Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:00
This is the BBC. This
0:03
podcast is supported by advertising outside
0:05
the UK.
0:09
You need you see sounds music radio
0:11
Thanks
0:13
for downloading this episode of "In our time, does
0:15
a reading this to go with it on our website and
0:17
you can get news about our programs. If you're
0:19
full of us on Twitter at the in
0:21
our time. I hope you enjoyed the program's.
0:23
Hello, the century between 1870
0:26
and 1970 was the age
0:28
of gold standard. where occurrences around
0:30
the world where in some way tied to
0:32
the price of gold Britain. ,
0:35
it goes down there long before with sovereigns you can
0:37
use either to buy a pounds worth of goods
0:39
or melt down into pounds worth of gold
0:41
it was. Sound money when other
0:43
countries rush to the same system and confidence
0:46
in the currency grew, world trade
0:48
took off and then world was set trade
0:50
bucket was believed that And it was essential
0:52
to rescue it, wouldn't be there discuss
0:55
it goes down under dot Catherines shrink professor
0:57
of economic and social history at the University
0:59
of. oxford matthias morris
1:01
senior lecturer economic history at the university
1:03
of york and helen poll lecturer
1:05
in economics and economic history at the university
1:07
of southampton
1:09
And handful, when did go become valuable
1:11
in trade in Europe?
1:13
Oh. Don't have been viewed as valuable
1:16
since time immemorial really because
1:18
people found that they could melt down
1:21
he doesn't town this it's,
1:23
not something you can easily you can't
1:25
create. Go to can have fake
1:28
goal does it work so anything
1:30
that was valuable that be used as store
1:32
of value? that cubbies
1:34
is that medium of exchange would be helpful
1:37
in trades
1:38
However there are other things as well that could
1:40
also be used like say silver
1:43
and. gold as many one of a number of different
1:46
metals you could Hey and.
1:49
coins i fall Circulator:
1:51
A form of money you stole them
1:53
and, as you said, you can melt them down this
1:55
well if you wanted to put them back into
1:58
the base metal into the metal of the. Really,
2:02
it's about other people thinking
2:04
that it's valuable lessons you
2:06
to understanding the this is an import, it's
2:09
still have your wealth if you could actually
2:11
then sell it on to someone else in some
2:13
form in the future. His will you use as
2:15
was a?
2:15
Sort of almost amateur way
2:18
of going about it as much to do with Barter
2:20
as with goal itself not,
2:22
entirely that was very sums of money
2:25
quite sophisticated Money's like,
2:28
money so you didn't necessarily have
2:30
people telling international trading for
2:32
shipping,. what's a
2:38
trace
2:39
You. Didn't know the other person,
2:41
the idea is you can have anonymous trade
2:44
the you don't need after which is
2:46
requiring you to have something
2:49
other person wants money
2:51
makes things easier. If you have something
2:53
that you know that much wants and gold
2:55
coins can. be that saying
2:58
however they're not perfect
3:00
because with all commodity money's
3:03
there are issues about things like
3:08
Oh, okay? Any
3:15
money? We
3:17
shouldn't think of it in terms of there being just one
3:19
type of money there are various things that
3:22
are used to sometimes extracts
3:25
but there isn't this very formal gold
3:27
standard system until economies
3:30
become much more developed later on was.
3:33
britain doing something with gold and is
3:35
cozy before on the notions A
3:37
lot of Britain's trading
3:40
was actually a, ritzy with things
3:42
like silver coins but eventually
3:45
silver becomes very interesting
3:47
to the Chinese economy
3:50
the Chinese economy some biggest in
3:52
the world. and the
3:54
chinese don't really want european manufacturers
3:57
Have a lot of silver. Hum
3:59
and. From? Anish. America, South
4:02
America through Europe and then out
4:04
to China and within
4:06
the British context
4:09
or, really the English context as is concerned
4:11
growing up that there isn't really enough.
4:13
Silver staying around
4:16
to be useful and Isaac
4:18
Newton his that the master of the meant
4:21
he decides to do something
4:23
about this, essentially he sets certain
4:25
exchange between gold and. Silver and
4:28
it becomes clear to lot of people
4:30
that they get more for their money if
4:32
they by foreign imports using
4:34
silver and they keep the cold to do
4:36
with. That domestic transactions
4:39
as mechanism wasn't developed
4:41
like that, aren't facto
4:44
becomes goals is
4:46
therefore the coin it's to
4:49
use within the singly slater british
4:51
system mahnaz so gold
4:54
standard that means that you
4:56
tie
4:57
The value of your currency to gold
5:00
now, that is obviously the case When
5:03
you actually have gold coins in circulation
5:06
bites? That was not
5:08
the large amount of coins raimi
5:11
the. key thing here is especially
5:13
once yeah banknotes let
5:15
you make any bank note convertible
5:18
into gold so you tie
5:20
your currency to go
5:23
you can always exchanged into gold
5:26
That a domestic thing but,
5:28
if several countries connect
5:31
their currencies to gold. they
5:33
have six exchange rates
5:35
to each other through gold
5:38
and that is the international dictation
5:40
of the gold standard I actually
5:42
very much uglier Melvin with what you
5:44
said we used to have only bought
5:46
a trait I, think
5:48
when you have gold standard that is essentially
5:50
bother traits because you shoot
5:53
to change something else
5:55
again schools. and
5:58
what this really shows This
6:00
is the. This cost
6:03
between. the parties
6:06
and the only way to overcome that was
6:08
essentially to do "The
6:10
bought trade and I bought a trade really
6:13
in that sense it lasted until
6:15
the early nineteen seventies
6:18
and I think we see this very much. The
6:20
European languages so take
6:23
the friends they use of your for
6:25
money. And for silver
6:28
the German say the words they're worth
6:30
four gold and money are almost
6:32
interchangeable so. there
6:35
is a very strong sense that real
6:37
money is only money under pins
6:40
Buy you precious commodity,
6:43
what difference did the go rushes
6:45
of the nineteenth century to create America
6:47
and Australia makes and why? The
6:50
gold rushes of the mid nineteenth
6:52
century we're really crucial
6:55
in transforming the gold standard
6:57
and in making the gold standard universal
7:00
system so. Until.
