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0:00
Big show for you guys today.
0:02
We have Matt Waldman of the
0:04
rookie scouting portfolio joining me to
0:07
do a rookie dynasty superflex
0:09
mock draft. Man,
0:12
we make it through two rounds. Didn't make it
0:14
to three rounds. We make their two rounds and
0:16
we have a ton of players that we discussed
0:18
in this one. Matt Waldman and I disagree on
0:21
Kian Coleman or do we? The
0:23
rookie receiver we think could be the most
0:25
productive outside of the big three and
0:28
which running back is the smartest back in
0:30
the class? According to Matt Waldman, all of
0:32
that and more coming up on today's show.
0:34
Let's get into it. Delve
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dot com. It's
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Thursday, May
1:42
2nd. I'm
1:53
Matt Harmon. Welcome to the Yahoo Fantasy Football Show,
1:55
and it is truly a hell
1:58
of a day to talk about. because
2:00
joining me is
2:02
a man I've been excited to talk
2:04
to all draft season I feel like we actually
2:06
have not gone back and forth much at all
2:09
not on air really barely off air but
2:11
it's one of my favorite people in the
2:14
industry one of my favorite guys to
2:16
talk to about prospects it is the
2:18
author of the rookie scouting portfolio mr. Matt
2:20
Waldman Waldman what's going on buddy hey
2:22
man I'm doing well always good
2:25
to be able to talk with my bud Matt Harmon
2:27
so you know look man it's nice that we get
2:29
to catch up and do this and you know
2:31
cuz the only other person I get to watch film
2:33
with these days is this this little box safety
2:35
and I'm not right here in the background
2:39
yeah you're officially a dog guy I mean I
2:41
think that is that's that's new since the last
2:43
time we've done the show together I think it
2:46
is yes a friend of mine found him
2:48
at the side of the road in southeast
2:50
Georgia like on three legs shot
2:53
whip had been on his own for
2:55
about six weeks and my
2:58
she called me up and said I found
3:00
your dog and I said I've never dog
3:02
in 30 years I've only had cats that
3:04
she's like this is your dog and she
3:06
was right he's a he you
3:08
know he even has Cleveland Browns color
3:10
so he's a he's the next Cleveland
3:12
Browns box safety he's gonna try it
3:14
he we do if you see all the
3:17
sorts of debris in the background those are Najee Harris
3:19
drills that we're doing right now I
3:22
mean incredible stuff well hey shout out to you
3:24
you know you're you're
3:26
my friend you're a good guy I already knew
3:28
that but extra shout out to you for being
3:30
a good guy and rescuing a dog in need
3:32
as a fellow rescue dog
3:35
owner not Charlie didn't
3:37
rescue him from anything that maybe
3:44
made his life probably easier than it was in
3:46
his in his previous please change
3:48
the change the pillow it's not
3:50
fluffed enough for me yeah And
4:00
it's a lot of work, but it's very rewarding And
4:03
again shout out to you for for doing
4:05
that this is gonna be a very rewarding
4:07
show here Walden for the listeners because We
4:10
do this every year on the show. I really wanted
4:12
to have you on this one because I just
4:15
want to talk through some players with you and like
4:17
a wide variety and The best
4:19
way to do that is to just do a
4:22
dynasty rookie mock draft. We're gonna go pick by
4:24
pick We're gonna try to do
4:26
three rounds. So 36 picks in total.
4:28
I decided we should do a super flex because
4:31
Number one the super flex bros always are like
4:33
if you're not doing a super flex Dynasty
4:36
draft like are you even really trying and number
4:38
two? I really want to hear your
4:40
take on some of these quarterbacks. So gonna be super
4:42
exciting here Let's get right into it because again, we
4:44
got a lot of picks here to make and
4:46
because I am such a gracious Lovely
4:50
guy I decided to give
4:52
you the first pick So with the
4:54
101 in our little super flex dynasty
4:56
rookie mock draft here Matt Waldman, who
4:58
is your first pick? Well, I'm
5:00
getting set up. So I'm gonna go ahead and
5:02
take Caleb Williams number one just because Really
5:05
to me even whether it's super flex or not
5:08
I want quarterbacks who I feel like
5:10
can anchor my team for The
5:13
next 10 to 12 years now if most of you who
5:15
do listen to me on a regular basis know I'm very
5:18
skeptical About most quarterbacks and
5:20
would tell you that most of them don't
5:22
deserve to be drafted in the first round
5:24
But this guy I think
5:26
is essentially childproof and and the
5:29
Bears have just progressed from childhood
5:31
to adolescence in terms of their organizational
5:34
structure and it's figured out
5:37
after Wasting their time, you
5:39
know messing around with Justin Fields and
5:41
and really kind of ruining his
5:44
early developmental opportunity I
5:46
don't think they're gonna do that with Williams great weapons
5:49
around him He's gonna
5:51
certainly have moments of hero ball, but
5:53
they're not massive Issues
5:55
in the way to say Mitchell Trubisky had
5:57
massive issues. So I'm a big fan and
5:59
I would I love to start off
6:01
a franchise with him as as
6:03
my number one overall pick who I think I'm going
6:05
to have erin rogers like
6:08
Development. I mean maybe like faster than
6:10
that But he's going to develop into
6:12
an erin rogers type of player and
6:14
be a long-term top five top seven
6:16
quarterback Yeah, people know my
6:18
feelings on kayla williams at this point and
6:21
especially the bears ecosystem and what they've set
6:23
him up with Which is truly I mean
6:25
terrific. I I can't remember Like
6:28
you said, I can't remember very many young
6:30
quarterbacks getting dropped into a better set of
6:32
circumstances from an on-field standpoint Of course, there's
6:34
the the bears question of it all and
6:36
that does of course bear Ironically
6:39
bear watching so there's all that
6:41
right? But i'm curious from your
6:44
perspective just because for people
6:46
who don't know matt's work Um,
6:48
it's some of the most detailed like
6:50
sickeningly detailed work that you're ever going
6:52
to find in the industry And I
6:54
say that with love as somebody that
6:56
does a lot of sickeningly detailed work
7:01
We are truly fellow sickos my friend
7:03
there's no question about that um
7:05
But part of what I love about your work
7:07
is that not only do you go
7:09
into an incredible level of detail with
7:12
the current class You show your work
7:14
from like a a wide historical perspective
7:16
and I think that's just like So
7:19
invaluable for the readers and listeners and
7:21
watchers if you're just paying attention to
7:23
an evaluator So with that in mind
7:25
when you look through like rsp
7:28
history How good
7:30
of a prospect is kayla williams in your
7:32
mind because you're you're so right. You are
7:35
not easy on these quarterbacks No,
7:37
i'm not because i'm really I I
7:40
would argue that i'm kind of ahead of
7:42
the game in terms of the value of
7:44
processing That's something that i've
7:46
always had embedded with what I do Um,
7:49
so a lot of these guys who get
7:51
drafted who have like the big arm Nice
7:53
size went to a big name school
7:55
and had big box for production. They
7:58
don't impress me and they generally are
8:00
guys that fail out because what
8:02
goes on between the ears and how fast
8:05
and confidently they can deliver that and execute
8:08
that information from the moment they spot it
8:10
is important. So Caleb Williams is really,
8:12
he had a score of 85, which on my 100
8:14
point scale is an instant
8:17
starter, 85 is that point. Most
8:19
guys who are like, Joe Burrow for instance was like,
8:22
I think an 81, 82, somewhere in that
8:27
range. I have a couple of guys that
8:29
were anomalies, for instance, you know, Skyler Thompson
8:31
had an 87 score and I knew it
8:33
was an anomaly. I literally even listed them
8:35
number one, two years ago, instead of it's
8:37
an anomaly. I
8:40
think he's going to have value, but he's
8:43
not even likely to get drafted. So
8:45
the fact that he played as well as he
8:47
did was probably a testament to
8:49
that. But most of the time guys like Mitchell
8:52
Trubisky guys like that are in like the 76 to 79 range.
8:57
A lot of these quarterbacks in that way. So
8:59
I would say Caleb Williams over the past five
9:01
years, Patrick Mahomes scored an
9:03
87 or an 88 and
9:05
that was probably one of the best up
9:08
there. So I would say we're like all
9:10
time best hits is the Patrick Mahomes. I
9:13
probably share my Patrick Mahomes scouting report at
9:16
least every other week. And I will probably
9:18
do that until I die. So
9:20
I mean, I don't care, you know, because
9:22
it's that hard to hit on something like
9:24
that. That's a career bucket
9:28
list moment for me, you know, that probably
9:30
Lamar and him. But
9:32
yeah, Caleb is up there with those guys. He
9:35
may be on the lower end of where
9:37
Mahomes was, but that's
9:40
where I'm at. And I know
9:42
Will Hewitt, who
9:45
is the pre-draft coach for
9:47
Caleb and for Brock Purdy and Anthony
9:49
Richardson, I contribute scouting reports to them
9:53
months before I do the RSP. And, you know,
9:55
I just had Caleb on. I mean, I just
9:57
had Will on talking about Caleb and he talked
9:59
about. different things with like T-spine
10:01
rotation and the flexibility of throwing
10:03
and his ability to process information
10:06
and how good he was with
10:08
control in terms of throwing at
10:10
high velocity and low velocity while
10:12
still having control of the ball
10:14
with a high spin rate. So
10:16
you see a guy with all
10:18
the tools and the things that
10:20
he's up and down about, he
10:22
has more highs than lows with the
10:24
conceptual part of the game. And
10:27
he doesn't tend to repeat
10:30
mistakes within
10:32
the same game. Whereas someone like say Zach
10:34
Wilson, he threw a pretty ball
10:36
at times but when
10:39
people really chart accuracy, sometimes
10:41
they don't really understand what they
10:43
should be charting. Even if they
10:45
understand scheme, they could be total
10:47
brainiacs with X's and O's but
10:50
what they should be charting of
10:52
what's accurate, what's pinpoint accurate,
10:54
what's not pinpoint accurate. Caleb
10:57
Williams has all those tools, he's very accurate
10:59
and he makes consciously good decisions and
11:01
when he makes mistakes, he usually corrects
11:04
them in game. It's
11:06
there. He's probably one of the
11:08
top five to seven guys I've studied. All
11:11
right, so I'm up here at the
11:13
102 and again, this is
11:15
a super flex draft so there's a real
11:17
temptation for me to go with Jaden Daniels
11:19
here because even if I've got questions about
11:21
him as a prospect and as a player,
11:23
I'm curious about your opinion of him as
11:25
a player of course. Even
11:27
if I have those questions, the margin for
11:29
error for a guy that's going to run
11:32
in fantasy is just so big. I
11:35
can have all these questions about him and he could
11:37
still be like a successful pick here at 102 just
11:39
because he's going to run but that's not the direction
11:41
I'm going to go. I'm
11:45
a big Marvin Harrison fan. To
11:47
me, he's such a clean prospect. I
11:49
know you have some questions about him
11:51
reaching his theoretical ceiling and you can
11:54
expand on those here but
11:56
overall, I love the player. Love
11:58
how he translates to the NFL. as a
12:00
true ex-receiver. I think he's got a
12:02
great set of release moves against press
12:04
coverage. He's very polished. I
12:07
do share some of the questions in contested
12:09
situations and attacking the ball
12:11
that you do that we have discussed
12:13
privately as well. But
12:15
at the same time, I think some of those are
12:18
correctable issues and he can very well be a very
12:20
strong player in the NFL. So
12:22
I'm going to go with him here at 102 because I think it's
12:24
just a really good opportunity to get
12:27
a foundational place for my foundational piece
12:29
for some theoretical dynasty team here, even
12:31
though it's a super flex draft. Yeah,
12:34
I think it's probably one of the
12:36
safer picks that you're going to make.
