Episode Transcript
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0:05
I'm David Brown, and
0:07
this is Business
0:28
Wars HAVE COME A LONG WAY.
0:31
FOR MORE THAN one hundred YEARS NOW, THESE HORTELESS
0:33
CARRIJES AS THEY USE TO CALL THEM HAVE
0:36
TAKEN US from point a to point b, and
0:38
they've grown more powerful every year.
0:41
Mister Ford and mister Chrysler may have
0:43
gotten the party started at the turn of the century,
0:45
but about fifty years later, mister
0:48
Honda and mister Toyota came
0:50
in to really shake things up, putting
0:52
Japanese car manufacturers on the map.
0:55
Since the nineteen fifties, Honda and Toyota
0:57
have made quite thin names for themselves in
0:59
the United States and around the world.
1:01
It's easy to see why. Their
1:03
models are practical, affordable, and
1:06
seemed to last forever, making them
1:08
a popular choice for the middle class
1:10
family vehicle. But
1:11
can these brands last on reputation
1:14
alone? Well,
1:15
the reality is our relationship to
1:17
our cars is changing. Rising
1:19
gas prices and inventory shortages
1:22
have folks rethinking whether they need
1:24
to get behind the wheel in the first place.
1:27
At the same time, electric vehicle
1:29
sales are booming, but
1:31
Toyota and Honda have
1:33
sat idling next to competitors
1:35
who seem fully charged and ready
1:37
to go. Here to help us understand where
1:39
all this is headed is Wall Street Journal
1:41
Auto's editor, Christina Rogers. She's
1:44
covered the industry for more than a decade,
1:46
interviewing leaders from the world's top
1:48
auto manufacturers. We'll
1:50
look at Toyota and Honda today. and
1:53
check out what's on the horizon in
1:55
the years to come. All that's
1:57
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3:30
Christina Rogers welcome to Business Wars.
3:32
Thank you for having me. Well, thank you for
3:34
joining us. I have a little bit of a
3:36
theory and it gets to why
3:38
people are so car
3:40
crazy at least in America. And that is that
3:43
in a way, I think cars a
3:45
lot of us see cars as kind of an extension
3:48
of ourselves in a sense. Did
3:51
did you agree with that? Yeah.
3:52
Definitely. They're Lowe this mixture of,
3:54
like, an appliance, a
3:56
status symbol, you know,
3:58
kind of part
3:59
of your personality,
3:59
the
4:00
and not to mention you spend a lot of time
4:02
in those. Well, given that we're
4:04
talking about how they're an extension of ourselves,
4:07
is there a car you would consider to
4:09
be your
4:10
favorite or your best or
4:12
or one that, you know, maybe you've had
4:14
one that you just loved the
4:17
door, didn't you wish you could have it back? Or
4:19
what do you have one of those?
4:20
I have
4:22
a couple, actually. Yeah. I
4:25
my one of my first cars is Jeep
4:27
Cherokee, and I just
4:30
you know, the original one, I think it
4:32
wasn't eighty
4:32
nine. Oh, with
4:33
the wood paneling on the side and all of that? Yes.
4:36
Yes.
4:36
I mean, it's just such a classic
4:38
and there's so many memories
4:40
in that, you know, is the first kind of
4:42
real SUV. So you could pack a lot of
4:44
people and it's really
4:46
packing all my friends in it? Nastasia.
4:48
I mean, that's a huge driver in a
4:50
lot of this, isn't it? Yes.
4:51
Yes. Certainly. There is
4:54
a ton of nostalgia. I
4:56
mean, every one kind of
4:57
remembers their first car. But you said
4:59
there was more than just one that
5:01
specialty.
5:02
Yeah. I mean, there's you know,
5:05
there was the Mazda three. It was a
5:07
little compact car. I just loved
5:09
Lowe the design, still do.
5:11
And I am very much in love with my
5:13
car right I have an Audi A40
5:15
nice.
5:17
What is it that you like about that
5:19
A40I
5:19
just I remember seeing
5:21
it at a car show and just
5:24
just I thought it was just gorgeous.
5:26
I think Audi's
5:27
I love how they drive their, like,
5:29
butter. They're so
5:30
smooth. Now, I have to ask
5:33
you, you mentioned the Mazda, which I agree.
5:35
I think it's not just
5:37
not just an appliance as you put it, you know, where
5:39
you get from point to point b. Mhmm. But
5:41
it's it's a zippy car. I
5:43
mean, it feels like it's designed
5:45
to be a driver's car. You know what
5:47
I'm talking about?
5:48
Oh, yeah. I mean, it definitely lives up to
5:50
the Zoom Zoom. Zoom
5:51
Zoom.
5:53
Yeah. I mean,
5:55
actually, our our other car is a
5:57
Mazda. it's a big SUV,
5:59
but
5:59
one of the reasons why we
6:02
decided to go with Mazda is because
6:05
even though it's a big SUV, it's still
6:07
got that, like, Zoom
6:08
and, like, the real tight handling. You
6:11
know, I've never I've never understood why
6:13
it is that Mazda isn't
6:15
thought of in the same way that,
6:17
say, the two stars of our series,
6:19
you know, Toyota and and Honda, they're
6:22
not moist is always sort of
6:24
a back seat to it even though
6:26
arguably the Mazda is much
6:28
more sort of driver focused whereas
6:31
and Honda seem to be much more in
6:33
that spectrum, much more of an
6:35
appliance. What do you think? I
6:36
actually find that kind of baffling as well
6:38
because I think Mazda's
6:40
are very good looking. They're very sporty.
