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Dynasty Rookie Superflex Mock Draft with Matt Waldman

Dynasty Rookie Superflex Mock Draft with Matt Waldman

Released Thursday, 2nd May 2024
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Dynasty Rookie Superflex Mock Draft with Matt Waldman

Dynasty Rookie Superflex Mock Draft with Matt Waldman

Dynasty Rookie Superflex Mock Draft with Matt Waldman

Dynasty Rookie Superflex Mock Draft with Matt Waldman

Thursday, 2nd May 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

Big show for you guys today.

0:02

We have Matt Waldman of the

0:04

rookie scouting portfolio joining me to

0:07

do a rookie dynasty superflex

0:09

mock draft. Man,

0:12

we make it through two rounds. Didn't make it

0:14

to three rounds. We make their two rounds and

0:16

we have a ton of players that we discussed

0:18

in this one. Matt Waldman and I disagree on

0:21

Kian Coleman or do we? The

0:23

rookie receiver we think could be the most

0:25

productive outside of the big three and

0:28

which running back is the smartest back in

0:30

the class? According to Matt Waldman, all of

0:32

that and more coming up on today's show.

0:34

Let's get into it. Delve

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1:00

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the energy and order yours at Acura

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dot com. It's

1:40

Thursday, May

1:42

2nd. I'm

1:53

Matt Harmon. Welcome to the Yahoo Fantasy Football Show,

1:55

and it is truly a hell

1:58

of a day to talk about. because

2:00

joining me is

2:02

a man I've been excited to talk

2:04

to all draft season I feel like we actually

2:06

have not gone back and forth much at all

2:09

not on air really barely off air but

2:11

it's one of my favorite people in the

2:14

industry one of my favorite guys to

2:16

talk to about prospects it is the

2:18

author of the rookie scouting portfolio mr. Matt

2:20

Waldman Waldman what's going on buddy hey

2:22

man I'm doing well always good

2:25

to be able to talk with my bud Matt Harmon

2:27

so you know look man it's nice that we get

2:29

to catch up and do this and you know

2:31

cuz the only other person I get to watch film

2:33

with these days is this this little box safety

2:35

and I'm not right here in the background

2:39

yeah you're officially a dog guy I mean I

2:41

think that is that's that's new since the last

2:43

time we've done the show together I think it

2:46

is yes a friend of mine found him

2:48

at the side of the road in southeast

2:50

Georgia like on three legs shot

2:53

whip had been on his own for

2:55

about six weeks and my

2:58

she called me up and said I found

3:00

your dog and I said I've never dog

3:02

in 30 years I've only had cats that

3:04

she's like this is your dog and she

3:06

was right he's a he you

3:08

know he even has Cleveland Browns color

3:10

so he's a he's the next Cleveland

3:12

Browns box safety he's gonna try it

3:14

he we do if you see all the

3:17

sorts of debris in the background those are Najee Harris

3:19

drills that we're doing right now I

3:22

mean incredible stuff well hey shout out to you

3:24

you know you're you're

3:26

my friend you're a good guy I already knew

3:28

that but extra shout out to you for being

3:30

a good guy and rescuing a dog in need

3:32

as a fellow rescue dog

3:35

owner not Charlie didn't

3:37

rescue him from anything that maybe

3:44

made his life probably easier than it was in

3:46

his in his previous please change

3:48

the change the pillow it's not

3:50

fluffed enough for me yeah And

4:00

it's a lot of work, but it's very rewarding And

4:03

again shout out to you for for doing

4:05

that this is gonna be a very rewarding

4:07

show here Walden for the listeners because We

4:10

do this every year on the show. I really wanted

4:12

to have you on this one because I just

4:15

want to talk through some players with you and like

4:17

a wide variety and The best

4:19

way to do that is to just do a

4:22

dynasty rookie mock draft. We're gonna go pick by

4:24

pick We're gonna try to do

4:26

three rounds. So 36 picks in total.

4:28

I decided we should do a super flex because

4:31

Number one the super flex bros always are like

4:33

if you're not doing a super flex Dynasty

4:36

draft like are you even really trying and number

4:38

two? I really want to hear your

4:40

take on some of these quarterbacks. So gonna be super

4:42

exciting here Let's get right into it because again, we

4:44

got a lot of picks here to make and

4:46

because I am such a gracious Lovely

4:50

guy I decided to give

4:52

you the first pick So with the

4:54

101 in our little super flex dynasty

4:56

rookie mock draft here Matt Waldman, who

4:58

is your first pick? Well, I'm

5:00

getting set up. So I'm gonna go ahead and

5:02

take Caleb Williams number one just because Really

5:05

to me even whether it's super flex or not

5:08

I want quarterbacks who I feel like

5:10

can anchor my team for The

5:13

next 10 to 12 years now if most of you who

5:15

do listen to me on a regular basis know I'm very

5:18

skeptical About most quarterbacks and

5:20

would tell you that most of them don't

5:22

deserve to be drafted in the first round

5:24

But this guy I think

5:26

is essentially childproof and and the

5:29

Bears have just progressed from childhood

5:31

to adolescence in terms of their organizational

5:34

structure and it's figured out

5:37

after Wasting their time, you

5:39

know messing around with Justin Fields and

5:41

and really kind of ruining his

5:44

early developmental opportunity I

5:46

don't think they're gonna do that with Williams great weapons

5:49

around him He's gonna

5:51

certainly have moments of hero ball, but

5:53

they're not massive Issues

5:55

in the way to say Mitchell Trubisky had

5:57

massive issues. So I'm a big fan and

5:59

I would I love to start off

6:01

a franchise with him as as

6:03

my number one overall pick who I think I'm going

6:05

to have erin rogers like

6:08

Development. I mean maybe like faster than

6:10

that But he's going to develop into

6:12

an erin rogers type of player and

6:14

be a long-term top five top seven

6:16

quarterback Yeah, people know my

6:18

feelings on kayla williams at this point and

6:21

especially the bears ecosystem and what they've set

6:23

him up with Which is truly I mean

6:25

terrific. I I can't remember Like

6:28

you said, I can't remember very many young

6:30

quarterbacks getting dropped into a better set of

6:32

circumstances from an on-field standpoint Of course, there's

6:34

the the bears question of it all and

6:36

that does of course bear Ironically

6:39

bear watching so there's all that

6:41

right? But i'm curious from your

6:44

perspective just because for people

6:46

who don't know matt's work Um,

6:48

it's some of the most detailed like

6:50

sickeningly detailed work that you're ever going

6:52

to find in the industry And I

6:54

say that with love as somebody that

6:56

does a lot of sickeningly detailed work

7:01

We are truly fellow sickos my friend

7:03

there's no question about that um

7:05

But part of what I love about your work

7:07

is that not only do you go

7:09

into an incredible level of detail with

7:12

the current class You show your work

7:14

from like a a wide historical perspective

7:16

and I think that's just like So

7:19

invaluable for the readers and listeners and

7:21

watchers if you're just paying attention to

7:23

an evaluator So with that in mind

7:25

when you look through like rsp

7:28

history How good

7:30

of a prospect is kayla williams in your

7:32

mind because you're you're so right. You are

7:35

not easy on these quarterbacks No,

7:37

i'm not because i'm really I I

7:40

would argue that i'm kind of ahead of

7:42

the game in terms of the value of

7:44

processing That's something that i've

7:46

always had embedded with what I do Um,

7:49

so a lot of these guys who get

7:51

drafted who have like the big arm Nice

7:53

size went to a big name school

7:55

and had big box for production. They

7:58

don't impress me and they generally are

8:00

guys that fail out because what

8:02

goes on between the ears and how fast

8:05

and confidently they can deliver that and execute

8:08

that information from the moment they spot it

8:10

is important. So Caleb Williams is really,

8:12

he had a score of 85, which on my 100

8:14

point scale is an instant

8:17

starter, 85 is that point. Most

8:19

guys who are like, Joe Burrow for instance was like,

8:22

I think an 81, 82, somewhere in that

8:27

range. I have a couple of guys that

8:29

were anomalies, for instance, you know, Skyler Thompson

8:31

had an 87 score and I knew it

8:33

was an anomaly. I literally even listed them

8:35

number one, two years ago, instead of it's

8:37

an anomaly. I

8:40

think he's going to have value, but he's

8:43

not even likely to get drafted. So

8:45

the fact that he played as well as he

8:47

did was probably a testament to

8:49

that. But most of the time guys like Mitchell

8:52

Trubisky guys like that are in like the 76 to 79 range.

8:57

A lot of these quarterbacks in that way. So

8:59

I would say Caleb Williams over the past five

9:01

years, Patrick Mahomes scored an

9:03

87 or an 88 and

9:05

that was probably one of the best up

9:08

there. So I would say we're like all

9:10

time best hits is the Patrick Mahomes. I

9:13

probably share my Patrick Mahomes scouting report at

9:16

least every other week. And I will probably

9:18

do that until I die. So

9:20

I mean, I don't care, you know, because

9:22

it's that hard to hit on something like

9:24

that. That's a career bucket

9:28

list moment for me, you know, that probably

9:30

Lamar and him. But

9:32

yeah, Caleb is up there with those guys. He

9:35

may be on the lower end of where

9:37

Mahomes was, but that's

9:40

where I'm at. And I know

9:42

Will Hewitt, who

9:45

is the pre-draft coach for

9:47

Caleb and for Brock Purdy and Anthony

9:49

Richardson, I contribute scouting reports to them

9:53

months before I do the RSP. And, you know,

9:55

I just had Caleb on. I mean, I just

9:57

had Will on talking about Caleb and he talked

9:59

about. different things with like T-spine

10:01

rotation and the flexibility of throwing

10:03

and his ability to process information

10:06

and how good he was with

10:08

control in terms of throwing at

10:10

high velocity and low velocity while

10:12

still having control of the ball

10:14

with a high spin rate. So

10:16

you see a guy with all

10:18

the tools and the things that

10:20

he's up and down about, he

10:22

has more highs than lows with the

10:24

conceptual part of the game. And

10:27

he doesn't tend to repeat

10:30

mistakes within

10:32

the same game. Whereas someone like say Zach

10:34

Wilson, he threw a pretty ball

10:36

at times but when

10:39

people really chart accuracy, sometimes

10:41

they don't really understand what they

10:43

should be charting. Even if they

10:45

understand scheme, they could be total

10:47

brainiacs with X's and O's but

10:50

what they should be charting of

10:52

what's accurate, what's pinpoint accurate,

10:54

what's not pinpoint accurate. Caleb

10:57

Williams has all those tools, he's very accurate

10:59

and he makes consciously good decisions and

11:01

when he makes mistakes, he usually corrects

11:04

them in game. It's

11:06

there. He's probably one of the

11:08

top five to seven guys I've studied. All

11:11

right, so I'm up here at the

11:13

102 and again, this is

11:15

a super flex draft so there's a real

11:17

temptation for me to go with Jaden Daniels

11:19

here because even if I've got questions about

11:21

him as a prospect and as a player,

11:23

I'm curious about your opinion of him as

11:25

a player of course. Even

11:27

if I have those questions, the margin for

11:29

error for a guy that's going to run

11:32

in fantasy is just so big. I

11:35

can have all these questions about him and he could

11:37

still be like a successful pick here at 102 just

11:39

because he's going to run but that's not the direction

11:41

I'm going to go. I'm

11:45

a big Marvin Harrison fan. To

11:47

me, he's such a clean prospect. I

11:49

know you have some questions about him

11:51

reaching his theoretical ceiling and you can

11:54

expand on those here but

11:56

overall, I love the player. Love

11:58

how he translates to the NFL. as a

12:00

true ex-receiver. I think he's got a

12:02

great set of release moves against press

12:04

coverage. He's very polished. I

12:07

do share some of the questions in contested

12:09

situations and attacking the ball

12:11

that you do that we have discussed

12:13

privately as well. But

12:15

at the same time, I think some of those are

12:18

correctable issues and he can very well be a very

12:20

strong player in the NFL. So

12:22

I'm going to go with him here at 102 because I think it's

12:24

just a really good opportunity to get

12:27

a foundational place for my foundational piece

12:29

for some theoretical dynasty team here, even

12:31

though it's a super flex draft. Yeah,

12:34

I think it's probably one of the

12:36

safer picks that you're going to make.