12:39
And even the issues that I would say
12:41
about Harrison, I mean, the bigger issue that
12:44
I have right now is that immediately
12:46
he's going to have to be the man
12:48
in Arizona. He's the split in. He's
12:51
the guy that's lining up against the
12:53
top corner. He's the guy that opens
12:55
his chest up early and gets hammered
12:57
by cornerbacks occasionally who are actually NFL
13:00
savvy. It doesn't happen very often where
13:02
he was in Ohio State, but it
13:04
did. It'll happen a little bit more
13:06
often in the NFL. Does
13:09
that kill his career? Absolutely not. But
13:11
I could see this being as a
13:13
first year guy who's not also the
13:17
most quick twitch dude. I mean, like
13:19
I'm not saying he's slow. He's not.
13:21
Right. But he's not, you
13:24
know, he's not Antonio Brown working to
13:26
get open when Ben Roethlisberger is scrambling
13:28
around back in the day. He's
13:31
now working with Colin Murray, who does a lot
13:33
of that type of thing, but he's
13:35
not the quick twitch guy that say Malik
13:37
neighbors is in that regard to be able
13:39
to work open. So I could see where
13:43
Marvin Harrison has like a Larry
13:45
Fitzgerald rookie year type of scenario,
13:47
which is still good, but it's
13:49
like 780 yards, you know, 70
13:52
to 80 catches, 780 yards, eight
13:54
to 10 touchdowns. Still good enough to
13:56
be like a, a wide
13:59
receiver. for three, year one, and then
14:01
next, the year after that, Fitzgerald had a
14:03
1400 yard season. So I
14:05
could totally see that working out. But
14:08
I could see missed opportunities against top corners who
14:10
are going to like say, Hey, welcome to the
14:12
NFL. This is how we play. This is
14:14
not who you played at Michigan that
14:17
everyone's fawning over. You know,
14:19
and I think we're going to have some of those moments in
14:21
those contested catch scenarios. But
14:24
as a number one overall, as your first overall pick,
14:26
I wouldn't argue with I wouldn't argue with anyone who
14:28
took him first overall. Yeah.
14:31
Tell you what, if he gets between like 700, 800 yards, people are going to
14:34
be super disappointed. Yeah, based on
14:36
where the expectations are right now,
14:38
the very high expectations. But
14:41
you know, that that's always within the range
14:43
of outcomes. I agree with you that the
14:45
biggest question I have with him is just
14:47
working with a scrambling quarterback like Kyler Murray,
14:49
because even some like receivers I'd call mid
14:51
tier guys in the NFL, really
14:53
take their like, Gabe Davis is a
14:55
great example that I mean, Gabe Davis is whatever,
14:59
like he's a whatever starting receiver in the
15:01
league. But he has made a it made
15:03
himself a lot of money. And he's got
15:05
a lot of cred to his reputation, because
15:07
he has that sense of working with Josh
15:09
Allen at this point in his career, like
15:12
four years in his career, of like
15:14
when to snap off these routes. And you mentioned like the
15:16
quick twitch part of it. So that
15:18
that I think will be the most interesting thing with with
15:21
Marvin Harrison and Kyler Murray, because we just haven't seen him
15:23
do that yet. So I
15:25
think that will be a fascinating thing to track with this
15:27
player in particular. But all right, 1.03.
15:29
Matt Waldman, who are we
15:31
going with at 1.03? So we're
15:33
looking at this as a new team here, right?
15:36
Yeah, yeah, total, total, these are all like that
15:38
within their own little entities. All right. So
15:40
then, you know, I'm looking at Malik neighbors at
15:42
this point. And you know, I hate the I
15:44
hate for Malik neighbors that he's a New York
15:46
child right now. He seems to be the idea
15:49
that child. But
15:51
I think, but I
15:53
think all time great
15:56
press conference, where he just like butchers
15:58
the starting quarterback's name. Yeah,
16:00
because he's hoping he's hoping to God that
16:02
true lock is in the corner. What a
16:05
tough way to be like you got to hope for true
16:07
law. I'm telling you, you
16:09
know, but that's, I think that's probably what's
16:11
going on is when you're in your pre,
16:14
when you're in your pre draft visit and
16:16
you're on air, you're on camera saying, you
16:18
know, don't draft me. Um, unless
16:20
you, unless you got a, someone who's going to be
16:22
able to get me the ball and
16:24
now they draft you. I mean, this could be
16:26
a disaster. I understand. But at the same point,
16:29
you re I think at this stage
16:31
you rely on talent. And when you're looking at
16:33
overall talent, not just on fit, but
16:36
just overall what a player can do, I
16:38
think he's the best player of the skill
16:40
players in this draft, I think he's the
16:42
best route runner in terms of the
16:45
selection and application
16:47
of release movements with his footwork and
16:50
his hand. I think he
16:52
tells the most efficient stories as
16:54
a route runner with his stems, like
16:56
the types of stems that you should
16:59
be using on certain types of routes.
17:01
He's not playground with how he moves.
17:03
He, he, he's very efficient and he's
17:05
very, he has really great selection and
17:07
a great vocabulary of moves that he
17:09
can, you can use in during the
17:11
stem, during the top of the route,
17:13
and then he can make all the
17:16
breaks you want them to make. And
17:18
he is tough at the catch point and
17:20
quick Twitch after the catch. I mean, I
17:23
don't, I don't know if Antonio Brown is
17:25
a great comparison for him, but I thought
17:27
Odell Beckham was a good comparison for him.
17:29
You know, when you look at the, at
17:31
the skill set and he's going to be
17:34
the man right away, I think he's the most equipped
17:36
to have to be the man right away. It doesn't
17:38
mean it's going to translate to
17:40
four. I think any of these receivers who were
17:42
the top three, if you're expecting
17:45
1400 yards and you're trading your entire
17:47
like house, so like get these
17:49
guys to say you have them, you've made a
17:51
mistake, especially in this deep of a draft
17:54
class. So that's why I kind of like mentioned
17:56
with Marvin Harrison, some of the things I
17:59
did because I'm. But I don't train three
18:01
first round picks to get them. So I
18:03
mean, like if no one's people are going
18:05
to soak you to get this guy,
18:07
if he lands, if you happen to have the,
18:09
the pick to get them good for you, if
18:11
you didn't just build a good
18:14
team, you know, because you might build
18:16
enough surplus that you could get Harrison
18:18
for less two to three years from
18:20
now, then you are probably going to
18:22
have to pay for him in a
18:24
rookie draft. So with neighbors, it's kind
18:26
of neighbors, the it's not as
18:28
much of a demand for him. But I
18:30
think the gap between him and Harrison is
18:32
minimal. And, you know,
18:34
look, if Darius Layton can
18:36
like have like borderline fantasy
18:39
level production, um, I think
18:41
Malik neighbors can exceed that pretty, pretty
18:43
easily. Even first year. Well,
18:46
I think the fun part about neighbors is that
18:48
he's equipped to be the man in like a
18:50
very different way than these other two guys are
18:52
just because of how he's going to line up,
18:54
right? Like his alignment data is very different than
18:57
Roma Dunsey or Marvin Harrison, right? And like, they're
18:59
going to be able to hide, like you talk
19:01
about, there's really no way to hide Marvin
19:03
Harrison because you're going to use him, right? And get
19:05
the best out of him. You're going to have to
19:07
put him on the boundary and you're going to have
19:09
to have him run out as that extra receiver. I
19:12
think if you did that with Malik neighbors, you that's
19:14
like certifiably crazy. You're not, you're not doing that. Like
19:16
you're going to be able to hide him as like
19:18
a, in condensed formations, you're going to be able to
19:21
like put him off the line of scrimmage, scrimmage, give
19:23
him some of those free releases and like, I mean,
19:26
Daniel Jones can mess that up, but you've
19:28
got to work really hard to mess that
19:30
up. So like, I think that that
19:32
is what, if you're looking for instant impact from Malik
19:34
neighbors, that's the story you have to tell yourself, but
19:36
I do agree with you that overall, and
19:39
like, you know, there are some receivers that landed
19:41
in some interesting spots that we'll talk about here
19:43
shortly that could produce more in year one than
19:45
neighbors or Roma Dunsey just cause of the target
19:47
competition. Yep. No doubt.
19:49
All right. My next pick here is tough
19:53
because I just talked about a lot of
19:55
the reasons why I don't want to go
19:57
with Jaden Daniels over Marvin Harrison and I.
20:00
don't really want to take him over. I
20:04
really don't want to take him over the receiver. I
20:06
really want to go with here. I don't. But
20:09
at the same time, I am
20:11
a coward. And I'm going to repeat all of
20:13
the analysis
20:16
that I basically just said earlier,
20:18
which is the margin for error
20:21
with a guy like Jayden Daniels in fantasy,
20:23
just because he is going to run is
20:26
it's just wide. Okay,
20:28
like, I think I'm not like,
20:31
if you had taken Jayden Daniels here, there's no
20:33
way I'm considering Drake may over the receiver that
20:35
I really want to take. Okay, so like, let's
20:37
just get that out of the way. I'm not
20:40
so super flex pill that like, I'm just going
20:42
to go with quarterbacks here no matter what. But
20:44
I think because Daniels presents an opportunity for rushing
20:46
upside. And also, I do
20:48
think he maps pretty well to the
20:51
scheme that I expect him to run
20:53
in Washington. And I think he fits
20:55
well stylistically with those receivers that are
20:57
there and Terry McGorn and Johan Dachsen.
21:01
I think Cliff Kingsbury for all my questions
21:03
about him, he can design a pretty good
21:05
run game. So even if
21:07
I'm not a believer long term in Jayden
21:09
Daniels, I am a believer
21:11
in the like immediate impact of him from
21:13
a pure fantasy perspective. So hey, if I
21:15
take him here at 104, maybe
21:18
I look to trade him at some point. I
21:20
like Jayden Daniels overall, I don't want to come off like a
21:22
Jayden Daniels hater. But that's just kind of the way I'm thinking
21:24
about this. What is your evaluation
21:26
of Jayden Daniels here as like a top
21:29
four rookie dynasty pick? Yeah,
21:31
I'm kind of like, I would say
21:33
I'm neutral to neutral good on that
21:35
end for Jayden Daniels and the standpoint
21:37
of that. He's in that
21:39
range of scores for the RSP where it's
21:41
like, I see why he can become a
21:44
starter and a good one. I also see
21:46
how they can fail that
21:48
like he could fail that
21:50
and the pocket. The
21:52
pocket management is okay, could get
21:55
worse, could get a little bit
21:57
better mainly because he's a slower
21:59
processor than people give him credit for.
22:01
I've heard some people say he's a fast
22:03
processor and he makes full field reads and
22:05
he does make full field reads occasionally when
22:07
he wasn't told or when he didn't get
22:09
in his mind later in the season to
22:11
become a one or two read guy and
22:13
leave. But he also makes what I
22:16
call tragic common type of
22:18
reads where he gets to
22:20
that second read and he has time for the third
22:23
and he has space for the third that
22:25
he's created and he should look at, he
22:27
should know the route and the coverage and
22:29
say, oh, one more beat and
22:31
that's there. And instead he turns
22:33
just as the, the, the, the receiver's breaking
22:35
open and ends up running and usually ends
22:37
up running like Marcus Marriotta
22:40
or Robert Griffin like in stages of
22:42
their career that isn't always great. He's
22:44
not a, he's not Lamar Jackson. He's
22:46
not Lamar Jackson in the pocket. He's not
22:49
Lamar Jackson processing. He's not Lamar Jackson as
22:51
a runner, but Robert Griffin
22:53
had his best Marcus
22:56
Marriotta exceeding or
22:58
in his first game, you know,
23:00
maybe, you know, ever, maybe
23:02
he could have that kind of career. I
23:04
think that there's hope for him there, especially
23:07
in the offense that he's in with the
23:09
weapons that he's got. He has a chance
23:11
to level up fast. So it's an understandable
23:13
pick for me, but I'm going to say
23:15
this Matt Harmon, I'm running up to the
23:17
podium now, you know, I'm running
23:20
up to the podium and I'm saying, listen, I
23:23
know because, you know, I'm,
23:25
I'm not broadcasting my thoughts to
23:27
anybody else. Usually in any type of draft,
23:29
I know Michael Pentex is going to be
23:31
there for me. Most, most likely it's in
23:34
a lot of leads at this point, probably
23:36
second or at the end of the third
23:38
round, probably end of the third round in
23:40
a lot of drafts and super flex probably
23:42
somewhere in the second round, I'll take my
23:44
chances and if I lose out on a
23:47
quarterback, I don't care because I'm going to
23:49
build a surplus of studs. And if I
23:51
don't win right away, that's okay. Because if
23:53
I get a ton of good receivers and
23:55
backs, I can get the quarterback I want
23:58
even big career. So I'm getting Roman. You
24:01
know, I'm going to,
24:03
I mean, I'm getting the guy who was
24:05
in the best situation. He's got the best
24:07
quarterback of this group. He's got
24:09
a team that's learned their lesson. He's
24:11
got DJ Moore at the apex
24:14
of his career right now, who's figured out
24:16
how to make boundary catches. He's
24:18
got Keenan Allen, who when healthy enough is
24:20
still playing at peak production. He's going to learn
24:22
from Allen for a year. He's
24:25
basically got Aaron Rogers, Jr.