6:43
Price points pretty similar. I don't
6:45
know. Maybe they just they have a smaller
6:47
footprint in terms of dealerships. in
6:49
the
6:49
United States, not might be it? Well,
6:51
maybe this gets to the history of it. I mean,
6:54
because Toyota and Honda
6:56
both very much pioneers when it
6:58
came to introducing Japanese
7:01
cars on American highways. Right?
7:03
Yeah. I mean, I do think there's a lot
7:05
in the brand recognition. I mean,
7:07
both Toyota and on that, they're just
7:09
so well known for their quality, their
7:11
reliability, and they
7:13
were early here. So,
7:15
I mean, I think that has some of it.
7:17
you know,
7:17
it's just hard. It takes a lot for someone
7:20
to say, oh, I've owned a bunch of I'm
7:22
gonna try out a Mazda. You know?
7:24
to make that leap.
7:26
Where are Toyota and Honda
7:29
today? I mean, obviously, two
7:31
of the biggest brands and certainly
7:33
tons of brand recognition. And
7:35
as we've been exploring, I mean, a real rivalry
7:37
over the years, who's in first and who's
7:39
in second?
7:40
Well, I would say, I think you've got
7:42
to kind of look at things like a little bit
7:44
pre pandemic and during
7:46
the pandemic. But pre pandemic, I
7:49
mean, those two brands, if anything, are
7:51
steady. During the pandemic, you
7:53
know, things just went haywire. I
7:55
mean, big thing that we saw is
7:57
big Wars
8:00
And, you know,
8:02
a
8:02
lot of times you hear about semiconductors,
8:05
that was Hernan that
8:07
was and continues to be
8:09
a big problem for the industry. Existing
8:12
as far as ship shortage you're talking
8:14
about.
8:14
the chip shortage, yes. But
8:17
other parts,
8:18
especially in the early days
8:20
of the pandemic, it was just really hard
8:22
to get your hands on certain parts.
8:24
Computer chips were a big one, but, you
8:26
know, we had production lines
8:28
going down right and left. And so
8:30
the companies that were able
8:33
to kind of work around the
8:35
part shortages better than others,
8:37
they started, like, picking
8:38
up market share coming
8:40
ahead,
8:41
those, like, GM and
8:44
Ford, you know, they really were having
8:46
trouble, and you could see, like, their sales
8:48
were dropping. And because they didn't have
8:50
cars. Yeah.
8:50
And in fact, what Wars us to sell,
8:53
you know. And what they did have
8:55
were just parked you know,
8:57
in huge parking lots because they're
8:59
waiting for chips to arrive or parts to
9:01
arrive because of the, you know, supply
9:03
chain. Yes. You
9:03
know, you'd see these aerial shots of,
9:05
like, parking lots outside of, like,
9:07
racetracks and, like, fucking fields
9:09
and outside the plants, like,
9:11
just filled with trucks. just
9:13
waiting for, like, you know,
9:14
one or two parts so they could be
9:17
shipped to the dealer. So the companies that were
9:19
able to kind
9:20
of work around those, keep building,
9:23
keep delivering their cars to dealerships,
9:26
and keep selling them. you know, they
9:28
fared better through the pandemic
9:30
and, you know, among those Toyota,
9:32
they picked up a lot of market share
9:34
during
9:35
the pandemic. And at one point,
9:37
they outsold
9:38
GM. So they
9:39
became the number one car seller
9:41
in the
9:42
United States for the first time
9:44
that since flipped back. Honda
9:47
during the pandemic, they had a little bit
9:49
of a rougher go I mean,
9:50
I think between the two of
9:53
them, it's
9:53
been always pretty steady.
9:56
Again, like, we're in a really,
9:58
really unprecedented times now
9:59
in the car market. Right. It's hard
10:02
to say how long this is gonna last. You
10:04
know, when you talk to Toyota about
10:06
beating GM, they're very humble about
10:08
it. They're like, Yeah. But that was just
10:10
a quirk. So
10:11
That's interesting. Yeah.
10:13
No.
10:13
They're very like, they're very humble
10:16
about it. Meanwhile, if it was forward
10:18
overtaking GM, they'd be pretty happy.
10:19
Oh, yeah. They'd be mocking
10:22
their horns. Yes.
10:25
Absolutely. Well, you know, there's one other aspect
10:27
of this Toyota Honda Both of
10:29
these brands are household names,
10:31
but Of course, you know, you don't have to
10:33
wind back the clock too much to see, you
10:35
know, it just wasn't always that way.
10:37
I mean, imported cars in
10:39
the states. really didn't start catching
10:41
on until about fifty years ago.
