitcoin got adopted

9:00

by El Salvador, it sort of

9:04

made it more credible in the eyes

9:06

of other people or quote unquote normal people

9:08

who've not been exposed to these ideas before. Well,

9:11

I guarantee you here in the UK, the majority

9:13

of people have never even heard of libertarianism.

9:16

And if they have, they probably don't really know what it means.

9:19

Boris Johnson always said he was a libertarian. He wasn't.

9:22

He was a conservative politician. And

9:25

so he's actually created a marketing

9:28

platform for libertarian ideas, which I think

9:31

is super cool. I tell you what

9:33

I like about it is you know how much I've wrestled

9:35

with this over the years. And the thing I've always

9:37

wrestled with the most is the idea of no state,

9:39

just like how does it work? And

9:41

is there a power vacuum? And do you ultimately give

9:44

up democracy and replace of a tyranny? I've

9:46

always worried about that. And I've always

9:48

questioned, well, how do you get a libertarian

9:50

country? And I've always thought,

9:53

why don't the libertarians

9:55

create political parties? Why don't they fight for

9:57

power? And so this is where it's kind of interesting.

10:00

it has happened. And you now have a libertarian

10:04

in place here in Argentina. And actually, by the way, it's

10:08

the 24th largest economy in the world still. And

10:11

so I think it's super interesting. One of the questions

10:13

I would put to you is, and I don't know

10:15

if there's a direct answer, particularly

10:17

nuance, but in

10:20

your ideal world, would he completely

10:23

dismantle the state, or

10:25

would he go

10:28

more the minicus approach and try and make it as small as possible?

10:31

Is there an answer to that?

10:32

So

10:32

this comes to, and you may have come across this

10:35

also, there's this kind of concept in libertarianism

10:37

or libertarian circles where they talk about the side of the red

10:39

button, would you press that red button and just eliminate

10:42

the state entirely? And so I guess,

10:45

yeah, if you asked me the question, just straight up, yes,

10:47

ideally, I would press that red button. That

10:49

would be the idealistic answer. I would

10:52

do it personally. But I understand

10:54

there's the world that I would

10:56

like to see, and there's the world that I think is likely. Now,

10:58

what is likely is that he's going to just

11:01

go in there and take a more minicus approach. And

11:03

you know what, with Argentina coming from such

11:06

a low,

11:07

that

11:08

will cause a huge win. There's

11:10

so much low hanging fruit here that

11:13

he could take away regulation

11:15

relating to free trade. He could end the central

11:17

bank. He could abolish various departments

11:20

with these government workers who

11:22

many of them are just not really doing productive

11:24

things. And they are in fact being a

11:27

burden. They're like an albatross hanging on

11:29

the economy of Argentina. So

11:31

I see it

11:33

as, look, to answer your question,

11:35

yes, I would press the button, I would eliminate the state, but

11:38

I understand that that's not the likely

11:40

pathway. And also I will note that in

11:42

this case now, to be clear, I do not

11:44

consider myself an expert on Argentina, but I've

11:47

done a little bit of reading. My understanding is

11:49

he holds

11:51

a smaller number of seats in terms of the

11:53

Senate and the House. So I believe he holds eight Senate

11:55

seats and 37 House seats. The

11:58

Peronista Coalition holds 34 seats. 72 Senate

12:00

seats and 108 of 257 House seats. So

12:05

Belay will have to govern by coalition. There

12:07

will be limited things that he can do by executive

12:09

order. And so that

12:11

means, you know, theoretically, he

12:13

wouldn't even have the power to sort of press

12:16

the red button anyway. But

12:20

there will be a lot of opportunity for trying

12:23

to fix this crisis that

12:26

Argentina is going through. I

12:28

said, because I don't know about this as well. So

12:30

did he win the popular vote, but his

12:32

party, did they have a vote for a president and

12:34

then a vote for party

12:36

seats? Right. So as I understand,

12:39

his party only holds

12:41

eight Senate seats and 37 House seats. And

12:44

I think when they have the next midterm, maybe

12:46

there's an opportunity for him to take

12:49

that up a bit more. If

12:51

he's doing a good job and able to win more power, then

12:54

maybe that's one pathway. And I think

12:57

he made a point similar to how

12:59

Pachela, when Pachela over in El Salvador

13:02

was first voted in that he, you know, he wasn't

13:04

necessarily voted in with a massive, you know, 90 percent of

13:06

the seats or something like that, that

13:08

he had to sort of grow to that level. So

13:11

I think obviously there will be parallels being drawn now

13:13

between Millet and Pachela

13:16

and let's say Bolsonaro from Brazil. They

13:19

obviously there are big differences between all of them. But I think

13:21

Millet is obviously the one who is most explicitly

13:24

talking about Austrian economics and

13:26

anarcho-capitalism. Yeah, I think

13:28

the comparison to Bolsonaro

13:31

and Trump themselves are particularly lazy because

13:33

I think their personality

13:35

comparisons, I don't think their policy comparisons,

13:37

you don't have to spend particularly long

13:39

to realize they come from a

13:42

different place in terms of policy. I

13:44

think that's

13:46

purely on the personality side. We

13:48

had an article that came out about eight hours

13:50

before the election in the UK referring

13:53

to, using the Guardian, of course,

13:57

referring to Millet as extreme

13:59

right. And I sent you a screenshot

14:02

for just when I put some makeup on Facebook. Yeah. About

14:05

a libertarian being elected. And, you

14:07

know, the first comment was somebody saying,

14:09

you know, they forgot the far right

14:11

extreme right. I think

14:14

that's lazy. Yeah. And

14:16

I'm with you. And I think there's one other point that's important

14:18

to make here because I think there

14:21

are some, let's say, MAGA, conservative,

14:23

you know, making America great again types who are

14:25

sort of heralding this. And maybe there's some

14:28

superficial level of agreement in terms of that

14:30

you would say they're both anti-woke, let's

14:32

say, but there's actually a lot of differences

14:34

between, let's say, a MAGA, a typical MAGA

14:36

person and a typical libertarian person,

14:38

right? Because a typical libertarian person is looking

14:41

to reduce the power of the state. He's

14:43

not trying to give money

14:45

to particular industries. He's, you

14:48

know, there are some when you

14:50

really look at the policies, he's

14:52

not, he's different from a Trump or

14:54

a Bolsonaro. Another big example

14:56

would be a MAGA person might be very pro-Tarras

14:59

and industry protectionism and

15:01

subsidies, whereas a principled libertarian

15:03

is going to be trying to reduce those or remove those,

15:06

right? A common thing, and this is another

15:08

thing that's interesting, is oftentimes they'll

15:10

call it a free trade agreement. But

15:12

in actual fact, free trade is often managed

15:15

trade. So in practice, it says, oh,

15:18

you're allowed to trade with this other country on this,

15:20

this and that provider with this import duty and this

15:22

particular regulation, when in

15:24

actual fact, it would be beneficial

15:27

for countries to go to a

15:30

more unilateral free trade approach. And

15:32

that's actually what Millet has spoken

15:34

about, this idea of just having unilateral free

15:36

trade and stopping this idea that you

15:38

need to regulate the trade between the nations. Now

15:42

Millet has made some overtures

15:45

that he doesn't like to negotiate or talk with

15:47

communist people. And there's been a little

15:49

bit of a back and forth between him and

15:52

Lula, the leader in Brazil. But

15:55

nevertheless, I think, you know, even if

15:57

that's happening at the government level, I think Millet is sort of

15:59

having this idea that, well, if you're a business in

16:01

Argentina, that doesn't stop you trading with a business

16:04

in Brazil. So, and that's

16:06

actually a little bit more aligned with how a libertarian is

16:08

viewing it. So there's some interesting differences

16:10

there between the libertarians and the MAGA

16:12

types. Yeah. And just

16:15

go back to the big red button, because I've read an article once

16:17

that Scott Horton wrote about this.

16:19

And he's actually against the big red button.