24:27
in Chicago. He's basically
24:29
Devontae Adams, Jr. in Chicago. And
24:31
he's going to be in the Devontae
24:34
Adams situation to learn. So he may
24:36
not be productive this year on
24:38
a level of neighbors in Harrison, but he's going
24:41
to be super efficient because they're going to get
24:43
to move him around. Williams is
24:45
going to get, defense has to pick their
24:47
poison and he's going to soak up all
24:49
that greatness that he's got from those two
24:52
other players and continue working. And
24:54
I mean, and if one of those guys gets hurt,
24:56
he's a, he's a thousand yard receiver now and he's
24:58
not even as good as he could be. So
25:01
yeah, I don't care. I'll take the bowl
25:03
again this year and get Roma do today.
25:07
Yeah, I suck. Uh, I
25:09
definitely should have just taken Rome at my
25:11
previous pick there for all the reasons you
25:13
just said. And like, man, I, I really
25:15
went hard back and forth Waldman in terms
25:17
of who I liked more between my number
25:20
one receiver, Marvin Harrison, a Roma doomsday. I
25:22
love Rome. I'm so excited about him as
25:24
a player. And I'm glad you
25:26
said like he's in the best situation because yeah, he
25:28
might have like, like
25:31
he might not have the production that we want
25:33
this year, but at the same time, there's also
25:35
a lot of like contingent value there as Keenan
25:37
Allen gets hurt again. Right. And
25:39
like, what if they just get into camp and like,
25:41
you know, who's better this year? Like Roma doomsday, like
25:43
he might, that, that is possible. Just where Keenan Allen
25:46
is at this point in his career and the routes
25:48
you want him running anyways, like he's going to be
25:50
those he's Keenan Allen is
25:52
ideally going to run those like layup routes and
25:54
give the quarterback a reliable target underneath. You're telling
25:56
me that Caleb Williams is going to be reading
25:58
that before he's going to be the Roma
26:00
Dunes day routes? I don't think so pal.
26:02
And I think he's gonna be on the
26:04
field Roma Dunes day like 80 plus percent
26:06
of the routes. I'd be at least 70
26:09
percent. I'd be stunned. Like he's not Jackson
26:11
Smith and Jigba who I know both you
26:13
and I liked last year. But
26:15
JSN is a slot guy. Like Roma Dunes day is
26:17
not. This is not a similar situation. So yeah,
26:20
great frickin' pick pal.
26:22
I regret it already.
26:25
And now because especially now I'm looking
26:28
at the board like this is not
26:30
fun here at the sixth pick because
26:32
I like I'm not
26:36
that excited about the Bowers landing spot. I
26:38
think it's a little early for my receiver
26:41
four or five. So
26:43
like I guess I just I guess I just
26:46
got I mean, jeez, I guess I just got
26:48
to close my nose and like take one of
26:50
these quarterbacks here between Drake May and JJ McCarthy.
26:52
And you could really tell I'm super convicted on
26:54
this and I feel great about it. I
26:58
think I'll go ahead and take Drake May. I
27:00
know you're not super high on May. So I'm
27:03
curious what you think about this. But I
27:05
do at least really believe in New England's commitment
27:07
to develop him the right way. The fact that
27:09
the first thing they say after they draft him
27:12
is like we could start to Kobe reset this
27:14
year and like look, teams say that all the
27:16
time and they never do it. So that's possible.
27:19
But I'm geez, I really do
27:21
like the players ceiling. I like the projectable
27:23
ceiling you see out of him. I do
27:26
have questions about how consistently he's going to
27:28
do it from a year one perspective. And
27:30
most importantly here Waldman, I like what they've
27:32
done at the receiver position in
27:34
the draft this year. I like Polk,
27:36
I like Baker as second and fourth
27:39
round picks. So I could easily have
27:41
really screwed myself here and just really
27:44
struck out. So if you were
27:46
in my position here, would you have taken May
27:48
McCarthy or somebody else? I
27:51
would have considered McCarthy, but I probably
27:53
would have taken somebody else. And I
27:55
probably would have said forget it with
27:57
the quarterback. I mean, I know that people are.
28:00
They look at Drake May and they
28:02
see he looks like someone out of
28:04
central casting for what an NFL team
28:06
wants from a quarterback He
28:09
also sold it all the other quarterbacks
28:11
I mentioned that haven't worked out like
28:13
Janial Jones and you know and
28:17
drew lock and Mitchell
28:19
Trubisky and Zach Wilson and you know the
28:21
line it goes on down the line the
28:23
thing with Drake May is this is is
28:27
He's a flow processor. He drifts in
28:29
and out of the pocket too much
28:31
His his accuracy does not work well
28:33
for me from a charting standpoint He's
28:35
just he and it's then it's rooted
28:37
in that the speed inaccurate the speed
28:39
and accuracy of what he's reading
28:41
and getting it Out confidently just isn't
28:44
there too often. He's tough He's
28:46
tough and he's gonna need to be tough if he
28:48
ends up playing in New England early I
28:51
hope for his sake for
28:53
his development because you root for these guys I
28:56
hope that you Kobe Brissett gets to play a
28:58
full year because this Elliott
29:01
Wolf thinks he's enacting the Green Bay
29:03
Packers plan But I would
29:05
argue that Jordan Love had three
29:07
years to get the
29:10
bandwidth Small enough so
29:12
that when he's on the field He's not worrying about
29:14
being in the new town having a lot of money
29:17
being famous Learning the
29:19
playbook learning the complexity of
29:21
defenses read addressing
29:23
all sorts of fundamental things
29:26
about his throwing and
29:28
his movement as a player and Accumulating
29:31
to the speed of the game because he
29:33
got that an intermittent level of starts while
29:35
playing behind Aaron Rodgers And then when he
29:37
got to be the starter all that stuff
29:39
was in place He didn't have to overthink
29:42
his game wasn't slow on the field when
29:44
he had bumps in his game he
29:46
was able to correct them pretty quickly
29:48
because he wasn't questioning everything and He
29:52
oh, yeah He had young receivers who had
29:54
one to two years of experience or no
29:56
experience at that point But he already had
29:58
three years on them Drake If he
30:00
gets put in right now, it's him
30:03
and rookie receivers. Yeah, a
30:05
lot of kids, that to me, they're all
30:07
getting put in the frying pan. So it's
30:09
like, it could work, but I'm
30:12
looking at Drake May and I feel
30:14
like he's the most likely to be
30:16
the next true Biscay scenario
30:20
because he's going to get rushed. And
30:22
I just don't believe New England, when
30:24
they say it, I want proof before
30:27
we go there. That's a
30:29
fair point. And the biggest thing that
30:31
holds me back from thinking they can pull this
30:33
Jacobi Versett thing off is just ownership
30:36
wants to see the new quarterback. That
30:39
happens all the time across the league. We know
30:41
New England is not the most patient.
30:44
They can say they're patient, whatever. They're not a
30:46
patient environment because of the success they've had there.
30:48
All right. So I hate
30:50
myself for what just happened in the last
30:52
three picks there. Take someone here
30:55
seventh off the board, Waldman, and try to give me
30:57
a break on this one. Man,
31:00
but you're my friend. I love you. But
31:02
this is draft time. So
31:06
I'm going with Lad McConkie right
31:08
here. I mean, listen, he's
31:12
sitting there and you expect me.
31:15
I went to the University of Georgia. I used
31:17
to cover those guys back in the day. I
31:19
lived there for 20 years in Athens. I'm
31:22
not going to take Lad McConkie. I mean, come
31:24
on. I got to do that on behalf of
31:26
my people. So listen, Greg
31:29
Roman is going to be running that offense,
31:31
right? We saw what he did
31:35
with Baltimore. They like to throw to the
31:37
middle of the field. Gene and
31:39
Allen's gone. Josh Herbert is really good at
31:42
throwing in the middle of the field and
31:45
being able to work with slot receivers. I
31:47
think Lad McConkie is going to play that
31:49
slot flanker role. He's
31:52
going to get free releases off the line of
31:54
scrimmage. With that footwork, he's really good at that.
31:56
He's a little less proven with using his hands.
32:00
He's not going to have to do that as
32:02
much. He's going to get a lot of those
32:04
types of alignments that you just described with Malik
32:06
neighbors. He's probably going to be the volume leader
32:08
because Quentin Johnson kind of has that
32:12
Josh Norris like profile photo
32:14
on Twitter
32:16
where he's imitating Ricky Bobby and doesn't know
32:18
what to do with his hands when the
32:20
ball arrives. And that's been an
32:23
issue and he's year two now he's not
32:25
a first round draft pick. He's a year
32:27
two guy who can't hold onto the football
32:29
with Jim Harbaugh coming onto the field and
32:31
they've got Brendan Rice who may clap attack
32:34
a little bit, but he's still, um,
32:36
a much better player than what
32:38
his draft status would likely
32:40
lead you to believe because this receiver class
32:43
is so rich. Um, and
32:46
you know, Josh Palmer, you know, fine,
32:48
you know, last year of his contract,
32:50
he's not going to drop a lot of balls.
32:53
I don't think so. He'll, he can be helpful
32:55
to an extent. But the production leader is going
32:57
to be loud. The coffee in this offense, and
32:59
it's going to be built on efficiency.
33:01
They're going to use a lot of RPOs. They're going to
33:03
use a lot of screen stuff. And
33:05
he's great at running, um, setting
33:09
up blocks. He's got great footwork and really
33:11
has a good feel for hugging blocks and
33:13
setting up space, and then he's
33:15
a great double move guy too. And
33:17
you know, Justin Herbert off play action
33:19
is deadly. So Kong,
33:21
McCaukey's to me, like I debated not,
33:23
I debated early on is lab, a
33:26
cocky, not maybe one of the top
33:28
three guys based on landing spot at
33:30
the receiver position, he might be, if
33:32
someone took him number one overall, I
33:34
would say it's ballsy, but I, but
33:36
I don't have an argument for you.
33:38
I mean, he could easily lead rookies
33:41
in receiving yards this year easily. Um,
33:43
just based on the landing spot for
33:45
those top three guys, especially neighbors and
33:47
a dune's day and just like the,
33:49
what he got dropped into for McCaukey
33:51
here. So yeah, I love this pick. Um,
33:54
I'm not going to go quarterback at this next
33:56
one. I'm going to go with Brian Thomas Jr.
33:58
Here at LSU. Um, but
34:02
there seems to be some trepidation about,
34:04
you know, are there too many mouths
34:06
to feed in this Jacksonville Jaguars offense,
34:08
like Christian Kirk and Evan Ingram and
34:11
Gabe Davis now. And now they add
34:13
Brian Thomas. Like, is he gonna, is
34:15
he too samey with what you want
34:17
to use Gabe Davis to do? Well,
34:19
I would counter with this. They've
34:22
been feeding those mouths for the last few years.