10:43
Once upon a time, and this was a big part of
10:45
the of the car culture narrative in
10:47
the United States, Americans Lowe their
10:49
big cars with v eight engines
10:51
and, you know, bigger was better. But
10:53
things changed. And, you know, when
10:55
Toyota was introduced in this country, it
10:57
was considered flat out, too
10:59
small, something that Americans just
11:01
wouldn't couldn't imagine themselves, couldn't
11:03
picture a family in a in a
11:05
Honda once upon a time. How did how did the
11:07
import market change the game for
11:09
American consumers do you think? The
11:11
turning point
11:11
really, I think, was in the nineteen seventies.
11:14
you know, you had kind of the
11:16
air embargo and
11:18
oil. That was around the time when the
11:20
government I think that those were the first
11:22
fuel economy regulations. came
11:24
into play. I think
11:25
it like, the mid seventies. The
11:28
cafe standards. Yeah.
11:29
Cafe standards. Yep. Speak
11:32
the lingo.
11:33
corporate average fuel economy
11:35
was what I think that stood for. Yeah. Yes.
11:37
Yes. And so I
11:39
think that, like, fuel
11:41
economy you know,
11:43
up until that point wasn't really
11:45
really something on your shopping list.
11:47
And then all of a sudden, you know,
11:49
became kind
11:51
of like was on
11:53
the minds of a lot of consumers, and
11:56
that's where those two brands
11:59
excelled. And
11:59
not
11:59
only that, I mean, like, the
12:02
quality, the reliability, it's just
12:04
so stood out
12:05
with those two.
12:07
I mean, I know the Detroit
12:09
companies, like, really, really, Lowe, recognize
12:12
that, trying to learn from it, and,
12:14
you know, really change the industry.
12:16
You know, you're you're making an interesting
12:18
point because on the one hand, you can
12:20
clearly see how government
12:23
intervention sort of changed the game
12:25
and opened up some doors for Toyota
12:27
versus Honda. But you're based in Detroit.
12:29
And you know how attitudes
12:32
changed Detroit for a long time dragged its
12:34
heels on increasing fuel
12:36
efficiency because they said you just can't
12:38
do it. Toyota
12:38
and Honda showed you can and you
12:41
can sell even
12:42
in America. I mean, this
12:44
had to have been in the long haul
12:47
a good thing, not just for
12:49
Toyota and Honda, but for
12:51
American carmakers too.
12:53
Yeah. I mean, over
12:55
time, it was here's my kind of
12:57
understanding of things, like, at
12:59
first, when some of
13:01
those
13:01
new fuel economy regulations came
13:04
online, I mean, the truck
13:05
carmakers had to, like, rush out
13:07
to put out smaller cars, downsized
13:09
his engines, and they just really put out
13:12
some crummy cars. in
13:14
contrast that really elevated
13:16
Honda and Toyota. Well, the Chevy
13:18
citation. That's all you need to say. Chevy citation
13:20
is compacting us to fit into three
13:23
quarters of a parking space and offer
13:25
gas mileage estimates you would expect from a
13:27
smaller car. Chipotle citation.
13:29
Right? I mean, some of these things are, yeah,
13:31
sort of, legendary legendary
13:33
Karen, I suppose you could say.
13:36
Yes. And and by comparison
13:37
Toyota and Honda were
13:40
reliable, efficient, and
13:42
just a lot cooler ultimately.
13:45
Yes. Yeah. And I think just like
13:47
and over time, I mean, I don't know,
13:49
you know, you can argue whether
13:51
the trade companies really caught
13:53
up on small cars.
13:54
They had their moments, but
13:56
really it was, you know,
13:57
those two companies that Toyota and
13:59
Honda who Lowe that market. But
14:01
they also did something when it came down
14:03
to reliability, dependability, quality,
14:06
control, I mean, there there were
14:08
there were Detroit executives visiting
14:10
Japan, visiting the factories
14:12
trying to find out what what was
14:14
it that the Japanese were getting right.
14:16
especially folks at Toyota Honda. You
14:18
you think US automakers have regained the
14:21
ground that they lost in the seventies and
14:23
eighties to foreign carmakers. But
14:25
nowadays, I have a sense that Detroit's
14:27
caught up a good bit
14:29
of what they lost back in the seventies and
14:31
eighties. In
14:31
market share, no, they have not caught
14:34
up. I
14:34
mean, or regain ground.
14:35
After the Japanese really
14:37
kind of, like,
14:39
made a push here, you could just
14:41
see the market share of the Detroit
14:43
three slide. I mean, I think that, like, eventually,
14:45
they caught up on how to make, you
14:48
know, a reasonable small car.
14:50
If you look at the JD power
14:53
quality study, the reliability studies,
14:55
Lowe, it's always Lowe the Japanese
14:58
kind of at the top. and
14:59
now more recently Honda are
15:02
ranking higher.
15:03
Christina Rogers is our gas sheet's
15:06
autos editor for The Wall Street Journal. Now when we
15:08
come back, we're gonna talk about how these
15:10
companies are or aren't keeping up
15:12
with the EV trans stay
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welcome
17:14
back to business wars. Our guest is Christina
17:16
Rogers. She's Auto's editor for The Wall Street
17:18
Journal. And recently team has been following
17:21
Toyota's plans for electric vehicles
17:23
since well, they've been somewhat late
17:25
to the game despite being early to
17:27
the party with hybrids. You know,
17:29
Christina, I remember back when Toyota seemed to
17:31
be leading the charge, unintended.
