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0:00
Maybe he can try to
0:02
remove subsidies. Maybe he can remove labor
0:04
market regulations. Maybe he
0:06
can lower the taxes and lower the
0:08
spending. Fundamentally, as a libertarian,
0:10
you just want to lower the spending, lower the size of the state,
0:12
lower the taxes. Get out of the way. Hello
0:15
there. How are you all doing? It's been
0:18
a crazy week. Seems like we always
0:20
have crazy weeks in the world of Bitcoin. Firstly,
0:22
we had the election of Javier Millet
0:25
in Argentina. Now we had all the craziness
0:27
with Binance yesterday. What a world
0:29
we live in. Anyway,
0:29
welcome to the What Bitcoin Did podcast, which
0:32
is brought to you by the massive legends at RS Energy,
0:34
the largest NASDAQ-listed Bitcoin miner using 100%
0:37
renewable energy. I'm your host, Peter
0:39
McCormack, and today I've got my old buddy and
0:41
fellow podcaster, Stefan Levera, back on the show
0:44
after a long hiatus. Now, just a few
0:46
days ago, Argentina made history by electing
0:48
the first ever anarcho-capitalist
0:50
world leader. Javier Millet
0:52
is now in charge and promising some pretty
0:55
radical changes, but radical
0:57
changes that could see what Argentina needs. Radical
1:00
changes that maybe aren't radical, that actually
1:02
are common sense. Now, I recently
1:04
went to Argentina. I made a documentary ahead
1:07
of the election. I was looking at what was
1:09
happening with inflation in the country and who
1:11
people thought could win the election. So
1:13
if you haven't checked that out, go onto my YouTube channel, search
1:16
for Follow the Money. You will
1:18
see it there. I think it's the fourth film I've
1:20
made on this series. Anyway,
1:22
I was sat down with Danny. I was like, we've got to make a show about
1:24
this. And he was like, who do you want to talk to? I was like, come on,
1:27
man. It's got to be Stefan. Now, Stefan
1:29
and I have battled through libertarianism,
1:31
politics, democracy over the years. We
1:33
come from different viewpoints, but this was kind of one where
1:36
I felt like we both kind of won.
1:38
Democracy won and an anarcho-capitalist
1:41
world leader won. So I had to get him on
1:43
the show to talk through some of his policies, talk
1:45
about the changes he hoped that would come with Millet,
1:48
and whether this will encourage more libertarians to work within
1:50
government structures to bring about change. So I hope you enjoy
1:52
this. If you've got any questions about this or anything else, any
1:55
other feedback, please do get in touch. It's hello at whatbitcoindid.com.
1:59
Stefan,
2:02
how are you? Hey, Peter. Yeah, I'm doing
2:04
well. Right. We have a libertarian
2:07
president in place. How
2:09
do you feel about this? I
2:12
think it's remarkable. It's the first time we've
2:14
seen an explicitly anarcho-capitalist
2:16
head of state in the world. So
2:19
I think it's a remarkable step
2:21
in terms of liberty and
2:23
the philosophy getting a
2:26
certain level of exposure that
2:28
it had never gotten before. And I think this
2:31
may be the new wave,
2:33
right? If people think about Ron Paul in 2008 and
2:35
in 2012, this may be the next big wave, potentially. Now,
2:42
of course, there's things that could go wrong here too. But
2:44
also, I think it's fair to say that this
2:46
is a big step forward in terms of awareness
2:49
about the ideology and philosophy
2:52
of libertarianism. Well, listen,
2:54
this is a show I had to make. So I got on
2:56
the phone with Danny. As soon as he was
2:59
elected, I said, look, we've got to make a show on this. And he was like, who
3:01
do you want to make it with? I was like, Stefan, definitely
3:03
Stefan. I was like, we
3:05
have butted heads now for about five
3:08
years where there's things we agree
3:10
on and disagree on and sometimes argue
3:12
about. But it was kind of like this meeting
3:15
of all your ideas. But they
3:17
came through, I'm a pro-democracy person.
3:20
And so it came through a democratic process. So
3:23
I was like, I mean, I even privately messaged you. So I was
3:25
kind of like, Stefan's the person I've got to talk to,
3:27
because I've got so many questions
3:30
about this. So interestingly,
3:33
how closely have you been following
3:35
him? And in your world, your
3:37
anarcho-catholistic world, how
3:40
much does he align? Because I know there can be a lot of
3:42
differences. Sure. So
3:44
in terms of
3:47
how long has this guy been on my radar, probably
3:50
last six months or so,
3:53
like people were sort of talking about this guy. Now,
3:55
as you obviously know, I'm an English-speaking person.
3:58
I'm not fluent in... Spanish,
4:00
and so for that reason I wasn't as familiar
4:03
with him. But from what I've read of him,
4:05
it sounds like he sort of came up over the last
4:08
few years as a commentator
4:10
going on these shows and basically arguing with
4:13
statists about politics
4:15
and economics. And the funny
4:17
thing is, as you mentioned, in terms of the
4:20
broad, let's say, church of libertarianism
4:22
or the broad, you know, a big tent of libertarianism,
4:25
he's coming from the specifically Austrian
4:28
economics, let's say, wing
4:30
or part of that. Now, of course, I
4:33
have some disagreements with him, maybe on
4:35
the foreign policy aspects. But
4:38
for the most part, it seems like he aligns
4:40
with what many Austrian libertarians
4:43
and Austrian anarcho-capitalist would believe.
4:46
Of course, you know, I
4:48
think, as you can probably appreciate, sometimes
4:51
in certain circles online there can be a lot of purity
4:53
testing about exactly how much you follow
4:56
the ideology. And this can even happen even
4:58
in Bitcoin circles, right? I'm sure you see online people
5:00
sometimes they sort of compete about how hardcore
5:02
they can be about how much how many, you know,
5:05
coin joints they can do and how much multi-sig and
5:07
how hardcore they are with their security and how hardcore
5:09
they are about running their Bitcoin node. Now, of course,
5:12
you know, I encourage people to do these things, but I'm
5:15
not as much of a like to
5:17
the nth degree purity testing.
5:19
And I think the same thing can exist in libertarianism
5:21
where people can sort of be like, oh, see, I
5:23
agree with you on 95% of things. But
5:26
this last 5% is unforgivable and
5:29
people can sometimes miss
5:31
the forest for the trees. Which is
5:33
ridiculous when you have got a so
5:35
what should what should I be saying? Should I be saying he's anarcho-capitalist
5:39
or libertarian? Well,
5:41
I see them as I yeah,
5:44
so I see libertarianism
5:47
is the broader category and anarcho-capitalist is
5:50
let's say one type of libertarian
5:53
and you also have minarchist libertarians
5:55
who believe in a small state solution.
5:58
Now I think Javier Millay has said philosophically,
6:00
he's an anarcho-capitalist, but in practice,
6:03
in pragmatic terms, he's
6:05
more like a monarchist in terms of what are the policies
6:07
that he's actually going to be trying to drive.
6:09
So, I think it's
6:13
a fair position to take realistically,
6:16
given that you need time for
6:18
people to sort of get
6:21
familiar with that idea of, oh, okay,
6:23
a society where we've privatized everything.
6:26
Okay, so what is it that makes you a statist?
6:28
Everyone calls me a statist, but
6:31
he has come to power through a democratic
6:33
process, and he will
6:36
lead a party in government. So,
6:39
what part of that isn't statist? So, I understand.
6:42
Yeah, and that's a fair question, right? Because you
6:44
could say, well, hang on, is that a contradiction in
6:46
terms, right? An anarchist
6:49
who is trying to be
6:51
the president of a nation state and
6:54
presumably is going to be giving
6:56
orders within that nation state. It's a
6:59
fair question. I think the
7:01
way I would answer that is he
7:04
fundamentally is attempting to
7:06
reduce the size of the state, right? And as I'm
7:09
sure you might have seen, and listeners may have seen
7:11
some of the clips or the memes of exactly
7:13
the kinds of things he's saying, right? He's gone on
7:15
shows saying things like, f the state,
7:18
and I wipe my behind with the state. And,
7:20
you know, it's funny because sometimes
7:22
people sort of accuse people who are excited
7:24
about this of being statist. But if
7:26
there's one candidate who is
7:28
out here saying f the state, and I wipe
7:31
my ass with the state, I mean, if
7:33
that guy is there going in and trying
7:35
to reduce the size of the state, trying
7:37
to lower the taxes, trying to get rid of the regulation,
7:39
trying to bring about free trade, explicitly
7:42
saying he wants to end central banking,
7:45
well, then I think you can be excused
7:47
a little bit. Of course, you have to see
7:49
what he does in practice, right, of course, you
7:52
know, politicians, you can't really trust them, of course,
7:54
they could say one thing and do another. But
7:57
fundamentally, I think the important. The
8:00
important point that I would make is that this
8:03
philosophy has now gotten to this level
8:06
that a person who explicitly
8:08
calls himself a libertarian has now become president
8:11
of a nation as important as Argentina
8:14
with a population of 45 million people. And
8:16
I think it's important to point out here that there's a lot
8:18
of people who are trying to discredit him or they're trying to use
8:20
these terminology like, oh, he's far
8:22
right or he's Trump-like or he's fiery
8:25
or whatever, whatever these terms are. I think
8:27
libertarianism is not really far right.