34:25
Kirk and Ingram at a very high
34:27
volume, um, especially Ingram. And like, how's
34:29
that going for you, Jacksonville? How's
34:31
that going for you feeding those mouths? Like maybe
34:33
it's time to get somebody else a bigger plate
34:36
here. And I think that's why they take Brian
34:38
Thomas. I think he offers something that
34:40
none of the receivers do on this roster, which is
34:42
like a true ability to separate
34:44
at all three levels to win against
34:47
press coverage. I love the way his
34:49
release moves grew as the season went
34:51
on. Like I thought you saw on
34:53
the job development with Brian Thomas. His
34:56
ability against press is the thing that really made
34:58
him a first round receiver in my
35:00
rankings. And that's just
35:03
not something they've had in Jacksonville, even Calvin
35:05
Ridley. Like that's what he struggled with last
35:07
year. So love the pick of
35:09
Brian Thomas for Jacksonville. And I think he
35:11
will, like, I think again, it's good that he
35:13
has other guys there that he doesn't have to be
35:16
the man right away. Cause I think that would have
35:18
been problematic for him. But at the end of the
35:20
day, I think he's clearly the most dangerous receiver in
35:22
Jacksonville. And I could see us very like,
35:24
even if it's a slow burn for him, I can
35:26
see us coming off the season and being like, oh
35:29
yeah, he's, he's ready to soar in 25
35:31
and beyond. Yeah,
35:33
I think so too. And I'm in the same
35:35
spot with you. I think it's a really good
35:37
pick. Brandon Angelo and I
35:39
were talking about it last night on our
35:41
podcast and he, he mentioned Thomas has probably
35:43
been fearing that he might be
35:46
a slow burn to start, but I'm okay
35:48
with that in dynasty league. I mean, really,
35:50
you know, three
35:52
years from now is a very different window than what
35:54
we're talking about today. And I
35:56
think that you don't take a guy this early and
35:58
with his skills, he's very. good after the
36:00
catch as well. He's going to become
36:03
a complete route runner. I think he's
36:05
on his way to doing that already.
36:07
And everything that you said I'm totally
36:09
on board with. And that kind of
36:11
gives me like, pause now
36:13
when I'm gonna draft because like, I,
36:17
you know, I love watching AFC West
36:19
football. And there's a couple of
36:21
AFC West guys, I'm really kind of torn between
36:23
and I feel like whoever I leave on the
36:25
field, whoever I leave here, I'm going
36:28
to kind of regret that I'm not going to get a
36:30
chance at them. But
36:32
I think I'm going to roll with
36:34
Xavier Worthy. Okay. And, and
36:36
this is not normally the guy I
36:38
would pick. There's another guy, the other
36:40
guy in the AFC West, I probably
36:43
would have taken ahead of him. But
36:45
I just it, I go back and forth
36:47
on these guys. I'm a
36:49
worthy fan. I believe he's more of
36:51
a Deshaun Jackson type of player than
36:53
a Jameson Williams type of player. Or
36:58
more of an maybe an Isaac Bruce for
37:00
some of our old heads like me who
37:02
remember, you know, having him on our fantasy
37:04
teams. Xavier Worthy is,
37:07
I think he runs good routes inside. I
37:09
think he makes strong
37:12
plays in the middle of the field
37:14
against tight coverage. He gets ping pong
37:16
off defenders. He's physical. Now, I'm
37:19
not saying he's going to go out there and
37:21
seek it out and be crazy about it at
37:23
his size. But he understands how to deal in
37:25
that realm. And he fights the ball a little
37:28
bit. You watch him and there's a little bit
37:30
of, but then you
37:32
go and watch his best work and you
37:34
watch a lot. You just look at the
37:36
volume of really strong work that's out there.
37:39
And he, he makes very
37:41
tough catches in the technically sound
37:43
way. So I,
37:46
you know, in this offense
37:48
with Reishi Rice's legal issues,
37:51
Sky Moore basically, you know, probably in
37:53
the hit the road jack phase of
37:55
his career, every people
37:57
get logo scouting. You
38:00
know, they look at what happened with more they
38:02
look at cadaerias tony like you you need a
38:04
drink with more I probably need to drink with
38:06
tony. Um, you know michole hardman
38:09
I never even understood by why people were
38:11
saying tyree kill part two But
38:13
I think zavier worthy is
38:15
legit and and i'm okay
38:17
with taking shots With who's
38:20
gonna be the guy for patrick mahomes
38:22
to finally be the guy who like
38:24
figures it out To
38:26
be like learn all three
38:28
positions quick enough be able
38:30
to make all the adjustments that need to be
38:32
made and grow and continue
38:35
to grow with the mid-career all-timer
38:37
and I I
38:39
think worthy is is a good contender for
38:41
that throne some of those other guys I
38:44
didn't draft nearly as high but I'll take my shot
38:46
here with worth me. Yeah worthy lines up
38:48
in terms of my receiver board This is where
38:50
I have him wide receiver six Among
38:52
the rookies from a post draft perspective now pre
38:54
draft. He wasn't this high for me Because
38:57
I do have questions about like his ability
38:59
to play against press I'd have his questions
39:02
in terms of planning contested situations, but i'm
39:04
with you that like from a route running
39:06
standpoint He's much further along than some of
39:08
these typical speed based busts, right? Like your
39:11
success rate versus man in zone is pretty
39:13
solid like where you'd kind of want from
39:15
a to me I thought he was like
39:17
a priority second round player, but he goes
39:19
to kansas city here I
39:22
think he will be my prediction is that he ends up
39:24
being a better real life player for kansas city than a
39:26
fantasy player Just because like he's gonna
39:28
open up so much for these other guys. He's
39:30
gonna he's gonna have big moments But I think
39:32
it will sort of come in spurts But here
39:34
at this point your rookie draft like you're just
39:37
trying to get a usable player and I think
39:39
Xavier worthy will be a usable player This
39:42
is just the thing about like white white and I know you do a
39:44
great job of this with the rsp is like Post
39:46
draft versus pre-draft analysis for
39:48
me. Xavier worthy like if he had gone to 25
39:52
teams in the league i'd have been like oh I
39:55
don't know about that, but he goes to this
39:57
one and I feel pretty good about how he's going to
39:59
be deployed in this offense. So that brings me
40:01
here to the 10th pick. You talk about
40:03
the other AFC West guy. This is, it's
40:05
Brock Bowers time for me. Okay,
40:07
so look, I get it. Questions
40:10
about this offense in terms of just like,
40:13
there's a lot of, there's actually kind of a lot of
40:15
guys here in this offense, right? We know they want to run
40:17
the ball a ton. Devontae Adams is still a guy that's going
40:19
to command 140 plus targets in a season
40:22
off the bus. I love Jacobi Meyers, one
40:24
of the most underrated receivers in the league. Michael Mayer is
40:26
not a bad player. Michael Mayer is pretty good.
40:29
And like we're asking Gardner Minshew to
40:31
elevate all these guys along with Brock
40:33
Bowers, Aiden O'Connell. That
40:35
I don't love, but this is, that's year one,
40:37
okay? I think the
40:39
Raiders, with all those cast of characters I
40:42
just talked about and the culture that seems
40:44
super appealing for, with what Antonio
40:46
Pierce is building there, are they not going
40:48
to be like the most attractive destination for
40:50
a veteran quarterback or like a rookie
40:52
quarterback trade up at some point next year? Like
40:55
Dak Prescott and a Raiders jersey start to
40:57
photoshops, bro, because like people are going to
40:59
be saying that all year long. So in
41:01
that case, yeah, Bowers, maybe not
41:03
set up to producing year one, but like you hopefully
41:05
are not relying on him at this point. Oh, there
41:08
you go. Waldman is showing me the Raiders hat here.
41:11
So yeah, let's put the hat on Brock
41:13
Bowers here for Harmon's fake dynasty team. Yeah,
41:16
I love it. I mean, that's the guy who
41:18
I was thinking I kind of have pangs of
41:20
regret that I left him on the board, you
41:22
know, but it's one of those
41:24
scenarios that you
41:28
know, I just looked at it as are
41:30
they going to find the quarterback and that's,
41:32
and that may have been at least today,
41:34
you know, in five minutes, I would, I'm
41:37
going to leave this conversation and go, I'm
41:39
going back to having Brock Bowers sixth on
41:41
my board, you know, but, but it's one
41:43
of those deals where, you
41:46
know, for a time there's sometimes I think about and
41:48
go, well, listen, I was a, I
41:50
was a huge Steve McNair fan and the
41:52
Titans fan for a while until they, they
41:54
got rid of him on ceremoniously and
41:58
they have not found a quarterback since. If
42:00
you really look at it, since
42:02
MVP Steve McNair back in
42:04
the mid 2000s, they have Marcus Marriotto
42:10
who had one great game to start
42:12
his career against Tampa Bay. They've
42:14
had Ryan Tannehill who they didn't draft,
42:16
who was serviceable, Will Leves
42:19
and Malik neighbors are
42:21
the other two guys. Malik Willes, but yeah. And then
42:24
like Vince Young before that. Yeah.
42:26
And Vince Young. Yeah. And
42:28
they had a player, but not who they
42:31
wanted to pick. The owner basically countermandered everybody
42:33
who wanted that. They wanted Jay Cutler, which
42:36
probably would have worked out okay if Josh
42:39
McDaniel since think up the mess year two
42:41
in Denver, they had a pro bowl
42:43
player until he came in and did what he did,
42:45
which was basically a phone call telling them
42:47
he was awful and didn't even say hello.
42:49
I was told this by Ted Zunquist, the
42:52
GM, at the time who was in the
42:54
room and he turned and looked at everyone
42:56
was like, trying to look at his agency.
42:58
Can you trade me? Just trade me now.
43:00
Yeah. For real. I
43:02
mean, yeah. So anyway, yeah, I
43:04
looked at Bowers and he's
43:07
someone that he, I mean, he reaccelerates
43:10
past cornerbacks who are on the
43:12
same side of the field as him. That's
43:14
a, to me, he reminds me of
43:17
two players. One is every
43:20
analytics fan,
43:23
analyst dream of a player who may not
43:25
always had been great in
43:27
the stat column, Vernon Davis. He's
43:29
got a little bit of Vernon Davis to his game. And then the
43:32
guy that nobody likes to
43:34
bring up, but we're compartmentalizing this
43:36
to football, Aaron Hernandez. He
43:38
has the skills to be a do
43:41
it all player like Hernandez. And
43:43
he is, and he has some
43:45
of that high end speed and ability to
43:47
win the ball like Vernon Davis. Yeah.
43:51
I love, I love both like that range of comps
43:53
there with those two guys. And again, like Raiders
43:55
get a quarterback and we're, we're flying here with Brock Bowers.
43:57
I realize that just, yeah, just not on the table. I'm
44:00
stable right now, but overall I feel like that's good. Couple
44:04
things here. We've got two more picks in the first round.
44:07
I'm an idiot for even thinking there was a chance where we're going to
44:09
do three rounds. There's no way we're going to do that. I
44:13
bet we can if we go fast. Well, we're not
44:15
going to go fast. We're not going to go fast.