17:34
With with
17:34
the Prius, Right. And
17:36
here's one of their early commercials. It's been a long
17:39
time since transportation is
17:41
truly advanced. We've
17:43
been moving We just haven't
17:44
been moving forward. You know,
17:46
when the Prius was introduced, I mean, it
17:48
was very different, very
17:51
groundbreaking at the time. Do you remember when the
17:53
car launched? Oh, yeah. Yeah. Definitely. Late
17:55
nineties. Right? Yeah. Wasn't
17:56
quite the looker. I will but
17:58
it just, like, it was so
17:59
different. But
18:01
you know, it was so distinct
18:03
and, you know, and I remember being, like,
18:05
kind of,
18:06
the status of all, like, you know,
18:09
all these celebrities and
18:09
Lowe like -- Yeah. --
18:10
getting and driving around Priuses. I
18:12
remember
18:13
too, South Park had a little episode
18:16
in which someone was driving a
18:18
Toyota pie. Right? That was Yes. I
18:20
remember that. Now there
18:22
goes the new high and mighty Drowlowski.
18:25
Yeah. Ever since he got that new
18:27
hybrid. He thinks he's better than everyone else. And
18:29
and in a way, again, we're talking
18:31
about perceptions here. There
18:33
there was something about, okay,
18:35
I'm saving the world and I'm
18:38
driving my way to a better place. But
18:40
I'm curious, why
18:42
the Prius seem to have
18:44
such staying power, especially
18:46
as other car makers sort
18:48
of started jumping on the hybrid.
18:50
dare I say bandwagon?
18:53
Yeah. I mean, Yes.
18:54
There were other hybrids, but, like,
18:57
I I feel like Toyota really
18:59
committed to it. You know, they committed to
19:01
that model. They
19:03
really promoted it. I think, like,
19:05
a lot of other companies, like, yeah. They did
19:07
hybrids, but they weren't really, like,
19:09
you know, really hyping them.
19:12
Mhmm. They
19:12
didn't seem to be as invested or
19:14
somehow. Something
19:15
Yeah. Yeah. And and they a lot of
19:18
them were kinda just variants of
19:21
other you
19:21
know, traditional gasoline nameplate. So
19:24
no. The Prius was, like, really unique in
19:26
that, like, it was the first, like, kind
19:28
of, you know,
19:29
you know
19:30
hybrid model with a capital h.
19:33
I would say that, like, the auto
19:35
industry Jeff general has kind of had
19:37
this this wishy washiness
19:39
towards these electrified vehicles for a long
19:41
time. I mean, now, you
19:43
know,
19:43
you hear all the
19:44
companies like, really fully committed
19:47
It's an electric future. We're going all
19:50
electric. We're Honda get rid of our
19:52
gasoline vehicles. But that's just Lowe only
19:54
recently. And I think Toyota in
19:56
a lot of ways stood out because they
19:58
made that commitment to the hybrid and
20:00
they pioneered it and
20:02
they really kind of stuck with, like, advertising
20:04
it and, you know, kind of
20:06
updating it, building out into
20:08
its own kind of, like, family of vehicles
20:10
too. Christina riddle
20:11
me this then. why is
20:13
it that Toyota, which was a leader in this,
20:15
you know, hybrid shift, they
20:18
don't seem to be all in when
20:20
it comes to cars or trucks
20:23
that are all electric. What's going on
20:25
there? You
20:25
know, at first glance, it
20:27
it feels that way and
20:30
certainly their executives get a
20:32
lot of questions. I think
20:34
maybe it's more of a nuanced answer. Not
20:36
long ago, we had a chance to
20:38
interview Acute
20:39
Toyota who is
20:40
the head of Toyota. Mhmm.
20:43
And
20:43
he was just peppered with questions
20:45
from journalists about are they more why aren't
20:47
you more committed about EVs?
20:50
And basically, from what Eidr says, like,
20:52
it's not that they don't aren't committed to
20:54
EVs. They are working on EVs.
20:57
They are putting money to it.
20:59
It's just that they believe that,
21:01
you know, hybrids are
21:03
gonna be kind of this like important
21:05
bridge and kind of bringing
21:08
consumers into
21:09
the EV world.
21:11
And I think their perception
21:14
is, like, color a
21:16
lot from like, by who
21:18
they are and their kind of
21:20
global footprint their scale. Like
21:22
Toyota is one
21:23
of the
21:24
biggest automakers in the world. It's always I
21:26
mean, for a long time, it was number two. In
21:29
two thousand and one, it became
21:32
the biggest automaker by
21:34
sales overtaking VW.