7:03
Eighteen fifty four there really was only
7:05
one country on gold,
7:07
and then was England's now if one
7:09
country runs the systems and
7:11
you don't need an awful lot of gold
7:13
to. Actually to run it to have
7:15
enough gold in circulation but,
7:18
once you start expanding that,
7:21
to European countries and
7:23
then two countries worldwide, you've really
7:25
need really lot of. goals and
7:28
That is the function
7:30
of the California gold
7:33
rush in eighteen forty eight and
7:35
of Australia few years later. So
7:38
basically, and well, monetary
7:40
system was it reads? In
7:44
lot of colds and sense
7:46
forms over the next.
7:48
Two decades so. basically
7:50
what happens is that these new worlds
7:53
go discovery sites they
7:56
sent their goals to the
7:58
two main means of your To.
8:00
London and to Paris nice to
8:02
country to transform them into gold coins
8:05
and, the French system see plays particularly
8:08
important role in the French case
8:10
you could means. Both silver
8:13
and gold so you had so
8:15
cold or metallic system and
8:17
in the Aegean fifties and sixties,
8:19
the French mint'a choose out
8:21
an enormous amount of gold coin.
8:25
and for the first time ever
8:28
Then. Late eighteen Sixties early
8:30
age and six, these people start
8:32
contemplating the most to
8:34
I know a gold standard because I realized
8:36
that are simply enough gold we
8:38
could think of doing. That would with
8:41
the hurdles to international trade when
8:43
exam to finance what is a gold standard
8:45
deaths than to Seoul were overcome. I.
8:47
Think we should try to see
8:50
the emergence of the gold standard
8:52
as, an evolution of
8:54
the international monetary system,
8:57
before eighteen sixties we
8:59
really lacked the gold
9:02
at least. Let the golds if we
9:04
wanted to transit to
9:06
gold for many countries
9:08
and then we have these eighteen fifties and sixties,
9:11
which are really are transitional
9:13
period in which for two.
9:15
decades we have in operation
9:18
three systems we have gold standard
9:20
in, England's we have england's
9:22
by, metallic system in
9:25
France and some other countries
9:27
like it's in the. And, Switzerland and Belgium
9:30
and the rest of the world. is basically
9:32
on silva and then this
9:34
three ways system which We're
9:37
halfway okay in the eighteen
9:39
fifties and sixties gives way to
9:42
gold standard for my point of view, it really
9:44
is and evolution. There's
9:46
more gradual change.
9:49
Catherine Television: Why did so
9:51
many countries time their currencies to silver
9:53
around them go before they are to zoom does?
9:56
I refuse to pay for Matthias, that was the
9:58
an important goldest. The race around
10:00
the world of in California but also
10:03
in the West Coast of Canada and Australia
10:05
and, this altered the supply of gold
10:08
fellas who to this type of silver and affect
10:10
the price of gold in terms of silver fall
10:13
in those years absurdity fifty feet
10:15
he succeeds the price of silver the actually rising
10:17
the The goal to gets home. Fundamentally,
10:20
they countries, which is so that in
10:22
order to earn a to move to
10:24
gold standard, you have to have enough gold
10:26
reserves in order to make that. Link.
10:29
To your ability to defend fixed
10:31
price of your currency in terms of gold
10:34
and in order to do that you need to have gold reserves
10:37
for some countries that don't. Have large gold reserves
10:40
remain on the sell her standard and stayed
10:42
indeed sam all the way through into the twentieth century
10:44
like that China and Japan some
10:46
poor countries to discount. So far indeed,
10:48
after the it can seventies, but until
10:50
the our sort of late eighteen
10:53
sixties, it's not clear that there's gonna
10:55
be move to the gold standard
10:58
and. They're still quite lot of room for
11:00
maneuver in the by metallic or silver standard.
11:03
Receding at the time go through that they had
11:05
to get this so they had the at one currency
11:07
for all the big trade is
11:09
of the world to make something work
11:11
better so, that it real pricing.
11:14
will be two in thousand miles
11:17
was determined when the sniper thing because
11:19
it was the go sanders
11:21
Then. "An of having a stable price
11:23
for your currency and sort of predictable value
11:25
for your currency over time was really
11:27
important for trade I think and
11:29
that's the benefit of" Having a pink exchange
11:32
rate to something out to some kind
11:34
of metal or some kind of great value and
11:36
credible him, that that's
11:39
believe in. It so that gives them confidence
11:41
to trade over long distance over long time,
11:44
the issues with having multiple
11:47
muscles of, for example, by nationalism:
11:49
why do you define your current? See
11:51
in terms of the value of silver and gold,
11:53
simultaneously has to do
11:55
with the changes in the market
11:58
The price of gold. There's
12:00
silver. I'm and it speaks
12:02
to really cut fundamental so
12:04
decent are for the issues
12:06
around the gold standard or any metallic standard
12:09
and that is that there's market price for this commodity
12:12
gold or silver and. then there's an
12:14
official place at the central bank or the government
12:16
is setting and so the it's
12:18
really important that the detriment
12:21
of the central bank can maintain
12:23
the official place at the scene The cases,
12:25
the marketplace. The new changes
12:27
in the mouth. Pay, for example, if.
12:29
Then. "Marketplace is
12:32
or the official pulses cheaper and
12:34
the marketplace and you'll get the central bank
12:36
and buy some", she told by some cheap
12:38
silver I'm and then make profit.