12:39

And even the issues that I would say

12:41

about Harrison, I mean, the bigger issue that

12:44

I have right now is that immediately

12:46

he's going to have to be the man

12:48

in Arizona. He's the split in. He's

12:51

the guy that's lining up against the

12:53

top corner. He's the guy that opens

12:55

his chest up early and gets hammered

12:57

by cornerbacks occasionally who are actually NFL

13:00

savvy. It doesn't happen very often where

13:02

he was in Ohio State, but it

13:04

did. It'll happen a little bit more

13:06

often in the NFL. Does

13:09

that kill his career? Absolutely not. But

13:11

I could see this being as a

13:13

first year guy who's not also the

13:17

most quick twitch dude. I mean, like

13:19

I'm not saying he's slow. He's not.

13:21

Right. But he's not, you

13:24

know, he's not Antonio Brown working to

13:26

get open when Ben Roethlisberger is scrambling

13:28

around back in the day. He's

13:31

now working with Colin Murray, who does a lot

13:33

of that type of thing, but he's

13:35

not the quick twitch guy that say Malik

13:37

neighbors is in that regard to be able

13:39

to work open. So I could see where

13:43

Marvin Harrison has like a Larry

13:45

Fitzgerald rookie year type of scenario,

13:47

which is still good, but it's

13:49

like 780 yards, you know, 70

13:52

to 80 catches, 780 yards, eight

13:54

to 10 touchdowns. Still good enough to

13:56

be like a, a wide

13:59

receiver. for three, year one, and then

14:01

next, the year after that, Fitzgerald had a

14:03

1400 yard season. So I

14:05

could totally see that working out. But

14:08

I could see missed opportunities against top corners who

14:10

are going to like say, Hey, welcome to the

14:12

NFL. This is how we play. This is

14:14

not who you played at Michigan that

14:17

everyone's fawning over. You know,

14:19

and I think we're going to have some of those moments in

14:21

those contested catch scenarios. But

14:24

as a number one overall, as your first overall pick,

14:26

I wouldn't argue with I wouldn't argue with anyone who

14:28

took him first overall. Yeah.

14:31

Tell you what, if he gets between like 700, 800 yards, people are going to

14:34

be super disappointed. Yeah, based on

14:36

where the expectations are right now,

14:38

the very high expectations. But

14:41

you know, that that's always within the range

14:43

of outcomes. I agree with you that the

14:45

biggest question I have with him is just

14:47

working with a scrambling quarterback like Kyler Murray,

14:49

because even some like receivers I'd call mid

14:51

tier guys in the NFL, really

14:53

take their like, Gabe Davis is a

14:55

great example that I mean, Gabe Davis is whatever,

14:59

like he's a whatever starting receiver in the

15:01

league. But he has made a it made

15:03

himself a lot of money. And he's got

15:05

a lot of cred to his reputation, because

15:07

he has that sense of working with Josh

15:09

Allen at this point in his career, like

15:12

four years in his career, of like

15:14

when to snap off these routes. And you mentioned like the

15:16

quick twitch part of it. So that

15:18

that I think will be the most interesting thing with with

15:21

Marvin Harrison and Kyler Murray, because we just haven't seen him

15:23

do that yet. So I

15:25

think that will be a fascinating thing to track with this

15:27

player in particular. But all right, 1.03.

15:29

Matt Waldman, who are we

15:31

going with at 1.03? So we're

15:33

looking at this as a new team here, right?

15:36

Yeah, yeah, total, total, these are all like that

15:38

within their own little entities. All right. So

15:40

then, you know, I'm looking at Malik neighbors at

15:42

this point. And you know, I hate the I

15:44

hate for Malik neighbors that he's a New York

15:46

child right now. He seems to be the idea

15:49

that child. But

15:51

I think, but I

15:53

think all time great

15:56

press conference, where he just like butchers

15:58

the starting quarterback's name. Yeah,

16:00

because he's hoping he's hoping to God that

16:02

true lock is in the corner. What a

16:05

tough way to be like you got to hope for true

16:07

law. I'm telling you, you

16:09

know, but that's, I think that's probably what's

16:11

going on is when you're in your pre,

16:14

when you're in your pre draft visit and

16:16

you're on air, you're on camera saying, you

16:18

know, don't draft me. Um, unless

16:20

you, unless you got a, someone who's going to be

16:22

able to get me the ball and

16:24

now they draft you. I mean, this could be

16:26

a disaster. I understand. But at the same point,

16:29

you re I think at this stage

16:31

you rely on talent. And when you're looking at

16:33

overall talent, not just on fit, but

16:36

just overall what a player can do, I

16:38

think he's the best player of the skill

16:40

players in this draft, I think he's the

16:42

best route runner in terms of the

16:45

selection and application

16:47

of release movements with his footwork and

16:50

his hand. I think he

16:52

tells the most efficient stories as

16:54

a route runner with his stems, like

16:56

the types of stems that you should

16:59

be using on certain types of routes.

17:01

He's not playground with how he moves.

17:03

He, he, he's very efficient and he's

17:05

very, he has really great selection and

17:07

a great vocabulary of moves that he

17:09

can, you can use in during the

17:11

stem, during the top of the route,

17:13

and then he can make all the

17:16

breaks you want them to make. And

17:18

he is tough at the catch point and

17:20

quick Twitch after the catch. I mean, I

17:23

don't, I don't know if Antonio Brown is

17:25

a great comparison for him, but I thought

17:27

Odell Beckham was a good comparison for him.

17:29

You know, when you look at the, at

17:31

the skill set and he's going to be

17:34

the man right away, I think he's the most equipped

17:36

to have to be the man right away. It doesn't

17:38

mean it's going to translate to

17:40

four. I think any of these receivers who were

17:42

the top three, if you're expecting

17:45

1400 yards and you're trading your entire

17:47

like house, so like get these

17:49

guys to say you have them, you've made a

17:51

mistake, especially in this deep of a draft

17:54

class. So that's why I kind of like mentioned

17:56

with Marvin Harrison, some of the things I

17:59

did because I'm. But I don't train three

18:01

first round picks to get them. So I

18:03

mean, like if no one's people are going

18:05

to soak you to get this guy,

18:07

if he lands, if you happen to have the,

18:09

the pick to get them good for you, if

18:11

you didn't just build a good

18:14

team, you know, because you might build

18:16

enough surplus that you could get Harrison

18:18

for less two to three years from

18:20

now, then you are probably going to

18:22

have to pay for him in a

18:24

rookie draft. So with neighbors, it's kind

18:26

of neighbors, the it's not as

18:28

much of a demand for him. But I

18:30

think the gap between him and Harrison is

18:32

minimal. And, you know,

18:34

look, if Darius Layton can

18:36

like have like borderline fantasy

18:39

level production, um, I think

18:41

Malik neighbors can exceed that pretty, pretty

18:43

easily. Even first year. Well,

18:46

I think the fun part about neighbors is that

18:48

he's equipped to be the man in like a

18:50

very different way than these other two guys are

18:52

just because of how he's going to line up,

18:54

right? Like his alignment data is very different than

18:57

Roma Dunsey or Marvin Harrison, right? And like, they're

18:59

going to be able to hide, like you talk

19:01

about, there's really no way to hide Marvin

19:03

Harrison because you're going to use him, right? And get

19:05

the best out of him. You're going to have to

19:07

put him on the boundary and you're going to have

19:09

to have him run out as that extra receiver. I

19:12

think if you did that with Malik neighbors, you that's

19:14

like certifiably crazy. You're not, you're not doing that. Like

19:16

you're going to be able to hide him as like

19:18

a, in condensed formations, you're going to be able to

19:21

like put him off the line of scrimmage, scrimmage, give

19:23

him some of those free releases and like, I mean,

19:26

Daniel Jones can mess that up, but you've

19:28

got to work really hard to mess that

19:30

up. So like, I think that that

19:32

is what, if you're looking for instant impact from Malik

19:34

neighbors, that's the story you have to tell yourself, but

19:36

I do agree with you that overall, and

19:39

like, you know, there are some receivers that landed

19:41

in some interesting spots that we'll talk about here

19:43

shortly that could produce more in year one than

19:45

neighbors or Roma Dunsey just cause of the target

19:47

competition. Yep. No doubt.

19:49

All right. My next pick here is tough

19:53

because I just talked about a lot of

19:55

the reasons why I don't want to go

19:57

with Jaden Daniels over Marvin Harrison and I.

20:00

don't really want to take him over. I

20:04

really don't want to take him over the receiver. I

20:06

really want to go with here. I don't. But

20:09

at the same time, I am

20:11

a coward. And I'm going to repeat all of

20:13

the analysis

20:16

that I basically just said earlier,

20:18

which is the margin for error

20:21

with a guy like Jayden Daniels in fantasy,

20:23

just because he is going to run is

20:26

it's just wide. Okay,

20:28

like, I think I'm not like,

20:31

if you had taken Jayden Daniels here, there's no

20:33

way I'm considering Drake may over the receiver that

20:35

I really want to take. Okay, so like, let's

20:37

just get that out of the way. I'm not

20:40

so super flex pill that like, I'm just going

20:42

to go with quarterbacks here no matter what. But

20:44

I think because Daniels presents an opportunity for rushing

20:46

upside. And also, I do

20:48

think he maps pretty well to the

20:51

scheme that I expect him to run

20:53

in Washington. And I think he fits

20:55

well stylistically with those receivers that are

20:57

there and Terry McGorn and Johan Dachsen.

21:01

I think Cliff Kingsbury for all my questions

21:03

about him, he can design a pretty good

21:05

run game. So even if

21:07

I'm not a believer long term in Jayden

21:09

Daniels, I am a believer

21:11

in the like immediate impact of him from

21:13

a pure fantasy perspective. So hey, if I

21:15

take him here at 104, maybe

21:18

I look to trade him at some point. I

21:20

like Jayden Daniels overall, I don't want to come off like a

21:22

Jayden Daniels hater. But that's just kind of the way I'm thinking

21:24

about this. What is your evaluation

21:26

of Jayden Daniels here as like a top

21:29

four rookie dynasty pick? Yeah,

21:31

I'm kind of like, I would say

21:33

I'm neutral to neutral good on that

21:35

end for Jayden Daniels and the standpoint

21:37

of that. He's in that

21:39

range of scores for the RSP where it's

21:41

like, I see why he can become a

21:44

starter and a good one. I also see

21:46

how they can fail that

21:48

like he could fail that

21:50

and the pocket. The

21:52

pocket management is okay, could get

21:55

worse, could get a little bit

21:57

better mainly because he's a slower

21:59

processor than people give him credit for.