8:30
It really is a different
8:32
category. Right now historically, libertarians
8:35
sort of use the term liberal or
8:37
classical liberal. Now of course,
8:39
that term liberal can mean different things.
8:42
In the American context, it probably means more like a
8:44
leftist nowadays. So
8:47
for better or worse, the term libertarian
8:49
and the ideology of libertarianism is now
8:52
going to be a lot more prominent.
8:55
People are at least going to look at it in the
8:57
same way that when Bitcoin got adopted
9:00
by El Salvador, it sort of
9:04
made it more credible in the eyes
9:06
of other people or quote unquote normal people
9:08
who've not been exposed to these ideas before. Well,
9:11
I guarantee you here in the UK, the majority
9:13
of people have never even heard of libertarianism.
9:16
And if they have, they probably don't really know what it means.
9:19
Boris Johnson always said he was a libertarian. He wasn't.
9:22
He was a conservative politician. And
9:25
so he's actually created a marketing
9:28
platform for libertarian ideas, which I think
9:31
is super cool. I tell you what
9:33
I like about it is you know how much I've wrestled
9:35
with this over the years. And the thing I've always
9:37
wrestled with the most is the idea of no state,
9:39
just like how does it work? And
9:41
is there a power vacuum? And do you ultimately give
9:44
up democracy and replace of a tyranny? I've
9:46
always worried about that. And I've always
9:48
questioned, well, how do you get a libertarian
9:50
country? And I've always thought,
9:53
why don't the libertarians
9:55
create political parties? Why don't they fight for
9:57
power? And so this is where it's kind of interesting.
10:00
it has happened. And you now have a libertarian
10:04
in place here in Argentina. And actually, by the way, it's
10:08
the 24th largest economy in the world still. And
10:11
so I think it's super interesting. One of the questions
10:13
I would put to you is, and I don't know
10:15
if there's a direct answer, particularly
10:17
nuance, but in
10:20
your ideal world, would he completely
10:23
dismantle the state, or
10:25
would he go
10:28
more the minicus approach and try and make it as small as possible?
10:31
Is there an answer to that?
10:32
So
10:32
this comes to, and you may have come across this
10:35
also, there's this kind of concept in libertarianism
10:37
or libertarian circles where they talk about the side of the red
10:39
button, would you press that red button and just eliminate
10:42
the state entirely? And so I guess,
10:45
yeah, if you asked me the question, just straight up, yes,
10:47
ideally, I would press that red button. That
10:49
would be the idealistic answer. I would
10:52
do it personally. But I understand
10:54
there's the world that I would
10:56
like to see, and there's the world that I think is likely. Now,
10:58
what is likely is that he's going to just
11:01
go in there and take a more minicus approach. And
11:03
you know what, with Argentina coming from such
11:06
a low,
11:07
that
11:08
will cause a huge win. There's
11:10
so much low hanging fruit here that
11:13
he could take away regulation
11:15
relating to free trade. He could end the central
11:17
bank. He could abolish various departments
11:20
with these government workers who
11:22
many of them are just not really doing productive
11:24
things. And they are in fact being a
11:27
burden. They're like an albatross hanging on
11:29
the economy of Argentina. So
11:31
I see it
11:33
as, look, to answer your question,
11:35
yes, I would press the button, I would eliminate the state, but
11:38
I understand that that's not the likely
11:40
pathway. And also I will note that in
11:42
this case now, to be clear, I do not
11:44
consider myself an expert on Argentina, but I've
11:47
done a little bit of reading. My understanding is
11:49
he holds
11:51
a smaller number of seats in terms of the
11:53
Senate and the House. So I believe he holds eight Senate
11:55
seats and 37 House seats. The
11:58
Peronista Coalition holds 34 seats. 72 Senate
12:00
seats and 108 of 257 House seats. So
12:05
Belay will have to govern by coalition. There
12:07
will be limited things that he can do by executive
12:09
order. And so that
12:11
means, you know, theoretically, he
12:13
wouldn't even have the power to sort of press
12:16
the red button anyway. But
12:20
there will be a lot of opportunity for trying
12:23
to fix this crisis that
12:26
Argentina is going through. I
12:28
said, because I don't know about this as well. So
12:30
did he win the popular vote, but his
12:32
party, did they have a vote for a president and
12:34
then a vote for party
12:36
seats? Right. So as I understand,
12:39
his party only holds
12:41
eight Senate seats and 37 House seats. And
12:44
I think when they have the next midterm, maybe
12:46
there's an opportunity for him to take
12:49
that up a bit more. If
12:51
he's doing a good job and able to win more power, then
12:54
maybe that's one pathway. And I think
12:57
he made a point similar to how
12:59
Pachela, when Pachela over in El Salvador
13:02
was first voted in that he, you know, he wasn't
13:04
necessarily voted in with a massive, you know, 90 percent of
13:06
the seats or something like that, that
13:08
he had to sort of grow to that level. So
13:11
I think obviously there will be parallels being drawn now
13:13
between Millet and Pachela
13:16
and let's say Bolsonaro from Brazil. They
13:19
obviously there are big differences between all of them. But I think
13:21
Millet is obviously the one who is most explicitly
13:24
talking about Austrian economics and
13:26
anarcho-capitalism. Yeah, I think
13:28
the comparison to Bolsonaro
13:31
and Trump themselves are particularly lazy because
13:33
I think their personality
13:35
comparisons, I don't think their policy comparisons,
13:37
you don't have to spend particularly long
13:39
to realize they come from a
13:42
different place in terms of policy. I
13:44
think that's
13:46
purely on the personality side. We
13:48
had an article that came out about eight hours
13:50
before the election in the UK referring
13:53
to, using the Guardian, of course,
13:57
referring to Millet as extreme
13:59
right. And I sent you a screenshot
14:02
for just when I put some makeup on Facebook. Yeah. About
14:05
a libertarian being elected. And, you
14:07
know, the first comment was somebody saying,
14:09
you know, they forgot the far right
14:11
extreme right. I think
14:14
that's lazy. Yeah. And
14:16
I'm with you. And I think there's one other point that's important
14:18
to make here because I think there
14:21
are some, let's say, MAGA, conservative,
14:23
you know, making America great again types who are
14:25
sort of heralding this. And maybe there's some
14:28
superficial level of agreement in terms of that
14:30
you would say they're both anti-woke, let's
14:32
say, but there's actually a lot of differences
14:34
between, let's say, a MAGA, a typical MAGA
14:36
person and a typical libertarian person,
14:38
right? Because a typical libertarian person is looking
14:41
to reduce the power of the state. He's
14:43
not trying to give money
14:45
to particular industries. He's, you
14:48
know, there are some when you
14:50
really look at the policies, he's
14:52
not, he's different from a Trump or
14:54
a Bolsonaro. Another big example
14:56
would be a MAGA person might be very pro-Tarras
14:59
and industry protectionism and
15:01
subsidies, whereas a principled libertarian
15:03
is going to be trying to reduce those or remove those,
15:06
right? A common thing, and this is another
15:08
thing that's interesting, is oftentimes they'll
15:10
call it a free trade agreement. But
15:12
in actual fact, free trade is often managed
15:15
trade. So in practice, it says, oh,
15:18
you're allowed to trade with this other country on this,
15:20
this and that provider with this import duty and this
15:22
particular regulation, when in
15:24
actual fact, it would be beneficial
15:27
for countries to go to a
15:30
more unilateral free trade approach. And
15:32
that's actually what Millet has spoken
15:34
about, this idea of just having unilateral free
15:36
trade and stopping this idea that you
15:38
need to regulate the trade between the nations. Now
15:42
Millet has made some overtures
15:45
that he doesn't like to negotiate or talk with
15:47
communist people. And there's been a little
15:49
bit of a back and forth between him and
15:52
Lula, the leader in Brazil. But
15:55
nevertheless, I think, you know, even if
15:57
that's happening at the government level, I think Millet is sort of
15:59
having this idea that, well, if you're a business in
16:01
Argentina, that doesn't stop you trading with a business
16:04
in Brazil. So, and that's
16:06
actually a little bit more aligned with how a libertarian is
16:08
viewing it. So there's some interesting differences
16:10
there between the libertarians and the MAGA
16:12
types. Yeah. And just
16:15
go back to the big red button, because I've read an article once
16:17
that Scott Horton wrote about this.
16:19
And he's actually against the big red button.