12:40
By selling it on the private market and,
12:42
sell gold will flow out of the central
12:44
bank or of out of the Treasury comfort.
12:47
food it's this kind of tension
12:49
between market price and market surprise
12:52
that's really tricky and it becomes especially
12:54
tricky when you've got to vessel That
12:56
are changing in relation to. Header and,
12:59
it's how
12:59
You can kind of sustain this tense and depends
13:01
on how much metallic reserves
13:04
you have, the government or the central bank has
13:06
at it's disposal.
13:07
Then. Girl and then poof, why
13:09
do so many countries adopt a ghost hundred
13:11
and the ages of his would pass, did
13:14
the city of London play analysts I think
13:16
that comes a? Point where really,
13:19
the big player the big economic
13:21
player is prison and you start
13:23
to see country was well
13:25
simply because the industrial revolution and then
13:27
empire see. You have this, what
13:29
we talking about his lumps of
13:31
metal, we're not really connecting
13:34
them to what's going on in the economy
13:36
itself is starting to see
13:39
really with all the. Reasons behind British
13:41
economic growth and power, that
13:44
the gold standard just happens
13:46
to be The one that Britain
13:48
is on and that
13:51
gold is held in London
13:53
in launch amounts it's still that's
13:55
the case today and Bank of England
13:58
particularly and,.
14:00
What a lot of countries do,
14:02
he's the.
14:04
Hughes, the gold standard because
14:06
they want to be a signal that they
14:08
all developed country that
14:11
they are copying the British lead
14:13
and that it's almost like an exclusive club,
14:16
but again as cousin was saying
14:18
the Asian countries on. In
14:20
that kinds of all bit
14:23
they're not so interested in joining
14:25
the Gold Standard but other countries
14:28
start. to think that dates and show
14:30
that they not simply basket
14:33
case economies the say governments
14:35
can be Held to list
14:38
of, the go
14:39
What that means is, if you're going to
14:41
connect your currency to your
14:43
gold reserves, it limits
14:45
your ability to just print lots of
14:47
money and that's what
14:49
this is about. It's showing that
14:52
you all have a disciplines Policy.
14:55
Every
14:56
time you do
15:03
whatever you
15:05
could go and
15:07
replace your piece of paper
15:09
with old, and that's part of an evolution
15:11
of getting people to trust paper money, which.
15:13
We now take for granted as being
15:16
passed more trustworthy than electronic money
15:18
off of debt because we can all think
15:20
of how money has evolved to out
15:22
our lifetimes and how. Particularly,
15:24
people struggle with that transfer
15:27
of paper money to gold really
15:30
helps The ring about this move
15:32
for the ordinary public to accept or
15:34
its notes. Mars Mars,
15:36
what advance?
15:37
The use appeared to flow from this
15:40
acceptance. of the goes on and by so many
15:42
rich countries so send
15:44
an already touched on the main
15:46
domestic advantage so the gold standard
15:49
stood for sound money
15:51
if it came to stand for
15:54
limited government because the
15:57
government couldn't print money
16:00
Needed to cooperate with
16:02
Parliament which had to say on
16:04
the budget and so on so sort of it's
16:07
sense for constrained government but.
16:10
Then. Main element, or at least the main
16:12
element which we remember today
16:14
from the Gold Standard, are the
16:16
technician advantages which,
16:18
in concert and the main advantages
16:21
here say, are
16:23
related to. The six exchange
16:25
rate stability which the gold standard
16:27
brought with it and, more
16:30
than that, they not only stem
16:32
from coast to sell for that basically
16:34
stems from the
16:36
other. Countries which are on the
16:38
system, starting
16:41
in eight and seventy three not
16:43
only Britain but also France
16:46
and Germany were on the gold standard so
16:48
suddenly this three beats
16:51
European. Economic players
16:53
were all on, goals and
16:56
now look at. the typical trade
16:59
account of any
17:01
european country and some up the trench
17:03
share that such a country will have
17:06
Boy Toys Britain france and Germany
17:08
it will typically account for fifty to eighty
17:11
percent of their trades so.
17:14
trade benefit it but likewise
17:16
sink of capital imports
17:19
poorer countries wanted to import
17:21
capital from the richer
17:24
countries and they happen
17:26
to be on the gold standard so
17:28
we see kind offer virtuous
17:30
circle emerging in
17:32
which one seeing brings
17:34
the next and the gold standard
17:37
really comes to stand for that it's
17:39
sort of epitomizes as
17:41
system it is the crucial links
17:44
in this virtuous circle The
17:47
girl, son, and helps.
17:48
It and for it helps ago, Sanders, yes,
17:50
absolutely, the event is also why we like
17:52
looking back so much, especially
17:55
on that gold standard between
17:57
eight and seventy three and World War One.
18:00
'Cause be connected with a period
18:02
in which lot of economically,
18:05
beneficial forces reinforce
18:08
each other countries noticing how the
18:10
bill son and work in practice
18:13
Melvin Nice as the really tricky question and
18:16
database are still going on said
18:18
okay the a few options for. slow
18:20
to define that he met at gold
18:23
standard and you have to be fixing
18:25
your national currency in terms
18:27
of particular weight of gold so you're fixing
18:30
or the value of
18:31
The current Fitna fissile price of.
18:33
gold and leave us alone
18:35
Flow in and out of your country freely, and
18:37
in some way, you can take that your money
18:40
supply should be proportional to your
18:42
gold reserves. That's if you keep those three
18:44
elements in your mind. So
18:46
one of the early ways that people thought the gold
18:48
standard worked is that at
18:50
country.