22:01

I've heard some people say he's a fast

22:03

processor and he makes full field reads and

22:05

he does make full field reads occasionally when

22:07

he wasn't told or when he didn't get

22:09

in his mind later in the season to

22:11

become a one or two read guy and

22:13

leave. But he also makes what I

22:16

call tragic common type of

22:18

reads where he gets to

22:20

that second read and he has time for the third

22:23

and he has space for the third that

22:25

he's created and he should look at, he

22:27

should know the route and the coverage and

22:29

say, oh, one more beat and

22:31

that's there. And instead he turns

22:33

just as the, the, the, the receiver's breaking

22:35

open and ends up running and usually ends

22:37

up running like Marcus Marriotta

22:40

or Robert Griffin like in stages of

22:42

their career that isn't always great. He's

22:44

not a, he's not Lamar Jackson. He's

22:46

not Lamar Jackson in the pocket. He's not

22:49

Lamar Jackson processing. He's not Lamar Jackson as

22:51

a runner, but Robert Griffin

22:53

had his best Marcus

22:56

Marriotta exceeding or

22:58

in his first game, you know,

23:00

maybe, you know, ever, maybe

23:02

he could have that kind of career. I

23:04

think that there's hope for him there, especially

23:07

in the offense that he's in with the

23:09

weapons that he's got. He has a chance

23:11

to level up fast. So it's an understandable

23:13

pick for me, but I'm going to say

23:15

this Matt Harmon, I'm running up to the

23:17

podium now, you know, I'm running

23:20

up to the podium and I'm saying, listen, I

23:23

know because, you know, I'm,

23:25

I'm not broadcasting my thoughts to

23:27

anybody else. Usually in any type of draft,

23:29

I know Michael Pentex is going to be

23:31

there for me. Most, most likely it's in

23:34

a lot of leads at this point, probably

23:36

second or at the end of the third

23:38

round, probably end of the third round in

23:40

a lot of drafts and super flex probably

23:42

somewhere in the second round, I'll take my

23:44

chances and if I lose out on a

23:47

quarterback, I don't care because I'm going to

23:49

build a surplus of studs. And if I

23:51

don't win right away, that's okay. Because if

23:53

I get a ton of good receivers and

23:55

backs, I can get the quarterback I want

23:58

even big career. So I'm getting Roman. You

24:01

know, I'm going to,

24:03

I mean, I'm getting the guy who was

24:05

in the best situation. He's got the best

24:07

quarterback of this group. He's got

24:09

a team that's learned their lesson. He's

24:11

got DJ Moore at the apex

24:14

of his career right now, who's figured out

24:16

how to make boundary catches. He's

24:18

got Keenan Allen, who when healthy enough is

24:20

still playing at peak production. He's going to learn

24:22

from Allen for a year. He's

24:25

basically got Aaron Rogers, Jr.

24:27

in Chicago. He's basically

24:29

Devontae Adams, Jr. in Chicago. And

24:31

he's going to be in the Devontae

24:34

Adams situation to learn. So he may

24:36

not be productive this year on

24:38

a level of neighbors in Harrison, but he's going

24:41

to be super efficient because they're going to get

24:43

to move him around. Williams is

24:45

going to get, defense has to pick their

24:47

poison and he's going to soak up all

24:49

that greatness that he's got from those two

24:52

other players and continue working. And

24:54

I mean, and if one of those guys gets hurt,

24:56

he's a, he's a thousand yard receiver now and he's

24:58

not even as good as he could be. So

25:01

yeah, I don't care. I'll take the bowl

25:03

again this year and get Roma do today.

25:07

Yeah, I suck. Uh, I

25:09

definitely should have just taken Rome at my

25:11

previous pick there for all the reasons you

25:13

just said. And like, man, I, I really

25:15

went hard back and forth Waldman in terms

25:17

of who I liked more between my number

25:20

one receiver, Marvin Harrison, a Roma doomsday. I

25:22

love Rome. I'm so excited about him as

25:24

a player. And I'm glad you

25:26

said like he's in the best situation because yeah, he

25:28

might have like, like

25:31

he might not have the production that we want

25:33

this year, but at the same time, there's also

25:35

a lot of like contingent value there as Keenan

25:37

Allen gets hurt again. Right. And

25:39

like, what if they just get into camp and like,

25:41

you know, who's better this year? Like Roma doomsday, like

25:43

he might, that, that is possible. Just where Keenan Allen

25:46

is at this point in his career and the routes

25:48

you want him running anyways, like he's going to be

25:50

those he's Keenan Allen is

25:52

ideally going to run those like layup routes and

25:54

give the quarterback a reliable target underneath. You're telling

25:56

me that Caleb Williams is going to be reading

25:58

that before he's going to be the Roma

26:00

Dunes day routes? I don't think so pal.

26:02

And I think he's gonna be on the

26:04

field Roma Dunes day like 80 plus percent

26:06

of the routes. I'd be at least 70

26:09

percent. I'd be stunned. Like he's not Jackson

26:11

Smith and Jigba who I know both you

26:13

and I liked last year. But

26:15

JSN is a slot guy. Like Roma Dunes day is

26:17

not. This is not a similar situation. So yeah,

26:20

great frickin' pick pal.

26:22

I regret it already.

26:25

And now because especially now I'm looking

26:28

at the board like this is not

26:30

fun here at the sixth pick because

26:32

I like I'm not

26:36

that excited about the Bowers landing spot. I

26:38

think it's a little early for my receiver

26:41

four or five. So

26:43

like I guess I just I guess I just

26:46

got I mean, jeez, I guess I just got

26:48

to close my nose and like take one of

26:50

these quarterbacks here between Drake May and JJ McCarthy.

26:52

And you could really tell I'm super convicted on

26:54

this and I feel great about it. I

26:58

think I'll go ahead and take Drake May. I

27:00

know you're not super high on May. So I'm

27:03

curious what you think about this. But I

27:05

do at least really believe in New England's commitment

27:07

to develop him the right way. The fact that

27:09

the first thing they say after they draft him

27:12

is like we could start to Kobe reset this

27:14

year and like look, teams say that all the

27:16

time and they never do it. So that's possible.

27:19

But I'm geez, I really do

27:21

like the players ceiling. I like the projectable

27:23

ceiling you see out of him. I do

27:26

have questions about how consistently he's going to

27:28

do it from a year one perspective. And

27:30

most importantly here Waldman, I like what they've

27:32

done at the receiver position in

27:34

the draft this year. I like Polk,

27:36

I like Baker as second and fourth

27:39

round picks. So I could easily have

27:41

really screwed myself here and just really

27:44

struck out. So if you were

27:46

in my position here, would you have taken May

27:48

McCarthy or somebody else? I

27:51

would have considered McCarthy, but I probably

27:53

would have taken somebody else. And I

27:55

probably would have said forget it with

27:57

the quarterback. I mean, I know that people are.

28:00

They look at Drake May and they

28:02

see he looks like someone out of

28:04

central casting for what an NFL team

28:06

wants from a quarterback He

28:09

also sold it all the other quarterbacks

28:11

I mentioned that haven't worked out like

28:13

Janial Jones and you know and

28:17

drew lock and Mitchell

28:19

Trubisky and Zach Wilson and you know the

28:21

line it goes on down the line the

28:23

thing with Drake May is this is is

28:27

He's a flow processor. He drifts in

28:29

and out of the pocket too much

28:31

His his accuracy does not work well

28:33

for me from a charting standpoint He's

28:35

just he and it's then it's rooted

28:37

in that the speed inaccurate the speed

28:39

and accuracy of what he's reading

28:41

and getting it Out confidently just isn't

28:44

there too often. He's tough He's

28:46

tough and he's gonna need to be tough if he

28:48

ends up playing in New England early I

28:51

hope for his sake for

28:53

his development because you root for these guys I

28:56

hope that you Kobe Brissett gets to play a

28:58

full year because this Elliott

29:01

Wolf thinks he's enacting the Green Bay

29:03

Packers plan But I would

29:05

argue that Jordan Love had three

29:07

years to get the

29:10

bandwidth Small enough so

29:12

that when he's on the field He's not worrying about

29:14

being in the new town having a lot of money

29:17

being famous Learning the

29:19

playbook learning the complexity of

29:21

defenses read addressing

29:23

all sorts of fundamental things

29:26

about his throwing and

29:28

his movement as a player and Accumulating

29:31

to the speed of the game because he

29:33

got that an intermittent level of starts while

29:35

playing behind Aaron Rodgers And then when he

29:37

got to be the starter all that stuff

29:39

was in place He didn't have to overthink

29:42

his game wasn't slow on the field when

29:44

he had bumps in his game he

29:46

was able to correct them pretty quickly

29:48

because he wasn't questioning everything and He

29:52

oh, yeah He had young receivers who had

29:54

one to two years of experience or no

29:56

experience at that point But he already had

29:58

three years on them Drake If he

30:00

gets put in right now, it's him

30:03

and rookie receivers. Yeah, a

30:05

lot of kids, that to me, they're all

30:07

getting put in the frying pan. So it's

30:09

like, it could work, but I'm

30:12

looking at Drake May and I feel

30:14

like he's the most likely to be

30:16

the next true Biscay scenario

30:20

because he's going to get rushed. And

30:22

I just don't believe New England, when

30:24

they say it, I want proof before

30:27

we go there. That's a

30:29

fair point. And the biggest thing that

30:31

holds me back from thinking they can pull this

30:33

Jacobi Versett thing off is just ownership

30:36

wants to see the new quarterback. That

30:39

happens all the time across the league. We know

30:41

New England is not the most patient.

30:44

They can say they're patient, whatever. They're not a

30:46

patient environment because of the success they've had there.

30:48

All right. So I hate

30:50

myself for what just happened in the last

30:52

three picks there. Take someone here

30:55

seventh off the board, Waldman, and try to give me

30:57

a break on this one. Man,

31:00

but you're my friend. I love you. But

31:02

this is draft time. So

31:06

I'm going with Lad McConkie right

31:08

here. I mean, listen, he's

31:12

sitting there and you expect me.

31:15

I went to the University of Georgia. I used

31:17

to cover those guys back in the day. I

31:19

lived there for 20 years in Athens. I'm

31:22

not going to take Lad McConkie. I mean, come

31:24

on. I got to do that on behalf of

31:26

my people. So listen, Greg

31:29

Roman is going to be running that offense,

31:31

right? We saw what he did

31:35

with Baltimore. They like to throw to the

31:37

middle of the field. Gene and

31:39

Allen's gone. Josh Herbert is really good at

31:42

throwing in the middle of the field and

31:45

being able to work with slot receivers. I

31:47

think Lad McConkie is going to play that

31:49

slot flanker role. He's

31:52

going to get free releases off the line of

31:54

scrimmage. With that footwork, he's really good at that.

31:56

He's a little less proven with using his hands.

32:00

He's not going to have to do that as

32:02

much. He's going to get a lot of those

32:04

types of alignments that you just described with Malik

32:06

neighbors. He's probably going to be the volume leader

32:08

because Quentin Johnson kind of has that

32:12

Josh Norris like profile photo

32:14

on Twitter

32:16

where he's imitating Ricky Bobby and doesn't know

32:18

what to do with his hands when the

32:20

ball arrives. And that's been an

32:23

issue and he's year two now he's not

32:25

a first round draft pick. He's a year

32:27

two guy who can't hold onto the football

32:29

with Jim Harbaugh coming onto the field and

32:31

they've got Brendan Rice who may clap attack

32:34

a little bit, but he's still, um,

32:36

a much better player than what

32:38

his draft status would likely

32:40

lead you to believe because this receiver class

32:43

is so rich. Um, and

32:46

you know, Josh Palmer, you know, fine,

32:48

you know, last year of his contract,

32:50

he's not going to drop a lot of balls.

32:53

I don't think so. He'll, he can be helpful

32:55

to an extent. But the production leader is going

32:57

to be loud. The coffee in this offense, and

32:59

it's going to be built on efficiency.

33:01

They're going to use a lot of RPOs. They're going to

33:03

use a lot of screen stuff. And

33:05

he's great at running, um, setting

33:09

up blocks. He's got great footwork and really

33:11

has a good feel for hugging blocks and

33:13

setting up space, and then he's

33:15

a great double move guy too. And

33:17

you know, Justin Herbert off play action

33:19

is deadly. So Kong,

33:21

McCaukey's to me, like I debated not,

33:23

I debated early on is lab, a

33:26

cocky, not maybe one of the top

33:28

three guys based on landing spot at

33:30

the receiver position, he might be, if

33:32

someone took him number one overall, I

33:34

would say it's ballsy, but I, but

33:36

I don't have an argument for you.

33:38

I mean, he could easily lead rookies

33:41

in receiving yards this year easily. Um,

33:43

just based on the landing spot for

33:45

those top three guys, especially neighbors and

33:47

a dune's day and just like the,

33:49

what he got dropped into for McCaukey

33:51

here. So yeah, I love this pick. Um,

33:54

I'm not going to go quarterback at this next

33:56

one. I'm going to go with Brian Thomas Jr.

33:58

Here at LSU. Um, but

34:02

there seems to be some trepidation about,

34:04

you know, are there too many mouths

34:06

to feed in this Jacksonville Jaguars offense,

34:08

like Christian Kirk and Evan Ingram and

34:11

Gabe Davis now. And now they add

34:13

Brian Thomas. Like, is he gonna, is

34:15

he too samey with what you want

34:17

to use Gabe Davis to do? Well,

34:19

I would counter with this. They've

34:22

been feeding those mouths for the last few years.