44:17
Let's just see how the second round goes, pal. So
44:19
we might have to go faster the second round. But
44:21
all right, you're up here with the 11th pick in
44:23
the first round. Who are we going with? I'm
44:26
okay. 11th pick in the first
44:28
round. I'm just going to go ahead and
44:30
take the chance. And I'm going to
44:32
go with Keon Coleman. And I know that this is
44:34
a gut, you know, it's a, I
44:37
like Keon Coleman and I'm unapologetic about
44:39
it. I've, I've heard your great
44:41
analysis about him in the sense that,
44:44
you know, he's not much of a separator
44:46
according to the metrics and the studies that
44:48
you've done with him. And I
44:50
looked at him and I felt like he could go either
44:52
way. I thought he was one of
44:54
those players that if he lands with a
44:56
certain quarterback who doesn't have anticipation, who doesn't
44:58
throw the ball in the tight windows in
45:01
that level, that he's going to
45:03
be that second read guy who's never open
45:06
to that, to that player. Like if he
45:08
was with Kyler Murray, who had not like
45:11
move in the pocket without dropping his head
45:13
and running and doing like fire
45:15
drill type of antics, then
45:19
he would be bad there. But
45:21
with Josh Allen, who can actually move
45:23
efficiently in the pocket, but also break
45:25
and buy time, Keon Coleman's better at
45:27
being able to find
45:29
openings and create on the movie. He
45:31
did it with Jordan Travis pretty much
45:34
all the time. He's also going
45:36
to be used a little more in the middle of
45:38
the field. And if he's used outside, which Billy Bean
45:40
did mention that we're going to use him for a
45:42
bit outside, I thought he did
45:44
a good job of at least from
45:46
a film standpoint, purely of getting that
45:50
step or half a step on a player. You
45:52
know, now that may not qualify as open in
45:54
a lot of things that we look at, but
45:56
when I'm projecting for like the best in
45:59
the league. Getting that step to
46:01
half a step is fine as long
46:03
as you have that quarterback who has
46:05
the courage to throw the ball and
46:08
we and i'm watching josh allen have
46:10
the courage to throw those balls to
46:12
clear as a rookie and secure make
46:14
those play. I think keon
46:17
coleman to me as a like
46:19
a ball catcher if we had a contest
46:21
where like we had to have
46:23
our lives saved basically by somebody
46:25
put a brick wall up and say
46:27
you can go through it around it.
46:30
Under it however you just gotta
46:32
catch this ball to save this person's life now
46:34
we're all probably gonna be dead but you
46:37
know there's a guy i would i would
46:39
pick out of this entire class to win
46:41
and figure out a way it would be
46:43
keon coleman out of everyone because of all
46:45
the way he does. Make
46:48
any smart player who i
46:50
would like i see the route skills and the
46:52
way that he can be efficient and
46:55
i think that. At worst
46:58
case scenario he is what
47:00
everyone who wasn't probably. Fantasy
47:03
analyst thought gabriel davis was gonna turn
47:05
into i think he already
47:07
is that yeah i think and then
47:09
i think he can be more i think
47:11
he can be a michael thomas type player
47:14
in this office. I think if
47:16
they use them outside there's a little
47:18
more and kwon bold into him like early career
47:20
and kwon bold and to him
47:22
that maybe meet the eye and i'm
47:24
not gonna deny with a good quarterback.
47:27
That's gonna work out we just gotta root for your
47:29
kurtis and we will like stay on it and if
47:31
you can stay on it we'll be okay. I mean
47:33
i love kurtis and okay so here's the funny thing
47:35
and i was really look for the key on kon
47:37
conversation i'm glad you just going ahead and done here
47:39
in the first round and this is
47:41
why there's no way we're making around three pal. idiot
47:46
for even suggesting it but so here's here's the
47:48
thing with kon kon i actually agree with a
47:50
lot of what you just said there. Now,
47:53
I think a lot of this is type of
47:55
wide receiver like I don't for
47:57
me I don't want this guy that we're gonna have.
48:00
to give the, like, all right, he could be
48:02
Anquan Bolden to be my top outside receiver. That's
48:04
just not for me. But
48:06
also to your point, that's not for
48:08
me on like 30 NFL teams, like
48:11
either Holmes or Josh Allen, I think it can work,
48:13
right? And I think that's the thing
48:15
is that you see Coleman go to Buffalo, you're like,
48:17
all right, well, if somebody's gonna make it work from
48:19
a receiver, then I do think we'll struggle to be
48:21
a above average separator in
48:23
the NFL. I think even if he hones
48:25
everything correctly, I think he could be in
48:28
that like, Mike Williams
48:30
range as a separator, which,
48:32
you know, we see Mike Williams be a
48:35
productive player in the NFL. Like, I think
48:37
he gets, I think Williams gets undersold as
48:39
like a separator. I think he gives you
48:41
enough, right? Like it's enough to be a
48:43
top outside receiver. It's especially if you have
48:45
a volume sponge in the slot. So, but
48:48
I think that's like, that's where I'm at from
48:51
a ceiling perspective with Keon Coleman. I will say
48:53
though, like, I'm with you that,
48:55
you know, again, I've said this all draft season,
48:58
people are gonna see if they're route chart
49:00
and see some of the red and just
49:02
be like, he sucks. He definitely doesn't suck.
49:04
And I've said that consistently when talking about
49:06
Coleman. He works the middle
49:08
of the field well. You know, you look at his dig
49:10
routes success rate is really good. Or
49:13
it's average, it's solid 73.1% is pretty
49:15
good. Again,
49:17
solid average score. It's not
49:20
spectacular, but it's fine. He's
49:23
got good hands. I'm with you, like he
49:25
doesn't drop passes. That's gonna
49:27
be appealing for the Bills after living through the
49:29
Gabriel Davis experience. That's gonna be critical.
49:32
I'm with you that he works off script well,
49:34
which is a must for Josh Allen. If you're
49:36
not gonna work, if you're gonna work off script,
49:38
if you're not gonna work off script, you cannot
49:40
play in this Bill's offense. I bet that was
49:42
an appealing thing for Buffalo. And
49:45
like, I think he's underrated after the catch.
49:47
I really think that's why I want him
49:49
to play in this big slot receiver role.
49:51
He was a punt returner in college and
49:54
a good one. A good punt returner. I
49:56
joke he's the Laguerre Blunt of wide receivers,
49:58
which will turn off. A lot of
50:00
guys rules about that but like he's the
50:03
guy you draft, you're going to be for
50:05
any only drafting when everyone tells you that
50:07
is bad and he's can outscore all the
50:09
guys that they drafted to take the is
50:11
that he took ahead of and he's that
50:13
type of guy you know and so yeah.
50:16
I did it again. like you I think
50:18
he is in. The.
50:20
He is is a difficult evaluation good
50:22
like Like you mentioned with reception perception
50:24
like eat history is not on his
50:26
side. There's no question that like the
50:28
guys that separate his level verse man
50:30
press unless they move inside. They.
50:32
Just don't they don't become like
50:35
high quality productive players in the
50:37
league. Your pro. Your process is
50:39
great because it is. It gives
50:41
you a gives people an understanding
50:44
of who the potential outliers are
50:46
because it doesn't love certain players.
50:49
And. What I mean by that is that
50:51
every process. When you have difficult
50:53
players at the you look at you got i
50:55
see where they're good. But. History as
50:58
on their side. You. Know. Those.
51:00
Are guys that you want to monitor and keep
51:02
a close eye on. Their harder to pick but
51:05
they're the ones that if you pick well. They're
51:07
the outliers who went forth but exact
51:10
laugh like if you gave me a
51:12
joke all the time. like. If
51:14
you gave me twenty. Terry Mic
51:16
Lawrence. Like. Pre. Draft to
51:18
study. I'm not writing them
51:20
hi one yards right now. He A
51:22
now because to me, he's the bumble
51:24
bee of wide receivers. Like, literally like
51:27
it's impossible to discuss, should be able
51:29
to fly the weight of all. Yet.
51:31
The amount of residents you know. But
51:33
so was Marvin Harrison Senior. So maybe
51:35
Marvin Harrison Junior learned all this stuff
51:38
for Marvin Harrison Senior and he's gonna
51:40
be fine. but he drops more than
51:42
senior debt south's but that's the point
51:44
is a like. Your. Process
51:46
if you're if someone's gonna like someone
51:48
wants to be good. At. Picking
51:50
wide receivers and past football years as
51:52
the. The. Process of they need to
51:54
look out right away and and then
51:56
as they get as they continue to
51:58
get. The. deeper into the league
52:01
and what they do, they ask the wise
52:03
and look into the nuance of things that you're
52:06
asking the wise about and you go, okay, well,
52:08
here's the guys maybe I should take a chance on
52:10
even if the product isn't good. And
52:13
the thing with Coleman too is like,
52:16
Brennan Bean says he's going to
52:18
play ex-receiver. Okay for now, right?
52:20
Because like, those are the guys that are playing
52:22
that like, you're not playing, I love Curtis Samuel
52:24
and I think he can play outside. You're not
52:27
playing him an ex-receiver. I love Kula Shakir, but
52:29
you're not playing him an ex, okay? Like,
52:32
so, Coleman from a size perspective
52:35
has the skills to do it. He's
52:37
going to block well in the run
52:39
game. He's got the reliable hands and
52:41
like I said, teams want their ex-receivers
52:43
to be working the middle of the
52:45
field and Coleman diagnosed his zone coverage
52:47
really well. Like again, 80.2% success rate
52:49
for zone and reception perception is
52:51
not bad. It's not a bad
52:53
mark. There are clear negatives on his profile. There
52:56
are also clear positives on his profile and I
52:58
think it just depends on what
53:00
you value. So like when I have readers
53:02
or people in my Discord ask like, why
53:04
is Waldman so much higher on Key on
53:06
Coleman than you? I think you value certain,
53:08
like, and you value certain traits. I value
53:10
certain traits and like, again, I think this
53:13
landing spot is good for Coleman and
53:15
like, let's talk in two to three years.
53:17
Like maybe they say, hey, shoot, this is
53:19
not working out from an outside receiver perspective.
53:22
Let's kick him inside. And then like,
53:25
that's kind of how I think his career is going to
53:27
go. I think he probably is like an
53:29
80 target player, maybe 90
53:31
target player in his first year. And
53:34
then the more they build up that receiver core, because
53:36
these guys are temporary players right now. Like
53:38
I love Samuel, I love Shakir, but they're like role
53:40
players. So whoever the next Buffalo
53:43
receiver is maybe helps Coleman a little bit.
53:45
So I think it was a good conversation. I'm glad you
53:47
picked him here so that we can have that. Yeah,
53:49
yeah, for sure. And I'll just add a
53:51
little postscript and just say that, you know, when you look
53:53
at this guy, the same
53:56
thing that people ask me the same thing with you.
53:58
And you know, I would say, listen, I see where
54:00
the downside is. Right. For sure. And
54:02
what I'm, but I'm projecting pre-draft,
54:04
what I'm looking at for is
54:07
where, where can it work and where
54:10
does it work? Correct. And, and
54:12
I could see that scenario and go, he's still
54:14
going to be high because of there's areas for
54:16
where it works. He just happened to land in
54:18
a spot where there's some possibilities there. And the
54:20
way they use the X there, I would bet
54:23
he's also going to be the guy that drifts behind
54:25
the third level a lot on
54:27
Josh Allen because they're going to play a lot of zone
54:30
because Josh Allen wears out man-to-man defenders
54:32
with some out of time he buys.
54:34
So we'll see. Last
54:37
note on this, it's funny because like
54:39
our notes on the player are not very
54:41
different. I
54:43
think you rank, you definitely ranked Coleman higher
54:45
from a pre-draft perspective than I did because
54:47
again, just valuing different traits. I'm
54:51
going to be labeled as the key on Coleman Hader because
54:53
of the route charts. And I love, I love my route
54:55
charts, but it's like, this is why I also hate them
54:57
at the same time. All right. On
55:00
that note, we'll be, I'll be real quick
55:02
here with the 12th pick in the first round. I'm going to
55:04
be super boring and you know,
55:06
actually I'm not going to be super boring.
55:09
I should, I should probably just take JJ
55:11
McCarthy here because he's a quarterback, but I'm
55:13
not going to do that. I'm going to take Jonathan Brooks
55:15
here. It's the 12th overall pick in this
55:18
first round because I'm sick of being boring and taking quarterback.
55:20
What did I take two in the first round? I'm not going to do
55:22
it again. Brooks, I think, I'm
55:25
curious about your opinion. I'm a really good player in my,
55:27
in my mind. I think he's a solid back and
55:29
he's just in a position where he's going to get a lot of work
55:32
in Carolina. I really believe Dave Canals is a good coordinator.
55:34
I believe he wants to run the ball really well. So
55:36
I was thinking I was going to take JJ McCarthy there.