18:55
It knows it. Then. Nightclub would be sort
18:57
of an outflow of your money and outflow
18:59
of gold, then your money supply will be
19:01
contracting because to cook the gold
19:03
is flowing out of your country. For your prices
19:06
will be constrained and interest rates
19:08
would go up and if would make your
19:10
experts more competitive and it would draw
19:12
capital into your country and felt kind
19:14
of. "Fould it's you out again, so they were
19:16
sort of an automatic mechanism people
19:18
thought in fact, however, their thought a lot
19:20
huge flows of gold and all this kind
19:23
of" Adjustment would take time which we don't actually
19:25
see happening during the heyday of the gold
19:27
standard I'm in eating seventies and eighteen
19:29
eighties so, people third think well
19:32
needed a. Whole system's kind of managed
19:34
by central bankers. and
19:37
when the sense that there was going to be
19:39
at full of gold they increase
19:41
the interest rates and rates precautionary
19:43
way and that and the golden actually flow
19:46
but the it's just that still happens and
19:48
it's of colds sort of at central bankers
19:50
were somehow following rules of the game
19:52
particularity as game at the bank of england's
19:55
and debunked to from
19:56
And we do see that there is cooperation
19:59
among Central Bank.
20:00
Out. And or it and the bearings crisis, for example,
20:02
the Bank of England borrowed gold
20:04
from a bunch of friends to help it out during
20:06
that financial crisis I'm third
20:09
kind. Of aspect which I find a little
20:11
bit more convincing is that the,
20:14
role of goals is partly
20:16
nominal rather than practical
20:19
and in practical terms international trade
20:21
with really. Finance through the city of London
20:24
and settled in sterling and pounds
20:26
sterling the British currency, and
20:28
that was so much credibility so much faith
20:31
in the convertibility app
20:36
Trying to the British economy and because
20:38
of the street. The city of London, the
20:40
family was as good as
20:42
tools in this system, is the
20:44
that allows for the greater liquidity it allows
20:46
of that financing of trade and it
20:48
allows her to settle bad to happen
20:51
over the. lately and they do it by the
20:53
don't feel she had smoked a bowl and
20:55
alas point I'd hate to related
20:57
to that much I thought this is the kind
20:59
of the first globalization is the
21:01
time of unprecedented movement of people
21:04
of goods and up"
21:05
Capital. Around the world and,
21:07
these are these trends are all mutually reinforcing
21:10
and may be underpinned by the gold standard
21:12
that made the gold standard functions AH
21:15
as well as it. Did partly because of beef,
21:17
huge flow of real factors
21:19
of people moving to Canada,
21:22
United States, to grow wheat,
21:24
which comes back out into international
21:26
trade in order to do. That they need
21:28
investment their railways and their infrastructure
21:31
which generates flow of capital. and
21:33
they had these things together increase our
21:36
ville well
21:37
The girl and harmful once and it
21:39
doesn't the world's current scissor as
21:42
has been described are developing and
21:45
and, cut more coming into this discovered
21:47
a club link to the price of girl
21:50
what constraints, did not
21:52
put on. governments well
21:54
here we come into the realm of what's called
21:57
realm try lemme only impossible trinity
22:00
And I have three leave us, one is fixed
22:03
exchange rate that's the gold standard one
22:05
is pre capital movements
22:08
some capital can come in and our country.
22:11
The other one is an indoor pet. That macroeconomic
22:13
policy you, have to hands
22:15
you can choose to hold on to
22:18
these leavers but not the third one
22:20
and you could have various combinations they are off.
22:23
if you've decided to stay
22:26
on the gold standard dan
22:28
and you're giving up your Independent
22:30
macro economic policy if you're also
22:32
going to allow capital.
22:33
Just let me know if your contract. So,
22:36
it's supposed that you decided you wanted to
22:38
low interest rates, could help. Your
22:40
mortgage holders, are your small businesses,
22:42
people who are international
22:45
investors. They think while we
22:47
can get more for a money elsewhere
22:49
because it's sell your currency to
22:51
buy foreign currency and get better That
22:54
would really put downward
22:56
pressure on the value of your But
22:59
if you committed yourself to this exchange
23:02
rate, you've got to and
23:05
you can't stop people. You
23:06
put no Capital controls on. You
23:09
only, then have to
23:11
put your interest rates back up again. Really to
23:13
encourage people to come back. Will
23:16
you have to stop selling foreign car?
23:19
you basically all trapped
23:21
into. A situation a part,
23:24
of the reason why gold standard proponents
23:26
like it you'll tying
23:28
the government's hands on forty two.
23:32
which you don't trust governments it's
23:34
fine but you're being put
23:36
into situation where sometimes your
23:41
In order to maintain your place in the system
23:44
and, as
23:44
Opponents one opponent sensual crucifying
23:47
the mankind on across of colds
23:50
flus would happen to the goes dundas
23:52
during the first World War muscle.