21:37
But because it's it's so big and it
21:39
sells in so many markets. And
21:41
Akio's basically his
21:43
argument was like, look, we we have to
21:45
make vehicles for everybody. We
21:47
can't just make vehicles for those
21:49
people that seem, you know, live
21:51
near charging stations have the
21:53
money to install charging
21:55
stations at their homes, like, we
21:56
have to make vehicles
21:58
for people in developing
21:59
countries who might not even have
22:02
access to electricity. And they should
22:04
have a kind
22:05
of a
22:06
environmentally friendly option that
22:09
works for them. You know, when we talked to
22:11
Akio, he said he he tried
22:13
to liken Toyota to a
22:15
department store. in
22:16
which the value of
22:18
the
22:18
brand comes not from it
22:21
being telling
22:22
consumers what they should buy and
22:24
being very Executive. comes
22:26
from them offering, like, a full menu or
22:29
full selection of things in letting the
22:31
consumer decide you offer them
22:33
the lien vehicle, you offer them
22:35
the hybrid, you offer a plug in hybrid,
22:37
and then you offer a full electric. I
22:39
also think that, like, some of it
22:41
is that Toyota just
22:43
didn't
22:43
maybe was a little more conservative in their
22:46
view about how quickly
22:47
EVs will catch on. Well,
22:49
obviously, I say, you know, California
22:52
has already got this mandate that's gonna take
22:54
effect. What is it? Twenty thirty five, I
22:56
think, something like that where you
22:58
can't sell a non
23:00
EV non electric vehicle in in the state. Is that right?
23:02
Yeah. I mean,
23:03
they they've had mandates like that for
23:05
some time. You know, there's other governments,
23:08
including Japan, which
23:10
is, like, put targets
23:12
on for phasing out gasoline vehicles.
23:14
In places like China, like,
23:16
you
23:16
wanna sell cars there, you're gonna have to
23:19
have EVs. same in
23:20
in Europe.
23:21
Like, the tail pipe emission
23:24
standards is so much stricter that,
23:26
like, you
23:27
know, for a while, the reason a lot of these car companies
23:29
like GM were investing so
23:31
heavily in EVs was for places
23:33
like China where GM
23:35
has Lowe you
23:37
know, huge exposure and quite a bit
23:39
of market share. So, yes, the
23:41
pressure is on. And
23:43
I think that probably
23:45
within the last year,
23:47
Toyota has gotten a lot more aggressive
23:49
on EVs, but I
23:50
still think that they feel that hybrids are going to
23:52
play an important Lowe. And
23:54
you know what? We don't know. They could be totally right. You
23:57
know? GM
23:57
on the
23:58
other hand, they're like, no
23:59
hybrids. We're going full EVs.
24:01
They just didn't think it was
24:03
a useful step. And who knows? They might be right. We
24:06
just you know, you don't you don't know. Well,
24:08
what
24:08
are investors saying? I mean,
24:10
when when you look at how the marketplace
24:13
seems to be responding to these two
24:15
very different approaches. On the one
24:17
hand, don't try to steer people towards
24:19
something that they don't already want.
24:21
And then you you have companies like
24:23
GM, as you were mentioning. You
24:25
know, full speed ahead. It's gonna be all electric and
24:27
that's what we're gonna do. Which narrative
24:29
seems to be selling there? The GM
24:31
narrative. I mean, investors are just
24:33
enamored with EVs, and a lot of it
24:35
is the Tesla effect. You know, Wall Street is
24:37
looking for the
24:38
next Tesla. which, of course, raises the
24:41
question, were it not for Tesla? Would
24:43
Detroit's big three have ever really made
24:45
this shift? Or would they have been dragging their feet
24:47
like they were back in the nineteen seventies? when
24:49
it came to, you know, fuel efficiency standards and
24:52
that sort of
24:52
thing? No. I don't think that the
24:55
automakers would have all rushed into EVs in the
24:57
way they are right now if it weren't
24:59
for test because it really was
25:01
when Tesla's
25:02
valuation popped that we
25:05
started seeing other automakers
25:07
take notice. that's not to
25:09
say, would these car companies
25:11
start investing in EVs? Yes. I
25:13
think that was inevitable. That was
25:15
happening. It's been happening for a
25:17
long time. I just think that,
25:19
like, Tesla was the accelerant.
25:21
They started selling a
25:21
lot of cars. Like, they became very
25:24
cool and the other guy.
25:25
for looking at it and wanted
25:27
a little bit of that. You know you you
25:29
know what's weird is that I saw
25:32
the new catalog, all
25:34
electric vehicle. I think it's called the Lyric,
25:36
if I'm not mistaken. Yep. And it's a
25:38
beautiful beautiful vehicle.
25:40
And so here you have, one of
25:43
the well used to call them, the
25:45
dinosaurs of Detroit. Right?
25:47
Coming out with this very
25:49
futuristic all electric vehicle
25:51
and
25:51
I don't I can't
25:53
name a single Honda that
25:56
is all electric. you know,
25:58
it does sort of make you
25:59
wonder, is there something that these
26:02
big Toyota and
26:04
Honda know that maybe Detroit
26:07
doesn't? Or is Detroit thinking
26:09
more too short term, which
26:11
is ironic given that the very
26:13
purpose of electric vehicles is to save
26:15
the planet. if there's, you know, that's
26:17
hardly a short term way of thinking.
26:19
But you gotta wonder, what's
26:20
going on? Well, I
26:21
mean, GM was very early.
26:24
they were the first major automaker
26:27
that really committed to
26:29
EVs.
26:29
I think, for what, Honda
26:31
is working with GM on EVs.
26:34
So
26:34
Hana's kind of Lowe
26:36
tied themselves
26:36
I mean, and and as
26:38
well as
26:38
Sony. Hana's working with Sony on
26:40
EVs as
26:41
well. Like, I think you will start to
26:43
see more EV models from Toyota.