55:39
McCarthy's falling a little bit in our draft here, but I'm
55:41
going to go with Jonathan Brooks because I don't want to
55:44
be boring. I love
55:46
Jonathan Brooks, my favorite running back in
55:48
this class, hoping
55:50
that David Tepper can stay out of the
55:52
way, or maybe they could just put him
55:54
at quarterback for about six minutes and then
55:56
we won't ever have the problem again. You
55:58
know, that's kind of of my vote is that
56:01
maybe if he wants to call plays and
56:03
write them on a napkin, maybe we just put
56:06
them under center for about six snaps. I think
56:08
that's all it will take. And he'll have his
56:10
hat removed at that
56:12
point. And maybe he will let the professionals
56:14
do what they do. But
56:17
Brooks, you know, Brooks for
56:19
me is the guy that
56:22
smartest running back in this class, I
56:24
think, or one of the two smartest
56:26
running backs in terms of scheme versatility
56:29
breaks, a lot of tackles can
56:31
knows how to punish people, whether
56:33
you're the Sean McCoy, Jamal Charles
56:35
in size, or whether you're a
56:37
bigger back, like Brooks, the
56:40
fact that you attack first lead
56:43
allows you to dictate the chain of events
56:45
where you get yards. And he knows how
56:47
to do that. Best pass protector of this
56:49
class too. Easily. So, um,
56:51
you know, the injury concerns me, is he
56:53
going to be Tony Pollard ready, which means
56:55
we're going to get on the field and
56:57
he's going to be dragging his way back
56:59
to health until like late in the season
57:01
and not feel good, but tell everybody feels
57:03
great until the stats weren't there, or
57:06
is he going to, or can they wait a little
57:08
bit longer, or is he going to be young enough
57:10
and return the form, but
57:12
love his game. Think that Carolina Panthers
57:15
have improved a little bit upfront. If
57:17
they can take the next step, which,
57:19
you know, we're leery about, um,
57:22
he could get more opportunities, more red
57:24
zone opportunities than we would project right
57:26
now, but to grow with why not,
57:28
you know, he's got really high outside.
57:38
All right. So we are officially in round two and we
57:40
are going to have to pick up the pace here for
57:42
sure, so we can get through the thing and get you,
57:44
get you out of here, buddy. Um, but all right. So
57:46
you have the first pick in the second round. Who are
57:48
you going with? All
57:50
right. So I hate
57:52
that I'm going to, I hate that
57:55
I'm going to do it because I'm not big
57:57
quarterback. I'm like, I like the
57:59
quarterbacks. class and their potential, but
58:01
super flex. I feel like I'm going to have to
58:03
take one. I'll take JJ McCarthy
58:06
here. It's a great fit with Minnesota
58:08
with the weapons that they have. He's
58:10
a good quick game thrower, great feet,
58:13
someone who I think has a lot of things
58:16
to correct. He has, I
58:18
would say this, I had a quarterback coach
58:21
asked me, is he Zach Wilson
58:23
2.0? And I said, if you're
58:25
going to say iteration 2.0 in
58:27
terms of he has more highs than
58:30
lows, whereas Zach Wilson only had
58:32
lows from, in my opinion, as
58:34
a decision maker, especially in red
58:36
zone, black zone, you
58:38
know, those types of things, reading
58:41
leverage. McCarthy has a lot of
58:43
highs, lot of highs. And I
58:45
think the lows are things he can address and
58:47
get more mature with. You do wonder about his
58:49
downfield accuracy. I didn't see a lot of that.
58:51
And I don't need to see a lot of
58:53
it to chart it well, but I
58:55
didn't even see enough for my own process to
58:57
feel great about it. But I think
59:00
it will probably translate. I think the pro
59:02
day or whatever they saw in workouts was
59:04
probably good enough for them to feel comfortable
59:07
with it. And with that surrounding
59:09
talent, maybe he
59:11
turns into a Jake Plummer type of player
59:13
who has highs and lows, but
59:16
at worst, but I think
59:18
that he's someone that I'll go
59:20
for here, even though maybe
59:22
they wish they had another player themselves,
59:24
even though that trade
59:26
didn't work out. All
59:29
right. So my first pick in the second round here, I was
59:32
a little concerned you might take this guy from
59:34
me, but I'm going with Ricky
59:36
Pearsall here at near the top of the second
59:38
round. This
59:41
is how my receiver board lines up.
59:43
I'm a big Ricky Pearsall fan. I
59:46
had him as my wide receiver. I was
59:48
like stunned by how pissed people were with
59:50
this draft pick just based on my own
59:52
rankings. And like, I shouldn't be because I
59:54
realized I'm not like everybody else, but I
59:57
had him as my wide receiver six in the class. I
59:59
had him. as a fringe first
1:00:01
early second round rank right
1:00:04
where he went. I was
1:00:06
I'm so confused that we're 49ers
1:00:08
fans are pissed about this pick when you
1:00:10
lost the Super Bowl because your other receivers
1:00:12
besides you can't beat man coverage and Ricky
1:00:15
Pearsall is a man beater baby.
1:00:17
Number two in the class in reception perception
1:00:19
and success rate versus man coverage. So
1:00:21
this lines up with my board here and like honestly, Waldman,
1:00:24
I think if Deebo was traded, you
1:00:27
know, tomorrow, he would jump all the way
1:00:29
to wide receiver for for me because it's
1:00:31
the right system for him. Love
1:00:33
the landing spot. You know, maybe that's too
1:00:35
aggressive for some people, but I'm a big
1:00:38
Pearsall fan. And like you look at some
1:00:40
consensus 80 P list, like it's outrageous, like
1:00:42
truly outrageous how low he is. Maybe that
1:00:44
hasn't been recalibrated prior
1:00:47
to the draft. But like I
1:00:49
see some guys ahead of him from a
1:00:51
receiver perspective. I wouldn't even come close to
1:00:53
considering before Ricky Pearsall. I
1:00:56
love Ricky Pearsall to now. I'm a little bit
1:00:58
lower, but at the same time, it's only because
1:01:00
are they going to trade the guys that are
1:01:02
going to be traded? And if they don't, they
1:01:04
play a lot of 22 personnel,
1:01:06
a lot of full back tight end. Maybe
1:01:09
he won't be on the field as often, but
1:01:11
I'd have to think that maybe somebody else gets
1:01:13
taken off the field as good as Ricky Pearsall
1:01:15
can be against man coverage. The only issue is
1:01:18
how much do they want to play a rookie
1:01:20
and how up to speed will he get? If
1:01:22
he gets up to speed quickly, it's not going
1:01:24
to be, it may not be a big problem in year
1:01:26
one, but by year two, either Smith or either Samuel or
1:01:28
Iuk are going to be traded if not both. And he's
1:01:30
going to wind up having to be the man. And
1:01:33
like you said, great man coverage guy.
1:01:35
He would win the Brandon Lloyd catch
1:01:37
invitation on the Mount Waldman RSP Island
1:01:40
if I drop out, he would definitely
1:01:42
be one of the
1:01:44
top odds, early odds favorites for
1:01:46
me, probably moving forward on this
1:01:49
next pick. I'm
1:01:51
probably going to, I'm, I'm
1:01:53
hating it either way because I'm
1:01:56
either going to, my, I have three
1:01:58
players that I'm considering. Two of
1:02:00
them are running backs and, you
1:02:03
know, both are going to have to wait a little bit.
1:02:06
And then there's a player that's probably going to have to
1:02:08
wait a couple of years as well. But
1:02:10
at this point, I'm just going to use the
1:02:12
show that me and Bob Harris do on
1:02:14
Mondays called Feel It or F It. So
1:02:17
I'm just going to say F It and I'm taking
1:02:19
Michael Pennicks Jr. Oh, yeah. Even
1:02:21
though he's probably going to be got, we
1:02:23
could probably take him in round three. If
1:02:26
this weren't, you know, if we weren't setting this up
1:02:29
the way we did, I would probably be able to
1:02:31
take him late round two. But
1:02:33
here at this point, I'm going to look at the other
1:02:35
quarterbacks in this class. And here's how I'm laying out this
1:02:38
argument. I'm going to try and make this as quick as
1:02:40
I possibly can. But I'm going to say it this way.
1:02:43
First of all, there is a huge
1:02:45
demand for quarterbacks next year, rookie quarterbacks
1:02:47
next year, probably up to a dozen
1:02:49
teams. There aren't as
1:02:51
the supply is always low. Okay.
1:02:54
It already looks projectively lower than what it was
1:02:56
this year. Four teams tried to
1:02:58
trade up to get Michael Pennicks
1:03:00
this year. Okay. I
1:03:03
know that Kirk Cousins complained. Okay. You
1:03:05
know, shock. Yeah. Same
1:03:07
guy who was drafted in
1:03:10
the same draft after Robert
1:03:12
Griffin and who wasn't ready
1:03:14
until he was 27 after looking
1:03:17
pretty bad, awful at times, because that's
1:03:19
what happens with young quarterback sometimes. And
1:03:22
he was not as talented as Michael Pennicks Jr. is.
1:03:24
Pennicks is good in the middle of the field. He's
1:03:27
better in the pocket and people realize he really
1:03:29
understands how to climb a pocket, which a lot
1:03:31
of these guys in this class don't do as
1:03:33
well. He's more accurate than
1:03:36
I think people have charted. I've charted him
1:03:38
and I saw a lot better accuracy where
1:03:40
he threw the ball only where receivers needed
1:03:42
to make the plays. And
1:03:44
listen, it's better to pick
1:03:46
a quarterback when you have a quarterback
1:03:49
because you don't have to put them under pressure. He's
1:03:51
in the true Jordan Love Development Plan. And I
1:03:54
know that Kirk Cousins wanted another piece to help
1:03:56
his team, but look at the Atlanta Falcons who
1:03:58
have a great offensive point. a good
1:04:00
offensive line, strong run game with two
1:04:03
deeps with their backs, a Pro Bowl
1:04:05
caliber outside receiver, Pro Bowl caliber tied
1:04:07
in. And last year they had
1:04:09
some up and coming pieces on defense. And
1:04:12
they should have been a playoff team in
1:04:14
that division if they just had a quarterback
1:04:16
and they didn't have to jerry rig a
1:04:18
system to even make their quarterback semi passable.
1:04:20
And that wasn't even working. So
1:04:23
what do they need more another defensive
1:04:25
tackle? Or did they need a
1:04:27
quarterback who have Kirk cousins who in the
1:04:29
same breath that he was disappointed and needed
1:04:31
and they needed an extra piece to contend
1:04:34
now said, I can't break a pocket right
1:04:36
now. He's going to be 36 and
1:04:38
he can't break a pocket. Maybe he'll get better.
1:04:40
They should they put 100 million over
1:04:42
100 million on there. And yes, I know
1:04:44
they needed to explain Arthur Smith, what
1:04:46
was going on. But maybe Arthur Smith shouldn't
1:04:49
have picked Kirk cousins in the first
1:04:51
place to give 100 million guaranteed to and
1:04:53
maybe the coaches in this case, my NGM
1:04:55
might be a little smarter than Arthur Blank
1:04:58
in this particular scenario is brilliant of a
1:05:00
businessman as he was. And
1:05:03
they get a player who could
1:05:06
help them right now if they need
1:05:08
it. And if not, well,
1:05:10
guess what? He gets the intermittent playing
1:05:12
time that helps most players
1:05:14
like oh, Drew Brees and
1:05:17
Tom Brady and oh,
1:05:19
Patrick Mahomes and Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers
1:05:22
and Jordan Love and Steve Young and
1:05:24
the list goes on guys who got
1:05:26
to sit at least a little bit,
1:05:28
he's going to get some of that. And
1:05:30
by year three, he'll be fine if he
1:05:33
and if they wait four years, they're not gonna he'll
1:05:35
be 28. And their cousins was 27. Reeves was 27.