16:22
He thinks it's too fast,
16:24
it's like ripping off the band-aid. It's too fast, it's
16:26
too bloody, too dangerous. And
16:29
I guess from my side, I would see it
16:31
as the big red button would be kind of
16:34
risky. If he moves too fast, it
16:36
may cause too much pain that you
16:38
could see protests, another maybe
16:41
different type of populist revolution, because
16:44
there's certainly a large part of the
16:46
Argentinian population that rely
16:49
on government handouts. And so
16:51
my kind of view is that if he's going
16:53
to reduce the size of state, it might make sense
16:56
to do it a bit more slowly and almost
16:58
like a A-B test your way through it. So
17:01
I, and these are, this is actually the argument. So
17:04
to be clear, there's a lot of disagreement amongst libertarians
17:06
on this issue. I can't give you this kind of, this is the
17:08
answer. There's disagreement here. But one
17:10
of the arguments in favor of the big red
17:12
button, now I can't recall who, sadly,
17:15
I can't remember who wrote that article. It might be Murray Rothbard,
17:17
but one of the arguments about
17:19
it is that what happens in practice, if you try
17:22
to end up doing this incremental slowly but
17:24
surely approach, you end up getting captured
17:26
or you end up sort of trying
17:29
to do this gradualism approach, and
17:32
then you just end up sort of reversing back into
17:34
having a big state anyway, because people,
17:36
because every time you try to do something, there's kind of
17:38
an opportunity for somebody to sort of interrupt
17:40
you and say, well, we need a regulation for that, or we
17:43
need the government subsidy for this, you can't, you
17:45
can't just end it. And so
17:48
that's, that's where this disagreement lies that
17:50
actually, it would be the
17:53
pathway to actually get it done, as opposed
17:55
to getting caught in this sort of regulatory
17:59
morass or this sort of of big state morass
18:02
as it happens. But that is the argument between
18:04
libertarians there. Is that because the
18:06
state always centralizes? It's
18:08
an organic structure
18:10
that always grows. And think about it like
18:12
this, right? People have this conception
18:15
that libertarians are kind of pro big business.
18:19
In actual fact, it almost might be
18:21
the other way around, right? Yes, of course,
18:23
from an economics perspective, we like economies
18:25
of scale, and certainly that's there. But
18:28
what happens in practice is when you have a big
18:30
state, people want to control that big
18:32
state. And big business often allies
18:35
with the state to serve their own
18:37
interests. And that's what we saw, even
18:39
with things like the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913,
18:42
that big bankers were
18:44
trying to sort of make this case of why
18:46
they needed the state because it became
18:48
a way for the state to give
18:50
them protection that they would not otherwise have
18:53
in a truly free market. And
18:55
so that's why there's this kind of confusion where sometimes
18:58
people who are coming from a more left status
19:01
view can look at the libertarian
19:03
saying, Oh, see, you're just shilling for the big
19:05
business, when it's actually the other way around, it's
19:07
actually that we don't want there to be this
19:10
kind of big territorial
19:12
monopolist of law and order and taxation,
19:15
which is the state, to be there. Because
19:17
what happens is when it does exist, people want to
19:19
command that thing, and then they want to use it to their
19:21
own benefit, right? Because a lot of people have this
19:23
conception. And I, you know, I can almost,
19:26
it's hard to blame them in some ways, because in their mind,
19:29
they think of it like, Oh, you know, we
19:31
just need to bring it back, we even need to just just
19:34
get the right guy in charge, or we just need to
19:36
have a less corrupt government, right? And most
19:38
people would probably agree with that, right? If you said, Oh, would
19:40
you like the government to just be less corrupt? Yeah,
19:42
obviously. But the challenge is, how
19:44
do you achieve that? Because in practice,
19:47
you can't take the money out of the politics, right? That's
19:49
another one, right? They say this kind of, Oh, imagine if
19:51
we could just take the money out of politics. It's
19:53
like, no, they are irrevocably
19:56
tied together. And it's only by
19:58
reducing the power of the state. or ideally eliminating
20:01
the state and having a fully free market
20:03
privatized everything, that you can achieve
20:06
that idea. And so that's probably
20:10
an answer as to why
20:12
or a common confusion that comes
20:14
up with this idea of libertarianism and
20:17
their relationship with the state. So
20:19
is there a lot of excitement now, a lot
20:21
of further, a lot of discussion and debate
20:24
in libertarian circles about this? Absolutely.
20:27
Yeah. So we are seeing various
20:29
posts of people saying congratulations
20:31
to Javier Milla. They're saying things like,
20:33
okay, please make sure you get the full reserve
20:36
banking law in, or,
20:38
you know, because a lot of libertarians, we all have our
20:40
own kind of issue that we're kind of big
20:42
on. Obviously, I'm in the Bitcoin world. So I'm, you
20:45
know, I'm obviously would love to see something
20:47
that relates to Bitcoin. Of course, the
20:49
principal answer would be take away all government
20:52
control over money. There's no need for even
20:54
for a legal tender laws, just take all of that away,
20:56
let people choose whatever they wish. Take away
20:58
capital gains tax laws, take away all banking and
21:01
money laundering regulations, let the
21:03
market decide, right? That's the principled approach.
21:06
But, you know, there are different libertarians who
21:09
are, you know, they've got their own
21:12
issue that they would really like to
21:14
be addressed. I think there's
21:16
a few different camps, let's say there's some
21:18
people who are just sort of contrarian and just
21:21
against everything. And my answer
21:23
to them is sort of like, look, you've
21:25
got to learn to take the W, you know,
21:27
you've got to learn to just take the W.
21:30
Like, yes, nobody's going to be perfect.
21:32
There was there's literally nobody you could put up there
21:35
who everyone would be happy with, right? Even if somehow
21:37
you could magically just parachute
21:39
Ron Paul into, you know,
21:42
into the presidency of the United States, there'd
21:44
be some people who disagree. And I think
21:47
fundamentally, you just have to sort of stop
21:49
playing this kind of perfect period,
21:51
you know, purity game, and just accept,
21:54
okay, yeah, broadly speaking, he is a libertarian,
21:56
let's see what he can achieve, you know, and
21:58
so I think that's The other aspect
22:01
I would point out is
22:03
if
22:04
he starts to do non-libertarian
22:06
things, then it's important that libertarians start calling
22:09
that out and saying, well, hang on, you ran on
22:11
this platform of being a libertarian,
22:13
ending the central bank, etc., anti-the
22:16
globalists, anti-the WEF, all this kind of
22:18
thing. Now you're not doing it. So
22:21
that would be one area I think
22:24
that you have to be vigilant
22:27
because maybe people can get
22:32
corrupted over time or maybe they just sort of
22:34
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network of Bitcoiners. Yeah
24:42
well my assumption is there's going
24:45
to be a certain amount of give-and-take
24:47
he's gonna have to play, some certain games he's gonna have to
24:49
play to move things forward. I
24:52
guess what would you want
24:54
him to do first? Yeah great question.
24:58
So as I said at the executive
25:01
level because he's a president there may be certain executive
25:03
things that he can do for example stripping
25:05
away certain regulations
25:08
or orders that relate to presidential
25:10
powers. So he may be able to just kind of do that
25:12
on day one and he
25:14
has already mentioned that he wanted to shut down, I can't
25:16
remember the name of the industry but I was not sorry
25:19
the department I think it was the department
25:21
of... I
25:24
thought it was the district office. Yeah right
25:26
so everyone's seen that meme video where he's kind of like stripping
25:28
away a few departments.
25:31
So I think I
25:33
don't know the full you know intricate intricate
25:35
details but as I understand he's coming in December
25:38
10th and I believe he's already slated there's
25:40
one department that's going to go on day one or you
25:42
know straight away and so
25:45
I think shutting down whatever departments
25:47
you know that he can shut down anything
25:50
that you know longer like once he sort
25:52
of gets into dealing with Parliament
25:55
and you know the Senate and the House maybe
25:57
he can try to remove subsidies maybe he can remove
26:00
labor market regulations that make it difficult
26:02
for Argentinian entrepreneurs to do business.
26:05
Maybe he can lower
26:07
the taxes and lower the spending. Like
26:09
fundamentally, as a libertarian, you just want to
26:11
lower the spending, lower the size of the state, lower
26:13
the taxes, get out of the way. That's
26:16
fundamentally what libertarians would say. Governments
26:18
should just get out of the way, let the private free
26:20
markets do business, decide
26:24
things, and there will be times where it's not
26:26
perfect, but that's life. There
26:28
are times where in
26:30
life, sometimes you have to, quote unquote, bite the bullet.
26:33
You just have to accept, okay, yeah, this is
26:35
not going to be perfect, but involving
26:38
the government is not going to make it better. In fact, it
26:40
may make it worse and create a
26:42
bad incentive for somebody to try to get in
26:45
power, create a government department, have
26:48
the size of that department just keep expanding, regardless
26:51
of the actual results that that government department
26:53
has gotten for the people, for the taxpayers
26:55
and the citizens. I
26:58
think those are a few ones, removing capital
27:00
flow restrictions, removing subsidies. Obviously,
27:02
as Bitcoiners, we want him to remove all
27:05
monetary interventions. Now, he has
27:07
stated a goal to dollarize
27:11
the economy. And I know you obviously
27:14
did a recent documentary, Follow the Money,
27:16
number four, I believe. I watched it earlier today. So
27:18
I think, yeah,
27:21
it was a great exploration of what's going
27:23
on in Argentina and how people on
27:25
the ground are seeing things. And
27:28
as you rightly point out, many people
27:30
in that economy have chosen to dollarize because
27:32
they don't know of any better or that's their
27:35
way to try and protect their purchasing
27:37
power. Now, of course, I'm a Bitcoiner. I wish
27:40
everyone would just jump straight to Bitcoin. I'll
27:42
always promote Bitcoin over stablecoin.
27:45
I don't promote stablecoins, I promote Bitcoin. But
27:47
I recognize why some people use stablecoins,
27:50
right? I understand why they do it. I think
27:52
that's important. That's the concession I would give.