34:25

Kirk and Ingram at a very high

34:27

volume, um, especially Ingram. And like, how's

34:29

that going for you, Jacksonville? How's

34:31

that going for you feeding those mouths? Like maybe

34:33

it's time to get somebody else a bigger plate

34:36

here. And I think that's why they take Brian

34:38

Thomas. I think he offers something that

34:40

none of the receivers do on this roster, which is

34:42

like a true ability to separate

34:44

at all three levels to win against

34:47

press coverage. I love the way his

34:49

release moves grew as the season went

34:51

on. Like I thought you saw on

34:53

the job development with Brian Thomas. His

34:56

ability against press is the thing that really made

34:58

him a first round receiver in my

35:00

rankings. And that's just

35:03

not something they've had in Jacksonville, even Calvin

35:05

Ridley. Like that's what he struggled with last

35:07

year. So love the pick of

35:09

Brian Thomas for Jacksonville. And I think he

35:11

will, like, I think again, it's good that he

35:13

has other guys there that he doesn't have to be

35:16

the man right away. Cause I think that would have

35:18

been problematic for him. But at the end of the

35:20

day, I think he's clearly the most dangerous receiver in

35:22

Jacksonville. And I could see us very like,

35:24

even if it's a slow burn for him, I can

35:26

see us coming off the season and being like, oh

35:29

yeah, he's, he's ready to soar in 25

35:31

and beyond. Yeah,

35:33

I think so too. And I'm in the same

35:35

spot with you. I think it's a really good

35:37

pick. Brandon Angelo and I

35:39

were talking about it last night on our

35:41

podcast and he, he mentioned Thomas has probably

35:43

been fearing that he might be

35:46

a slow burn to start, but I'm okay

35:48

with that in dynasty league. I mean, really,

35:50

you know, three

35:52

years from now is a very different window than what

35:54

we're talking about today. And I

35:56

think that you don't take a guy this early and

35:58

with his skills, he's very. good after the

36:00

catch as well. He's going to become

36:03

a complete route runner. I think he's

36:05

on his way to doing that already.

36:07

And everything that you said I'm totally

36:09

on board with. And that kind of

36:11

gives me like, pause now

36:13

when I'm gonna draft because like, I,

36:17

you know, I love watching AFC West

36:19

football. And there's a couple of

36:21

AFC West guys, I'm really kind of torn between

36:23

and I feel like whoever I leave on the

36:25

field, whoever I leave here, I'm going

36:28

to kind of regret that I'm not going to get a

36:30

chance at them. But

36:32

I think I'm going to roll with

36:34

Xavier Worthy. Okay. And, and

36:36

this is not normally the guy I

36:38

would pick. There's another guy, the other

36:40

guy in the AFC West, I probably

36:43

would have taken ahead of him. But

36:45

I just it, I go back and forth

36:47

on these guys. I'm a

36:49

worthy fan. I believe he's more of

36:51

a Deshaun Jackson type of player than

36:53

a Jameson Williams type of player. Or

36:58

more of an maybe an Isaac Bruce for

37:00

some of our old heads like me who

37:02

remember, you know, having him on our fantasy

37:04

teams. Xavier Worthy is,

37:07

I think he runs good routes inside. I

37:09

think he makes strong

37:12

plays in the middle of the field

37:14

against tight coverage. He gets ping pong

37:16

off defenders. He's physical. Now, I'm

37:19

not saying he's going to go out there and

37:21

seek it out and be crazy about it at

37:23

his size. But he understands how to deal in

37:25

that realm. And he fights the ball a little

37:28

bit. You watch him and there's a little bit

37:30

of, but then you

37:32

go and watch his best work and you

37:34

watch a lot. You just look at the

37:36

volume of really strong work that's out there.

37:39

And he, he makes very

37:41

tough catches in the technically sound

37:43

way. So I,

37:46

you know, in this offense

37:48

with Reishi Rice's legal issues,

37:51

Sky Moore basically, you know, probably in

37:53

the hit the road jack phase of

37:55

his career, every people

37:57

get logo scouting. You

38:00

know, they look at what happened with more they

38:02

look at cadaerias tony like you you need a

38:04

drink with more I probably need to drink with

38:06

tony. Um, you know michole hardman

38:09

I never even understood by why people were

38:11

saying tyree kill part two But

38:13

I think zavier worthy is

38:15

legit and and i'm okay

38:17

with taking shots With who's

38:20

gonna be the guy for patrick mahomes

38:22

to finally be the guy who like

38:24

figures it out To

38:26

be like learn all three

38:28

positions quick enough be able

38:30

to make all the adjustments that need to be

38:32

made and grow and continue

38:35

to grow with the mid-career all-timer

38:37

and I I

38:39

think worthy is is a good contender for

38:41

that throne some of those other guys I

38:44

didn't draft nearly as high but I'll take my shot

38:46

here with worth me. Yeah worthy lines up

38:48

in terms of my receiver board This is where

38:50

I have him wide receiver six Among

38:52

the rookies from a post draft perspective now pre

38:54

draft. He wasn't this high for me Because

38:57

I do have questions about like his ability

38:59

to play against press I'd have his questions

39:02

in terms of planning contested situations, but i'm

39:04

with you that like from a route running

39:06

standpoint He's much further along than some of

39:08

these typical speed based busts, right? Like your

39:11

success rate versus man in zone is pretty

39:13

solid like where you'd kind of want from

39:15

a to me I thought he was like

39:17

a priority second round player, but he goes

39:19

to kansas city here I

39:22

think he will be my prediction is that he ends up

39:24

being a better real life player for kansas city than a

39:26

fantasy player Just because like he's gonna

39:28

open up so much for these other guys. He's

39:30

gonna he's gonna have big moments But I think

39:32

it will sort of come in spurts But here

39:34

at this point your rookie draft like you're just

39:37

trying to get a usable player and I think

39:39

Xavier worthy will be a usable player This

39:42

is just the thing about like white white and I know you do a

39:44

great job of this with the rsp is like Post

39:46

draft versus pre-draft analysis for

39:48

me. Xavier worthy like if he had gone to 25

39:52

teams in the league i'd have been like oh I

39:55

don't know about that, but he goes to this

39:57

one and I feel pretty good about how he's going to

39:59

be deployed in this offense. So that brings me

40:01

here to the 10th pick. You talk about

40:03

the other AFC West guy. This is, it's

40:05

Brock Bowers time for me. Okay,

40:07

so look, I get it. Questions

40:10

about this offense in terms of just like,

40:13

there's a lot of, there's actually kind of a lot of

40:15

guys here in this offense, right? We know they want to run

40:17

the ball a ton. Devontae Adams is still a guy that's going

40:19

to command 140 plus targets in a season

40:22

off the bus. I love Jacobi Meyers, one

40:24

of the most underrated receivers in the league. Michael Mayer is

40:26

not a bad player. Michael Mayer is pretty good.

40:29

And like we're asking Gardner Minshew to

40:31

elevate all these guys along with Brock

40:33

Bowers, Aiden O'Connell. That

40:35

I don't love, but this is, that's year one,

40:37

okay? I think the

40:39

Raiders, with all those cast of characters I

40:42

just talked about and the culture that seems

40:44

super appealing for, with what Antonio

40:46

Pierce is building there, are they not going

40:48

to be like the most attractive destination for

40:50

a veteran quarterback or like a rookie

40:52

quarterback trade up at some point next year? Like

40:55

Dak Prescott and a Raiders jersey start to

40:57

photoshops, bro, because like people are going to

40:59

be saying that all year long. So in

41:01

that case, yeah, Bowers, maybe not

41:03

set up to producing year one, but like you hopefully

41:05

are not relying on him at this point. Oh, there

41:08

you go. Waldman is showing me the Raiders hat here.

41:11

So yeah, let's put the hat on Brock

41:13

Bowers here for Harmon's fake dynasty team. Yeah,

41:16

I love it. I mean, that's the guy who

41:18

I was thinking I kind of have pangs of

41:20

regret that I left him on the board, you

41:22

know, but it's one of those

41:24

scenarios that you

41:28

know, I just looked at it as are

41:30

they going to find the quarterback and that's,

41:32

and that may have been at least today,

41:34

you know, in five minutes, I would, I'm

41:37

going to leave this conversation and go, I'm

41:39

going back to having Brock Bowers sixth on

41:41

my board, you know, but, but it's one

41:43

of those deals where, you

41:46

know, for a time there's sometimes I think about and

41:48

go, well, listen, I was a, I

41:50

was a huge Steve McNair fan and the

41:52

Titans fan for a while until they, they

41:54

got rid of him on ceremoniously and

41:58

they have not found a quarterback since. If

42:00

you really look at it, since

42:02

MVP Steve McNair back in

42:04

the mid 2000s, they have Marcus Marriotto

42:10

who had one great game to start

42:12

his career against Tampa Bay. They've

42:14

had Ryan Tannehill who they didn't draft,

42:16

who was serviceable, Will Leves

42:19

and Malik neighbors are

42:21

the other two guys. Malik Willes, but yeah. And then

42:24

like Vince Young before that. Yeah.

42:26

And Vince Young. Yeah. And

42:28

they had a player, but not who they

42:31

wanted to pick. The owner basically countermandered everybody

42:33

who wanted that. They wanted Jay Cutler, which

42:36

probably would have worked out okay if Josh

42:39

McDaniel since think up the mess year two

42:41

in Denver, they had a pro bowl

42:43

player until he came in and did what he did,

42:45

which was basically a phone call telling them

42:47

he was awful and didn't even say hello.

42:49

I was told this by Ted Zunquist, the

42:52

GM, at the time who was in the

42:54

room and he turned and looked at everyone

42:56

was like, trying to look at his agency.

42:58

Can you trade me? Just trade me now.

43:00

Yeah. For real. I

43:02

mean, yeah. So anyway, yeah, I

43:04

looked at Bowers and he's

43:07

someone that he, I mean, he reaccelerates

43:10

past cornerbacks who are on the

43:12

same side of the field as him. That's

43:14

a, to me, he reminds me of

43:17

two players. One is every

43:20

analytics fan,

43:23

analyst dream of a player who may not

43:25

always had been great in

43:27

the stat column, Vernon Davis. He's

43:29

got a little bit of Vernon Davis to his game. And then the

43:32

guy that nobody likes to

43:34

bring up, but we're compartmentalizing this

43:36

to football, Aaron Hernandez. He

43:38

has the skills to be a do

43:41

it all player like Hernandez. And

43:43

he is, and he has some

43:45

of that high end speed and ability to

43:47

win the ball like Vernon Davis. Yeah.

43:51

I love, I love both like that range of comps

43:53

there with those two guys. And again, like Raiders

43:55

get a quarterback and we're, we're flying here with Brock Bowers.

43:57

I realize that just, yeah, just not on the table. I'm

44:00

stable right now, but overall I feel like that's good. Couple

44:04

things here. We've got two more picks in the first round.

44:07

I'm an idiot for even thinking there was a chance where we're going to

44:09

do three rounds. There's no way we're going to do that. I

44:13

bet we can if we go fast. Well, we're not

44:15

going to go fast. We're not going to go fast.