23:55
just about forty years into the go son's life
23:57
world war one of interrupted
24:00
The whole financial
24:02
architecture which had grown
24:05
organically since the
24:07
eighties seventies if not earlier
24:10
so, countries were
24:12
in need of money they were in need of gold so
24:14
the first thing all belligerent
24:16
countries did is they stopped scold
24:19
convertibility. so
24:21
one of the ironies of a godsend really is
24:24
that in the one situations
24:26
where people What want
24:28
to use that reassurance
24:30
that money? Then. Equals gold
24:33
the government's central banks say
24:36
no we can no longer uphold
24:38
this premise so they stop
24:41
cause them to divinity in nineteen fourteen
24:44
as, they all need money. And
24:46
they all print money in
24:48
February large amounts, and
24:51
I think one of the reasons why we
24:53
remember the gold standard so
24:55
fondly is because we, it's kind
24:58
of. We also remember what happened when
25:00
the gold standard gave way
25:02
to something else, so all
25:05
these constraints on governments suddenly
25:07
sell, they printed money in
25:09
very large amounts, inflation
25:11
levels at. During World War
25:14
One but also, in the for
25:17
six or even ten years
25:19
after. world war one were
25:21
very high so what
25:23
were see it after the end of
25:25
the so called classic a gold standard
25:28
after the age and seventy two minds and fourteen
25:30
period is the exact opposite
25:33
of abilities and that in our
25:35
recollection reinforces
25:38
the idea of abilities which
25:40
we associate with the gold standard before
25:42
world war one catherine one
25:44
of them as between catherine was so
25:47
keen to revive the go standards
25:49
I just had babies twit Messiah to said,
25:52
"Don't forget there's an outbreak of war I'm
25:54
so trades between countries ceases
25:56
it's a complete economic dislocation
25:58
sickly between Germany" Then. Rest of Europe,
26:00
so this is sort of the suspension after
26:03
the war ends, and it is horrific
26:06
war was unanticipated, heatedly,
26:08
terrible and term sosa loss
26:10
of life and human. misery as was the political
26:12
dislocation of particularly central
26:15
and western Europe so, after the end
26:17
of the war they're trying to cut piece the
26:19
world back together again. and
26:22
one of the things they think about it being normal
26:25
Having gold standard so.
26:27
despite what i've said about how we as
26:29
historians don't debate about how the gold standard
26:31
actually work to earth or whether it
26:33
did how can depressive affect some
26:36
rather than being stabilizing being
26:38
the into war period does not have
26:40
lot of experience with floating exchange rates
26:42
are having are gold standard is the norm
26:44
and indeed so getting back to normal with
26:46
of william poor sense impetus for
26:49
governments with the dust did that
26:51
Innocence the intensive.
26:54
i'm what became the great depression in the thirties
26:56
late twenties thirties
26:58
Well indeed so it's kind of as it's
27:00
a weird going. back to the picked
27:02
up at great they do have an international conferences
27:05
and woman to twenty two detritus or
27:07
In order me written.
27:08
Then. Pure gold standard, but
27:10
it means a lot of the exchange rates
27:12
that are pets are quite ad hoc, some
27:14
of them are too high, some of them are too low
27:17
the. Ppound, for example, goes back to the gold
27:19
standard at the Pre War Parity Ah,
27:21
which was equivalent to four dollars, eighty six,
27:24
nineteen, twenty five and course the whole.
27:26
ballots of economic power between Britain
27:28
and United States has shifted dramatically
27:30
over the course of the war, so this means
27:32
that the that the pound is really overvalued
27:35
by about ten. "Percent we think
27:37
from the did nineteen twenties onward
27:39
cents on the other hand, those in at much
27:42
lower rates would have lot of inflationary pressure
27:44
immediately for the system's" Not
27:46
very well designed, it's on gold
27:48
exchange standards because there
27:51
isn't enough gold to go around to actually
27:53
have pure gold standard, so
27:55
sterling if again playing. This important
27:57
role, but the British economy is no
27:59
longer. The anchor. Everyone's
28:01
life.
28:02
Alan Ball was the mud wasn't
28:04
much debate about this about the go sanders
28:07
was much awareness in the wider public well
28:09
as Casanova sang the pound
28:12
was. And
28:14
while that does that makes my.
28:19
pretty sexy So.
28:21
What the public actually saw was
28:24
an endless insistence that
28:26
something has to be done to make
28:28
export more competitive by dealing
28:30
with the cost of production and that meant largely
28:35
against. captain was saying those oldest human
28:37
misery and now you've been told you
28:39
now have to work longer hours
28:41
for less money and that has that
28:43
knock on effects of course and your local pawn shop
28:46
for the pub all the little businesses
28:48
as dependent on west Wait
28:51
to. them What
28:53
you're saying is a public actually to pay
28:55
think that aspect of the gold
28:57
standard they, weren't necessarily
29:00
given the economic theory people
29:02
like John Maynard Keynes,. debates
29:08
i think for the general public what was
29:10
happening is you're guessing trade
29:12
union officials you're getting the labour party
29:15
people like that discussing the fact
29:17
that it's just not fair or ethical
29:19
to keep forcing down wages and
29:21
that then These the
29:24
focus of debate but,
29:27
as you probably gathered lot of people
29:29
really didn't understand the
29:31
mechanisms behind the gold standard what it's
29:33
quite an unpaid system. and
29:36
you're just being told that it's important and necessary
29:39
However, the goal set of him, he collapsed,
29:42
seen see nineteen, thirty one and nineteen,
29:44
thirty six or so and Britain leaves the Gulf.
29:46
The hundred and nineteen thirty one and,
29:48
it was considered that the gold standard itself
29:50
that kind of richards fixed exchange
29:53
rate regime spreads the great
29:55
depression broader and be that deeper
29:57
than it would otherwise have been that when
29:59
needed Interesting.
30:01
Then. Nineteen twenty eight, in order for
30:03
country to maintain their picked exchange rates
30:06
to gold and to the U.S. dollar, they
30:08
all had to kind of tighten their money markets as well.
30:10
And this again had Papa at a recessionary
30:13
impact on all these countries that were tightening
30:15
their belts at very difficult time
30:17
for when the United States economy started to go.
30:20
Down, it took all the other economies
30:22
with at who are in the gold standard, so
30:25
kind of spread the recession more globally.
30:27
The knows what we do see the nineteen twenties
30:30
is a conflict between
30:32
domestic discussion and the more
30:35
sort of x ten international risks
30:38
and. as catherine sad detect
30:40
it has become sort of a mainstay
30:43
in the economic system and to check to
30:45
be critical of policymakers and the nineteen twenties
30:48
the fact that for that second at the language
30:50
they use they chills video will face
30:52
full they perceived it so they refer
30:55
to Then. Reestablishment
30:57
of the gold standard as
30:59
the research snuff the gold standard so
31:02
they actually give it name
31:04
which is very cross and, you know,
31:06
the resurrection of Christ the research. Articles
31:08
stand and this is how they viewed it they,
31:10
also call stop calling the
31:12
pre nineteen fourteen gold standard the
31:15
classic the gold standard set with something.