16:22

He thinks it's too fast,

16:24

it's like ripping off the band-aid. It's too fast, it's

16:26

too bloody, too dangerous. And

16:29

I guess from my side, I would see it

16:31

as the big red button would be kind of

16:34

risky. If he moves too fast, it

16:36

may cause too much pain that you

16:38

could see protests, another maybe

16:41

different type of populist revolution, because

16:44

there's certainly a large part of the

16:46

Argentinian population that rely

16:49

on government handouts. And so

16:51

my kind of view is that if he's going

16:53

to reduce the size of state, it might make sense

16:56

to do it a bit more slowly and almost

16:58

like a A-B test your way through it. So

17:01

I, and these are, this is actually the argument. So

17:04

to be clear, there's a lot of disagreement amongst libertarians

17:06

on this issue. I can't give you this kind of, this is the

17:08

answer. There's disagreement here. But one

17:10

of the arguments in favor of the big red

17:12

button, now I can't recall who, sadly,

17:15

I can't remember who wrote that article. It might be Murray Rothbard,

17:17

but one of the arguments about

17:19

it is that what happens in practice, if you try

17:22

to end up doing this incremental slowly but

17:24

surely approach, you end up getting captured

17:26

or you end up sort of trying

17:29

to do this gradualism approach, and

17:32

then you just end up sort of reversing back into

17:34

having a big state anyway, because people,

17:36

because every time you try to do something, there's kind of

17:38

an opportunity for somebody to sort of interrupt

17:40

you and say, well, we need a regulation for that, or we

17:43

need the government subsidy for this, you can't, you

17:45

can't just end it. And so

17:48

that's, that's where this disagreement lies that

17:50

actually, it would be the

17:53

pathway to actually get it done, as opposed

17:55

to getting caught in this sort of regulatory

17:59

morass or this sort of of big state morass

18:02

as it happens. But that is the argument between

18:04

libertarians there. Is that because the

18:06

state always centralizes? It's

18:08

an organic structure

18:10

that always grows. And think about it like

18:12

this, right? People have this conception

18:15

that libertarians are kind of pro big business.

18:19

In actual fact, it almost might be

18:21

the other way around, right? Yes, of course,

18:23

from an economics perspective, we like economies

18:25

of scale, and certainly that's there. But

18:28

what happens in practice is when you have a big

18:30

state, people want to control that big

18:32

state. And big business often allies

18:35

with the state to serve their own

18:37

interests. And that's what we saw, even

18:39

with things like the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913,

18:42

that big bankers were

18:44

trying to sort of make this case of why

18:46

they needed the state because it became

18:48

a way for the state to give

18:50

them protection that they would not otherwise have

18:53

in a truly free market. And

18:55

so that's why there's this kind of confusion where sometimes

18:58

people who are coming from a more left status

19:01

view can look at the libertarian

19:03

saying, Oh, see, you're just shilling for the big

19:05

business, when it's actually the other way around, it's

19:07

actually that we don't want there to be this

19:10

kind of big territorial

19:12

monopolist of law and order and taxation,

19:15

which is the state, to be there. Because

19:17

what happens is when it does exist, people want to

19:19

command that thing, and then they want to use it to their

19:21

own benefit, right? Because a lot of people have this

19:23

conception. And I, you know, I can almost,

19:26

it's hard to blame them in some ways, because in their mind,

19:29

they think of it like, Oh, you know, we

19:31

just need to bring it back, we even need to just just

19:34

get the right guy in charge, or we just need to

19:36

have a less corrupt government, right? And most

19:38

people would probably agree with that, right? If you said, Oh, would

19:40

you like the government to just be less corrupt? Yeah,

19:42

obviously. But the challenge is, how

19:44

do you achieve that? Because in practice,

19:47

you can't take the money out of the politics, right? That's

19:49

another one, right? They say this kind of, Oh, imagine if

19:51

we could just take the money out of politics. It's

19:53

like, no, they are irrevocably

19:56

tied together. And it's only by

19:58

reducing the power of the state. or ideally eliminating

20:01

the state and having a fully free market

20:03

privatized everything, that you can achieve

20:06

that idea. And so that's probably

20:10

an answer as to why

20:12

or a common confusion that comes

20:14

up with this idea of libertarianism and

20:17

their relationship with the state. So

20:19

is there a lot of excitement now, a lot

20:21

of further, a lot of discussion and debate

20:24

in libertarian circles about this? Absolutely.

20:27

Yeah. So we are seeing various

20:29

posts of people saying congratulations

20:31

to Javier Milla. They're saying things like,

20:33

okay, please make sure you get the full reserve

20:36

banking law in, or,

20:38

you know, because a lot of libertarians, we all have our

20:40

own kind of issue that we're kind of big

20:42

on. Obviously, I'm in the Bitcoin world. So I'm, you

20:45

know, I'm obviously would love to see something

20:47

that relates to Bitcoin. Of course, the

20:49

principal answer would be take away all government

20:52

control over money. There's no need for even

20:54

for a legal tender laws, just take all of that away,

20:56

let people choose whatever they wish. Take away

20:58

capital gains tax laws, take away all banking and

21:01

money laundering regulations, let the

21:03

market decide, right? That's the principled approach.

21:06

But, you know, there are different libertarians who

21:09

are, you know, they've got their own

21:12

issue that they would really like to

21:14

be addressed. I think there's

21:16

a few different camps, let's say there's some

21:18

people who are just sort of contrarian and just

21:21

against everything. And my answer

21:23

to them is sort of like, look, you've

21:25

got to learn to take the W, you know,

21:27

you've got to learn to just take the W.

21:30

Like, yes, nobody's going to be perfect.

21:32

There was there's literally nobody you could put up there

21:35

who everyone would be happy with, right? Even if somehow

21:37

you could magically just parachute

21:39

Ron Paul into, you know,

21:42

into the presidency of the United States, there'd

21:44

be some people who disagree. And I think

21:47

fundamentally, you just have to sort of stop

21:49

playing this kind of perfect period,

21:51

you know, purity game, and just accept,

21:54

okay, yeah, broadly speaking, he is a libertarian,

21:56

let's see what he can achieve, you know, and

21:58

so I think that's The other aspect

22:01

I would point out is

22:03

if

22:04

he starts to do non-libertarian

22:06

things, then it's important that libertarians start calling

22:09

that out and saying, well, hang on, you ran on

22:11

this platform of being a libertarian,

22:13

ending the central bank, etc., anti-the

22:16

globalists, anti-the WEF, all this kind of

22:18

thing. Now you're not doing it. So

22:21

that would be one area I think

22:24

that you have to be vigilant

22:27

because maybe people can get

22:32

corrupted over time or maybe they just sort of

22:34

don't end up achieving what they say they would. This

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network of Bitcoiners. Yeah

24:42

well my assumption is there's going

24:45

to be a certain amount of give-and-take

24:47

he's gonna have to play, some certain games he's gonna have to

24:49

play to move things forward. I

24:52

guess what would you want

24:54

him to do first? Yeah great question.

24:58

So as I said at the executive

25:01

level because he's a president there may be certain executive

25:03

things that he can do for example stripping

25:05

away certain regulations

25:08

or orders that relate to presidential

25:10

powers. So he may be able to just kind of do that

25:12

on day one and he

25:14

has already mentioned that he wanted to shut down, I can't

25:16

remember the name of the industry but I was not sorry

25:19

the department I think it was the department

25:21

of... I

25:24

thought it was the district office. Yeah right

25:26

so everyone's seen that meme video where he's kind of like stripping

25:28

away a few departments.

25:31

So I think I

25:33

don't know the full you know intricate intricate

25:35

details but as I understand he's coming in December

25:38

10th and I believe he's already slated there's

25:40

one department that's going to go on day one or you

25:42

know straight away and so

25:45

I think shutting down whatever departments

25:47

you know that he can shut down anything

25:50

that you know longer like once he sort

25:52

of gets into dealing with Parliament

25:55

and you know the Senate and the House maybe

25:57

he can try to remove subsidies maybe he can remove

26:00

labor market regulations that make it difficult

26:02

for Argentinian entrepreneurs to do business.