44:17

Let's just see how the second round goes, pal. So

44:19

we might have to go faster the second round. But

44:21

all right, you're up here with the 11th pick in

44:23

the first round. Who are we going with? I'm

44:26

okay. 11th pick in the first

44:28

round. I'm just going to go ahead and

44:30

take the chance. And I'm going to

44:32

go with Keon Coleman. And I know that this is

44:34

a gut, you know, it's a, I

44:37

like Keon Coleman and I'm unapologetic about

44:39

it. I've, I've heard your great

44:41

analysis about him in the sense that,

44:44

you know, he's not much of a separator

44:46

according to the metrics and the studies that

44:48

you've done with him. And I

44:50

looked at him and I felt like he could go either

44:52

way. I thought he was one of

44:54

those players that if he lands with a

44:56

certain quarterback who doesn't have anticipation, who doesn't

44:58

throw the ball in the tight windows in

45:01

that level, that he's going to

45:03

be that second read guy who's never open

45:06

to that, to that player. Like if he

45:08

was with Kyler Murray, who had not like

45:11

move in the pocket without dropping his head

45:13

and running and doing like fire

45:15

drill type of antics, then

45:19

he would be bad there. But

45:21

with Josh Allen, who can actually move

45:23

efficiently in the pocket, but also break

45:25

and buy time, Keon Coleman's better at

45:27

being able to find

45:29

openings and create on the movie. He

45:31

did it with Jordan Travis pretty much

45:34

all the time. He's also going

45:36

to be used a little more in the middle of

45:38

the field. And if he's used outside, which Billy Bean

45:40

did mention that we're going to use him for a

45:42

bit outside, I thought he did

45:44

a good job of at least from

45:46

a film standpoint, purely of getting that

45:50

step or half a step on a player. You

45:52

know, now that may not qualify as open in

45:54

a lot of things that we look at, but

45:56

when I'm projecting for like the best in

45:59

the league. Getting that step to

46:01

half a step is fine as long

46:03

as you have that quarterback who has

46:05

the courage to throw the ball and

46:08

we and i'm watching josh allen have

46:10

the courage to throw those balls to

46:12

clear as a rookie and secure make

46:14

those play. I think keon

46:17

coleman to me as a like

46:19

a ball catcher if we had a contest

46:21

where like we had to have

46:23

our lives saved basically by somebody

46:25

put a brick wall up and say

46:27

you can go through it around it.

46:30

Under it however you just gotta

46:32

catch this ball to save this person's life now

46:34

we're all probably gonna be dead but you

46:37

know there's a guy i would i would

46:39

pick out of this entire class to win

46:41

and figure out a way it would be

46:43

keon coleman out of everyone because of all

46:45

the way he does. Make

46:48

any smart player who i

46:50

would like i see the route skills and the

46:52

way that he can be efficient and

46:55

i think that. At worst

46:58

case scenario he is what

47:00

everyone who wasn't probably. Fantasy

47:03

analyst thought gabriel davis was gonna turn

47:05

into i think he already

47:07

is that yeah i think and then

47:09

i think he can be more i think

47:11

he can be a michael thomas type player

47:14

in this office. I think if

47:16

they use them outside there's a little

47:18

more and kwon bold into him like early career

47:20

and kwon bold and to him

47:22

that maybe meet the eye and i'm

47:24

not gonna deny with a good quarterback.

47:27

That's gonna work out we just gotta root for your

47:29

kurtis and we will like stay on it and if

47:31

you can stay on it we'll be okay. I mean

47:33

i love kurtis and okay so here's the funny thing

47:35

and i was really look for the key on kon

47:37

conversation i'm glad you just going ahead and done here

47:39

in the first round and this is

47:41

why there's no way we're making around three pal. idiot

47:46

for even suggesting it but so here's here's the

47:48

thing with kon kon i actually agree with a

47:50

lot of what you just said there. Now,

47:53

I think a lot of this is type of

47:55

wide receiver like I don't for

47:57

me I don't want this guy that we're gonna have.

48:00

to give the, like, all right, he could be

48:02

Anquan Bolden to be my top outside receiver. That's

48:04

just not for me. But

48:06

also to your point, that's not for

48:08

me on like 30 NFL teams, like

48:11

either Holmes or Josh Allen, I think it can work,

48:13

right? And I think that's the thing

48:15

is that you see Coleman go to Buffalo, you're like,

48:17

all right, well, if somebody's gonna make it work from

48:19

a receiver, then I do think we'll struggle to be

48:21

a above average separator in

48:23

the NFL. I think even if he hones

48:25

everything correctly, I think he could be in

48:28

that like, Mike Williams

48:30

range as a separator, which,

48:32

you know, we see Mike Williams be a

48:35

productive player in the NFL. Like, I think

48:37

he gets, I think Williams gets undersold as

48:39

like a separator. I think he gives you

48:41

enough, right? Like it's enough to be a

48:43

top outside receiver. It's especially if you have

48:45

a volume sponge in the slot. So, but

48:48

I think that's like, that's where I'm at from

48:51

a ceiling perspective with Keon Coleman. I will say

48:53

though, like, I'm with you that,

48:55

you know, again, I've said this all draft season,

48:58

people are gonna see if they're route chart

49:00

and see some of the red and just

49:02

be like, he sucks. He definitely doesn't suck.

49:04

And I've said that consistently when talking about

49:06

Coleman. He works the middle

49:08

of the field well. You know, you look at his dig

49:10

routes success rate is really good. Or

49:13

it's average, it's solid 73.1% is pretty

49:15

good. Again,

49:17

solid average score. It's not

49:20

spectacular, but it's fine. He's

49:23

got good hands. I'm with you, like he

49:25

doesn't drop passes. That's gonna

49:27

be appealing for the Bills after living through the

49:29

Gabriel Davis experience. That's gonna be critical.

49:32

I'm with you that he works off script well,

49:34

which is a must for Josh Allen. If you're

49:36

not gonna work, if you're gonna work off script,

49:38

if you're not gonna work off script, you cannot

49:40

play in this Bill's offense. I bet that was

49:42

an appealing thing for Buffalo. And

49:45

like, I think he's underrated after the catch.

49:47

I really think that's why I want him

49:49

to play in this big slot receiver role.

49:51

He was a punt returner in college and

49:54

a good one. A good punt returner. I

49:56

joke he's the Laguerre Blunt of wide receivers,

49:58

which will turn off. A lot of

50:00

guys rules about that but like he's the

50:03

guy you draft, you're going to be for

50:05

any only drafting when everyone tells you that

50:07

is bad and he's can outscore all the

50:09

guys that they drafted to take the is

50:11

that he took ahead of and he's that

50:13

type of guy you know and so yeah.

50:16

I did it again. like you I think

50:18

he is in. The.

50:20

He is is a difficult evaluation good

50:22

like Like you mentioned with reception perception

50:24

like eat history is not on his

50:26

side. There's no question that like the

50:28

guys that separate his level verse man

50:30

press unless they move inside. They.

50:32

Just don't they don't become like

50:35

high quality productive players in the

50:37

league. Your pro. Your process is

50:39

great because it is. It gives

50:41

you a gives people an understanding

50:44

of who the potential outliers are

50:46

because it doesn't love certain players.

50:49

And. What I mean by that is that

50:51

every process. When you have difficult

50:53

players at the you look at you got i

50:55

see where they're good. But. History as

50:58

on their side. You. Know. Those.

51:00

Are guys that you want to monitor and keep

51:02

a close eye on. Their harder to pick but

51:05

they're the ones that if you pick well. They're

51:07

the outliers who went forth but exact

51:10

laugh like if you gave me a

51:12

joke all the time. like. If

51:14

you gave me twenty. Terry Mic

51:16

Lawrence. Like. Pre. Draft to

51:18

study. I'm not writing them

51:20

hi one yards right now. He A

51:22

now because to me, he's the bumble

51:24

bee of wide receivers. Like, literally like

51:27

it's impossible to discuss, should be able

51:29

to fly the weight of all. Yet.

51:31

The amount of residents you know. But

51:33

so was Marvin Harrison Senior. So maybe

51:35

Marvin Harrison Junior learned all this stuff

51:38

for Marvin Harrison Senior and he's gonna

51:40

be fine. but he drops more than

51:42

senior debt south's but that's the point

51:44

is a like. Your. Process

51:46

if you're if someone's gonna like someone

51:48

wants to be good. At. Picking

51:50

wide receivers and past football years as

51:52

the. The. Process of they need to

51:54

look out right away and and then

51:56

as they get as they continue to

51:58

get. The. deeper into the league

52:01

and what they do, they ask the wise

52:03

and look into the nuance of things that you're

52:06

asking the wise about and you go, okay, well,

52:08

here's the guys maybe I should take a chance on

52:10

even if the product isn't good. And

52:13

the thing with Coleman too is like,

52:16

Brennan Bean says he's going to

52:18

play ex-receiver. Okay for now, right?

52:20

Because like, those are the guys that are playing

52:22

that like, you're not playing, I love Curtis Samuel

52:24

and I think he can play outside. You're not

52:27

playing him an ex-receiver. I love Kula Shakir, but

52:29

you're not playing him an ex, okay? Like,

52:32

so, Coleman from a size perspective

52:35

has the skills to do it. He's

52:37

going to block well in the run

52:39

game. He's got the reliable hands and

52:41

like I said, teams want their ex-receivers

52:43

to be working the middle of the

52:45

field and Coleman diagnosed his zone coverage

52:47

really well. Like again, 80.2% success rate

52:49

for zone and reception perception is

52:51

not bad. It's not a bad

52:53

mark. There are clear negatives on his profile. There

52:56

are also clear positives on his profile and I

52:58

think it just depends on what

53:00

you value. So like when I have readers

53:02

or people in my Discord ask like, why

53:04

is Waldman so much higher on Key on

53:06

Coleman than you? I think you value certain,

53:08

like, and you value certain traits. I value

53:10

certain traits and like, again, I think this

53:13

landing spot is good for Coleman and

53:15

like, let's talk in two to three years.

53:17

Like maybe they say, hey, shoot, this is

53:19

not working out from an outside receiver perspective.

53:22

Let's kick him inside. And then like,

53:25

that's kind of how I think his career is going to

53:27

go. I think he probably is like an

53:29

80 target player, maybe 90

53:31

target player in his first year. And

53:34

then the more they build up that receiver core, because

53:36

these guys are temporary players right now. Like

53:38

I love Samuel, I love Shakir, but they're like role

53:40

players. So whoever the next Buffalo

53:43

receiver is maybe helps Coleman a little bit.

53:45

So I think it was a good conversation. I'm glad you

53:47

picked him here so that we can have that. Yeah,

53:49

yeah, for sure. And I'll just add a

53:51

little postscript and just say that, you know, when you look

53:53

at this guy, the same

53:56

thing that people ask me the same thing with you.

53:58

And you know, I would say, listen, I see where

54:00

the downside is. Right. For sure. And

54:02

what I'm, but I'm projecting pre-draft,

54:04

what I'm looking at for is

54:07

where, where can it work and where

54:10

does it work? Correct. And, and

54:12

I could see that scenario and go, he's still

54:14

going to be high because of there's areas for

54:16

where it works. He just happened to land in

54:18

a spot where there's some possibilities there. And the

54:20

way they use the X there, I would bet

54:23

he's also going to be the guy that drifts behind

54:25

the third level a lot on

54:27

Josh Allen because they're going to play a lot of zone

54:30

because Josh Allen wears out man-to-man defenders

54:32

with some out of time he buys.

54:34

So we'll see. Last

54:37

note on this, it's funny because like

54:39

our notes on the player are not very

54:41

different. I

54:43

think you rank, you definitely ranked Coleman higher

54:45

from a pre-draft perspective than I did because

54:47

again, just valuing different traits. I'm

54:51

going to be labeled as the key on Coleman Hader because

54:53

of the route charts. And I love, I love my route

54:55

charts, but it's like, this is why I also hate them

54:57

at the same time. All right. On

55:00

that note, we'll be, I'll be real quick

55:02

here with the 12th pick in the first round. I'm going to

55:04

be super boring and you know,

55:06

actually I'm not going to be super boring.

55:09

I should, I should probably just take JJ

55:11

McCarthy here because he's a quarterback, but I'm

55:13

not going to do that. I'm going to take Jonathan Brooks

55:15

here. It's the 12th overall pick in this

55:18

first round because I'm sick of being boring and taking quarterback.

55:20

What did I take two in the first round? I'm not going to do

55:22

it again. Brooks, I think, I'm

55:25

curious about your opinion. I'm a really good player in my,

55:27

in my mind. I think he's a solid back and

55:29

he's just in a position where he's going to get a lot of work

55:32

in Carolina. I really believe Dave Canals is a good coordinator.

55:34

I believe he wants to run the ball really well. So

55:36

I was thinking I was going to take JJ McCarthy there.