27:54
But I always promote Bitcoin first, right? If
27:57
they're able to, if they are able to save, I
27:59
think Bitcoin is the way you would. to it. But
28:01
I understand that this is a common thing
28:03
where countries will dollarize. And
28:05
what happens commonly is maybe some economist
28:08
from like the Western world gets parachuted in someone
28:10
like, you know, Steve Hanke or someone and he'll say, yeah, get
28:12
a currency board and dollarize. I
28:15
think that again, so that that comes back to what I was
28:17
saying, what is ideal? And what I think is
28:19
likely what I think is likely is that someone will get parachuted
28:22
in and they'll sort of dollarize the economy. But
28:26
yeah, ideal, of course, is Bitcoin. Well,
28:28
there is something that very anarcho-capitalist
28:31
happening there anyway. So when I was
28:33
there, there was essentially two economies,
28:35
there's the economy and the real economy. And
28:38
I guess there's probably you probably refer
28:41
me to some writings that
28:44
have explained why this happens. But people
28:46
are so squeezed in Argentina in
28:48
terms of taxation, bureaucracy, regulation,
28:51
they've essentially
28:53
got to the point of they cannot can't take
28:55
it anymore. So they've essentially built this whole separate
28:57
economy, which is like a gray economy.
29:00
And they just they just ignore in the state. And
29:03
they're saying, the risk is worth it, because
29:05
I cannot do business and make money operating
29:07
with the state infrastructure. So what's
29:10
quite interesting is that it's not like from
29:12
a standing start, they have to develop this new economy
29:14
because it kind of already exists. Correct.
29:17
And I have done episodes on my show,
29:19
I did one a little while back with a guy who is
29:22
in Argentina. Now, he's actually a Dutch guy,
29:24
but he was talking a little bit about some of this. They've got the Cambios
29:26
and you have this sort of gray economy
29:28
and people were speculating it's anywhere from 40 to 50
29:31
percent of the Argentinian economy
29:33
just because the taxes and the regulations are that
29:35
high. And so if Malay
29:38
can deregulate and lower the taxes,
29:41
what may happen is that economy will then go back
29:43
into the quote unquote white market. And
29:45
if the taxes are low, people may just end
29:48
up paying them. And
29:50
that may end up sort of bringing
29:53
driving revenue for the Argentinian
29:55
state. Now, again, not endorsing the taxes,
29:57
but I'm saying that's what's likely. And
29:59
And so, you
30:01
know, currently the Argentinian
30:03
state makes some of it, some of their money out of export,
30:06
I think, tariffs and things like this.
30:08
So we'll see what the
30:11
way to sort of manage out of that,
30:13
because obviously, Millet has mentioned he wants to have
30:15
no export,
30:19
no trade restrictions and things like this.
30:22
But anyway, to bring it back to your point, yes,
30:25
there is a big gray market
30:27
in some of these economies. And what
30:29
that will do as deregulation
30:33
occurs is we will start
30:35
to see a flourishing
30:38
of things. Because as an example, if you had
30:40
to be an underground entrepreneur, if you had to sort of hide
30:42
things, then you can't operate
30:44
in a very efficient way. Right. And
30:47
I think you saw that even in the same in the example where
30:49
you were meeting a money changer
30:51
guy, and you give the guy, in that
30:53
example, you gave him some tether, and he gave you some
30:56
cash, physical cash. And
30:58
so, you know, they have
31:00
to do things in a way where you meet somebody
31:02
through a friend to get this contact, right, as
31:04
opposed to, let's say, there's just like a store
31:06
that you can go to or a foreign currency place,
31:09
you know, that you go to just
31:11
explicitly to do this changeover.
31:14
So those are a few examples, I think,
31:17
it, there will be an initial
31:20
pain period, right, I think everyone has to acknowledge
31:22
that there is going to be an initial pain period, because it's
31:24
a crisis, right? Because 50 to 60% of
31:27
the population is in poverty, they've
31:29
been dealing with over 100% annual
31:31
inflation for so long, they've had socialism
31:33
for decades, this parent, you
31:37
know, party or legacy
31:39
or whatever, they've been pushing that
31:41
agenda for, I don't know, 50 to 80
31:44
years. So it's going to take
31:46
some time to unwind that damage.
31:48
And of course, the political games will be played, right,
31:51
as Massa leaves, they'll make it really hard
31:53
for Malay and his team to come in and take things
31:55
over, you know, they'll try to pin things
31:57
on him and say, well, look, see, it would have been
31:59
fine. if you just kept it on me, kept
32:01
it with me, because they were sort
32:04
of living a lie, right? They were living in this beyond
32:06
their means debt scenario,
32:08
right? It's the equivalent of the guy who's got all his
32:10
credit cards maxed out. And he
32:12
thinks that just by getting another credit card,
32:15
that he can just keep things going. But
32:17
really, he's lying to himself. What
32:19
he needs to do is get his
32:21
spending down in check. And
32:24
in this case, the Argentinian government, it's
32:27
arguable, but I believe you can make the case that the
32:29
government, the Argentinian government should actually repudiate
32:32
the debt. They should just say,
32:35
look, it's not right that the Argentinian
32:37
people have to, quote
32:39
unquote, honor these contracts that were made
32:41
on their behalf by past leaders. And
32:44
I understand that can sound like an extreme big
32:46
step. But it's sort of part
32:48
of how you could quickly right the ship is
32:50
by repudiating the debt, lowering
32:53
the size of the state dramatically as much as you
32:55
possibly can. And then proceeding
32:57
from there. Now, that's the ideal,
33:00
that would be sort of the closer to
33:02
the ideal pathway, as we've mentioned, Millet
33:04
may not be able to achieve that given the actual
33:07
power he has, you know, currently.
33:09
But in a theoretical sense, that
33:12
would be the way to sort of quickly
33:15
try to right the ship. Is
33:17
that is the majority of that debt with the IMF? Do
33:20
we know the specific numbers? But you're basically saying
33:22
just default on it. Yeah, basically, like, in essence,
33:24
like, you would just say, look,
33:27
it's illegitimate, we are just
33:29
going to have to, you
33:31
know, it's living under this. And yeah, I'm
33:34
sure if you know, our friend
33:36
Alex Gladstein will
33:39
talk about this as well with the
33:41
debt restructuring and the IMF and his recent book. And, you
33:44
know, he's been talking about that. So I think it's a similar
33:46
thing there that these
33:49
external debtors can sort of
33:52
keep you keep people of other countries in chains in a sense, because
33:55
they're not earning enough that they can realistically
33:57
do that. basically
34:00
pay it back anytime soon and they just
34:02
end up having this sort of beggar-thour-neighbor policy
34:04
of constantly taking out a new credit card
34:07
to pay off the previous credit
34:09
card and it's just not a sustainable pathway
34:11
forward. And it's sort of, that's
34:13
where taking a little, you know,
34:15
it's a short-term pain for long-term gain approach
34:18
that allows you to really actually
34:22
move forward in a sustainable pathway. Yeah,
34:24
I wonder where the pain is on such a decision
34:26
with a guy who's totally free-market forward
34:28
anyway, because if
34:31
they want to dollarize, one of the challenges
34:33
that I've read is that to dollarize,
34:35
you need dollars. Most of all, you need
34:37
dollars in the economy. Are there enough
34:39
dollars in the economy? Can they get enough dollars in the economy?
34:41
And if they default on debt, will they
34:44
get any assistance to dollarize? Does
34:46
America want them to dollarize? I
34:48
assume America does. So
34:52
would they provide them with some support? And
34:54
this is where I wonder whether he kind
34:57
of has to do some deals. Maybe he has to
34:59
speak to the USG. Maybe he has to do something
35:01
to enable him to dollarize. I believe that's likely. And
35:03
I believe he has even mentioned that one
35:05
of his first flights will
35:07
be to the United States to sort of negotiate
35:10
with them. So
35:13
that's probably a likely pathway. And that may
35:15
also be where, you know, I think I
35:18
have some, let's say, foreign policy disagreements
35:20
on the positions he might have taken. But
35:23
I also understand where maybe from a cold
35:26
calculus position, maybe that's why he's taken them
35:28
because he wanted to align with the US foreign
35:31
policy establishment so that they would
35:33
be more amenable to sort of, you
35:36
know, not take him out. Not,
35:40
yeah, not take him out, basically. And if
35:42
they align a little more
35:45
on the foreign policy objectives, then
35:48
maybe the US government will be a little more amenable
35:50
to sort of helping them dollarize in
35:53
that way. Again, not endorsing it, but
35:55
recognizing what's likely. Yeah,
35:57
I mean, I think sometimes... that
36:00
we're not walking issues, we're not making
36:02
those decisions. Maybe
36:04
there's some practicalities to
36:07
achieving things he wants to achieve. I don't
36:09
know what the alternatives, I guess you would say, is a free
36:12
market for money creation, that the banks themselves
36:14
would create money. Right. I
36:16
would just basically say, look, the government should just
36:18
have nothing to do with money whatsoever, or banking
36:21
whatsoever, and just let the market decide.