1:05:37
Steve Young was 31 for clarion out loud. So for
1:05:44
me, I look at this and go, you guys
1:05:46
can all tell me that this guy this was
1:05:48
a dumb pick for Atlanta. And that's
1:05:50
fine. I'm gonna go ahead and make off like
1:05:52
a bandit and get Michael Pennick's Jr. Yeah,
1:05:55
like the crux of the
1:05:57
panic, Pennick's pick is your evaluation on
1:05:59
Pennick's. And like Waldman has a very
1:06:01
different view of him than than most people
1:06:03
out there Certainly myself like I've
1:06:06
got questions about panics, but like you're a much
1:06:08
better quarterback evaluator than I am pal so people
1:06:11
should subscribe and make sure they get the
1:06:13
RSP simply for the panics analysis at this
1:06:15
point because it is a Contrary view than
1:06:17
what you're gonna get elsewhere like we can
1:06:21
And I miss I mean I miss on
1:06:23
players. We all miss on players, but I
1:06:25
will say I mean, you know, listen, I've
1:06:27
I've I Didn't like
1:06:29
Zach Wilson. I didn't like, you
1:06:32
know Kenny pick it I didn't like You
1:06:35
know some guys that people were
1:06:37
really high on and we just talked
1:06:39
about Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson so
1:06:42
if I'm contrary, you know, if I'm
1:06:44
contrary on a quarterback it
1:06:46
may not work out but But
1:06:48
I like this guy. I think he's the
1:06:50
second safest quarterback in this class All
1:06:53
right for my pick here fourth pick in
1:06:55
the second round. I will go with Trey
1:06:57
Benson I don't really
1:07:00
like the way Trey Benson sets up talked about
1:07:02
it a lot on the show post draft Maybe
1:07:05
he doesn't start the season because James Connors gonna be there
1:07:07
obviously But he's a really good compliment to James Connor And
1:07:09
I think they're gonna find ways to get him on the
1:07:11
field and like I would not be shocked by the end
1:07:13
of The season whether by injury or just
1:07:16
whatever like he's the starting back for this team and
1:07:18
I think it's an offense on the rise I
1:07:21
love it. Good gap runner good pass
1:07:23
catcher at times. I think he just
1:07:25
has to correct some things He bounces
1:07:27
outside a little too often but he's
1:07:29
in a good system for him to
1:07:31
really develop into a a solid
1:07:34
game breaking high volume threat or
1:07:36
at least a Leadback I'm gonna
1:07:38
go running back again And while
1:07:40
I hate that Sean McBay is
1:07:42
stubborn about his system And
1:07:45
I hate that he doesn't like rookies
1:07:47
and that I heard a running back
1:07:49
on his team last year I
1:07:51
was told that he said that you know
1:07:53
Zach Evans was the man and none of them
1:07:56
understood why he wasn't getting playing Time and I'm
1:07:58
a Zach Evans Stan. I'm taking place Corum
1:08:00
because he reminds me the most of
1:08:02
Ray Rice back in the day a
1:08:05
guy who if he can add a little
1:08:07
weight and stay Explosive can be a lead
1:08:09
back He's the he and Jonathan Brooks are the
1:08:11
two smartest runners in terms of decision-making very
1:08:14
quick creative with his footwork, but
1:08:16
efficient tackle breaker for his size
1:08:18
and I think can give
1:08:20
you an all-around game and They
1:08:22
took him that early either because the GM
1:08:24
and and in McBay aren't on the same
1:08:26
page or they are on the same page
1:08:28
And at this stage, I'm gonna take the
1:08:30
chance and I think Kyron Williams is now
1:08:32
like the Chester Taylor The
1:08:35
guy who had like 1500 total yards before
1:08:37
Adrian Peterson came in and while form is
1:08:39
no Adrian Peterson He
1:08:41
is the guy that's gonna take over and they may
1:08:44
split time this year and be better next year Alright
1:08:47
for my next pick here. I'm tempted to go off
1:08:49
my board, but I'm not going to own a stick
1:08:51
at receiver I'm gonna stick at my board and I'm
1:08:53
going with your main Burton here who
1:08:55
is volatile at this ranking volatile where
1:08:57
I'm taking him but This
1:09:00
might be got me back. This might
1:09:02
be Joe Burroughs number two receiver, you know Like
1:09:06
in in a year from now, I don't think he's gonna
1:09:08
get on the field in year one I think he's prepared
1:09:10
to get on the field. He's pretty pro ready prospect Yeah,
1:09:13
I look big Jermaine Burton fan overall. I know
1:09:16
you are too So
1:09:18
yeah Burton's a guy that I like again I
1:09:20
know this is aggressive, but I was pretty aggressive
1:09:22
like ranked right in the same spot I Jane
1:09:25
Reed last year and Reed worked out because he was
1:09:27
just ready to play in this system I think Burton's
1:09:30
ready to play in this one. Yeah,
1:09:32
I love that pick. He's probably my
1:09:34
favorite talent of The
1:09:36
players that we've talked about who are underrated
1:09:40
The most underrated receiver probably in this class
1:09:43
For fantasy purposes and as T Higgins wants
1:09:45
to go somewhere else He
1:09:47
can he may not do what T Higgins
1:09:49
does best as well as
1:09:52
what T Higgins does best But he
1:09:54
does more than what T Higgins does
1:09:56
and he can actually carry what Jamar
1:09:58
chase does as a replacement to Marche's
1:10:00
better than anybody they have in that. He
1:10:03
can be a number one if they need him to
1:10:05
be. It's not ideal, but he
1:10:07
can play all three roles. And
1:10:10
he's a guy that actually opens
1:10:13
up that offense more on what Zach Taylor likes
1:10:15
to do, and he's gonna get
1:10:17
behind the option. So I really like him there.
1:10:19
I'm gonna go, oh, wow. The
1:10:22
choice is here at this point. There's a
1:10:24
lot of guys that are fascinating,
1:10:26
but I think that at
1:10:28
this stage, just because we'll get a chance to
1:10:30
talk about it, I'm gonna talk about, I'm just
1:10:32
gonna take a chance. I'm gonna be that team
1:10:34
that takes Bo Nicks right here. Oh, boy. And
1:10:37
yeah, people are gonna laugh, you know?
1:10:39
But there's probably other players I would
1:10:42
consider, honestly, like Jalen Wright. Let's go
1:10:44
Jalen Wright. Let's do Jalen Wright. Okay.
1:10:46
Well, I'll just be smart about it.
1:10:48
So say Jalen Wright. All right. He's,
1:10:50
I compared Jalen Wright to Rahim Mostert
1:10:53
pre-draft, and guess who so
1:10:55
saw him as a Rahim Mostert type of
1:10:57
player. He hugs blocks well on
1:11:00
the gap plays, which is very important, which
1:11:02
is something Mostert was great at. He's got
1:11:04
that game-breaking speed. He's a pretty good receiver.
1:11:06
He can give you that space option and
1:11:08
space too, but he works well between the
1:11:10
tackles when he's mature enough with certain decisions,
1:11:12
but he bounces outside too much at times.
1:11:15
He's gonna get a chance with Mostert getting one
1:11:18
more year, and he and A-chan are
1:11:20
probably gonna be the two guys that it's gonna be
1:11:22
the one-two punch. A-chan is just gonna stay in the
1:11:24
same role he is because they're concerned about his side.
1:11:27
Yeah. And I like this pick.
1:11:29
I love the fit with Jalen Wright there. Not a lot of
1:11:31
teams you could have gone to, but this one makes sense. Eighth
1:11:34
pick here. I'm kind of running up
1:11:36
the card for Aidy Mitchell at this point. I
1:11:39
think I was slightly higher on Mitchell than
1:11:41
you were pre-draft, but, and this
1:11:43
landing spot is a little bit like, I
1:11:46
can go either way on it because I think he's
1:11:48
talented enough to be the two, at
1:11:52
least, on this team behind Michael Pittman just
1:11:55
because at his position, extra receiver,
1:11:57
he's not gonna leave the field, whereas Josh...
1:12:00
I love Josh Downs, but just his position is a
1:12:02
slot. He's gonna leave the field at times But
1:12:05
you can also tell me that like he's
1:12:07
a distant third But between like him and
1:12:09
Pittman and downs like I think that's possible
1:12:11
and I like Anthony Richardson But we're
1:12:14
not confident in terms I mean if you I'm confident
1:12:16
in him as from what I saw but like we
1:12:18
can't be like he's not a known
1:12:20
asset Right at this point. We don't know
1:12:22
exactly so I go either way on the
1:12:24
landing spot but ultimately I love
1:12:26
the like Alignment-based
1:12:28
fit for AD Mitchell and
1:12:31
I overall like the talent
1:12:33
not totally sold But
1:12:35
I do like his ability to run routes and get
1:12:37
separation and win at the catch point So
1:12:39
I will go with I'll go AD Mitchell here with
1:12:41
pretty like a pretty solid bit of conviction Yeah,
1:12:44
let me put it to you this way. I
1:12:47
had Anthony Richardson with a slightly higher grade than
1:12:49
Caleb Williams So I love that. No, yeah, I
1:12:51
know. Yeah, you're big you're big on Richardson so
1:12:53
so I think that ad Mitchell has a chance
1:12:55
to To not only
1:12:57
be a high variance Producer
1:13:00
but also maybe cut that variance down a
1:13:02
little bit and be an efficient one on top of
1:13:04
that I'm gonna go
1:13:06
ahead and take bow nicks just so that we can talk about
1:13:08
them get out of the way here and say I
1:13:11
do have him kind of a little underrated Because he
1:13:13
was my third quarterback on this board and the reason
1:13:15
is is that Everybody looks at
1:13:17
the central casting guys and they pick
1:13:20
them early for the upside But the
1:13:22
upside is actually what happens here not
1:13:24
what's going on here and bow nicks
1:13:26
has enough in the athletic Spectrum
1:13:29
to be a good quarterback and work
1:13:31
off structure He fits very well in
1:13:33
Sean Payton's offense because it's quick timing
1:13:35
routes quick hitting work And
1:13:38
I actually thought that he was
1:13:40
probably one of the most self-aware
1:13:42
Quarterbacks of this group who didn't
1:13:44
engage in hero ball and played
1:13:46
with a lot of logic Auburn
1:13:49
did not do him any favors Auburn
1:13:51
created scenarios where he couldn't trust his receivers
1:13:53
to hang on to football He
1:13:55
also tried to play a lot of hero ball that
1:13:57
that got fixed a little bit more. He was Oregon
1:14:01
and at Oregon he was better moving
1:14:03
around in the pocket very good pocket
1:14:05
mover I would not be I don't
1:14:07
love the receivers in Denver right
1:14:09
now and that's the biggest issue But
1:14:11
if I'm gonna take a chance on a quarterback and
1:14:13
it's say it's a startup draft I
1:14:16
would say well in the second round if that's my
1:14:18
first quarterback, I'll go for it Yeah,
1:14:20
I think the system fits really good. Yeah,
1:14:22
it's just the overall ecosystem with bow nicks
1:14:24
and and like yeah What is the upside
1:14:26
with phone X but in fantasy like you're
1:14:28
just looking for usable quarterback playing super flex
1:14:30
like from your second or third Guy and
1:14:32
I can see a scenario where he gives
1:14:35
you usable quarterback play. Okay We
1:14:38
can go a little longer if you want to okay
1:14:40
Well, we can go another time if you want here's
1:14:43
here's the thing man I this is actually we've got to
1:14:45
we've got a few more picks here to make I
1:14:48
don't love like any of the running backs left. There's
1:14:51
no quarterbacks left So
1:14:53
I'm probably just gonna go receiver here to end this and
1:14:55
I will go These
1:14:58
two guys are very close in my rankings
1:15:00
the two receivers I'm debating right now I
1:15:06
Think I'm gonna go Yeah, I'll
1:15:08
chicken out and go against my new number
1:15:10
rankings But I will take the player that's
1:15:12
in the same tier that's behind the guy.