26:05

Maybe he can lower

26:07

the taxes and lower the spending. Like

26:09

fundamentally, as a libertarian, you just want to

26:11

lower the spending, lower the size of the state, lower

26:13

the taxes, get out of the way. That's

26:16

fundamentally what libertarians would say. Governments

26:18

should just get out of the way, let the private free

26:20

markets do business, decide

26:24

things, and there will be times where it's not

26:26

perfect, but that's life. There

26:28

are times where in

26:30

life, sometimes you have to, quote unquote, bite the bullet.

26:33

You just have to accept, okay, yeah, this is

26:35

not going to be perfect, but involving

26:38

the government is not going to make it better. In fact, it

26:40

may make it worse and create a

26:42

bad incentive for somebody to try to get in

26:45

power, create a government department, have

26:48

the size of that department just keep expanding, regardless

26:51

of the actual results that that government department

26:53

has gotten for the people, for the taxpayers

26:55

and the citizens. I

26:58

think those are a few ones, removing capital

27:00

flow restrictions, removing subsidies. Obviously,

27:02

as Bitcoiners, we want him to remove all

27:05

monetary interventions. Now, he has

27:07

stated a goal to dollarize

27:11

the economy. And I know you obviously

27:14

did a recent documentary, Follow the Money,

27:16

number four, I believe. I watched it earlier today. So

27:18

I think, yeah,

27:21

it was a great exploration of what's going

27:23

on in Argentina and how people on

27:25

the ground are seeing things. And

27:28

as you rightly point out, many people

27:30

in that economy have chosen to dollarize because

27:32

they don't know of any better or that's their

27:35

way to try and protect their purchasing

27:37

power. Now, of course, I'm a Bitcoiner. I wish

27:40

everyone would just jump straight to Bitcoin. I'll

27:42

always promote Bitcoin over stablecoin.

27:45

I don't promote stablecoins, I promote Bitcoin. But

27:47

I recognize why some people use stablecoins,

27:50

right? I understand why they do it. I think

27:52

that's important. That's the concession I would give.

27:54

But I always promote Bitcoin first, right? If

27:57

they're able to, if they are able to save, I

27:59

think Bitcoin is the way you would. to it. But

28:01

I understand that this is a common thing

28:03

where countries will dollarize. And

28:05

what happens commonly is maybe some economist

28:08

from like the Western world gets parachuted in someone

28:10

like, you know, Steve Hanke or someone and he'll say, yeah, get

28:12

a currency board and dollarize. I

28:15

think that again, so that that comes back to what I was

28:17

saying, what is ideal? And what I think is

28:19

likely what I think is likely is that someone will get parachuted

28:22

in and they'll sort of dollarize the economy. But

28:26

yeah, ideal, of course, is Bitcoin. Well,

28:28

there is something that very anarcho-capitalist

28:31

happening there anyway. So when I was

28:33

there, there was essentially two economies,

28:35

there's the economy and the real economy. And

28:38

I guess there's probably you probably refer

28:41

me to some writings that

28:44

have explained why this happens. But people

28:46

are so squeezed in Argentina in

28:48

terms of taxation, bureaucracy, regulation,

28:51

they've essentially

28:53

got to the point of they cannot can't take

28:55

it anymore. So they've essentially built this whole separate

28:57

economy, which is like a gray economy.

29:00

And they just they just ignore in the state. And

29:03

they're saying, the risk is worth it, because

29:05

I cannot do business and make money operating

29:07

with the state infrastructure. So what's

29:10

quite interesting is that it's not like from

29:12

a standing start, they have to develop this new economy

29:14

because it kind of already exists. Correct.

29:17

And I have done episodes on my show,

29:19

I did one a little while back with a guy who is

29:22

in Argentina. Now, he's actually a Dutch guy,

29:24

but he was talking a little bit about some of this. They've got the Cambios

29:26

and you have this sort of gray economy

29:28

and people were speculating it's anywhere from 40 to 50

29:31

percent of the Argentinian economy

29:33

just because the taxes and the regulations are that

29:35

high. And so if Malay

29:38

can deregulate and lower the taxes,

29:41

what may happen is that economy will then go back

29:43

into the quote unquote white market. And

29:45

if the taxes are low, people may just end

29:48

up paying them. And

29:50

that may end up sort of bringing

29:53

driving revenue for the Argentinian

29:55

state. Now, again, not endorsing the taxes,

29:57

but I'm saying that's what's likely. And

29:59

And so, you

30:01

know, currently the Argentinian

30:03

state makes some of it, some of their money out of export,

30:06

I think, tariffs and things like this.

30:08

So we'll see what the

30:11

way to sort of manage out of that,

30:13

because obviously, Millet has mentioned he wants to have

30:15

no export,

30:19

no trade restrictions and things like this.

30:22

But anyway, to bring it back to your point, yes,

30:25

there is a big gray market

30:27

in some of these economies. And what

30:29

that will do as deregulation

30:33

occurs is we will start

30:35

to see a flourishing

30:38

of things. Because as an example, if you had

30:40

to be an underground entrepreneur, if you had to sort of hide

30:42

things, then you can't operate

30:44

in a very efficient way. Right. And

30:47

I think you saw that even in the same in the example where

30:49

you were meeting a money changer

30:51

guy, and you give the guy, in that

30:53

example, you gave him some tether, and he gave you some

30:56

cash, physical cash. And

30:58

so, you know, they have

31:00

to do things in a way where you meet somebody

31:02

through a friend to get this contact, right, as

31:04

opposed to, let's say, there's just like a store

31:06

that you can go to or a foreign currency place,

31:09

you know, that you go to just

31:11

explicitly to do this changeover.

31:14

So those are a few examples, I think,

31:17

it, there will be an initial

31:20

pain period, right, I think everyone has to acknowledge

31:22

that there is going to be an initial pain period, because it's

31:24

a crisis, right? Because 50 to 60% of

31:27

the population is in poverty, they've

31:29

been dealing with over 100% annual

31:31

inflation for so long, they've had socialism

31:33

for decades, this parent, you

31:37

know, party or legacy

31:39

or whatever, they've been pushing that

31:41

agenda for, I don't know, 50 to 80

31:44

years. So it's going to take

31:46

some time to unwind that damage.

31:48

And of course, the political games will be played, right,

31:51

as Massa leaves, they'll make it really hard

31:53

for Malay and his team to come in and take things

31:55

over, you know, they'll try to pin things

31:57

on him and say, well, look, see, it would have been

31:59

fine. if you just kept it on me, kept

32:01

it with me, because they were sort

32:04

of living a lie, right? They were living in this beyond

32:06

their means debt scenario,

32:08

right? It's the equivalent of the guy who's got all his

32:10

credit cards maxed out. And he

32:12

thinks that just by getting another credit card,

32:15

that he can just keep things going. But

32:17

really, he's lying to himself. What

32:19

he needs to do is get his

32:21

spending down in check. And

32:24

in this case, the Argentinian government, it's

32:27

arguable, but I believe you can make the case that the

32:29

government, the Argentinian government should actually repudiate

32:32

the debt. They should just say,

32:35

look, it's not right that the Argentinian

32:37

people have to, quote

32:39

unquote, honor these contracts that were made

32:41

on their behalf by past leaders. And

32:44

I understand that can sound like an extreme big

32:46

step. But it's sort of part

32:48

of how you could quickly right the ship is

32:50

by repudiating the debt, lowering

32:53

the size of the state dramatically as much as you

32:55

possibly can. And then proceeding

32:57

from there. Now, that's the ideal,

33:00

that would be sort of the closer to

33:02

the ideal pathway, as we've mentioned, Millet

33:04

may not be able to achieve that given the actual

33:07

power he has, you know, currently.