36:23
Then what is likely
36:25
to happen in that case is
36:28
probably dollarization, but just from the bottom
36:30
up, at least for now, until we can
36:32
get Bitcoinization, which maybe that's a
36:34
few more years away, we don't know. But
36:37
I think that's the likely pathway, because that's
36:40
what many people in Argentina are doing already.
36:43
They're already going for dollars and cash.
36:46
But the point being that
36:48
if you give people a real true choice,
36:51
there's no legal tender laws, no capital gains tax
36:53
laws, it allows people to really choose what
36:56
they want as their
36:58
store of value. Many Argentinians
37:01
under those circumstances would probably choose
37:04
dollars, because that's what they know,
37:06
that's what they think of. Of course,
37:08
more and more of them over time will come
37:10
to choose Bitcoin because of all the obvious
37:13
superiorities that Bitcoin has. It's more
37:15
scarce, it's all the things that you and
37:17
your listeners are well aware of. Would
37:19
you expect in a fully free market
37:22
that you would get this free
37:25
banking era that Nick Carter wrote about where the banks themselves
37:28
would issue currency too? Possible.
37:32
But I would say this
37:34
gets into one other area of disagreement that I would have, which
37:37
is around full reserve versus fractional
37:40
free banking, where I believe fractional reserve
37:45
banking to be fraud. And on one count, it's fraud.
37:48
Secondly, it's also ineffective. It's it
37:53
causes the economic cycle. So
37:55
I don't know how deeply into the detail
37:57
you want to get into this.
37:59
So put
38:02
it this way. In
38:05
most circumstances, a lot of people
38:07
are not aware what's happening when they go to their fiat
38:09
banks. They think the
38:12
bank is sort of putting it away
38:14
and holding it in safekeeping for them. But in practice,
38:17
really they're contributing into this system,
38:19
which
38:20
pyramids the creation of new credit,
38:22
right? This is fiat fractional reserve. It creates
38:25
new money every
38:27
time new loans are created. And so
38:30
this system, in essence, is
38:33
backed by the central bank and by
38:35
government guarantees, things like implicit
38:40
bailout guarantees as an example.
38:42
So if, you know, these banks who
38:44
are going fractional, where to go down, government
38:46
steps in and saves them. That wouldn't
38:48
exist in a free market. There are no bailouts in
38:50
Bitcoin, or at least if they are, they
38:52
are privately funded. They're not state funded
38:55
and not socialized
38:58
to everybody. The cost is not socialized
39:00
to every holder or every user. It's
39:02
only an individual who chose to bail
39:04
out or with his own funds, recapitalize
39:07
that bank. And so I believe
39:11
that having
39:14
a full reserve law or at least some kind of
39:16
option. So as an example, let's say you went to
39:18
the bank and they gave you a choice.
39:20
Hey, Pete, when you set up this bank
39:22
account with us, do you want
39:25
to allow us to lend it out in future
39:27
as well? And you don't necessarily have the
39:31
full reserve aspect, or are you expecting it to
39:33
be in a full reserve context
39:35
and we're not allowed to lend it out? And maybe in that case,
39:37
we would actually charge you some money, but
39:39
at least it's an explicit upfront thing. So then it's
39:41
kind of like, at least you're getting an opt in aspect
39:44
to this. So Stefan Kinsella has
39:47
written a little bit about this, about what
39:49
a potential law could be that
39:51
could be brought in to sort of at least give people
39:53
that choice of whether they believe
39:56
they're opting into a fractional reserve situation
39:59
or whether they are opting into a a full reserve situation.
40:02
But, you know, of course, I think long term,
40:04
it's all going towards Bitcoin. And so we're going to be in a Bitcoin
40:07
context. It's just a question of time.
40:09
It's a matter of time until people
40:12
realize the superiority of Bitcoin. It's
40:14
simply a better money. It's simply a better saving technology.
40:17
It's just simply better. Are
40:19
libertarians in general agreement
40:21
on full reserve banking? No,
40:23
this is a big area of disagreement. So
40:26
this is a big area. So in the 90s and even
40:29
early 2000s, there were a lot of back
40:31
and forth volleys between libertarian
40:34
economists on this exact question.
40:36
So in the full reserve camp, you have people
40:38
like Hans Herman Hopper, Joseph
40:40
Salerno, Guido Halsman, Walter
40:43
Block. And then
40:45
in the pro fractional side,
40:47
you have people like Larry White, George
40:50
Selgin and others. I
40:53
guess in modern day context, you have others
40:55
like David Howden and
40:58
Philip Vargas as well, who are also in the full
41:01
reserve camp. Who are the de Soto is another one
41:03
in the full reserve camp. So
41:05
I'm personally in the full reserve camp. I'm sort of on that full reserve
41:07
camp, someone like safety, he would be in the full
41:09
reserve camp probably. Whereas
41:12
let's say someone like, as you mentioned, Nick Carter, he's probably
41:14
more in the fractional free
41:16
banker side. I think Nick
41:20
said that he just expects
41:22
that to happen. He said, I don't think you can avoid leverage.
41:25
Right. So I think the answer from
41:27
the full reserve side in that case would be that's
41:31
fraud, right? Like there should be laws to stop
41:33
that, right? So it's one thing to have a contract
41:35
between two people who kind of voluntary opt into
41:37
that. But the problem with that is that it
41:40
involves people who never agreed to that,
41:43
right? Because when people are forced
41:45
to use a particular legal tender, right, and this comes
41:47
back to the problem of legal tender laws, when you're forced to
41:49
use the US dollar or the Australian
41:52
dollar or whatever, the Argentine peso,
41:55
you are kind of like a forced third
41:57
party in that agreement. And so the full reserve
41:59
argument would be no, you're only allowed
42:01
to make agreements between you and that other person. You can't
42:05
force that onto other third parties.
42:07
And because they're being forced to use that as legal tender,
42:09
and because they're being forced because of
42:11
capital gains tax laws, right? Because if you use
42:14
something else as money, you're going to have to pay capital
42:16
gains tax every time you transact. That's
42:18
not feasible. And that's part of the full reserve.
42:21
That would be part of the full reservist answer, let's
42:23
say. So if you consider
42:26
that fraud, but others don't,
42:29
in such a scenario, how do you define
42:31
what the laws are? How would
42:33
laws be created? Say you have the big red button. I
42:36
know there's very limited laws
42:39
that libertarians want. I think it's
42:41
mainly to do with theft,
42:43
rape, murder, and stealing. Yeah,
42:47
it's like the
42:50
typical violence laws or the theft
42:52
and fraud. But I think violence
42:54
laws are fairly simple in some ways.
42:56
But how do you define fraud? Because within
42:59
your community, there's some people who think it isn't
43:01
fraud, and some who are. Is it
43:03
the fact that it would
43:06
only be fraud if it wasn't agreed
43:09
between parties as part of the contract?
43:11
So
43:12
this comes back to
43:14
what I was saying earlier, that there were some libertarians who were saying, hey,
43:16
Malay, we want you to get this
43:19
full reserve law in,
43:21
because they believe that this is how you
43:23
prevent theft, right? In their view, you're
43:25
stopping theft. Now, I'll be clear here. There's
43:27
two points here. There's two prongs. One is
43:30
the people who believe it's fraud. And secondarily,
43:32
the people who say, even if I gave you
43:34
that and just said, oh, we don't care if it's fraud or not, we believe it's
43:37
economically inefficient for the market to have
43:39
it that way, that it causes the boom and bust cycle,
43:41
like the dot-com bubble and the great financial
43:44
crisis, global financial crisis. So there's two
43:46
prongs to it. So you could be of
43:49
the view that, look, I don't think it's fraud, but I think
43:51
it's economically inefficient anyway. I also
43:53
take the view that I think in
43:56
the future Bitcoin world, it's
43:59
going to push us towards full reserve just
44:02
economically as well. But I
44:04
mean, you've asked the question in terms of how would it be made
44:06
illegal. And I think,
44:10
yeah, I think
44:11
it could be enforced by the
44:14
private defense agencies, like Murray Rothbard
44:16
talks about this sort of idea. It
44:19
could be seen as, in this particular
44:21
society, it's fraud to engage in fractional
44:23
reserve banking without it at least
44:26
being an explicit upfront thing. And
44:28
so that's one way of doing
44:30
it. Or another interpretation is that it will just
44:32
be, put it this way, economically enforced.