26:45
It's just that the development
26:47
cycles in automotive
26:49
are so long that even if you commit to something
26:51
today, it might be like four
26:53
years before that new model reaches
26:55
a showroom. And I mean, Toyota
26:58
just recently launched a new electric
27:01
SUV. So it's not that they're,
27:03
like, you know, too far like,
27:05
all these companies only have, like, a,
27:07
you know,
27:07
handful of models that are Karen
27:10
electric. It's still very slow
27:12
going,
27:12
but there's way more electric vehicles on
27:14
the market now than there was even Lowe, you
27:16
know, a couple Wars So it's really
27:19
happening.
27:19
It's really happening. when we come back,
27:22
we're gonna be talking more about other
27:24
Japanese and South Korean
27:27
automakers giving Honda and Toyota
27:29
a run for their money. We're talking Kia
27:31
Honda Ooma. They're
27:34
covering it all, so stick around.
27:38
When you leave
27:39
home, can you ever really go
27:42
back? Lady Gaga. Soccer legend,
27:43
Neil Meancy and I both left
27:46
Argentina
27:46
as kids. you know, you're that piece
27:48
of a puzzle that
27:48
doesn't fit anywhere. To so many
27:51
immigrants, put one is a way to reconnect.
27:53
Listen to the Last Cup in the Embedded
27:56
Podcast to hear the latest
27:58
collaboration from NPR and
27:59
Futuro studios.
28:00
Hey,
28:07
welcome
28:09
back. My guest is Christina
28:12
Rogers, Auto's editor at Wall Street Journal.
28:14
Lowe, let's talk competition. we mentioned
28:16
Mazda earlier on
28:19
Nissan. I mean, you know,
28:21
the thousand pound elephant in the
28:23
room here. Subaru, Mitsubishi.
28:26
Mitsubishi is a long going industrial
28:28
concern in Japan.
28:31
Anybody who do you see is giving Toyota and
28:33
Honda the biggest run for their money? Right
28:35
now, Hyundai
28:36
Kia. And
28:38
Really? We're talking South
28:40
Korea here. Mhmm.
28:41
Mhmm. Those two brands have
28:44
really, really, I mean,
28:46
reinvented themselves. in
28:47
terms of
28:49
quality, in
28:50
terms of styling, in
28:52
terms of technology,
28:54
I
28:56
mean, it's
28:56
almost like they took the Japanese companies,
28:58
like, formula
29:00
and, like, improved upon it.
29:02
They're they're offering
29:04
really, really high quality,
29:06
reliable cars
29:08
that are just really good looking. I
29:10
mean, they have some real head turners out
29:13
right now that look premium
29:13
materials, great
29:16
tech.
29:16
You can get all the latest tech and
29:18
at price points that you're just like, this doesn't
29:20
even make any sense. How could this actually
29:23
cost You
29:23
think about Hyundai's new line to Genesis, which
29:27
basically they followed the blueprint of
29:29
Toyota and Lexus. And
29:31
the genesis, I mean, that's a
29:34
lot of people say it's on par
29:36
with some of the best vehicles
29:38
coming out of Europe, including Mercedes.
29:41
Yeah.
29:41
I mean, that the the new
29:43
genesis, like, I know I saw one in
29:45
the wild or what we
29:46
call just on the street. You
29:50
know,
29:50
I saw one,
29:52
you know, they're gay and I just like, I couldn't
29:54
believe it. I was like, Lowe, that is
29:56
so good looking that so pretty
29:58
and, you know, they really, really
30:00
are getting a
30:01
lot of notice. I don't know how
30:04
how they do it. that's something like we
30:06
here at the Journal would love to investigate
30:08
for. But it's just, you
30:10
know, the the whole package. And
30:13
if you look at at some models like the Telluride, I
30:15
mean, they're consistently on the top
30:17
of every list of, you know,
30:19
best best SUVs to buy
30:22
in the last several years, they've really
30:24
come ahead. And you can see that in
30:26
their market share too. They're picking up market
30:28
share pretty quickly. Well,
30:30
I know that Kia and Hyundai have
30:32
done a lot of collaboration Hernan
30:35
in recent years. But do you see
30:37
a brand that is standing out to
30:40
you as maybe the inheritor
30:43
of the crown that that is Toyota
30:45
today. I mean, is is Is
30:47
there a South Korean manufacturer perhaps or maybe
30:49
there's someone in Europe that I haven't thought of
30:52
that might be
30:54
well positioned to sort of
30:56
become the the next king. I
30:57
don't know. I mean,
31:00
Toyota's just
31:01
it's so big. I
31:04
mean, Hanekia, they very much see
31:06
themselves as, like, separate brands and
31:08
separate companies. I mean, they still have,
31:10
like, a long way to go to match
31:12
Toyota. And
31:13
it's
31:14
just so hard to
31:15
really really upset the pecking
31:18
order in automotive, you
31:21
know, Toyota
31:22
sells ten million vehicles
31:24
a year globally. And
31:26
Volkswagen is right up
31:28
there to catch up on
31:30
that. That's that would
31:31
be tough, you know. So it's
31:34
kind of hard to say, like who would be
31:36
the next Toyota? I really think
31:38
Toyota is still gonna be Toyota for a long time.