1:15:14
I really want to take here I'll
1:15:16
just go as they really get Because
1:15:18
his first-round pick this is very deep in the second
1:15:21
round for a rookie draft here for a first round
1:15:23
pick to be going Off the board. I actually
1:15:25
don't really have a strong take on
1:15:27
how this one goes because I think
1:15:30
he's a very volatile prospect He
1:15:33
shows you some real good ability to win
1:15:35
with his hands. He shows an
1:15:37
ability to diagnose zone coverage pretty well But
1:15:40
he's not a he's not a refined route
1:15:42
runner period like end of story, especially against
1:15:45
man press coverage He is much
1:15:47
worse off than than Keon Coleman from a route
1:15:49
running perspective. No question, even if they score
1:15:52
out similarly I don't
1:15:54
really score out similarly man. Look at a little
1:15:56
lower. But regardless I Do
1:15:59
like the way Dave Canals has talked about using him. I
1:16:03
think he's definitely a long-term
1:16:05
project. Hugo
1:16:07
doesn't like to pick. He, no,
1:16:09
Hugo's not a fan of wide
1:16:11
receivers. He's a box safety. I
1:16:14
will, at least Liget has the
1:16:16
size to
1:16:19
take a big hit from a box safety like that.
1:16:21
But yeah, so there's another guy I really wanted to
1:16:23
take here, but I'm a coward. I didn't do it
1:16:25
and I've been a coward all draft. So I'll go
1:16:27
with Xavier here. Hey,
1:16:29
listen, to me, Xavier Liget, he
1:16:32
shows he's a developmental prospect
1:16:34
in an early round draft
1:16:37
capital because he's a guy that is
1:16:39
a timing route runner as a man-to-man
1:16:41
route runner, needs to learn how to
1:16:43
drop his weight into breaks. And
1:16:46
he doesn't do that. But when you watch
1:16:48
him as a runner, he can do it.
1:16:50
So it's kind of like if you were
1:16:52
scouting that rugby player, Louis Zammett, like
1:16:55
you might be looking and go, well, these
1:16:57
are things that could translate with a lot
1:16:59
of work. And I
1:17:01
think that with Liget, you see flashes of
1:17:03
where he could apply that elsewhere, but there's
1:17:05
no guarantee that he's gonna learn that. So
1:17:08
I'm a little worried about him on that
1:17:10
level. If I'm gonna, there's two backs I'm
1:17:12
looking at here at this
1:17:14
stage and probably the only one that I'm
1:17:16
looking at probably long-term who might be
1:17:18
able to help me out because there,
1:17:21
Josh Jacobs has
1:17:23
an out next year in his contract. So
1:17:26
what that tells me is that Marshawn Lloyd,
1:17:28
while he was in that amorphous
1:17:30
mass of running backs after the third running
1:17:32
back on my board, who like was really
1:17:35
low in the pre-draft because he fumbles a
1:17:37
lot and he bounces a lot of plays
1:17:39
outside, he still had a high enough grade
1:17:41
that he was, that really, if he
1:17:43
fixed any one of those things, he could be the
1:17:45
number two or number three back on my board. So
1:17:48
that's why you have like pre-draft
1:17:50
analysis and post-draft analysis. AJ
1:17:53
Dillon, look, if he can't beat out
1:17:55
AJ Dillon this year, that means that
1:17:57
he does have some issues that need
1:17:59
to. work on. Yeah, we're in trouble.
1:18:01
I like AJ Dillon is like a grinder,
1:18:03
you know, type of fact, but he hasn't
1:18:05
shown enough to really be anything
1:18:08
from a fantasy perspective. Josh
1:18:11
Jacobs is one of the one of the excellent backs
1:18:13
in the league. So if
1:18:15
they're, if they give Marshawn Lloyd
1:18:18
a little bit more of an Aaron Jones type of
1:18:20
role early and he thrives, he's the man next year
1:18:22
because they probably have an out with with
1:18:24
Jacobs or it could happen. So I'll
1:18:27
take that shot even though it's, you know, there's a
1:18:29
little bit of risk in it and there's actually a
1:18:31
back. I like a lot better, but I think I
1:18:34
can get him in the third round and that would
1:18:36
be Kamani Badal if we had time. Oh
1:18:38
yeah, that's a great call. Just
1:18:40
actually, just tell me a little bit about Badal. I'm
1:18:42
not taking him here in my next deck. I'm going
1:18:44
to take another receiver, of course, but like, because he's
1:18:46
a guy that people are going to be really interested
1:18:48
in because of the landing spot. Josh
1:18:51
Jacobs, or JK Dobbins, who I
1:18:53
absolutely love coming out is basically
1:18:55
a desperation
1:18:57
rental by Jim Harbaugh, who
1:18:59
they got a week before the draft recovering from
1:19:01
the Achilles. And I hope that he pans out,
1:19:03
but odds are against me. Badal,
1:19:06
if you were a DeAndre Swift fan,
1:19:08
but didn't know much about him, but
1:19:10
just heard a lot of people talking
1:19:12
about how great he is because he's
1:19:14
so productive. Those
1:19:16
people were looking into the future
1:19:18
and were imagining Kamani Badal as
1:19:21
a player, as a talent. Badal is built
1:19:23
low to the ground. He can break a
1:19:25
lot of tackles. He's a smarter runner between
1:19:27
the tackles than Swift, who needs a lot
1:19:30
of space and a lot of simulation of
1:19:32
space to really get his yards. But
1:19:35
Badal also can catch check downs and
1:19:37
he's a better blocker than Swift is.
1:19:39
He can work inside and really take
1:19:41
on blockers well. And
1:19:44
to me, he projects more as a
1:19:46
lead back in ability. And he's on
1:19:48
an offense where JK Dobbins, again, we
1:19:50
don't know. Gus Edwards is
1:19:53
29 and has a role and he's more
1:19:55
of a desperation lead back if they needed him
1:19:57
to be. And Isaiah Spill... I
1:20:00
don't think he's figured out that his hips need
1:20:02
to be aligned with his pad when he takes
1:20:04
on defenders. He's kind of got a little bit
1:20:06
of a Braylon Allen problem there where
1:20:09
he tries to bounce outside people when he
1:20:11
takes them on rather than trying to run
1:20:13
through them. And he has some maturity
1:20:15
issues as a decision maker. So
1:20:18
Vidal has a really good opportunity to
1:20:20
grow into a contributing role
1:20:22
this year and maybe even due to
1:20:24
injury, be the Isaiah Pacheco of this
1:20:27
class. I love that call. Again,
1:20:29
I wanted people to hear your analysis on him because
1:20:31
he's going to be a big time riser in the
1:20:34
post draft process. Alright, for my final pick here,
1:20:37
this is the guy, according to my
1:20:39
rankings, I would have taken ahead of Xavier
1:20:41
Laguette, but I'm an idiot. So
1:20:44
I'm going to go with Jalen Polk here, Waldman. There
1:20:47
you go. Man, I don't know
1:20:49
about you, but I was confused at the
1:20:51
backlash that this pick got. I
1:20:53
guess just because it wasn't commonly mock drafted,
1:20:56
right? It wasn't commonly drafted that Polk was
1:20:58
going to be drafted super high, but I'm
1:21:01
a fan of him as a player, man. I think he's
1:21:03
reliable. I think he does the dirty work well. I
1:21:06
like his build up speed against man coverage. And
1:21:08
I think he's, for me, he was
1:21:10
one of the top zone beaters in the class. So
1:21:12
look, it's obviously a questionable situation going to New
1:21:14
England. We don't know if Drake
1:21:16
May is going to pan out, whatever. But
1:21:18
if he does, like stylistically, what helped Drake
1:21:20
May a lot in 2022 was having a
1:21:22
reliable separator in the middle
1:21:25
of the field. Polk is not
1:21:27
Josh Downs in terms of how he can beat
1:21:29
man and press coverage off the line of scrimmage.
1:21:32
But I think there are ways you can use him
1:21:34
over the middle that will map pretty well for Drake
1:21:36
May. So I like Jalen Polk. I think I
1:21:39
was in support of that pick. So
1:21:41
I'll take him here as our final pick in this exercise.
1:21:44
Yeah, absolutely. A quality player. I mean, that works
1:21:46
out well. That's why my dog's barking. It's that
1:21:48
or he sees a Steelers wide receiver in my
1:21:50
backyard right now. I don't know which one is
1:21:52
which, but I'll probably go
1:21:54
and find out soon. Polk, good. I mean,
1:21:57
one of the things that we often hear about guys who've been
1:21:59
in the field is that can go up and
1:22:01
win contested balls. And we like them
1:22:03
about them so much, sometimes plays to
1:22:05
their detriment in the pros because they
1:22:07
don't know how to really earn ideal
1:22:09
position. You know, if you remember
1:22:11
Collin Johnson from Texas, who's been like three
1:22:13
different teams, he was one of those guys
1:22:15
that opened his body to defenders as he
1:22:17
made these unbelievable athletic catches. But Polk is
1:22:19
a guy who understands how to position his
1:22:21
body to win it, to win the ball
1:22:23
and block out the defender. And
1:22:26
he's good after the catch. So yeah,
1:22:28
he's a fine player. Certainly understand it,
1:22:30
like the pick. Hope they
1:22:33
don't put them all in the frying pan at the same
1:22:35
time and turn the heat up too
1:22:37
hard. That would be great. I
1:22:39
think of all these Ruergis in New England,
1:22:41
I think the guy who's most ready to
1:22:43
make an instant impact is Jalen Polk. So
1:22:45
hopefully he can get some play
1:22:48
with Jacobi Brissett at some point this
1:22:50
season. All right, Waldman, that was electric.
1:22:54
I should have known better than to think we were even going
1:22:56
to get close to sniffing a third round. I'm
1:22:58
not sure what was dumber, thinking that we were
1:23:00
gonna get a third
1:23:03
round in or passing up Roma
1:23:05
Dunesay for Drake May early on in this class.
1:23:07
I think actually the dumber decision was the Roma
1:23:10
Dunesay pass on my part. But I appreciate you
1:23:12
doing this, buddy. This was awesome. Love catching up
1:23:14
with you. We gotta do a deeper dive on
1:23:16
some of these guys at some point. But
1:23:19
for now, tell the people where they can find your
1:23:21
work. Yeah, the
1:23:23
rookie scouting portfolio is 19 years in
1:23:26
publication. It's available every April
1:23:28
1st, and you get a pre-draft and post-draft available
1:23:30
at 2195 for both. Usually
1:23:33
the reaction is, I'm blown away by how
1:23:36
much I get, and I've heard the hype
1:23:38
on it before. The second
1:23:40
reaction is usually I'm a customer for life, and
1:23:42
the third reaction is the next year, which is
1:23:44
you should really charge a lot more for this.
1:23:47
It is one of the two most purchased draft
1:23:49
guides by NFL people who
1:23:52
come to college facilities
1:23:54
and scout players, according
1:23:56
to folks like Alex Brown, who is a
1:23:58
recruiter at Ole Miss. and former recruiting
1:24:01
head at SMU. I
1:24:03
contribute scouting reports to quarterback Will
1:24:06
Hewlett, coach Will Hewlett, and it's
1:24:08
been a fantasy staple forever. You
1:24:10
can find it at mountwaldman.com, YouTube
1:24:12
channel, I have over 800 videos.
1:24:16
I put my podcast up there, Mount Waldman's
1:24:18
RSPcast at Mount Waldman's where you can follow
1:24:20
me. And if you want pure
1:24:22
fantasy stuff, hey, listen, I've been running my fantasy
1:24:24
since 2003. I'm seeing your staff
1:24:26
writer at footballguys.com. Excellent
1:24:29
site. Yeah, I would wholeheartedly
1:24:31
endorse, obviously subscribe to my
1:24:33
site. Sure. But, you know,
1:24:35
there are a couple other places I definitely would
1:24:37
recommend you spend your money and Matt Waldman's RSP
1:24:39
is one of those. I have been buying it
1:24:41
for a ton of years myself
1:24:44
now, and I would endorse everybody to do
1:24:46
that as well. All right, for
1:24:48
today, that is going to do it. I've got
1:24:50
a dog barking here in the background, so we are on the
1:24:52
same page on many things, Matt Waldman. That is
1:24:54
going to do it for today's show. Tuesday,
1:24:56
we're back and Scott Pianowski joins
1:24:58
me for a post draft fantasy
1:25:01
football power rankings show. Until
1:25:04
then, we're out.
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