33:09

But in a theoretical sense, that

33:12

would be the way to sort of quickly

33:15

try to right the ship. Is

33:17

that is the majority of that debt with the IMF? Do

33:20

we know the specific numbers? But you're basically saying

33:22

just default on it. Yeah, basically, like, in essence,

33:24

like, you would just say, look,

33:27

it's illegitimate, we are just

33:29

going to have to, you

33:31

know, it's living under this. And yeah, I'm

33:34

sure if you know, our friend

33:36

Alex Gladstein will

33:39

talk about this as well with the

33:41

debt restructuring and the IMF and his recent book. And, you

33:44

know, he's been talking about that. So I think it's a similar

33:46

thing there that these

33:49

external debtors can sort of

33:52

keep you keep people of other countries in chains in a sense, because

33:55

they're not earning enough that they can realistically

33:57

do that. basically

34:00

pay it back anytime soon and they just

34:02

end up having this sort of beggar-thour-neighbor policy

34:04

of constantly taking out a new credit card

34:07

to pay off the previous credit

34:09

card and it's just not a sustainable pathway

34:11

forward. And it's sort of, that's

34:13

where taking a little, you know,

34:15

it's a short-term pain for long-term gain approach

34:18

that allows you to really actually

34:22

move forward in a sustainable pathway. Yeah,

34:24

I wonder where the pain is on such a decision

34:26

with a guy who's totally free-market forward

34:28

anyway, because if

34:31

they want to dollarize, one of the challenges

34:33

that I've read is that to dollarize,

34:35

you need dollars. Most of all, you need

34:37

dollars in the economy. Are there enough

34:39

dollars in the economy? Can they get enough dollars in the economy?

34:41

And if they default on debt, will they

34:44

get any assistance to dollarize? Does

34:46

America want them to dollarize? I

34:48

assume America does. So

34:52

would they provide them with some support? And

34:54

this is where I wonder whether he kind

34:57

of has to do some deals. Maybe he has to

34:59

speak to the USG. Maybe he has to do something

35:01

to enable him to dollarize. I believe that's likely. And

35:03

I believe he has even mentioned that one

35:05

of his first flights will

35:07

be to the United States to sort of negotiate

35:10

with them. So

35:13

that's probably a likely pathway. And that may

35:15

also be where, you know, I think I

35:18

have some, let's say, foreign policy disagreements

35:20

on the positions he might have taken. But

35:23

I also understand where maybe from a cold

35:26

calculus position, maybe that's why he's taken them

35:28

because he wanted to align with the US foreign

35:31

policy establishment so that they would

35:33

be more amenable to sort of, you

35:36

know, not take him out. Not,

35:40

yeah, not take him out, basically. And if

35:42

they align a little more

35:45

on the foreign policy objectives, then

35:48

maybe the US government will be a little more amenable

35:50

to sort of helping them dollarize in

35:53

that way. Again, not endorsing it, but

35:55

recognizing what's likely. Yeah,

35:57

I mean, I think sometimes... that

36:00

we're not walking issues, we're not making

36:02

those decisions. Maybe

36:04

there's some practicalities to

36:07

achieving things he wants to achieve. I don't

36:09

know what the alternatives, I guess you would say, is a free

36:12

market for money creation, that the banks themselves

36:14

would create money. Right. I

36:16

would just basically say, look, the government should just

36:18

have nothing to do with money whatsoever, or banking

36:21

whatsoever, and just let the market decide.

36:23

Then what is likely

36:25

to happen in that case is

36:28

probably dollarization, but just from the bottom

36:30

up, at least for now, until we can

36:32

get Bitcoinization, which maybe that's a

36:34

few more years away, we don't know. But

36:37

I think that's the likely pathway, because that's

36:40

what many people in Argentina are doing already.

36:43

They're already going for dollars and cash.

36:46

But the point being that

36:48

if you give people a real true choice,

36:51

there's no legal tender laws, no capital gains tax

36:53

laws, it allows people to really choose what

36:56

they want as their

36:58

store of value. Many Argentinians

37:01

under those circumstances would probably choose

37:04

dollars, because that's what they know,

37:06

that's what they think of. Of course,

37:08

more and more of them over time will come

37:10

to choose Bitcoin because of all the obvious

37:13

superiorities that Bitcoin has. It's more

37:15

scarce, it's all the things that you and

37:17

your listeners are well aware of. Would

37:19

you expect in a fully free market

37:22

that you would get this free

37:25

banking era that Nick Carter wrote about where the banks themselves

37:28

would issue currency too? Possible.

37:32

But I would say this

37:34

gets into one other area of disagreement that I would have, which

37:37

is around full reserve versus fractional

37:40

free banking, where I believe fractional reserve

37:45

banking to be fraud. And on one count, it's fraud.

37:48

Secondly, it's also ineffective. It's it

37:53

causes the economic cycle. So

37:55

I don't know how deeply into the detail

37:57

you want to get into this.

37:59

So put

38:02

it this way. In

38:05

most circumstances, a lot of people

38:07

are not aware what's happening when they go to their fiat

38:09

banks. They think the

38:12

bank is sort of putting it away

38:14

and holding it in safekeeping for them. But in practice,

38:17

really they're contributing into this system,

38:19

which

38:20

pyramids the creation of new credit,

38:22

right? This is fiat fractional reserve. It creates

38:25

new money every

38:27

time new loans are created. And so

38:30

this system, in essence, is

38:33

backed by the central bank and by

38:35

government guarantees, things like implicit

38:40

bailout guarantees as an example.

38:42

So if, you know, these banks who

38:44

are going fractional, where to go down, government

38:46

steps in and saves them. That wouldn't

38:48

exist in a free market. There are no bailouts in

38:50

Bitcoin, or at least if they are, they

38:52

are privately funded. They're not state funded

38:55

and not socialized

38:58

to everybody. The cost is not socialized

39:00

to every holder or every user. It's

39:02

only an individual who chose to bail

39:04

out or with his own funds, recapitalize

39:07

that bank. And so I believe

39:11

that having

39:14

a full reserve law or at least some kind of

39:16

option. So as an example, let's say you went to

39:18

the bank and they gave you a choice.

39:20

Hey, Pete, when you set up this bank

39:22

account with us, do you want

39:25

to allow us to lend it out in future

39:27

as well? And you don't necessarily have the

39:31

full reserve aspect, or are you expecting it to

39:33

be in a full reserve context

39:35

and we're not allowed to lend it out? And maybe in that case,

39:37

we would actually charge you some money, but

39:39

at least it's an explicit upfront thing. So then it's

39:41

kind of like, at least you're getting an opt in aspect

39:44

to this. So Stefan Kinsella has

39:47

written a little bit about this, about what

39:49

a potential law could be that

39:51

could be brought in to sort of at least give people

39:53

that choice of whether they believe

39:56

they're opting into a fractional reserve situation

39:59

or whether they are opting into a a full reserve situation.

40:02

But, you know, of course, I think long term,

40:04

it's all going towards Bitcoin. And so we're going to be in a Bitcoin

40:07

context. It's just a question of time.

40:09

It's a matter of time until people

40:12

realize the superiority of Bitcoin. It's

40:14

simply a better money. It's simply a better saving technology.

40:17

It's just simply better. Are

40:19

libertarians in general agreement

40:21

on full reserve banking? No,

40:23

this is a big area of disagreement. So

40:26

this is a big area. So in the 90s and even

40:29

early 2000s, there were a lot of back

40:31

and forth volleys between libertarian

40:34

economists on this exact question.

40:36

So in the full reserve camp, you have people

40:38

like Hans Herman Hopper, Joseph

40:40

Salerno, Guido Halsman, Walter

40:43

Block. And then

40:45

in the pro fractional side,

40:47

you have people like Larry White, George

40:50

Selgin and others. I

40:53

guess in modern day context, you have others

40:55

like David Howden and

40:58

Philip Vargas as well, who are also in the full

41:01

reserve camp. Who are the de Soto is another one

41:03

in the full reserve camp. So

41:05

I'm personally in the full reserve camp. I'm sort of on that full reserve

41:07

camp, someone like safety, he would be in the full

41:09

reserve camp probably. Whereas

41:12

let's say someone like, as you mentioned, Nick Carter, he's probably

41:14

more in the fractional free

41:16

banker side. I think Nick

41:20

said that he just expects

41:22

that to happen. He said, I don't think you can avoid leverage.