31:40
Yeah. Uh-huh.
31:42
If that makes sense. Well, it certainly
31:45
does. You know, in a lot of ways, I
31:47
have to say that it seems like many of
31:49
today's vehicles are more well,
31:51
rolling computers than cars
31:55
What do you think that means for the future of the auto industry?
31:58
Yeah. I mean,
31:58
I think this kind of
31:59
shift to EVs opens the door
32:02
for new entrants to come
32:04
in because, you know, it's a different
32:06
supply chain, it's a different technology.
32:08
And so you have these new companies like,
32:10
you know, Rivian, and
32:13
lucid, and you
32:13
know, there's a bunch of Chinese EV
32:16
startups coming in and
32:18
same with like cars becoming
32:20
more like rolling computers. It again
32:22
opens the door for new entrants
32:24
who can kind of have
32:26
more expertise in that space to
32:28
come in. They're just long been talking
32:30
about an Apple car. Right.
32:31
You know? So,
32:34
I
32:34
mean, I think with any, like,
32:37
technological shift, you're, like, really kind of,
32:39
like, recasting the playing field.
32:41
and that's
32:41
a lot of what we're seeing here.
32:43
That
32:43
said,
32:45
the
32:45
auto industry is really hard
32:48
to
32:48
disrupt and it's because I just
32:50
cannot defy the
32:52
gravity
32:52
of like what goes into
32:54
manufacturing a car. it's
32:58
hard. It's
32:58
really hard. I
33:00
mean, you're basically trying
33:02
to create something that goes down
33:04
the road at like eighty eight hundred miles
33:06
an hour needs to last for, like,
33:09
thirteen, fifteen
33:09
years and be
33:11
totally safe. Like, we
33:13
stay on, like, crashes, like, felt
33:16
Lowe, making
33:17
a cell phone. You know,
33:19
it's a really hard industry to
33:21
disrupt. And, you know, in
33:23
in that respect, companies
33:25
like GM and Toyota and Volkswagen
33:27
really do have the advantage
33:29
there. Elon Musk often
33:31
talks about manufacturing
33:33
Hernan
33:34
that's just how hard it is. It's
33:36
really hard to replicate what Toyota
33:39
does so well. We find that with a
33:41
lot of the EV startups right now. Like,
33:43
you know, Rivian
33:44
has just launched their new electric trucks
33:46
and SUVs, and it's been a really hard
33:48
year for them, you know, like getting their
33:51
manufacturing lines running. you
33:53
know, it's just like a yes. This move to
33:55
kind of computers and software
33:57
and the shift EVs. It's
33:59
just
33:59
it's really kind of changing
34:02
things, but at the same
34:04
time, it is still a car. You
34:06
know, we
34:06
we began our conversation by talking about, you
34:08
know, sort of the perfect car and,
34:11
you know, the things that we
34:13
have fondest memories of and that sort of
34:15
thing. And, you know, you look at
34:18
gas prices being what they today
34:20
inventory shortages weighing down on
34:22
consumers. And, you know, it seems like a lot
34:24
of younger
34:26
consumers especially Well, they're
34:28
waiting longer before they get their driver's
34:30
license. Right? I mean, some don't don't
34:32
bother doing it at all. They just assume getting
34:34
an Uber left somewhere. I'm
34:36
wondering where do you think
34:38
the the car fits into the
34:40
American imagination?
34:42
these
34:42
days. I mean, used to be wasn't anything more
34:45
sort of iconic than the fifty
34:47
seven Chevy with the tail fins. Right?
34:49
I mean, it was just Lowe
34:52
is it Lowe an American diner that had that kind of cache.
34:54
Right? Is that forever gone?
34:56
Or do you think that we
34:58
are going to somehow someway
35:01
come back to this idea of of passion
35:03
for the open road. And the
35:05
car is a kind of a not just
35:07
a status symbol. but
35:09
something that sort of says something about us
35:12
in a broader sense
35:14
culturally. I
35:15
think, you
35:16
know, there
35:17
was a time not long ago when
35:19
autonomous vehicles had become the
35:20
craze in the auto industry.
35:22
Self driving cars. Right. Right.
35:26
And
35:27
everyone was talking about the end of car ownership, even
35:29
auto executives. I mean, I
35:31
remember Bill Ford kind of
35:34
getting on stage and and talking
35:36
about how we gotta prepare
35:38
for a future where people might not,
35:39
you know,
35:40
buy and own cars in the way they do now.
35:42
I think any business only
35:44
exists to make people's lives
35:48
better. period. And at a certain
35:50
point, shoving more vehicles into an
35:52
urban environment isn't doing that. Oh, I
35:54
remember that speech.
35:56
It was talking about to afford becoming a
35:58
transportation company as opposed to
35:59
kill. Right? I remember that. But
36:02
in that
36:03
time, you know, car
36:06
sales also hit record
36:08
highs and stayed pretty
36:10
close to that
36:11
record. They dipped a bit, but they
36:13
stayed pretty close. during the
36:16
pandemic, of course, sales, you know,
36:18
took a big hit, but that's
36:20
only because we didn't have supply.
36:22
I mean, people
36:23
are buying cars
36:25
like crazy. You
36:26
know, they're like by far
36:29
the demand is outstripping the supply.