55:39

McCarthy's falling a little bit in our draft here, but I'm

55:41

going to go with Jonathan Brooks because I don't want to

55:44

be boring. I love

55:46

Jonathan Brooks, my favorite running back in

55:48

this class, hoping

55:50

that David Tepper can stay out of the

55:52

way, or maybe they could just put him

55:54

at quarterback for about six minutes and then

55:56

we won't ever have the problem again. You

55:58

know, that's kind of of my vote is that

56:01

maybe if he wants to call plays and

56:03

write them on a napkin, maybe we just put

56:06

them under center for about six snaps. I think

56:08

that's all it will take. And he'll have his

56:10

hat removed at that

56:12

point. And maybe he will let the professionals

56:14

do what they do. But

56:17

Brooks, you know, Brooks for

56:19

me is the guy that

56:22

smartest running back in this class, I

56:24

think, or one of the two smartest

56:26

running backs in terms of scheme versatility

56:29

breaks, a lot of tackles can

56:31

knows how to punish people, whether

56:33

you're the Sean McCoy, Jamal Charles

56:35

in size, or whether you're a

56:37

bigger back, like Brooks, the

56:40

fact that you attack first lead

56:43

allows you to dictate the chain of events

56:45

where you get yards. And he knows how

56:47

to do that. Best pass protector of this

56:49

class too. Easily. So, um,

56:51

you know, the injury concerns me, is he

56:53

going to be Tony Pollard ready, which means

56:55

we're going to get on the field and

56:57

he's going to be dragging his way back

56:59

to health until like late in the season

57:01

and not feel good, but tell everybody feels

57:03

great until the stats weren't there, or

57:06

is he going to, or can they wait a little

57:08

bit longer, or is he going to be young enough

57:10

and return the form, but

57:12

love his game. Think that Carolina Panthers

57:15

have improved a little bit upfront. If

57:17

they can take the next step, which,

57:19

you know, we're leery about, um,

57:22

he could get more opportunities, more red

57:24

zone opportunities than we would project right

57:26

now, but to grow with why not,

57:28

you know, he's got really high outside.

57:38

All right. So we are officially in round two and we

57:40

are going to have to pick up the pace here for

57:42

sure, so we can get through the thing and get you,

57:44

get you out of here, buddy. Um, but all right. So

57:46

you have the first pick in the second round. Who are

57:48

you going with? All

57:50

right. So I hate

57:52

that I'm going to, I hate that

57:55

I'm going to do it because I'm not big

57:57

quarterback. I'm like, I like the

57:59

quarterbacks. class and their potential, but

58:01

super flex. I feel like I'm going to have to

58:03

take one. I'll take JJ McCarthy

58:06

here. It's a great fit with Minnesota

58:08

with the weapons that they have. He's

58:10

a good quick game thrower, great feet,

58:13

someone who I think has a lot of things

58:16

to correct. He has, I

58:18

would say this, I had a quarterback coach

58:21

asked me, is he Zach Wilson

58:23

2.0? And I said, if you're

58:25

going to say iteration 2.0 in

58:27

terms of he has more highs than

58:30

lows, whereas Zach Wilson only had

58:32

lows from, in my opinion, as

58:34

a decision maker, especially in red

58:36

zone, black zone, you

58:38

know, those types of things, reading

58:41

leverage. McCarthy has a lot of

58:43

highs, lot of highs. And I

58:45

think the lows are things he can address and

58:47

get more mature with. You do wonder about his

58:49

downfield accuracy. I didn't see a lot of that.

58:51

And I don't need to see a lot of

58:53

it to chart it well, but I

58:55

didn't even see enough for my own process to

58:57

feel great about it. But I think

59:00

it will probably translate. I think the pro

59:02

day or whatever they saw in workouts was

59:04

probably good enough for them to feel comfortable

59:07

with it. And with that surrounding

59:09

talent, maybe he

59:11

turns into a Jake Plummer type of player

59:13

who has highs and lows, but

59:16

at worst, but I think

59:18

that he's someone that I'll go

59:20

for here, even though maybe

59:22

they wish they had another player themselves,

59:24

even though that trade

59:26

didn't work out. All

59:29

right. So my first pick in the second round here, I was

59:32

a little concerned you might take this guy from

59:34

me, but I'm going with Ricky

59:36

Pearsall here at near the top of the second

59:38

round. This

59:41

is how my receiver board lines up.

59:43

I'm a big Ricky Pearsall fan. I

59:46

had him as my wide receiver. I was

59:48

like stunned by how pissed people were with

59:50

this draft pick just based on my own

59:52

rankings. And like, I shouldn't be because I

59:54

realized I'm not like everybody else, but I

59:57

had him as my wide receiver six in the class. I

59:59

had him. as a fringe first

1:00:01

early second round rank right

1:00:04

where he went. I was

1:00:06

I'm so confused that we're 49ers

1:00:08

fans are pissed about this pick when you

1:00:10

lost the Super Bowl because your other receivers

1:00:12

besides you can't beat man coverage and Ricky

1:00:15

Pearsall is a man beater baby.

1:00:17

Number two in the class in reception perception

1:00:19

and success rate versus man coverage. So

1:00:21

this lines up with my board here and like honestly, Waldman,

1:00:24

I think if Deebo was traded, you

1:00:27

know, tomorrow, he would jump all the way

1:00:29

to wide receiver for for me because it's

1:00:31

the right system for him. Love

1:00:33

the landing spot. You know, maybe that's too

1:00:35

aggressive for some people, but I'm a big

1:00:38

Pearsall fan. And like you look at some

1:00:40

consensus 80 P list, like it's outrageous, like

1:00:42

truly outrageous how low he is. Maybe that

1:00:44

hasn't been recalibrated prior

1:00:47

to the draft. But like I

1:00:49

see some guys ahead of him from a

1:00:51

receiver perspective. I wouldn't even come close to

1:00:53

considering before Ricky Pearsall. I

1:00:56

love Ricky Pearsall to now. I'm a little bit

1:00:58

lower, but at the same time, it's only because

1:01:00

are they going to trade the guys that are

1:01:02

going to be traded? And if they don't, they

1:01:04

play a lot of 22 personnel,

1:01:06

a lot of full back tight end. Maybe

1:01:09

he won't be on the field as often, but

1:01:11

I'd have to think that maybe somebody else gets

1:01:13

taken off the field as good as Ricky Pearsall

1:01:15

can be against man coverage. The only issue is

1:01:18

how much do they want to play a rookie

1:01:20

and how up to speed will he get? If

1:01:22

he gets up to speed quickly, it's not going

1:01:24

to be, it may not be a big problem in year

1:01:26

one, but by year two, either Smith or either Samuel or

1:01:28

Iuk are going to be traded if not both. And he's

1:01:30

going to wind up having to be the man. And

1:01:33

like you said, great man coverage guy.

1:01:35

He would win the Brandon Lloyd catch

1:01:37

invitation on the Mount Waldman RSP Island

1:01:40

if I drop out, he would definitely

1:01:42

be one of the

1:01:44

top odds, early odds favorites for

1:01:46

me, probably moving forward on this

1:01:49

next pick. I'm

1:01:51

probably going to, I'm, I'm

1:01:53

hating it either way because I'm

1:01:56

either going to, my, I have three

1:01:58

players that I'm considering. Two of

1:02:00

them are running backs and, you

1:02:03

know, both are going to have to wait a little bit.

1:02:06

And then there's a player that's probably going to have to

1:02:08

wait a couple of years as well. But

1:02:10

at this point, I'm just going to use the

1:02:12

show that me and Bob Harris do on

1:02:14

Mondays called Feel It or F It. So

1:02:17

I'm just going to say F It and I'm taking

1:02:19

Michael Pennicks Jr. Oh, yeah. Even

1:02:21

though he's probably going to be got, we

1:02:23

could probably take him in round three. If

1:02:26

this weren't, you know, if we weren't setting this up

1:02:29

the way we did, I would probably be able to

1:02:31

take him late round two. But

1:02:33

here at this point, I'm going to look at the other

1:02:35

quarterbacks in this class. And here's how I'm laying out this

1:02:38

argument. I'm going to try and make this as quick as

1:02:40

I possibly can. But I'm going to say it this way.

1:02:43

First of all, there is a huge

1:02:45

demand for quarterbacks next year, rookie quarterbacks

1:02:47

next year, probably up to a dozen

1:02:49

teams. There aren't as

1:02:51

the supply is always low. Okay.

1:02:54

It already looks projectively lower than what it was

1:02:56

this year. Four teams tried to

1:02:58

trade up to get Michael Pennicks

1:03:00

this year. Okay. I

1:03:03

know that Kirk Cousins complained. Okay. You

1:03:05

know, shock. Yeah. Same

1:03:07

guy who was drafted in

1:03:10

the same draft after Robert

1:03:12

Griffin and who wasn't ready

1:03:14

until he was 27 after looking

1:03:17

pretty bad, awful at times, because that's

1:03:19

what happens with young quarterback sometimes. And

1:03:22

he was not as talented as Michael Pennicks Jr. is.

1:03:24

Pennicks is good in the middle of the field. He's

1:03:27

better in the pocket and people realize he really

1:03:29

understands how to climb a pocket, which a lot

1:03:31

of these guys in this class don't do as

1:03:33

well. He's more accurate than

1:03:36

I think people have charted. I've charted him

1:03:38

and I saw a lot better accuracy where

1:03:40

he threw the ball only where receivers needed

1:03:42

to make the plays. And

1:03:44

listen, it's better to pick

1:03:46

a quarterback when you have a quarterback

1:03:49

because you don't have to put them under pressure. He's

1:03:51

in the true Jordan Love Development Plan. And I

1:03:54

know that Kirk Cousins wanted another piece to help

1:03:56

his team, but look at the Atlanta Falcons who

1:03:58

have a great offensive point. a good

1:04:00

offensive line, strong run game with two

1:04:03

deeps with their backs, a Pro Bowl

1:04:05

caliber outside receiver, Pro Bowl caliber tied

1:04:07

in. And last year they had

1:04:09

some up and coming pieces on defense. And

1:04:12

they should have been a playoff team in

1:04:14

that division if they just had a quarterback

1:04:16

and they didn't have to jerry rig a

1:04:18

system to even make their quarterback semi passable.

1:04:20

And that wasn't even working. So

1:04:23

what do they need more another defensive

1:04:25

tackle? Or did they need a

1:04:27

quarterback who have Kirk cousins who in the

1:04:29

same breath that he was disappointed and needed

1:04:31

and they needed an extra piece to contend

1:04:34

now said, I can't break a pocket right

1:04:36

now. He's going to be 36 and

1:04:38

he can't break a pocket. Maybe he'll get better.

1:04:40

They should they put 100 million over

1:04:42

100 million on there. And yes, I know

1:04:44

they needed to explain Arthur Smith, what

1:04:46

was going on. But maybe Arthur Smith shouldn't

1:04:49

have picked Kirk cousins in the first

1:04:51

place to give 100 million guaranteed to and

1:04:53

maybe the coaches in this case, my NGM

1:04:55

might be a little smarter than Arthur Blank

1:04:58

in this particular scenario is brilliant of a

1:05:00

businessman as he was. And

1:05:03

they get a player who could

1:05:06

help them right now if they need

1:05:08

it. And if not, well,

1:05:10

guess what? He gets the intermittent playing

1:05:12

time that helps most players

1:05:14

like oh, Drew Brees and

1:05:17

Tom Brady and oh,

1:05:19

Patrick Mahomes and Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers

1:05:22

and Jordan Love and Steve Young and

1:05:24

the list goes on guys who got

1:05:26

to sit at least a little bit,

1:05:28

he's going to get some of that. And

1:05:30

by year three, he'll be fine if he

1:05:33

and if they wait four years, they're not gonna he'll

1:05:35

be 28. And their cousins was 27. Reeves was 27.