44:35
Let me make a quick example. Let's
44:38
say there is a fractional reserve
44:40
Bitcoin bank. Lots of people will do a
44:42
bank run on them and then they'll get
44:44
wrecked in the same way that Mt. Gox, FTX,
44:47
et cetera. Like if somebody tries to go fractional,
44:50
people who suspect them will
44:52
do a bank run and then that will be sort of like
44:54
a market test or a market check
44:57
if you're truly full reserve. This
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We've discussed this before many years ago just so
47:21
I understand. I understand
47:23
there'll be courts of arbitration for
47:26
people who have broken contracts and
47:29
committed crimes but which
47:31
crimes would be punishable by
47:34
say financial penalties and which would
47:36
be punishable say by a custodial sentence
47:39
within a I guess a free
47:41
market prison? Right, yeah. So this
47:43
is another area where there are various
47:46
resources I can point you to but if people are
47:48
interested I would say search Bob Murphy
47:50
chaos theory. Another
47:53
one is Bruce Benson the enterprise
47:56
of law so that's a great book and so I think they
47:59
there's different. conceptions of what the law
48:01
would be like under this anarcho, this
48:03
hypothetical anarcho-capitalism. Some
48:05
people say that it would be, it would just sort of evolve
48:08
over time in the same way that language evolves,
48:11
like a dictionary, you know, sort of, there's no
48:13
one arbiter of the English language, but there's
48:15
sort of, there's, you know, various dictionaries
48:17
that sort of try to codify what those
48:20
laws are. And so historically, anarcho-capitalists
48:23
and legal theorists and philosophers have
48:25
spoken about this idea, where historically,
48:28
those lex mercatorias, right, the law that related
48:31
to merchants. And so what were the, what
48:33
was like the common practice? What was the normal
48:35
culture, right? As an example, like, if
48:38
you and I, we go sit down in a restaurant somewhere, you
48:40
pick, you know, I want the ribeye steak, and
48:43
then, you know, they serve you the steak, you
48:45
eat it, and then they serve you the bill and you're like, what, I
48:47
didn't agree to pay for, I just wanted the, you know, it's like,
48:49
no, there's certain understandings that are just
48:51
implicit, right? Like you went into the restaurant, you
48:54
ordered this, you need to pay the $45 for
48:56
the steak or whatever, you know, I think there'd be
48:59
certain aspects that are just sort of understood
49:01
through custom. And there may
49:03
be other aspects where maybe it's
49:06
this law applies in this area. So it
49:09
may be, you know, in this particular, in the
49:11
Middle East, this is the custom and in the
49:14
Americas, this is the custom, you know, so I
49:16
think these are all interesting.
49:19
And, you know, we will see evolution
49:22
and innovation in this also, that we'll see
49:25
different approaches in terms of arbitration,
49:27
and how it could really work out.
49:30
But I think to give
49:32
some kind of a structure, the idea is
49:35
you might be a judge who's an expert
49:37
in this particular kind of law, whether it relates
49:39
to physical property disputes in
49:42
the Middle East, or something like that. And
49:44
you might be an expert about that area. And
49:46
you sort of know the precedent and the
49:48
common law in relation to that. And
49:50
people come to you, because they trust
49:53
your judgment because you have a reputation to uphold.
49:56
And so they're like, oh, Peter McCormack is an expert
49:58
in real estate in the Americas. So go to
50:00
him and people, if they have a dispute,
50:03
would go to you for that. And so
50:05
then you might issue down a judgment saying, look,
50:07
in my professional interpretation,
50:09
I know I've looked at the facts of the case. I've looked at
50:12
the history. Here's the precedent of the different cases.
50:14
And based on that, person A, you
50:17
own this land. And the
50:20
idea is, you know, parties A and
50:22
B would have to then say, okay, well, look, Peter
50:24
McCormack is a reputable judge in this particular
50:26
area of the law, in this area. We're going
50:28
to take that. Or maybe they don't. And then they
50:31
take it and they appeal it somewhere else. And eventually,
50:34
you're going to get to a point where it's sort of like, it's
50:37
cheaper to just accept
50:40
that, because you want to play in the broader
50:42
game of this legal
50:45
system. Because, you know, it's more profitable
50:47
for us to trade instead of like trying to go to war
50:49
and fight about it. You know, that's that's
50:52
one way of interpreting it, even
50:54
though I can't give you kind of an explicit vision
50:56
of exactly how it's going to work. I can give you kind of
50:58
a few sketches of what it might
51:01
look like. And what are some of the principles, the
51:03
contours of what it might look like?
51:06
Do you think we're going to see a wave of libertarians
51:09
move into Argentina? And yeah,
51:11
I mean, I could even point that question at you. If
51:14
he still start to deliver on it, do you think that's going
51:16
to be a kind of an attractive jurisdiction
51:18
view to consider living in? You know,
51:21
what kind of the world you want? It could
51:23
be it could be I think, obviously,
51:25
there's different aspects that we all have to consider, right?
51:27
Like, yeah, our family lives. I don't speak Spanish.
51:30
I mean, hey, maybe I could learn. But
51:34
I, I'd be open to
51:36
it. Honestly, I would honestly be open to it in
51:38
the future, right? If, you know, because I think Argentina
51:40
is, you know, even if we could
51:42
somehow resurrect Murray Rothbard and put him
51:45
in charge, it would take time
51:47
to undo all the damage that's been done,
51:49
right? They didn't get here overnight. They
51:51
got here after a process of, call
51:54
it 50, 80 years worth of this stuff. And
51:57
so it's going to take some time to fix things up.
52:00
But nevertheless, as
52:02
you and the listeners may be aware, Argentina
52:05
used to be a very rich country. And there's
52:07
nothing in principle that stops them from re-achieving
52:10
that
52:11
if
52:11
the right leadership and governance were
52:14
to be applied. And so, yeah, I would
52:16
honestly think about it in the future.
52:18
Maybe not right now. But
52:20
let's imagine, imagine hypothetically, Javier
52:23
Millet does really well, and
52:25
he gets re-elected again, and maybe
52:27
it's five years down the line. It
52:29
might be an option at that point. I'm not
52:31
saying I would definitely do it, but yeah,
52:34
I think so. And here's the other aspect. I think
52:36
it's going to inspire libertarians
52:39
and Bitcoiners around the world. More
52:41
and more people will start saying, well, hang on, they
52:43
did it over there and it worked. So
52:46
I think that is another
52:48
aspect where it helps libertarians and
52:51
the cause of liberty, even outside
52:53
of Argentina. Because if
52:55
it works, then more and more
52:57
people will start to take
53:00
that idea on and say, hey, why can't we do that?
53:03
And we may start to see other parts
53:05
of South America also say, hey, they got
53:07
a libertarian or, I mean, obviously with
53:09
Pakela and what happens in
53:12
El Salvador in terms of lowering the crime
53:14
rates, as you well know, there
53:16
are other South American countries who are looking
53:18
at that and saying, well, hey, look at what
53:21
he did. Why can't we do that? We
53:23
have low crime as well and
53:25
have, you know, actual
53:28
liberty in our country, too. And so I
53:30
think it all helps whether you move to Argentina
53:32
or not. Well, look, I completely agree,
53:35
Stefan. I want it here. I mean, I'm
53:37
pro-democracy and won't be voting in the next
53:39
election because who the hell do I vote for? I
53:41
can't vote for the Conservative Party and
53:44
I can't vote for the Labour Party because they're two
53:46
strands of the same thing, which is big government,
53:48
high tax, a vacant state. If
53:51
there was an equivalent to Malay in the
53:53
UK, you know, a
53:55
libertarian leader who was pro-small
53:57
state and pro-free of the United States, I think that's a big thing.
53:59
markets and pro Bitcoin.
54:02
That's an easy vote for me to make.
54:04
But I almost think it
54:06
hasn't got bad enough here for someone
54:09
to come in. That'd be right. Yeah. It
54:11
was so bad in Argentina. It's such
54:14
a shit show. It's been such a shit show for so long. They've
54:16
been stolen from wave
54:18
after wave for decades. Somebody
54:20
come in and said, yeah, basically, they're all full of
54:23
shit. I'll wipe my ass with them. It's obviously
54:25
an appeal. I think in the UK,
54:27
somebody like that would come across as a bit of a just
54:30
a nuts at the moment. But I would love
54:32
I would love that. I hope it inspires a wave
54:35
of generation of people who are going to start
54:37
reading Rothbard, right? Like, let's not get us off. It's
54:39
not that, you know, half of Argentina
54:41
went and read Murray Rothbard. And now,
54:43
you know, they've all gone to read man, economy
54:46
and state this thousand page book. No, but more
54:48
and more people are going to be curious about these
54:50
ideas. And I think the
54:53
interesting thing that's happened now is it's proven
54:55
that libertarian populism can work
54:58
like that. You can get elected on this bit.
55:01
Whereas historically, what we've seen in the libertarian
55:03
world is these arguments between the sort
55:05
of pure principled approach of like,
55:07
hey, just tell them exactly. And this
55:10
kind of, oh, just be like a little
55:12
bit more low attacks than
55:14
the right wing side and just sort of try to be a little
55:16
bit more moderate, the kind of moderates or
55:18
so-called pragmatics. And I think
55:21
this win now is going to show people
55:24
that you actually can win by being
55:26
a libertarian populist and being explicit about
55:28
it. But to your point, it is right, I think, to
55:31
say that part of what drove
55:33
this outcome is the culture
55:36
of Argentina that for so long, they've
55:38
had this big government, big
55:40
socialist sort of thinking, this
55:42
Peronist thinking. And that
55:45
was an important part
55:48
of the country's history, not in a good way, but
55:50
that because of that, and because of the high inflation,
55:53
there have been so many people who've been driven to this
55:55
point that they would vote for the anarcho-capitalist.
55:58
Now, maybe other countries will start to see what happens
56:00
there. And I think, you
56:02
know, the pro sort
56:05
of free markets people will point to examples
56:07
like Singapore, to some extent Dubai,
56:10
to some extent Hong Kong before maybe the
56:12
CCP came in, maybe Argentina,
56:14
maybe El Salvador will be other examples
56:16
of this that other people will point to and say, hey, we
56:19
want to be like that. Well, there's a couple of points
56:21
on that. Firstly, the leftists will definitely get scared
56:23
and will continue to throw their attacks and say these
56:25
people are extreme right, which is obviously nonsense.