41:25

Right. So I think the answer from

41:27

the full reserve side in that case would be that's

41:31

fraud, right? Like there should be laws to stop

41:33

that, right? So it's one thing to have a contract

41:35

between two people who kind of voluntary opt into

41:37

that. But the problem with that is that it

41:40

involves people who never agreed to that,

41:43

right? Because when people are forced

41:45

to use a particular legal tender, right, and this comes

41:47

back to the problem of legal tender laws, when you're forced to

41:49

use the US dollar or the Australian

41:52

dollar or whatever, the Argentine peso,

41:55

you are kind of like a forced third

41:57

party in that agreement. And so the full reserve

41:59

argument would be no, you're only allowed

42:01

to make agreements between you and that other person. You can't

42:05

force that onto other third parties.

42:07

And because they're being forced to use that as legal tender,

42:09

and because they're being forced because of

42:11

capital gains tax laws, right? Because if you use

42:14

something else as money, you're going to have to pay capital

42:16

gains tax every time you transact. That's

42:18

not feasible. And that's part of the full reserve.

42:21

That would be part of the full reservist answer, let's

42:23

say. So if you consider

42:26

that fraud, but others don't,

42:29

in such a scenario, how do you define

42:31

what the laws are? How would

42:33

laws be created? Say you have the big red button. I

42:36

know there's very limited laws

42:39

that libertarians want. I think it's

42:41

mainly to do with theft,

42:43

rape, murder, and stealing. Yeah,

42:47

it's like the

42:50

typical violence laws or the theft

42:52

and fraud. But I think violence

42:54

laws are fairly simple in some ways.

42:56

But how do you define fraud? Because within

42:59

your community, there's some people who think it isn't

43:01

fraud, and some who are. Is it

43:03

the fact that it would

43:06

only be fraud if it wasn't agreed

43:09

between parties as part of the contract?

43:11

So

43:12

this comes back to

43:14

what I was saying earlier, that there were some libertarians who were saying, hey,

43:16

Malay, we want you to get this

43:19

full reserve law in,

43:21

because they believe that this is how you

43:23

prevent theft, right? In their view, you're

43:25

stopping theft. Now, I'll be clear here. There's

43:27

two points here. There's two prongs. One is

43:30

the people who believe it's fraud. And secondarily,

43:32

the people who say, even if I gave you

43:34

that and just said, oh, we don't care if it's fraud or not, we believe it's

43:37

economically inefficient for the market to have

43:39

it that way, that it causes the boom and bust cycle,

43:41

like the dot-com bubble and the great financial

43:44

crisis, global financial crisis. So there's two

43:46

prongs to it. So you could be of

43:49

the view that, look, I don't think it's fraud, but I think

43:51

it's economically inefficient anyway. I also

43:53

take the view that I think in

43:56

the future Bitcoin world, it's

43:59

going to push us towards full reserve just

44:02

economically as well. But I

44:04

mean, you've asked the question in terms of how would it be made

44:06

illegal. And I think,

44:10

yeah, I think

44:11

it could be enforced by the

44:14

private defense agencies, like Murray Rothbard

44:16

talks about this sort of idea. It

44:19

could be seen as, in this particular

44:21

society, it's fraud to engage in fractional

44:23

reserve banking without it at least

44:26

being an explicit upfront thing. And

44:28

so that's one way of doing

44:30

it. Or another interpretation is that it will just

44:32

be, put it this way, economically enforced.

44:35

Let me make a quick example. Let's

44:38

say there is a fractional reserve

44:40

Bitcoin bank. Lots of people will do a

44:42

bank run on them and then they'll get

44:44

wrecked in the same way that Mt. Gox, FTX,

44:47

et cetera. Like if somebody tries to go fractional,

44:50

people who suspect them will

44:52

do a bank run and then that will be sort of like

44:54

a market test or a market check

44:57

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We've discussed this before many years ago just so

47:21

I understand. I understand

47:23

there'll be courts of arbitration for

47:26

people who have broken contracts and

47:29

committed crimes but which

47:31

crimes would be punishable by

47:34

say financial penalties and which would

47:36

be punishable say by a custodial sentence

47:39

within a I guess a free

47:41

market prison? Right, yeah. So this

47:43

is another area where there are various

47:46

resources I can point you to but if people are

47:48

interested I would say search Bob Murphy

47:50

chaos theory. Another

47:53

one is Bruce Benson the enterprise

47:56

of law so that's a great book and so I think they

47:59

there's different. conceptions of what the law

48:01

would be like under this anarcho, this

48:03

hypothetical anarcho-capitalism. Some

48:05

people say that it would be, it would just sort of evolve

48:08

over time in the same way that language evolves,

48:11

like a dictionary, you know, sort of, there's no

48:13

one arbiter of the English language, but there's

48:15

sort of, there's, you know, various dictionaries

48:17

that sort of try to codify what those

48:20

laws are. And so historically, anarcho-capitalists

48:23

and legal theorists and philosophers have

48:25

spoken about this idea, where historically,

48:28

those lex mercatorias, right, the law that related

48:31

to merchants. And so what were the, what

48:33

was like the common practice? What was the normal

48:35

culture, right? As an example, like, if

48:38

you and I, we go sit down in a restaurant somewhere, you

48:40

pick, you know, I want the ribeye steak, and

48:43

then, you know, they serve you the steak, you

48:45

eat it, and then they serve you the bill and you're like, what, I

48:47

didn't agree to pay for, I just wanted the, you know, it's like,

48:49

no, there's certain understandings that are just

48:51

implicit, right? Like you went into the restaurant, you

48:54

ordered this, you need to pay the $45 for

48:56

the steak or whatever, you know, I think there'd be

48:59

certain aspects that are just sort of understood

49:01

through custom. And there may

49:03

be other aspects where maybe it's

49:06

this law applies in this area. So it

49:09

may be, you know, in this particular, in the

49:11

Middle East, this is the custom and in the

49:14

Americas, this is the custom, you know, so I

49:16

think these are all interesting.

49:19

And, you know, we will see evolution

49:22

and innovation in this also, that we'll see

49:25

different approaches in terms of arbitration,

49:27

and how it could really work out.

49:30

But I think to give

49:32

some kind of a structure, the idea is

49:35

you might be a judge who's an expert

49:37

in this particular kind of law, whether it relates

49:39

to physical property disputes in

49:42

the Middle East, or something like that. And

49:44

you might be an expert about that area. And

49:46

you sort of know the precedent and the

49:48

common law in relation to that. And

49:50

people come to you, because they trust

49:53

your judgment because you have a reputation to uphold.

49:56

And so they're like, oh, Peter McCormack is an expert

49:58

in real estate in the Americas. So go to

50:00

him and people, if they have a dispute,

50:03

would go to you for that. And so

50:05

then you might issue down a judgment saying, look,

50:07

in my professional interpretation,

50:09

I know I've looked at the facts of the case. I've looked at

50:12

the history. Here's the precedent of the different cases.

50:14

And based on that, person A, you

50:17

own this land. And the

50:20

idea is, you know, parties A and

50:22

B would have to then say, okay, well, look, Peter

50:24

McCormack is a reputable judge in this particular

50:26

area of the law, in this area. We're going

50:28

to take that. Or maybe they don't. And then they

50:31

take it and they appeal it somewhere else. And eventually,

50:34

you're going to get to a point where it's sort of like, it's

50:37

cheaper to just accept

50:40

that, because you want to play in the broader

50:42

game of this legal

50:45

system. Because, you know, it's more profitable

50:47

for us to trade instead of like trying to go to war

50:49

and fight about it. You know, that's that's

50:52

one way of interpreting it, even

50:54

though I can't give you kind of an explicit vision

50:56

of exactly how it's going to work. I can give you kind of

50:58

a few sketches of what it might

51:01

look like. And what are some of the principles, the

51:03

contours of what it might look like?