1:05:37

Steve Young was 31 for clarion out loud. So for

1:05:44

me, I look at this and go, you guys

1:05:46

can all tell me that this guy this was

1:05:48

a dumb pick for Atlanta. And that's

1:05:50

fine. I'm gonna go ahead and make off like

1:05:52

a bandit and get Michael Pennick's Jr. Yeah,

1:05:55

like the crux of the

1:05:57

panic, Pennick's pick is your evaluation on

1:05:59

Pennick's. And like Waldman has a very

1:06:01

different view of him than than most people

1:06:03

out there Certainly myself like I've

1:06:06

got questions about panics, but like you're a much

1:06:08

better quarterback evaluator than I am pal so people

1:06:11

should subscribe and make sure they get the

1:06:13

RSP simply for the panics analysis at this

1:06:15

point because it is a Contrary view than

1:06:17

what you're gonna get elsewhere like we can

1:06:21

And I miss I mean I miss on

1:06:23

players. We all miss on players, but I

1:06:25

will say I mean, you know, listen, I've

1:06:27

I've I Didn't like

1:06:29

Zach Wilson. I didn't like, you

1:06:32

know Kenny pick it I didn't like You

1:06:35

know some guys that people were

1:06:37

really high on and we just talked

1:06:39

about Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson so

1:06:42

if I'm contrary, you know, if I'm

1:06:44

contrary on a quarterback it

1:06:46

may not work out but But

1:06:48

I like this guy. I think he's the

1:06:50

second safest quarterback in this class All

1:06:53

right for my pick here fourth pick in

1:06:55

the second round. I will go with Trey

1:06:57

Benson I don't really

1:07:00

like the way Trey Benson sets up talked about

1:07:02

it a lot on the show post draft Maybe

1:07:05

he doesn't start the season because James Connors gonna be there

1:07:07

obviously But he's a really good compliment to James Connor And

1:07:09

I think they're gonna find ways to get him on the

1:07:11

field and like I would not be shocked by the end

1:07:13

of The season whether by injury or just

1:07:16

whatever like he's the starting back for this team and

1:07:18

I think it's an offense on the rise I

1:07:21

love it. Good gap runner good pass

1:07:23

catcher at times. I think he just

1:07:25

has to correct some things He bounces

1:07:27

outside a little too often but he's

1:07:29

in a good system for him to

1:07:31

really develop into a a solid

1:07:34

game breaking high volume threat or

1:07:36

at least a Leadback I'm gonna

1:07:38

go running back again And while

1:07:40

I hate that Sean McBay is

1:07:42

stubborn about his system And

1:07:45

I hate that he doesn't like rookies

1:07:47

and that I heard a running back

1:07:49

on his team last year I

1:07:51

was told that he said that you know

1:07:53

Zach Evans was the man and none of them

1:07:56

understood why he wasn't getting playing Time and I'm

1:07:58

a Zach Evans Stan. I'm taking place Corum

1:08:00

because he reminds me the most of

1:08:02

Ray Rice back in the day a

1:08:05

guy who if he can add a little

1:08:07

weight and stay Explosive can be a lead

1:08:09

back He's the he and Jonathan Brooks are the

1:08:11

two smartest runners in terms of decision-making very

1:08:14

quick creative with his footwork, but

1:08:16

efficient tackle breaker for his size

1:08:18

and I think can give

1:08:20

you an all-around game and They

1:08:22

took him that early either because the GM

1:08:24

and and in McBay aren't on the same

1:08:26

page or they are on the same page

1:08:28

And at this stage, I'm gonna take the

1:08:30

chance and I think Kyron Williams is now

1:08:32

like the Chester Taylor The

1:08:35

guy who had like 1500 total yards before

1:08:37

Adrian Peterson came in and while form is

1:08:39

no Adrian Peterson He

1:08:41

is the guy that's gonna take over and they may

1:08:44

split time this year and be better next year Alright

1:08:47

for my next pick here. I'm tempted to go off

1:08:49

my board, but I'm not going to own a stick

1:08:51

at receiver I'm gonna stick at my board and I'm

1:08:53

going with your main Burton here who

1:08:55

is volatile at this ranking volatile where

1:08:57

I'm taking him but This

1:09:00

might be got me back. This might

1:09:02

be Joe Burroughs number two receiver, you know Like

1:09:06

in in a year from now, I don't think he's gonna

1:09:08

get on the field in year one I think he's prepared

1:09:10

to get on the field. He's pretty pro ready prospect Yeah,

1:09:13

I look big Jermaine Burton fan overall. I know

1:09:16

you are too So

1:09:18

yeah Burton's a guy that I like again I

1:09:20

know this is aggressive, but I was pretty aggressive

1:09:22

like ranked right in the same spot I Jane

1:09:25

Reed last year and Reed worked out because he was

1:09:27

just ready to play in this system I think Burton's

1:09:30

ready to play in this one. Yeah,

1:09:32

I love that pick. He's probably my

1:09:34

favorite talent of The

1:09:36

players that we've talked about who are underrated

1:09:40

The most underrated receiver probably in this class

1:09:43

For fantasy purposes and as T Higgins wants

1:09:45

to go somewhere else He

1:09:47

can he may not do what T Higgins

1:09:49

does best as well as

1:09:52

what T Higgins does best But he

1:09:54

does more than what T Higgins does

1:09:56

and he can actually carry what Jamar

1:09:58

chase does as a replacement to Marche's

1:10:00

better than anybody they have in that. He

1:10:03

can be a number one if they need him to

1:10:05

be. It's not ideal, but he

1:10:07

can play all three roles. And

1:10:10

he's a guy that actually opens

1:10:13

up that offense more on what Zach Taylor likes

1:10:15

to do, and he's gonna get

1:10:17

behind the option. So I really like him there.

1:10:19

I'm gonna go, oh, wow. The

1:10:22

choice is here at this point. There's a

1:10:24

lot of guys that are fascinating,

1:10:26

but I think that at

1:10:28

this stage, just because we'll get a chance to

1:10:30

talk about it, I'm gonna talk about, I'm just

1:10:32

gonna take a chance. I'm gonna be that team

1:10:34

that takes Bo Nicks right here. Oh, boy. And

1:10:37

yeah, people are gonna laugh, you know?

1:10:39

But there's probably other players I would

1:10:42

consider, honestly, like Jalen Wright. Let's go

1:10:44

Jalen Wright. Let's do Jalen Wright. Okay.

1:10:46

Well, I'll just be smart about it.

1:10:48

So say Jalen Wright. All right. He's,

1:10:50

I compared Jalen Wright to Rahim Mostert

1:10:53

pre-draft, and guess who so

1:10:55

saw him as a Rahim Mostert type of

1:10:57

player. He hugs blocks well on

1:11:00

the gap plays, which is very important, which

1:11:02

is something Mostert was great at. He's got

1:11:04

that game-breaking speed. He's a pretty good receiver.

1:11:06

He can give you that space option and

1:11:08

space too, but he works well between the

1:11:10

tackles when he's mature enough with certain decisions,

1:11:12

but he bounces outside too much at times.

1:11:15

He's gonna get a chance with Mostert getting one

1:11:18

more year, and he and A-chan are

1:11:20

probably gonna be the two guys that it's gonna be

1:11:22

the one-two punch. A-chan is just gonna stay in the

1:11:24

same role he is because they're concerned about his side.

1:11:27

Yeah. And I like this pick.

1:11:29

I love the fit with Jalen Wright there. Not a lot of

1:11:31

teams you could have gone to, but this one makes sense. Eighth

1:11:34

pick here. I'm kind of running up

1:11:36

the card for Aidy Mitchell at this point. I

1:11:39

think I was slightly higher on Mitchell than

1:11:41

you were pre-draft, but, and this

1:11:43

landing spot is a little bit like, I

1:11:46

can go either way on it because I think he's

1:11:48

talented enough to be the two, at

1:11:52

least, on this team behind Michael Pittman just

1:11:55

because at his position, extra receiver,

1:11:57

he's not gonna leave the field, whereas Josh...

1:12:00

I love Josh Downs, but just his position is a

1:12:02

slot. He's gonna leave the field at times But

1:12:05

you can also tell me that like he's

1:12:07

a distant third But between like him and

1:12:09

Pittman and downs like I think that's possible

1:12:11

and I like Anthony Richardson But we're

1:12:14

not confident in terms I mean if you I'm confident

1:12:16

in him as from what I saw but like we

1:12:18

can't be like he's not a known

1:12:20

asset Right at this point. We don't know

1:12:22

exactly so I go either way on the

1:12:24

landing spot but ultimately I love

1:12:26

the like Alignment-based

1:12:28

fit for AD Mitchell and

1:12:31

I overall like the talent

1:12:33

not totally sold But

1:12:35

I do like his ability to run routes and get

1:12:37

separation and win at the catch point So

1:12:39

I will go with I'll go AD Mitchell here with

1:12:41

pretty like a pretty solid bit of conviction Yeah,

1:12:44

let me put it to you this way. I

1:12:47

had Anthony Richardson with a slightly higher grade than

1:12:49

Caleb Williams So I love that. No, yeah, I

1:12:51

know. Yeah, you're big you're big on Richardson so

1:12:53

so I think that ad Mitchell has a chance

1:12:55

to To not only

1:12:57

be a high variance Producer

1:13:00

but also maybe cut that variance down a

1:13:02

little bit and be an efficient one on top of

1:13:04

that I'm gonna go

1:13:06

ahead and take bow nicks just so that we can talk about

1:13:08

them get out of the way here and say I

1:13:11

do have him kind of a little underrated Because he

1:13:13

was my third quarterback on this board and the reason

1:13:15

is is that Everybody looks at

1:13:17

the central casting guys and they pick

1:13:20

them early for the upside But the

1:13:22

upside is actually what happens here not

1:13:24

what's going on here and bow nicks

1:13:26

has enough in the athletic Spectrum

1:13:29

to be a good quarterback and work

1:13:31

off structure He fits very well in

1:13:33

Sean Payton's offense because it's quick timing

1:13:35

routes quick hitting work And

1:13:38

I actually thought that he was

1:13:40

probably one of the most self-aware

1:13:42

Quarterbacks of this group who didn't

1:13:44

engage in hero ball and played

1:13:46

with a lot of logic Auburn

1:13:49

did not do him any favors Auburn

1:13:51

created scenarios where he couldn't trust his receivers

1:13:53

to hang on to football He

1:13:55

also tried to play a lot of hero ball that

1:13:57

that got fixed a little bit more. He was Oregon

1:14:01

and at Oregon he was better moving

1:14:03

around in the pocket very good pocket

1:14:05

mover I would not be I don't

1:14:07

love the receivers in Denver right

1:14:09

now and that's the biggest issue But

1:14:11

if I'm gonna take a chance on a quarterback and

1:14:13

it's say it's a startup draft I

1:14:16

would say well in the second round if that's my

1:14:18

first quarterback, I'll go for it Yeah,

1:14:20

I think the system fits really good. Yeah,

1:14:22

it's just the overall ecosystem with bow nicks

1:14:24

and and like yeah What is the upside

1:14:26

with phone X but in fantasy like you're

1:14:28

just looking for usable quarterback playing super flex

1:14:30

like from your second or third Guy and

1:14:32

I can see a scenario where he gives

1:14:35

you usable quarterback play. Okay We

1:14:38

can go a little longer if you want to okay

1:14:40

Well, we can go another time if you want here's

1:14:43

here's the thing man I this is actually we've got to

1:14:45

we've got a few more picks here to make I

1:14:48

don't love like any of the running backs left. There's

1:14:51

no quarterbacks left So

1:14:53

I'm probably just gonna go receiver here to end this and

1:14:55

I will go These

1:14:58

two guys are very close in my rankings

1:15:00

the two receivers I'm debating right now I

1:15:06

Think I'm gonna go Yeah, I'll

1:15:08

chicken out and go against my new number

1:15:10

rankings But I will take the player that's

1:15:12

in the same tier that's behind the guy.