56:28
Have you seen the film, Jerry McGuire? It
56:32
would have been a while ago, I've pretty much forgotten it, let's
56:34
be honest. There's a brilliant part in that film. But basically,
56:37
he writes, he works as a sports agent, if you've not
56:39
seen it, anyone listening, but he's a sports
56:41
agent, he writes this manifesto called
56:43
the things we think but do not say and he delivers
56:46
to everyone's inbox. And it was how
56:48
we should act as sports agents. And everybody
56:51
loved it and read it and they clapped their hands. And then
56:53
they fired him because they knew they'd make less
56:55
money if they did that. And
56:57
so he goes out on his own and he just represents one
56:59
guy and at the end, he gets in his contract and there's this moment
57:01
where they like see each other, him and the agent
57:04
and they have a big hug and it's really emotional. And
57:07
there's another guy, another American football,
57:09
he stood next to his agent, he says, why don't
57:11
we have a relationship like that? And so
57:13
what I hope is that things haven't got
57:15
bad enough here in the UK for anyone to think,
57:17
well, let's have an alternative
57:19
way. But what they may
57:22
see is somebody who does reduce taxation,
57:25
frees up the markets, has
57:27
less bureaucracy, less interference from the state,
57:30
and it leads to growth in the economy and
57:32
growth and prosperity. And so hopefully,
57:34
we won't have to have it go to absolute
57:36
shit in our country for people to try
57:38
and bring this alternative option. Right.
57:41
And we've seen, and I know in the UK, there've
57:43
been a lot of people struggling with cost of lockdown,
57:45
cost of living crisis, right? Like because
57:48
of the lockdown, a lot of people are sort
57:50
of, they've got their heads in the sand. They don't understand
57:52
that they don't understand just how
57:54
much lockdown cost them. These last few years have been
57:56
horrific for much of the world.
57:59
Billions have been people have suffered
58:01
the destruction of their rights,
58:03
the destruction of their businesses, the destruction
58:05
of their jobs, and the price
58:08
is being paid now for a lot of people, sadly.
58:11
So let's see. Yeah,
58:14
fingers crossed. You did mention specifically
58:17
you don't agree with him on
58:19
foreign policy. What in there is the things that
58:21
you don't agree with? Is it just that he has
58:23
foreign policy? Well, I think
58:26
he, I don't know exactly
58:29
his policy or thoughts on things like Ukraine
58:31
and Israel and things like this, but I believe
58:33
a more, let's say, Ron Paul style
58:36
libertarian would just be strictly non-interventionist.
58:39
Whereas the
58:43
dialogue over the last, let's say, few years
58:45
has been very,
58:48
the American government should support Ukraine or the American
58:51
government should support Israel and this kind of
58:53
aspect where
58:57
I think a strict libertarian interpretation
58:59
would just be,
59:00
no,
59:01
you're here to just make
59:04
sure that your own people have their
59:07
rights and freedom. If you were going to be a monarchist libertarian,
59:09
you would just say your own people should be free
59:12
and have economics and prosperity.
59:15
We shouldn't have an army that's out there trying to be
59:17
the world police. And maybe that's an American specific
59:19
thing, but it sounded a little bit like
59:21
Harvey Emmule was maybe supporting some
59:23
of that. So that's why I would say maybe on
59:26
the foreign policy aspect, I'd probably disagree
59:28
with him. He maybe
59:30
is a little closer to the Zionist sort
59:32
of perspective, it sounds like. So
59:35
that's probably where I might disagree with him.
59:37
And so,
59:40
yeah, I, but nevertheless, Argentina
59:42
is starting from such a bad
59:45
position right now that,
59:47
you know, just getting these domestic
59:49
things right in terms of deregulation and lowering
59:51
the taxes and demolishing government departments, that
59:54
may cause a big improvement in
59:56
the average day to day life for Argentinians.
59:59
And so, you know, know, that's
1:00:01
why I think, uh, so some people
1:00:03
that's like a deal breaker, right? Like this aspect of
1:00:05
like the foreign policy stuff, they think he's just not,
1:00:08
um, not, uh, he's not to be
1:00:10
supported. But, uh, I
1:00:12
think it's one of those cases where you need
1:00:14
to wait and see and give him a chance to try
1:00:16
and improve things in Argentina. Now, to be clear,
1:00:18
there's a lot of things that could go wrong, right? There's
1:00:20
a lot of things that could go wrong. He could, um, what
1:00:23
do you worry about most? I
1:00:26
wonder if there's maybe like an Argentinian deep
1:00:28
state that he wouldn't really be able to fight correctly.
1:00:30
Maybe, maybe, but I don't know, maybe
1:00:32
I'm sort of paralleling or thinking about
1:00:35
Trump and how he wasn't able to really do much now.
1:00:38
I don't, I'm not a fan of Trump, but, uh, he
1:00:40
sort of came in with this idea of trying to drain
1:00:43
the swamp and try to clean out the deep state
1:00:45
when really it sounds like he was not
1:00:47
effective at that. But maybe that's an American specific
1:00:50
thing. I don't know. Maybe that's America. Maybe
1:00:52
Argentina is a different case. Maybe it's
1:00:54
really more just about, uh, abolishing
1:00:59
government departments and just trying to bring
1:01:01
back, uh, get the government out of the way. Um,
1:01:03
but yeah, things that could go wrong. Maybe,
1:01:06
um, he gets too
1:01:09
into it, into his disagreements with Brazil
1:01:12
and Lula or someone, um, you
1:01:14
know, I mean, there's lots of things that, you
1:01:16
know, he could get sabotaged in various ways,
1:01:18
or maybe he's kind of in a gridlock. Maybe
1:01:21
he doesn't have enough power to actually abolish
1:01:23
various government departments and lower the spending, lower the
1:01:25
taxes. And so he's sort of stuck in this gridlock
1:01:28
and not able to implement actual libertarian
1:01:31
policies. Yeah.
1:01:33
I think there's the other one I worried
1:01:35
about is that whether he
1:01:37
would weaken democracy as a libertarian,
1:01:40
but then become tyrannical himself.
1:01:43
So people have made this, um, case as well.
1:01:45
I think historically in terms of Latin
1:01:48
America politics that
1:01:50
they say, Oh, it's swung from extreme
1:01:52
to extreme. Um, but
1:01:55
I think in this case, he,
1:01:58
he does seem to be a genuinely. Austrian
1:02:00
economist, right? Like, whereas historically, people have
1:02:02
looked at, let's say, Chile and said, oh, it's the
1:02:04
Friedman boys went in. In this
1:02:06
case, he I think he genuinely is interested
1:02:09
in Austrian economics. He has written
1:02:11
a chapter in a book praising Hoerter
1:02:13
de Soto, who is a
1:02:15
well known Austrian economist. And
1:02:18
so, I think, economically,
1:02:21
I'm expecting that he should be sound.
1:02:24
But the question is whether he will be able to implement
1:02:26
those things. And, you know, like I said,
1:02:28
we never really know exactly how
1:02:30
things go. But I'm cautiously optimistic
1:02:33
about what this means for the cause of liberty
1:02:35
around the world. Yeah, back back
1:02:37
to the being strict in non
1:02:40
interventionist. What is the thesis
1:02:42
behind that? Because I understand
1:02:45
this just, you know, we seem to be in forever wars
1:02:47
now, they're completely ineffective. But there have been times
1:02:49
where there has been intervention, USA
1:02:52
in World War Two, I think Thailand
1:02:54
originally in Cambodia, when the genocide
1:02:57
was happening there, and, you know, anything that may
1:02:59
have happened in Rwanda, there are cases like
1:03:01
genuine cases of genocide. What
1:03:04
is the kind of thesis behind being completely
1:03:07
non interventionist? So I think, firstly,
1:03:10
it would be this case that why
1:03:13
should the state go and do things
1:03:15
by coercively funding, you know,
1:03:17
taking taxpayer funding to go do these other causes
1:03:19
that those taxpayers don't agree with, right? If those taxpayers
1:03:21
agree with it, they should go to war
1:03:23
in those countries, they should fund the war in those countries.
1:03:26
So if you war bonded them, would
1:03:28
that be okay? I guess if
1:03:31
it was voluntarily funded. But even
1:03:34
then, there are cases where
1:03:38
in the UK, for example, in World War
1:03:40
One, they lied about the war bonds, that
1:03:42
as you may have spoken with Lynn
1:03:44
in from her book in broken money, she makes that point
1:03:47
that they actually lied about the subscription
1:03:49
rates on the war bonds to make it seem like
1:03:51
there was public support for this thing. So
1:03:53
that's one example. Another example would just
1:03:56
be that the state is not effective
1:03:59
in these things. Another example would be this
1:04:01
idea of not having entangling alliances. Just
1:04:04
trade with everybody and just don't have any entangling
1:04:06
alliances. Just focus on your
1:04:08
own patch and make life
1:04:10
better for your own citizens as opposed to trying
1:04:12
to go out there and be the world
1:04:15
police as America
1:04:17
has tried and failed at sadly. That's
1:04:21
the generous interpretation, right? That
1:04:23
they were trying to do a good thing. And the not
1:04:25
so good interpretation is that there's this
1:04:28
military industrial complex that's out there going out
1:04:30
and starting wars around the world because
1:04:32
it sort of benefits them or
1:04:34
it benefits this class of lobbyists
1:04:36
and military industrial complex and Boeing
1:04:39
and Raytheon and the like that they
1:04:41
benefit from it at the expense
1:04:43
of human lives, people
1:04:46
who get injured and the cost
1:04:48
and the foregone prosperity that could have
1:04:50
been had if they were just trading and being
1:04:54
bonafide libertarian capitalists. Okay.