31:17
they want to emulate and yes
31:19
of course they were children That.
31:22
Time, but this explains what they did,
31:24
so they did set up his system,
31:26
which was inherently
31:29
a, deflationary and six
31:32
deflationary tendencies,
31:34
event drew much bigger in
31:36
the late nineteen. twenties months and thirties
31:39
and, to escape
31:41
from the that deflationary spiral
31:44
it actually turns out over
31:46
process of five years
31:48
between thirty one thirty six these
31:51
to untie. from
31:54
the gold standard is that why richard
31:56
nixon put paid to those hundred and ninety seventy
31:58
one Why do we?
32:00
Go! Back to making forty five am
32:02
a good think that after the great depression and all
32:04
the things that with I said I've been saying about
32:06
how it has spread and major.
32:08
Great depression, much worse than it might otherwise
32:10
have been on, that the whole
32:13
idea of gold would be abandoned indeed,
32:15
it was making twenty four teams called it the barbarous
32:18
minute. Ad, that
32:20
is sat there still some hankering
32:22
for having that metallic anchor so
32:25
even as they're planning the postwar international
32:27
monetary system which is for the whole thing has
32:29
been. Designed to avoid another great depression
32:32
after the Second World War, and
32:34
still have a role for goals in that there
32:36
will be par values for values recurrent. see
32:39
it in fact everybody will just be paid to the us
32:41
dollar and it's the us dollar
32:43
primarily. Will then be pegged to gold
32:46
that sort of an indirect role for
32:48
gold, but it's still not gone, I find
32:50
that sort of in that respect suppose it's really.
32:53
Hard to imagine how important having
32:55
that metallic base somewhere
32:57
at the foundation of the system was for
32:59
the planner for Bretton Woods and it's that system
33:02
that operated through until I.
33:04
Didn't leave, you may be nineteen sixty eight, maybe
33:06
nineteen seventy.
33:07
One and we gonna get off the go standards
33:09
in nineteen seventy one and that was Nick The
33:11
on the whole you'd say that was Nixon's doing
33:14
center an average selling can you
33:16
just tell this is how I didn't mind it
33:18
in Wales?
33:19
Then. Eighteen sixties is a lot like making six,
33:21
he says, lot of inflation am in
33:23
the United States that Sunbelt payments
33:25
deficit sits in peg the exchange rate regime,
33:28
but. It's now into deficit Germany,
33:30
it is, and surplus francis accumulating
33:33
gold the system is being pulled apart when
33:35
Nixon, if elected in Nineteen, sixty nine, he's
33:37
not as happy as. International cooperation
33:40
as his predecessors and he
33:42
immediately starts planning for leaving the gold
33:44
standard and leaving goal behind, so how
33:46
does it leave it in August, nineteen, seventy
33:48
one he are? After all this
33:50
planning, he suddenly and else I'm
33:52
worth spending the convert ability of US dollar
33:54
to gold, I'll be want all you
33:57
countries out there to be addressed York
33:59
things. Greats. The US dollar and
34:01
will reset the whole international monetary
34:03
system, which they did few months later in December,
34:05
nineteen, seventy one. Amanpour,
34:07
what what?
34:08
Humans. For the return to the gold standard in
34:10
some form when Nixon was making these
34:12
decisions and when you that represent
34:15
interesting, Lane Richard Nixon as we
34:17
know bugged his own. Offices, and
34:20
very recently a couple of economic historians
34:22
went in and listen to all of the types
34:24
of him speaking to his advisors, some
34:26
of them were pro gold standard. For
34:29
some of the reasons said I'm Catherine'a
34:31
mathias have been, mentioning all
34:33
this, issue about some,
34:35
sort, of connections Flacco
34:38
has coming fall you
34:40
never want. Us to accept says importance
34:42
but you also get people who want,
34:45
of the gold. standard because
34:47
it's barbarous malik and
34:50
what the to economic historians Include
34:53
is that Nixon really didn't follow lot
34:55
of the ins and outs of these discussions but
34:57
what he wanted was to
34:59
get reelected and he wanted control
35:02
over setting his own interest rates
35:04
that was what was going to help him get
35:06
reelected, however, what.
35:09
appeals to people who like the gold
35:11
standard who called gold bugs
35:14
is the notion that somehow gold is just
35:16
obviously has real value
35:19
supposed to people seem
35:21
to somehow Not real or
35:23
even worse intangible currencies
35:26
which are even less real with
35:28
the tangibilitate and the physical way to the
35:30
object is so very important and.