36:31
even
36:31
with prices being what they are
36:33
right
36:33
now. At prices Karen at record levels,
36:35
I've never seen them so high,
36:37
both on used and new
36:39
cars. thankfully coming down a bit, but
36:42
still we're at like a very
36:44
elevated level. You see
36:46
studies where
36:48
households on average own more cars than they ever did before.
36:50
You know, like, the average household now owns,
36:52
like, two to three two and a half
36:54
the three cars. And I think
36:56
during the pandemic, a lot of people kind
36:59
of moved to more rural areas. They've been
37:01
moved out of cities. And of course,
37:03
that also kind of drove another
37:05
wave of demand for for vehicles. So I
37:08
get, like, you know, like, there are some
37:10
pockets of the world
37:12
where people are, you know,
37:14
kind of giving up car ownership and going
37:16
to public transportation and everything.
37:18
But I just think that, like, everything, like,
37:20
these things don't happen
37:22
as suddenly.
37:23
as as we
37:24
think they will. And, you
37:26
know,
37:27
I do think that, like,
37:29
the car culture is still
37:31
alive and well. I mean, look, I live in Detroit where we
37:33
don't really have the option. We do have public
37:36
transportation, but people don't take it like
37:38
they do in New York. And, you know, we are
37:40
very much a centric
37:42
culture, but I think a lot
37:44
of places are like that still.
37:47
And
37:47
so
37:48
to get back to your question,
37:50
I
37:51
do think automobile will still
37:53
capture the imagination of
37:55
many of Americans And
37:59
I'll leave you
37:59
with this because I also have two teenagers. One of
38:01
them when she turned sixteen,
38:04
I just I
38:06
just
38:06
assumed she wasn't really gonna be interested in, you
38:08
know, cars. She just
38:09
doesn't seem to be interested in that kind of
38:11
stuff, like status symbols
38:14
or anything. But no, she wanted
38:16
a Volkswagen Beetle. And she was very particular about
38:17
it, and she loves her
38:20
Volkswagen
38:21
Beetle. So
38:23
and she got her right away.
38:26
So I just feel
38:28
like Is
38:30
Americans love affair with the automobile fading? Maybe
38:33
in some pockets,
38:34
but but I don't
38:36
know. There's a
38:36
lot of like counterpoints to
38:40
that. So we'll see. We'll see. Christina Rogers,
38:41
thanks so much for joining us. Thank
38:44
you so much
38:44
for having me. Big fan of your
38:47
show. Well, we're big
38:48
fan of what you do too. Thanks so much
38:50
for doing this. Christina Rogers is the
38:52
Auto's editor for The Wall Street Journal. You can
38:54
keep up to date with all her team's reporting
38:57
at WSJ dot com. Coming
38:59
up next on the best of business
39:01
wars daily. We're talking about corporate
39:04
blunders at meta, Peloton,
39:06
and Uber. and how these
39:08
companies recover
39:10
or don't.
39:14
Hey, Prime members. You can binge every episode of Business
39:16
Wars, ad free on Amazon
39:18
Music. Download the Amazon
39:21
Music app today. or you can
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listen ad free with Wonderry Plus Apple Podcasts. Before you go, tell us
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about yourself by completing a short
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survey at wonderry dot com
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slash survey.
39:32
From wondering, this
39:36
is episode five of Toyota versus
39:38
Honda for
39:40
business wars. I'm your host David
39:42
Kelly Kyle produced this episode.
39:44
Our interview episode producer is
39:46
Peter Arcony. Karen Lowe is
39:48
our senior producer and editor edited and
39:51
produced by Emily Frost, sound designed
39:53
by Kyle Randall, additional audio
39:55
assistance by Sergio
39:58
Enrique's, Dave shilling is our producer. Our managing producers are
39:59
Producer Figpen and Matt Gand. Our
40:02
executive producers are Jenny
40:04
Lower Beckman and
40:06
Marshall Lowe. created by Lopez
40:08
or Lopez.
40:16
Scammers are best
40:16
known for living the high life, Lowe trotting
40:19
on private jets, dining at
40:21
five star restaurants, and driving
40:23
six figure sports
40:26
cars. That is until their House of Cards collapses
40:28
and forced to trade it all in for
40:30
handcuffs in an orange jumpsuit.
40:32
Scanfluencers is a podcast
40:34
from wondering. hosted by
40:36
Sarah Hagee and Sachi Lowe tells
40:38
the unbelievable true stories
40:40
behind some of the world's most infamous
40:42
scams, swindlers, and con artists.
40:44
Scan Fluencers has covered jaw dropping scandals from posse
40:46
schemes a fake Saudi prince to
40:49
a sexual predator masquerading as
40:51
a wholesome yoga guru. These
40:54
scammers cost their victims hundreds of millions of
40:56
dollars and a measurable emotional anguish.
40:58
So how does our culture allow
41:01
them to thrive? Each story on scam influencers will take you
41:03
along the twists and turns, the impact on victims,
41:06
and what's left when the facade
41:08
falls away. Follow
41:10
scam influencers wherever you get your podcasts. You can
41:12
listen ad free on the Amazon Music
41:15
or Wonderry app.
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