1:15:14

I really want to take here I'll

1:15:16

just go as they really get Because

1:15:18

his first-round pick this is very deep in the second

1:15:21

round for a rookie draft here for a first round

1:15:23

pick to be going Off the board. I actually

1:15:25

don't really have a strong take on

1:15:27

how this one goes because I think

1:15:30

he's a very volatile prospect He

1:15:33

shows you some real good ability to win

1:15:35

with his hands. He shows an

1:15:37

ability to diagnose zone coverage pretty well But

1:15:40

he's not a he's not a refined route

1:15:42

runner period like end of story, especially against

1:15:45

man press coverage He is much

1:15:47

worse off than than Keon Coleman from a route

1:15:49

running perspective. No question, even if they score

1:15:52

out similarly I don't

1:15:54

really score out similarly man. Look at a little

1:15:56

lower. But regardless I Do

1:15:59

like the way Dave Canals has talked about using him. I

1:16:03

think he's definitely a long-term

1:16:05

project. Hugo

1:16:07

doesn't like to pick. He, no,

1:16:09

Hugo's not a fan of wide

1:16:11

receivers. He's a box safety. I

1:16:14

will, at least Liget has the

1:16:16

size to

1:16:19

take a big hit from a box safety like that.

1:16:21

But yeah, so there's another guy I really wanted to

1:16:23

take here, but I'm a coward. I didn't do it

1:16:25

and I've been a coward all draft. So I'll go

1:16:27

with Xavier here. Hey,

1:16:29

listen, to me, Xavier Liget, he

1:16:32

shows he's a developmental prospect

1:16:34

in an early round draft

1:16:37

capital because he's a guy that is

1:16:39

a timing route runner as a man-to-man

1:16:41

route runner, needs to learn how to

1:16:43

drop his weight into breaks. And

1:16:46

he doesn't do that. But when you watch

1:16:48

him as a runner, he can do it.

1:16:50

So it's kind of like if you were

1:16:52

scouting that rugby player, Louis Zammett, like

1:16:55

you might be looking and go, well, these

1:16:57

are things that could translate with a lot

1:16:59

of work. And I

1:17:01

think that with Liget, you see flashes of

1:17:03

where he could apply that elsewhere, but there's

1:17:05

no guarantee that he's gonna learn that. So

1:17:08

I'm a little worried about him on that

1:17:10

level. If I'm gonna, there's two backs I'm

1:17:12

looking at here at this

1:17:14

stage and probably the only one that I'm

1:17:16

looking at probably long-term who might be

1:17:18

able to help me out because there,

1:17:21

Josh Jacobs has

1:17:23

an out next year in his contract. So

1:17:26

what that tells me is that Marshawn Lloyd,

1:17:28

while he was in that amorphous

1:17:30

mass of running backs after the third running

1:17:32

back on my board, who like was really

1:17:35

low in the pre-draft because he fumbles a

1:17:37

lot and he bounces a lot of plays

1:17:39

outside, he still had a high enough grade

1:17:41

that he was, that really, if he

1:17:43

fixed any one of those things, he could be the

1:17:45

number two or number three back on my board. So

1:17:48

that's why you have like pre-draft

1:17:50

analysis and post-draft analysis. AJ

1:17:53

Dillon, look, if he can't beat out

1:17:55

AJ Dillon this year, that means that

1:17:57

he does have some issues that need

1:17:59

to. work on. Yeah, we're in trouble.

1:18:01

I like AJ Dillon is like a grinder,

1:18:03

you know, type of fact, but he hasn't

1:18:05

shown enough to really be anything

1:18:08

from a fantasy perspective. Josh

1:18:11

Jacobs is one of the one of the excellent backs

1:18:13

in the league. So if

1:18:15

they're, if they give Marshawn Lloyd

1:18:18

a little bit more of an Aaron Jones type of

1:18:20

role early and he thrives, he's the man next year

1:18:22

because they probably have an out with with

1:18:24

Jacobs or it could happen. So I'll

1:18:27

take that shot even though it's, you know, there's a

1:18:29

little bit of risk in it and there's actually a

1:18:31

back. I like a lot better, but I think I

1:18:34

can get him in the third round and that would

1:18:36

be Kamani Badal if we had time. Oh

1:18:38

yeah, that's a great call. Just

1:18:40

actually, just tell me a little bit about Badal. I'm

1:18:42

not taking him here in my next deck. I'm going

1:18:44

to take another receiver, of course, but like, because he's

1:18:46

a guy that people are going to be really interested

1:18:48

in because of the landing spot. Josh

1:18:51

Jacobs, or JK Dobbins, who I

1:18:53

absolutely love coming out is basically

1:18:55

a desperation

1:18:57

rental by Jim Harbaugh, who

1:18:59

they got a week before the draft recovering from

1:19:01

the Achilles. And I hope that he pans out,

1:19:03

but odds are against me. Badal,

1:19:06

if you were a DeAndre Swift fan,

1:19:08

but didn't know much about him, but

1:19:10

just heard a lot of people talking

1:19:12

about how great he is because he's

1:19:14

so productive. Those

1:19:16

people were looking into the future

1:19:18

and were imagining Kamani Badal as

1:19:21

a player, as a talent. Badal is built

1:19:23

low to the ground. He can break a

1:19:25

lot of tackles. He's a smarter runner between

1:19:27

the tackles than Swift, who needs a lot

1:19:30

of space and a lot of simulation of

1:19:32

space to really get his yards. But

1:19:35

Badal also can catch check downs and

1:19:37

he's a better blocker than Swift is.

1:19:39

He can work inside and really take

1:19:41

on blockers well. And

1:19:44

to me, he projects more as a

1:19:46

lead back in ability. And he's on

1:19:48

an offense where JK Dobbins, again, we

1:19:50

don't know. Gus Edwards is

1:19:53

29 and has a role and he's more

1:19:55

of a desperation lead back if they needed him

1:19:57

to be. And Isaiah Spill... I

1:20:00

don't think he's figured out that his hips need

1:20:02

to be aligned with his pad when he takes

1:20:04

on defenders. He's kind of got a little bit

1:20:06

of a Braylon Allen problem there where

1:20:09

he tries to bounce outside people when he

1:20:11

takes them on rather than trying to run

1:20:13

through them. And he has some maturity

1:20:15

issues as a decision maker. So

1:20:18

Vidal has a really good opportunity to

1:20:20

grow into a contributing role

1:20:22

this year and maybe even due to

1:20:24

injury, be the Isaiah Pacheco of this

1:20:27

class. I love that call. Again,

1:20:29

I wanted people to hear your analysis on him because

1:20:31

he's going to be a big time riser in the

1:20:34

post draft process. Alright, for my final pick here,

1:20:37

this is the guy, according to my

1:20:39

rankings, I would have taken ahead of Xavier

1:20:41

Laguette, but I'm an idiot. So

1:20:44

I'm going to go with Jalen Polk here, Waldman. There

1:20:47

you go. Man, I don't know

1:20:49

about you, but I was confused at the

1:20:51

backlash that this pick got. I

1:20:53

guess just because it wasn't commonly mock drafted,

1:20:56

right? It wasn't commonly drafted that Polk was

1:20:58

going to be drafted super high, but I'm

1:21:01

a fan of him as a player, man. I think he's

1:21:03

reliable. I think he does the dirty work well. I

1:21:06

like his build up speed against man coverage. And

1:21:08

I think he's, for me, he was

1:21:10

one of the top zone beaters in the class. So

1:21:12

look, it's obviously a questionable situation going to New

1:21:14

England. We don't know if Drake

1:21:16

May is going to pan out, whatever. But

1:21:18

if he does, like stylistically, what helped Drake

1:21:20

May a lot in 2022 was having a

1:21:22

reliable separator in the middle

1:21:25

of the field. Polk is not

1:21:27

Josh Downs in terms of how he can beat

1:21:29

man and press coverage off the line of scrimmage.

1:21:32

But I think there are ways you can use him

1:21:34

over the middle that will map pretty well for Drake

1:21:36

May. So I like Jalen Polk. I think I

1:21:39

was in support of that pick. So

1:21:41

I'll take him here as our final pick in this exercise.

1:21:44

Yeah, absolutely. A quality player. I mean, that works

1:21:46

out well. That's why my dog's barking. It's that

1:21:48

or he sees a Steelers wide receiver in my

1:21:50

backyard right now. I don't know which one is

1:21:52

which, but I'll probably go

1:21:54

and find out soon. Polk, good. I mean,

1:21:57

one of the things that we often hear about guys who've been

1:21:59

in the field is that can go up and

1:22:01

win contested balls. And we like them

1:22:03

about them so much, sometimes plays to

1:22:05

their detriment in the pros because they

1:22:07

don't know how to really earn ideal

1:22:09

position. You know, if you remember

1:22:11

Collin Johnson from Texas, who's been like three

1:22:13

different teams, he was one of those guys

1:22:15

that opened his body to defenders as he

1:22:17

made these unbelievable athletic catches. But Polk is

1:22:19

a guy who understands how to position his

1:22:21

body to win it, to win the ball

1:22:23

and block out the defender. And

1:22:26

he's good after the catch. So yeah,

1:22:28

he's a fine player. Certainly understand it,

1:22:30

like the pick. Hope they

1:22:33

don't put them all in the frying pan at the same

1:22:35

time and turn the heat up too

1:22:37

hard. That would be great. I

1:22:39

think of all these Ruergis in New England,

1:22:41

I think the guy who's most ready to

1:22:43

make an instant impact is Jalen Polk. So

1:22:45

hopefully he can get some play

1:22:48

with Jacobi Brissett at some point this

1:22:50

season. All right, Waldman, that was electric.

1:22:54

I should have known better than to think we were even going

1:22:56

to get close to sniffing a third round. I'm

1:22:58

not sure what was dumber, thinking that we were

1:23:00

gonna get a third

1:23:03

round in or passing up Roma

1:23:05

Dunesay for Drake May early on in this class.

1:23:07

I think actually the dumber decision was the Roma

1:23:10

Dunesay pass on my part. But I appreciate you

1:23:12

doing this, buddy. This was awesome. Love catching up

1:23:14

with you. We gotta do a deeper dive on

1:23:16

some of these guys at some point. But

1:23:19

for now, tell the people where they can find your

1:23:21

work. Yeah, the

1:23:23

rookie scouting portfolio is 19 years in

1:23:26

publication. It's available every April

1:23:28

1st, and you get a pre-draft and post-draft available

1:23:30

at 2195 for both. Usually

1:23:33

the reaction is, I'm blown away by how

1:23:36

much I get, and I've heard the hype

1:23:38

on it before. The second

1:23:40

reaction is usually I'm a customer for life, and

1:23:42

the third reaction is the next year, which is

1:23:44

you should really charge a lot more for this.

1:23:47

It is one of the two most purchased draft

1:23:49

guides by NFL people who

1:23:52

come to college facilities

1:23:54

and scout players, according

1:23:56

to folks like Alex Brown, who is a

1:23:58

recruiter at Ole Miss. and former recruiting

1:24:01

head at SMU. I

1:24:03

contribute scouting reports to quarterback Will

1:24:06

Hewlett, coach Will Hewlett, and it's

1:24:08

been a fantasy staple forever. You

1:24:10

can find it at mountwaldman.com, YouTube

1:24:12

channel, I have over 800 videos.

1:24:16

I put my podcast up there, Mount Waldman's

1:24:18

RSPcast at Mount Waldman's where you can follow

1:24:20

me. And if you want pure

1:24:22

fantasy stuff, hey, listen, I've been running my fantasy

1:24:24

since 2003. I'm seeing your staff

1:24:26

writer at footballguys.com. Excellent

1:24:29

site. Yeah, I would wholeheartedly

1:24:31

endorse, obviously subscribe to my

1:24:33

site. Sure. But, you know,

1:24:35

there are a couple other places I definitely would

1:24:37

recommend you spend your money and Matt Waldman's RSP

1:24:39

is one of those. I have been buying it

1:24:41

for a ton of years myself

1:24:44

now, and I would endorse everybody to do

1:24:46

that as well. All right, for

1:24:48

today, that is going to do it. I've got

1:24:50

a dog barking here in the background, so we are on the

1:24:52

same page on many things, Matt Waldman. That is

1:24:54

going to do it for today's show. Tuesday,

1:24:56

we're back and Scott Pianowski joins

1:24:58

me for a post draft fantasy

1:25:01

football power rankings show. Until

1:25:04

then, we're out.

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