35:33
is mateus to save it's somewhat
35:36
odd that the very thing that gold bugs
35:38
like the idea an old
35:40
is valuable in times of crisis because
35:42
you can rush across the border with
35:44
it as refugee that's
35:46
the very thing that actually that state level
35:49
Doesn't happen that people go off the gold standard
35:52
and, this is called the fallacy of composition this
35:54
conflation between what's good for me as
35:56
an individual or household and
35:58
what's good for an entire Try and
36:01
bad for me to go into that, therefore
36:03
I don't want my government top debts
36:05
have any thoughts if I. Barry
36:08
Gold in my back garden want the state
36:11
to do essentially the same thing by
36:13
having a big vulcan putting gold into that
36:15
eats lot more complicated than that
36:18
there. is big difference between the
36:20
goldberg individual and
36:22
pot succeed best for the state catherine
36:25
muslims they replace they ghost
36:27
hundreds when it comes to go into clinton's
36:30
into global trade and those components
36:32
I'll. Record come up with said the paper goals
36:34
that they could have print on demand, which is the
36:36
str, but that never kind of took off
36:39
on what we talk about now. Is that we're not
36:41
really interested in exchange rates
36:43
anymore that, we just allow those to
36:45
fluctuate the new Orthodoxy from the nineteen
36:48
Nineties onward was the target price
36:50
stability and? Growth in your own domestic
36:52
economy in that if everybody did that exchange
36:55
rates would kind of stabilize and we've had
36:57
nice global I system was indeed we did. but
37:00
it's kind of hold of non system some countries
37:03
are floats like bureau or the
37:05
sterling or the us dollar on
37:07
but others are managed others are basket
37:09
pigs sub you've got the euro which
37:12
was created ninety nine the ultimate
37:14
six exchange rate amongst the european
37:16
nations soda since there's not
37:18
a replacement for gold the whole kind
37:20
of orthodoxy of how money works and
37:22
how international monetary systems work monetary
37:25
has moved beyond
37:27
How would you some of the impact of
37:29
the go sanders and those said, Melissa
37:31
and let's call it a hundred years when two or even
37:34
knows replaced by on the name, how would you sum it up?
37:36
When I think same as the gold standard partly,
37:40
because there is some singing the gold standard
37:43
for everyone so think it
37:45
would like to distinguish at least
37:47
three levels and economic level of
37:49
political level and perhaps even a
37:52
psychological level. so
37:54
on the economic level The gold
37:56
standard. Especially that first
37:58
period eighty seven. Ninety. Fourteen
38:01
cents for every saying that
38:03
economists like about
38:05
globalized economy extends
38:07
form cooperation between countries
38:10
it stands for increased
38:12
trades for capital exports
38:14
so it stands for positive,
38:17
things. , out on
38:20
a political level the gold standard
38:22
still stands for that idea
38:24
of that restraint
38:27
government because when
38:29
you tie your monetary policy
38:31
seems have to go through. Parliament
38:35
they determined, the budget kings
38:38
and later on at later
38:40
governments have tried to wriggle out
38:42
of that and you put that stop
38:44
on that by means. Of, the gold
38:47
standard friend since ago and
38:49
it's so popular with libertarians,
38:52
in the United States and
38:54
then, have certain level and in
38:56
that is popular. Myth of the gold standard
38:58
is the strongest once and that's the
39:00
sort, of the perennial
39:03
quest for stability already
39:07
said that our. ideas how we
39:09
want to secure stability have
39:12
Very much moved away from
39:16
gold, and even some serb exchange
39:18
rates but the idea that
39:20
we want some saying stable.
39:23
is with us As much
39:26
as much or even more so than
39:28
it was in pa spurious
39:30
so whenever. difficult
39:33
times can come upon us vs
39:35
the global financial crisis
39:38
be it's covert now as this
39:40
idea of resurfaces and
39:42
then some people are not all people
39:44
but some people like looking back to the gold standard
39:47
which they thought fulfilled that
39:49
promise
39:50
You're all concerned with economics, junior B.
39:52
A. or a academic life he
39:55
did, she didn't the gold standard, the idea
39:57
of change the way you yourself.
40:00
I taught this discipline.
40:02
It became a really interested in
40:04
an economic history because of the city
40:06
in the Great Depression in the debates about what
40:08
caused that great depression and why it was so deep
40:11
and so prolonged and the
40:13
Gold Standard really plays an important role
40:16
in. that explanation for certainly for me as
40:18
an academic i think it's a really is
40:20
complicated and food and we get there It
40:22
repeated for people to and.
40:24
And in turn could exchange rates and our everyday
40:26
life, and it's important to understand
40:28
the gold standard to understand our the
40:31
waxing and waning of globalization. The
40:33
files.
40:34
The change of you and economics taken
40:37
by those who hundred series
40:39
on it.
40:40
Yes I think it has think is.
40:42
the goal standards
40:43
For. Me, it stands
40:46
for the ambivalence and the differences
40:49
of how contemporaries viewed seems
40:51
compared to us today, so
40:54
when you look of the nineteen twenties
40:56
and for long time the nineteen. Thirties policymakers
40:59
firmly believe they did the right
41:01
things in, restoring
41:04
and then upholding the both that and.
41:07
we think
41:08
The exact opposite so
41:11
I think study the gold standard introduces
41:14
a. certain element of
41:16
It makes your humble it makes you realize
41:19
that we are all children of.
41:21
our time and later generations
41:24
might well see our own actions
41:26
in actions very different light
41:28
And finally Helen I think it's one of those
41:30
issues that seemed somehow counterintuitive
41:33
to start off with when you told culturally.
41:36
the gold is so very important and you see
41:38
how your relatives value
41:40
gold objects that they own to
41:42
suddenly then realize
41:45
that trying your whole
41:47
economy to this slump of muscle
41:49
is not actually a good idea and
41:51
as those insights those
41:54
ah ha moments are actually
41:56
very powerful Well, thank
41:58
you very much, thank you hell and full.
42:00
I'm Catherine Shank and retires more his
42:02
son, dos you do engineer Jackie Marjoram
42:05
next week is the twentieth century French know is
42:07
Collette, author of G.G. and the
42:09
Cloning Stores, thanks for listening?
42:11
And the in all time protocols get some
42:13
extra time now with a few minutes of bonus
42:16
material for Melvin and his guess.
42:18
Would you like to pick up anything that you wish
42:20
you said that you didn't have time to say the program
42:23
is? a legacy I think once
42:26
one'a a interesting to me.