51:06

Do you think we're going to see a wave of libertarians

51:09

move into Argentina? And yeah,

51:11

I mean, I could even point that question at you. If

51:14

he still start to deliver on it, do you think that's going

51:16

to be a kind of an attractive jurisdiction

51:18

view to consider living in? You know,

51:21

what kind of the world you want? It could

51:23

be it could be I think, obviously,

51:25

there's different aspects that we all have to consider, right?

51:27

Like, yeah, our family lives. I don't speak Spanish.

51:30

I mean, hey, maybe I could learn. But

51:34

I, I'd be open to

51:36

it. Honestly, I would honestly be open to it in

51:38

the future, right? If, you know, because I think Argentina

51:40

is, you know, even if we could

51:42

somehow resurrect Murray Rothbard and put him

51:45

in charge, it would take time

51:47

to undo all the damage that's been done,

51:49

right? They didn't get here overnight. They

51:51

got here after a process of, call

51:54

it 50, 80 years worth of this stuff. And

51:57

so it's going to take some time to fix things up.

52:00

But nevertheless, as

52:02

you and the listeners may be aware, Argentina

52:05

used to be a very rich country. And there's

52:07

nothing in principle that stops them from re-achieving

52:10

that

52:11

if

52:11

the right leadership and governance were

52:14

to be applied. And so, yeah, I would

52:16

honestly think about it in the future.

52:18

Maybe not right now. But

52:20

let's imagine, imagine hypothetically, Javier

52:23

Millet does really well, and

52:25

he gets re-elected again, and maybe

52:27

it's five years down the line. It

52:29

might be an option at that point. I'm not

52:31

saying I would definitely do it, but yeah,

52:34

I think so. And here's the other aspect. I think

52:36

it's going to inspire libertarians

52:39

and Bitcoiners around the world. More

52:41

and more people will start saying, well, hang on, they

52:43

did it over there and it worked. So

52:46

I think that is another

52:48

aspect where it helps libertarians and

52:51

the cause of liberty, even outside

52:53

of Argentina. Because if

52:55

it works, then more and more

52:57

people will start to take

53:00

that idea on and say, hey, why can't we do that?

53:03

And we may start to see other parts

53:05

of South America also say, hey, they got

53:07

a libertarian or, I mean, obviously with

53:09

Pakela and what happens in

53:12

El Salvador in terms of lowering the crime

53:14

rates, as you well know, there

53:16

are other South American countries who are looking

53:18

at that and saying, well, hey, look at what

53:21

he did. Why can't we do that? We

53:23

have low crime as well and

53:25

have, you know, actual

53:28

liberty in our country, too. And so I

53:30

think it all helps whether you move to Argentina

53:32

or not. Well, look, I completely agree,

53:35

Stefan. I want it here. I mean, I'm

53:37

pro-democracy and won't be voting in the next

53:39

election because who the hell do I vote for? I

53:41

can't vote for the Conservative Party and

53:44

I can't vote for the Labour Party because they're two

53:46

strands of the same thing, which is big government,

53:48

high tax, a vacant state. If

53:51

there was an equivalent to Malay in the

53:53

UK, you know, a

53:55

libertarian leader who was pro-small

53:57

state and pro-free of the United States, I think that's a big thing.

53:59

markets and pro Bitcoin.

54:02

That's an easy vote for me to make.

54:04

But I almost think it

54:06

hasn't got bad enough here for someone

54:09

to come in. That'd be right. Yeah. It

54:11

was so bad in Argentina. It's such

54:14

a shit show. It's been such a shit show for so long. They've

54:16

been stolen from wave

54:18

after wave for decades. Somebody

54:20

come in and said, yeah, basically, they're all full of

54:23

shit. I'll wipe my ass with them. It's obviously

54:25

an appeal. I think in the UK,

54:27

somebody like that would come across as a bit of a just

54:30

a nuts at the moment. But I would love

54:32

I would love that. I hope it inspires a wave

54:35

of generation of people who are going to start

54:37

reading Rothbard, right? Like, let's not get us off. It's

54:39

not that, you know, half of Argentina

54:41

went and read Murray Rothbard. And now,

54:43

you know, they've all gone to read man, economy

54:46

and state this thousand page book. No, but more

54:48

and more people are going to be curious about these

54:50

ideas. And I think the

54:53

interesting thing that's happened now is it's proven

54:55

that libertarian populism can work

54:58

like that. You can get elected on this bit.

55:01

Whereas historically, what we've seen in the libertarian

55:03

world is these arguments between the sort

55:05

of pure principled approach of like,

55:07

hey, just tell them exactly. And this

55:10

kind of, oh, just be like a little

55:12

bit more low attacks than

55:14

the right wing side and just sort of try to be a little

55:16

bit more moderate, the kind of moderates or

55:18

so-called pragmatics. And I think

55:21

this win now is going to show people

55:24

that you actually can win by being

55:26

a libertarian populist and being explicit about

55:28

it. But to your point, it is right, I think, to

55:31

say that part of what drove

55:33

this outcome is the culture

55:36

of Argentina that for so long, they've

55:38

had this big government, big

55:40

socialist sort of thinking, this

55:42

Peronist thinking. And that

55:45

was an important part

55:48

of the country's history, not in a good way, but

55:50

that because of that, and because of the high inflation,

55:53

there have been so many people who've been driven to this

55:55

point that they would vote for the anarcho-capitalist.

55:58

Now, maybe other countries will start to see what happens

56:00

there. And I think, you

56:02

know, the pro sort

56:05

of free markets people will point to examples

56:07

like Singapore, to some extent Dubai,

56:10

to some extent Hong Kong before maybe the

56:12

CCP came in, maybe Argentina,

56:14

maybe El Salvador will be other examples

56:16

of this that other people will point to and say, hey, we

56:19

want to be like that. Well, there's a couple of points

56:21

on that. Firstly, the leftists will definitely get scared

56:23

and will continue to throw their attacks and say these

56:25

people are extreme right, which is obviously nonsense.

56:28

Have you seen the film, Jerry McGuire? It

56:32

would have been a while ago, I've pretty much forgotten it, let's

56:34

be honest. There's a brilliant part in that film. But basically,

56:37

he writes, he works as a sports agent, if you've not

56:39

seen it, anyone listening, but he's a sports

56:41

agent, he writes this manifesto called

56:43

the things we think but do not say and he delivers

56:46

to everyone's inbox. And it was how

56:48

we should act as sports agents. And everybody

56:51

loved it and read it and they clapped their hands. And then

56:53

they fired him because they knew they'd make less

56:55

money if they did that. And

56:57

so he goes out on his own and he just represents one

56:59

guy and at the end, he gets in his contract and there's this moment

57:01

where they like see each other, him and the agent

57:04

and they have a big hug and it's really emotional. And

57:07

there's another guy, another American football,

57:09

he stood next to his agent, he says, why don't

57:11

we have a relationship like that? And so

57:13

what I hope is that things haven't got

57:15

bad enough here in the UK for anyone to think,

57:17

well, let's have an alternative

57:19

way. But what they may

57:22

see is somebody who does reduce taxation,

57:25

frees up the markets, has

57:27

less bureaucracy, less interference from the state,

57:30

and it leads to growth in the economy and

57:32

growth and prosperity. And so hopefully,

57:34

we won't have to have it go to absolute

57:36

shit in our country for people to try

57:38

and bring this alternative option. Right.

57:41

And we've seen, and I know in the UK, there've

57:43

been a lot of people struggling with cost of lockdown,

57:45

cost of living crisis, right? Like because

57:48

of the lockdown, a lot of people are sort

57:50

of, they've got their heads in the sand. They don't understand

57:52

that they don't understand just how

57:54

much lockdown cost them. These last few years have been

57:56

horrific for much of the world.

57:59

Billions have been people have suffered

58:01

the destruction of their rights,

58:03

the destruction of their businesses, the destruction

58:05

of their jobs, and the price

58:08

is being paid now for a lot of people, sadly.

58:11

So let's see. Yeah,

58:14

fingers crossed. You did mention specifically

58:17

you don't agree with him on

58:19

foreign policy. What in there is the things that

58:21

you don't agree with? Is it just that he has

58:23

foreign policy? Well, I think

58:26

he, I don't know exactly

58:29

his policy or thoughts on things like Ukraine

58:31

and Israel and things like this, but I believe

58:33

a more, let's say, Ron Paul style

58:36

libertarian would just be strictly non-interventionist.