1:04:57
All right. So, just
1:05:01
a couple more things. It's
1:05:03
a four year term. You can only serve two terms.
1:05:08
What does success look like to you in four
1:05:10
years time and not your
1:05:12
ultimate perfect view? But what
1:05:14
do you want to see in a realistic kind of world?
1:05:17
Right. What would realistic success look like? Probably
1:05:20
a period
1:05:22
where maybe there's going to be some initial pain
1:05:24
and struggle, right? Short term pain for long term
1:05:26
gain that if he can lower the taxes, maybe
1:05:28
he can attract international investment.
1:05:31
Maybe people can start
1:05:34
to save. People can start
1:05:36
to increase their productivity
1:05:38
and prosperity. I think
1:05:41
that maybe there'll
1:05:43
be an initial year of pain and then maybe
1:05:45
things can slowly start to climb up
1:05:48
and out of that for Argentina.
1:05:52
And hopefully by then
1:05:54
more and more people are
1:05:56
bought into the idea of, oh, wow, actually libertarianism
1:05:59
has sort of made. things better for the country
1:06:01
and then maybe it can become a sustainable thing
1:06:05
that even as you said if it's a two-term limit
1:06:07
maybe another person from
1:06:09
the libertarian party there can get voted in in
1:06:11
the future and things like that that
1:06:14
allow things to continue. But
1:06:16
I think the important thing I would the
1:06:18
important point I would make is that capitalism
1:06:23
as the term suggests is about the accumulation
1:06:25
of capital and that takes time. So
1:06:29
to have nice things
1:06:31
it requires machinery and productivity
1:06:34
and it takes time to slowly build those up
1:06:36
right so it's like slow to build things very
1:06:38
quick to destroy them and so when you're trying
1:06:40
to build things up it can look
1:06:43
like you're just paying this price unnecessarily
1:06:46
compared to the other guy who's just kind of using the fiat
1:06:48
printer and cheap debt to
1:06:51
sort of out
1:06:53
compete you but if you take that
1:06:56
slow and steady saving approach
1:06:58
and productive approach you can
1:07:01
end up being far more productive in the
1:07:03
long term because you haven't had all those big
1:07:05
booms and bust cycles as the
1:07:08
fiat printer style of growth will
1:07:11
give you. Which is never real
1:07:13
growth anyway and so I guess what you're
1:07:15
really saying that it's more like a trajectory you're
1:07:17
looking at a trajectory of better
1:07:19
policy as you say government
1:07:22
getting out of the way of people and
1:07:25
I guess it's going to be more
1:07:28
kind of like subjective judgment
1:07:30
with probably some objective data in there. Right
1:07:34
so hopefully their
1:07:36
productivity has gone up over time. Hopefully
1:07:39
life expectancy is going up. Hopefully
1:07:41
poverty rates have come down. Inflation
1:07:45
hopefully is at least a
1:07:48
lot reduced. So I
1:07:50
think those are some of the metrics that you could try
1:07:52
to look at to kind of get a rough idea. What's
1:07:55
the quality of life like for the
1:07:57
man in the street right. Is his life better?
1:08:00
Is he actually able to look after his family,
1:08:02
feed his family better than he could, you know,
1:08:04
under the Peronist regimes? And
1:08:07
I guess polling data in four years time will be super interesting.
1:08:10
Yeah, for sure. Yeah. Okay.
1:08:13
And what would failure look like to you? So
1:08:16
maybe he gets locked down in gridlock. Maybe
1:08:19
he is not able to really pass many
1:08:22
actual free market laws because the
1:08:25
currently people
1:08:28
currently in Senate and the House sort
1:08:30
of force all these, what's
1:08:33
the word when you give something up in a negotiation? Like
1:08:38
I forgot the word, but basically they force, they sort of
1:08:40
coerce or they sort of force him to put
1:08:42
in all these concessions, like concessions in the proportions.
1:08:44
You know what I mean? Like they force concessions
1:08:47
that so that he can't realistically
1:08:49
open the economy up. I
1:08:52
think, you know, yeah,
1:08:55
I think that's, I
1:08:57
mean, it's possible. I just, I don't really
1:09:00
know enough about Argentina to sort
1:09:02
of comment further than that. But
1:09:04
I would say, yeah, that's probably one of the less
1:09:07
successful pathways. If in
1:09:10
four years time, Argentina has not
1:09:12
started to come out of this crisis
1:09:14
period, then it would look
1:09:16
like a failure. Yeah. Well, it's
1:09:18
quite interesting. I guess we're all just kind of sitting and waiting
1:09:21
now, really. Like, what's the first thing he's
1:09:23
going to do? But it's funny because I've known you for
1:09:25
a long time. But there's like, through this, I would
1:09:27
you probably don't realize this whole excitement.
1:09:30
And like I see a different kind of,
1:09:32
how do I put it?
1:09:35
I definitely sound cringy. But like, there's
1:09:38
a real positivity in the way you will reply to things
1:09:40
as a real excitement. I guess this is an
1:09:42
exciting time for a libertarian. It's exciting
1:09:44
as a Bitcoiner, right? But as a libertarian, this
1:09:47
must be just particularly exciting. Yeah, exactly.
1:09:49
And so that's the funny thing as well, because some
1:09:52
Bitcoiners who are maybe a little more statist
1:09:54
or culturally lefty, maybe
1:09:56
they weren't as happy about it. I'm
1:09:59
not attacking you. I'm happy about this. There
1:10:02
were some who were, yeah,
1:10:04
whereas I think those of us who are coming
1:10:06
from a more explicitly libertarian view, most
1:10:09
of us are happy about this, except for the ones who are
1:10:11
kind of against everything or kind of people. Most
1:10:15
are saying, yeah, I think this is probably,
1:10:18
I mean, we can't guarantee, it's probably a good step
1:10:21
forward and it's probably going to encourage
1:10:23
more people to learn about liberty and
1:10:25
learn about Bitcoin. And I think that
1:10:28
is a good thing for any Bitcoiner.
1:10:30
So let's see what happens. I think
1:10:32
it will be an interesting example to be able to point
1:10:34
to and say, well, hey, they elected a libertarian
1:10:37
in Argentina and maybe things are
1:10:39
going, hopefully, in a few years time, if things are
1:10:41
going well, then it's a good example that you can point
1:10:43
to. And we'll all be making
1:10:45
our pilgrimage there like we do to El Zonte. So
1:10:48
Stephan, I appreciate your time. I've always enjoyed
1:10:50
our chats. I've learned so much from you publicly
1:10:53
and our private chats and occasional disagreement.
1:10:56
But I really do appreciate you always being available to
1:10:58
me for this because I have learned so much
1:11:00
for you. Anyone listening, definitely check out
1:11:02
Stephan's podcast, the Stephan Levera
1:11:04
podcast. It's amazing. A bit more technical
1:11:06
than mine, but touches
1:11:09
on some similar subjects. Anything
1:11:11
else you're working on you want to send people towards? Yeah,
1:11:14
so StephanLevera.com and of course,
1:11:16
I'm also head of education at swan.com. So
1:11:18
people who want to buy Bitcoin or learn about Bitcoin, go to swan.com.
1:11:22
All right, my man. Thank you, Stephan. Thank
1:11:24
you. Appreciate you. Hopefully, I'll see
1:11:26
you soon. And I'm not sure where, but I'm sure somewhere in the world. Yeah,
1:11:30
I'll see you
1:11:30
soon. All right. What
1:11:34
do you think of that? What do you think of Javier
1:11:36
Millet? I think it's a very
1:11:38
interesting idea. It's an interesting project.
1:11:41
I hope he is successful. Having been
1:11:43
to Argentina, it's a beautiful country, beautiful people
1:11:46
that just need to get government out of the way. So
1:11:49
I think it's going to be very interesting. But like Stephan says,
1:11:51
you know, we have to hold his feet to the fire.
1:11:53
We have to hold him to account, make sure he does what he said
1:11:56
he was going to do. I cannot wait to get back
1:11:58
out to Argentina. It's one of my favorite places. I've been to in the world
1:12:01
everything about it is incredible and you should
1:12:03
definitely go and visit But I want to see what's happening
1:12:05
on the ground there I wish I'd have been there the
1:12:07
night of the election. It looked like a party It looked like exciting
1:12:10
times are coming for the country So
1:12:12
I think it's a positive thing, but
1:12:15
I definitely want your feedback. Please do get in touch
1:12:17
Let me know what you think, you know my email
1:12:19
by now, but it's hello what Bitcoin did calm
1:12:22
All right. Have a great rest of your week, and I will see
1:12:24
you all on Friday You
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