42:27
The coinage circumstances this
42:30
notion around making
42:32
commodity money and certainly
42:34
this entire history of breast
42:36
and African gold and
42:39
stamped with. Not only
42:41
the head of the Monique but also tiny elephant
42:44
stamped on it's just to say this
42:46
is West African bowl sometimes,
42:49
an elephant and castle that appear on
42:51
it. and also it's interesting when
42:53
the green use somebody else is coinage
42:55
and over stamp it so you have
42:58
silver spanish coins with spanish big head
43:01
of the spanish king and it's tiny
43:03
head as king george the third
43:06
stamps on sit in the middle of
43:08
the that kind of use of coins
43:10
and something that is really fascinating
43:13
Don't forget to Chinese symbols stamped
43:15
into Mexican coins because they were circulating
43:17
in China.
43:18
That's. Very interesting so,
43:21
say think see these redesign
43:24
of the gold standard in Bretton Woods
43:26
and preps a little bit different from Catherine
43:28
So, I think what. We
43:30
see after World War Two, is
43:34
an important seem of monetary three in the
43:36
sense that it's, really an issue
43:41
a currency that other countries
43:43
want to have now. The only country
43:46
that emerges victorious from World
43:48
War Two on all levels
43:51
including the economic levels, is
43:53
united states so what we see
43:55
after world war two really
43:57
is that countries increasingly
44:00
Look. At, Julian, julian just,
44:02
and then they realized we had this other
44:04
problem of the interwar period and
44:06
sick of the, quantity and their
44:09
way to square the circle. In Bretton
44:11
Woods and Monday forty four is essentially
44:13
to say well we still want
44:16
stable exchange rates we don't
44:18
have. enough liquidity we have
44:20
one economic How
44:23
are assholes left in the world United
44:26
States, so we let
44:28
this one country? Run
44:30
the gold standard in the U. S.
44:35
Until the next in shock and all
44:37
the rest of the of the world, or at least
44:39
off of the Western economies, comment
44:41
their own currency to that
44:43
one currency and in that sense
44:46
you can also tested. The
44:49
next shot in the following way you can say
44:51
that then suddenly given
44:53
the fiscal expansion
44:56
Z, need to accommodate
44:58
expansionary fiscal policy with inflation
45:01
undercuts the believe in the United
45:04
States, such as you have a couple
45:06
of. york while i'm happy
45:09
with monetary emphasis
45:11
spent in his emphasis did states and they sunday center
45:13
to britain was the so removing the last
45:15
link also is last bit of vote of
45:17
miss confidence into the united
45:19
states
45:21
And I guess take issue with your we're
45:23
to suddenly. Yeah, so.
45:26
You. Could say that the gold standard ended
45:29
or the golds elements of the Britain
45:31
with system and is in Merced making
45:33
sixty eight so, or
45:35
even in making sixty two from. Nineteen
45:37
sixty two armored on the ten
45:40
central banks all had to intervene the market
45:42
to support the thirty five dollars an ounce,
45:45
which was see the gold
45:47
valuation. Of the US dollar and Bretton Woods,
45:49
on and eventually the market the
45:51
it overtook them in march nineteen
45:54
sixty eight and from then on you've
45:56
got a market rate for the us dollar
45:58
which everybody can you switch At
46:00
quite high on in D higher
46:02
than the official rate, which say that thirty five
46:04
dollars an ounce and only have used by central
46:06
banks, so in a sense that had gold
46:09
length of the US dollar is
46:11
broken first in March, nineteen sixty eight.
46:14
And also take you to take issue
46:16
may be with the sudden death of the next and shock
46:19
a know sometimes soft is not surprise
46:22
me. and the discussions bilateral
46:24
and multilateral discussions about ending
46:27
the gold link or revaluing the us
46:29
dollar or changing the
46:31
international monetary system One.
46:37
A. Party think the Nixon announcement,
46:39
but in other thinking, seventy one was also
46:41
a that his domestic audience asked
46:44
if he was introducing wage and price controls in the
46:46
same speech domestically. So he
46:48
had to be seen to be hammering away at
46:50
the up at foreigners who were
46:54
supposedly, against and unfair trade
46:56
practices and had to artificially low
46:58
exchange rates. and but
47:00
even mangled was gone at the smithsonian
47:03
agreements of december nineteen seventy one and
47:05
were real Warning with. years later
47:07
on It resets
47:10
bold value for the US dollar at thirty
47:12
eight dollars an hour but,
47:15
the dollar without convertible at this price
47:17
but they still had par value, so
47:20
in a. sense it's the i want
47:22
kind of
47:23
Introduce an element of gradualism, add
47:25
to this rather than a bra.
47:27
Turning points moves very
47:29
thank you very much a third is helpful I tend
47:31
to ignore Garza realism
47:33
sometimes you. have it is finally
47:36
your mother's your coming back here that actually
47:38
i think would agree with that with that element
47:40
that which catherine calls guys your license
47:43
so license think when we look at this whole period
47:46
from
47:47
The gold findings in California
47:49
and at and Australia
47:52
to the present day we,
47:54
see an international monetary
47:56
system. shifting
47:58
in a very gradual Then. Evolutionary
48:01
Week and I think this
48:03
is what you would expect this is a very
48:06
delicate, edifice which does
48:08
not. withstand
48:10
strong shock so everything needs
48:13
to be moved very gradually
48:15
if we want to keep it safe and of
48:17
course gold rimmed to retains and
48:19
important roles if we just look
48:21
at the very large holdings of gold
48:24
by most central bank so to still not fully
48:26
out of the equation really
48:28
The out an older part of a portfolio yeah
48:30
no sorry not and thank. you very
48:32
much in our time with melvyn bragg
48:34
is produced by simon tillotson The
48:37
lawmakers of the. Of in.
48:40
Of the BBC Radio.
48:42
Well. Do
48:45
you believe in know? have
48:47
you seen them
48:49
Real life stories the supernatural told
48:51
that the people they have presented.
48:54
to me I'm done, Rubin. It
48:56
was a very. Of pure,
49:03
Subscribe the uncanny on
49:05
BBC Sounds.
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More