58:39

Whereas the

58:43

dialogue over the last, let's say, few years

58:45

has been very,

58:48

the American government should support Ukraine or the American

58:51

government should support Israel and this kind of

58:53

aspect where

58:57

I think a strict libertarian interpretation

58:59

would just be,

59:00

no,

59:01

you're here to just make

59:04

sure that your own people have their

59:07

rights and freedom. If you were going to be a monarchist libertarian,

59:09

you would just say your own people should be free

59:12

and have economics and prosperity.

59:15

We shouldn't have an army that's out there trying to be

59:17

the world police. And maybe that's an American specific

59:19

thing, but it sounded a little bit like

59:21

Harvey Emmule was maybe supporting some

59:23

of that. So that's why I would say maybe on

59:26

the foreign policy aspect, I'd probably disagree

59:28

with him. He maybe

59:30

is a little closer to the Zionist sort

59:32

of perspective, it sounds like. So

59:35

that's probably where I might disagree with him.

59:37

And so,

59:40

yeah, I, but nevertheless, Argentina

59:42

is starting from such a bad

59:45

position right now that,

59:47

you know, just getting these domestic

59:49

things right in terms of deregulation and lowering

59:51

the taxes and demolishing government departments, that

59:54

may cause a big improvement in

59:56

the average day to day life for Argentinians.

59:59

And so, you know, know, that's

1:00:01

why I think, uh, so some people

1:00:03

that's like a deal breaker, right? Like this aspect of

1:00:05

like the foreign policy stuff, they think he's just not,

1:00:08

um, not, uh, he's not to be

1:00:10

supported. But, uh, I

1:00:12

think it's one of those cases where you need

1:00:14

to wait and see and give him a chance to try

1:00:16

and improve things in Argentina. Now, to be clear,

1:00:18

there's a lot of things that could go wrong, right? There's

1:00:20

a lot of things that could go wrong. He could, um, what

1:00:23

do you worry about most? I

1:00:26

wonder if there's maybe like an Argentinian deep

1:00:28

state that he wouldn't really be able to fight correctly.

1:00:30

Maybe, maybe, but I don't know, maybe

1:00:32

I'm sort of paralleling or thinking about

1:00:35

Trump and how he wasn't able to really do much now.

1:00:38

I don't, I'm not a fan of Trump, but, uh, he

1:00:40

sort of came in with this idea of trying to drain

1:00:43

the swamp and try to clean out the deep state

1:00:45

when really it sounds like he was not

1:00:47

effective at that. But maybe that's an American specific

1:00:50

thing. I don't know. Maybe that's America. Maybe

1:00:52

Argentina is a different case. Maybe it's

1:00:54

really more just about, uh, abolishing

1:00:59

government departments and just trying to bring

1:01:01

back, uh, get the government out of the way. Um,

1:01:03

but yeah, things that could go wrong. Maybe,

1:01:06

um, he gets too

1:01:09

into it, into his disagreements with Brazil

1:01:12

and Lula or someone, um, you

1:01:14

know, I mean, there's lots of things that, you

1:01:16

know, he could get sabotaged in various ways,

1:01:18

or maybe he's kind of in a gridlock. Maybe

1:01:21

he doesn't have enough power to actually abolish

1:01:23

various government departments and lower the spending, lower the

1:01:25

taxes. And so he's sort of stuck in this gridlock

1:01:28

and not able to implement actual libertarian

1:01:31

policies. Yeah.

1:01:33

I think there's the other one I worried

1:01:35

about is that whether he

1:01:37

would weaken democracy as a libertarian,

1:01:40

but then become tyrannical himself.

1:01:43

So people have made this, um, case as well.

1:01:45

I think historically in terms of Latin

1:01:48

America politics that

1:01:50

they say, Oh, it's swung from extreme

1:01:52

to extreme. Um, but

1:01:55

I think in this case, he,

1:01:58

he does seem to be a genuinely. Austrian

1:02:00

economist, right? Like, whereas historically, people have

1:02:02

looked at, let's say, Chile and said, oh, it's the

1:02:04

Friedman boys went in. In this

1:02:06

case, he I think he genuinely is interested

1:02:09

in Austrian economics. He has written

1:02:11

a chapter in a book praising Hoerter

1:02:13

de Soto, who is a

1:02:15

well known Austrian economist. And

1:02:18

so, I think, economically,

1:02:21

I'm expecting that he should be sound.

1:02:24

But the question is whether he will be able to implement

1:02:26

those things. And, you know, like I said,

1:02:28

we never really know exactly how

1:02:30

things go. But I'm cautiously optimistic

1:02:33

about what this means for the cause of liberty

1:02:35

around the world. Yeah, back back

1:02:37

to the being strict in non

1:02:40

interventionist. What is the thesis

1:02:42

behind that? Because I understand

1:02:45

this just, you know, we seem to be in forever wars

1:02:47

now, they're completely ineffective. But there have been times

1:02:49

where there has been intervention, USA

1:02:52

in World War Two, I think Thailand

1:02:54

originally in Cambodia, when the genocide

1:02:57

was happening there, and, you know, anything that may

1:02:59

have happened in Rwanda, there are cases like

1:03:01

genuine cases of genocide. What

1:03:04

is the kind of thesis behind being completely

1:03:07

non interventionist? So I think, firstly,

1:03:10

it would be this case that why

1:03:13

should the state go and do things

1:03:15

by coercively funding, you know,

1:03:17

taking taxpayer funding to go do these other causes

1:03:19

that those taxpayers don't agree with, right? If those taxpayers

1:03:21

agree with it, they should go to war

1:03:23

in those countries, they should fund the war in those countries.

1:03:26

So if you war bonded them, would

1:03:28

that be okay? I guess if

1:03:31

it was voluntarily funded. But even

1:03:34

then, there are cases where

1:03:38

in the UK, for example, in World War

1:03:40

One, they lied about the war bonds, that

1:03:42

as you may have spoken with Lynn

1:03:44

in from her book in broken money, she makes that point

1:03:47

that they actually lied about the subscription

1:03:49

rates on the war bonds to make it seem like

1:03:51

there was public support for this thing. So

1:03:53

that's one example. Another example would just

1:03:56

be that the state is not effective

1:03:59

in these things. Another example would be this

1:04:01

idea of not having entangling alliances. Just

1:04:04

trade with everybody and just don't have any entangling

1:04:06

alliances. Just focus on your

1:04:08

own patch and make life

1:04:10

better for your own citizens as opposed to trying

1:04:12

to go out there and be the world

1:04:15

police as America

1:04:17

has tried and failed at sadly. That's

1:04:21

the generous interpretation, right? That

1:04:23

they were trying to do a good thing. And the not

1:04:25

so good interpretation is that there's this

1:04:28

military industrial complex that's out there going out

1:04:30

and starting wars around the world because

1:04:32

it sort of benefits them or

1:04:34

it benefits this class of lobbyists

1:04:36

and military industrial complex and Boeing

1:04:39

and Raytheon and the like that they

1:04:41

benefit from it at the expense

1:04:43

of human lives, people

1:04:46

who get injured and the cost

1:04:48

and the foregone prosperity that could have

1:04:50

been had if they were just trading and being

1:04:54

bonafide libertarian capitalists. Okay.

1:04:57

All right. So, just

1:05:01

a couple more things. It's

1:05:03

a four year term. You can only serve two terms.

1:05:08

What does success look like to you in four

1:05:10

years time and not your

1:05:12

ultimate perfect view? But what

1:05:14

do you want to see in a realistic kind of world?

1:05:17

Right. What would realistic success look like? Probably

1:05:20

a period

1:05:22

where maybe there's going to be some initial pain

1:05:24

and struggle, right? Short term pain for long term

1:05:26

gain that if he can lower the taxes, maybe

1:05:28

he can attract international investment.

1:05:31

Maybe people can start

1:05:34

to save. People can start

1:05:36

to increase their productivity

1:05:38

and prosperity. I think

1:05:41

that maybe there'll

1:05:43

be an initial year of pain and then maybe

1:05:45

things can slowly start to climb up

1:05:48

and out of that for Argentina.

1:05:52

And hopefully by then

1:05:54

more and more people are

1:05:56

bought into the idea of, oh, wow, actually libertarianism

1:05:59

has sort of made. things better for the country

1:06:01

and then maybe it can become a sustainable thing

1:06:05

that even as you said if it's a two-term limit

1:06:07

maybe another person from

1:06:09

the libertarian party there can get voted in in

1:06:11

the future and things like that that

1:06:14

allow things to continue. But

1:06:16

I think the important thing I would the

1:06:18

important point I would make is that capitalism

1:06:23

as the term suggests is about the accumulation

1:06:25

of capital and that takes time. So

1:06:29

to have nice things

1:06:31

it requires machinery and productivity

1:06:34

and it takes time to slowly build those up

1:06:36

right so it's like slow to build things very

1:06:38

quick to destroy them and so when you're trying

1:06:40

to build things up it can look

1:06:43

like you're just paying this price unnecessarily

1:06:46

compared to the other guy who's just kind of using the fiat

1:06:48

printer and cheap debt to

1:06:51

sort of out

1:06:53

compete you but if you take that

1:06:56

slow and steady saving approach

1:06:58

and productive approach you can

1:07:01

end up being far more productive in the

1:07:03

long term because you haven't had all those big

1:07:05

booms and bust cycles as the

1:07:08

fiat printer style of growth will

1:07:11

give you. Which is never real

1:07:13

growth anyway and so I guess what you're

1:07:15

really saying that it's more like a trajectory you're

1:07:17

looking at a trajectory of better

1:07:19

policy as you say government

1:07:22

getting out of the way of people and

1:07:25

I guess it's going to be more

1:07:28

kind of like subjective judgment

1:07:30

with probably some objective data in there. Right

1:07:34

so hopefully their

1:07:36

productivity has gone up over time. Hopefully

1:07:39

life expectancy is going up. Hopefully

1:07:41

poverty rates have come down. Inflation

1:07:45

hopefully is at least a

1:07:48

lot reduced. So I

1:07:50

think those are some of the metrics that you could try

1:07:52

to look at to kind of get a rough idea. What's

1:07:55

the quality of life like for the

1:07:57

man in the street right. Is his life better?

1:08:00

Is he actually able to look after his family,

1:08:02

feed his family better than he could, you know,

1:08:04

under the Peronist regimes? And

1:08:07

I guess polling data in four years time will be super interesting.

1:08:10

Yeah, for sure. Yeah. Okay.

1:08:13

And what would failure look like to you? So

1:08:16

maybe he gets locked down in gridlock. Maybe

1:08:19

he is not able to really pass many

1:08:22

actual free market laws because the

1:08:25

currently people

1:08:28

currently in Senate and the House sort

1:08:30

of force all these, what's

1:08:33

the word when you give something up in a negotiation? Like

1:08:38

I forgot the word, but basically they force, they sort of

1:08:40

coerce or they sort of force him to put

1:08:42

in all these concessions, like concessions in the proportions.

1:08:44

You know what I mean? Like they force concessions

1:08:47

that so that he can't realistically

1:08:49

open the economy up. I

1:08:52

think, you know, yeah,

1:08:55

I think that's, I

1:08:57

mean, it's possible. I just, I don't really

1:09:00

know enough about Argentina to sort

1:09:02

of comment further than that. But

1:09:04

I would say, yeah, that's probably one of the less

1:09:07

successful pathways. If in

1:09:10

four years time, Argentina has not

1:09:12

started to come out of this crisis

1:09:14

period, then it would look

1:09:16

like a failure. Yeah. Well, it's

1:09:18

quite interesting. I guess we're all just kind of sitting and waiting

1:09:21

now, really. Like, what's the first thing he's

1:09:23

going to do? But it's funny because I've known you for

1:09:25

a long time. But there's like, through this, I would

1:09:27

you probably don't realize this whole excitement.

1:09:30

And like I see a different kind of,

1:09:32

how do I put it?

1:09:35

I definitely sound cringy. But like, there's

1:09:38

a real positivity in the way you will reply to things

1:09:40

as a real excitement. I guess this is an

1:09:42

exciting time for a libertarian. It's exciting

1:09:44

as a Bitcoiner, right? But as a libertarian, this

1:09:47

must be just particularly exciting. Yeah, exactly.

1:09:49

And so that's the funny thing as well, because some

1:09:52

Bitcoiners who are maybe a little more statist

1:09:54

or culturally lefty, maybe

1:09:56

they weren't as happy about it. I'm

1:09:59

not attacking you. I'm happy about this. There

1:10:02

were some who were, yeah,

1:10:04

whereas I think those of us who are coming

1:10:06

from a more explicitly libertarian view, most

1:10:09

of us are happy about this, except for the ones who are

1:10:11

kind of against everything or kind of people. Most

1:10:15

are saying, yeah, I think this is probably,

1:10:18

I mean, we can't guarantee, it's probably a good step

1:10:21

forward and it's probably going to encourage

1:10:23

more people to learn about liberty and

1:10:25

learn about Bitcoin. And I think that

1:10:28

is a good thing for any Bitcoiner.

1:10:30

So let's see what happens. I think

1:10:32

it will be an interesting example to be able to point

1:10:34

to and say, well, hey, they elected a libertarian

1:10:37

in Argentina and maybe things are

1:10:39

going, hopefully, in a few years time, if things are

1:10:41

going well, then it's a good example that you can point

1:10:43

to. And we'll all be making

1:10:45

our pilgrimage there like we do to El Zonte. So

1:10:48

Stephan, I appreciate your time. I've always enjoyed

1:10:50

our chats. I've learned so much from you publicly

1:10:53

and our private chats and occasional disagreement.

1:10:56

But I really do appreciate you always being available to

1:10:58

me for this because I have learned so much

1:11:00

for you. Anyone listening, definitely check out

1:11:02

Stephan's podcast, the Stephan Levera

1:11:04

podcast. It's amazing. A bit more technical

1:11:06

than mine, but touches

1:11:09

on some similar subjects. Anything

1:11:11

else you're working on you want to send people towards? Yeah,

1:11:14

so StephanLevera.com and of course,

1:11:16

I'm also head of education at swan.com. So

1:11:18

people who want to buy Bitcoin or learn about Bitcoin, go to swan.com.

1:11:22

All right, my man. Thank you, Stephan. Thank

1:11:24

you. Appreciate you. Hopefully, I'll see

1:11:26

you soon. And I'm not sure where, but I'm sure somewhere in the world. Yeah,

1:11:30

I'll see you

1:11:30

soon. All right. What

1:11:34

do you think of that? What do you think of Javier

1:11:36

Millet? I think it's a very

1:11:38

interesting idea. It's an interesting project.

1:11:41

I hope he is successful. Having been

1:11:43

to Argentina, it's a beautiful country, beautiful people

1:11:46

that just need to get government out of the way. So

1:11:49

I think it's going to be very interesting. But like Stephan says,

1:11:51

you know, we have to hold his feet to the fire.

1:11:53

We have to hold him to account, make sure he does what he said

1:11:56

he was going to do. I cannot wait to get back

1:11:58

out to Argentina. It's one of my favorite places. I've been to in the world

1:12:01

everything about it is incredible and you should

1:12:03

definitely go and visit But I want to see what's happening

1:12:05

on the ground there I wish I'd have been there the

1:12:07

night of the election. It looked like a party It looked like exciting

1:12:10

times are coming for the country So

1:12:12

I think it's a positive thing, but

1:12:15

I definitely want your feedback. Please do get in touch

1:12:17

Let me know what you think, you know my email

1:12:19

by now, but it's hello what Bitcoin did calm

1:12:22

All right. Have a great rest of your week, and I will see

1:12:24

you all on Friday You

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