Episode Transcript
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2:06
the central character in invidious story
2:08
is a man named jensen while he
2:11
was born in taiwan and came to the u s with his
2:13
family at the age of nine he studied
2:15
electrical engineering and college and was
2:17
an avid gamer johnson
2:19
is a colorful ceo
2:22
within the chip industry you know
2:24
used you wears a leather
2:26
jacket when he does public
2:29
presentations he's er
2:31
he's six years old now but he's he tries
2:33
to be you know youthful and
2:35
cool and a lot of people think he is cool
2:37
quite frankly and
2:41
like how did he come up with the idea
2:43
for in video basically
2:46
of he got together
2:48
with a couple fellow and years
2:51
back in nineteen ninety three at
2:53
a denny's in san
2:55
jose where are all great thing stern exactly
2:59
and you have to remember the early nineties
3:01
the p boom was in
3:04
swing by you know it's alec
3:06
every household had a computer at that point
3:08
and these guys are interested in computer graphics
3:11
which was something that's was
3:13
a little bit futuristic at that point i mean it wasn't
3:15
sort of a major major focus for
3:18
the pc industry
3:21
and they decided look we
3:23
want to try to make computer graphics better
3:26
and over the ensuing few years
3:29
that coalesce around producing chips
3:31
and they were developed
3:34
for video gamers people
3:36
who are playing you know doom
3:38
and quake call of duty things
3:41
like that games that were you
3:43
want great graphics you want the
3:45
images to be fast moving
3:48
and smooth that's what these
3:50
these chips were originally made to do
3:54
and it at work it works
4:00
and video became a powerhouse
4:03
in that arena it attracted
4:06
you know legions of followers of
4:08
fans of people who were
4:11
just dedicated to the company and it's products
4:13
and and loved what it is producing you
4:16
might have heard of c p use
4:18
central processing units essentially
4:20
the brains of a computer but in
4:22
video made a kind of chip called
4:24
a gp you are a graphics
4:27
processing unit gamers
4:29
could plug these chips into their pcs
4:31
for a better gaming experience these
4:34
days chips like this are usually built
4:36
into our computers and
4:38
invidious gp use made
4:40
them a giant in the gaming industry
4:43
by the two thousands the company was
4:45
designing chips for x box and playstation
4:48
consoles but one
4:51
wanted more in video
4:53
under jensen quang has
4:56
tried for
4:58
years and years and years to broadens
5:01
rises and
5:03
you
5:03
know at some point it must have become clear that
5:06
to expand the rises they need to do other things
5:12
invidious chips were good at performing
5:14
all kinds of complex tasks for
5:16
all kinds of industries from robotics
5:18
to bio engineering
5:20
and then the crypto world latched
5:22
on so if you're
5:24
mining bitcoin in bitcoin
5:27
prices were as a certain level it's
5:29
like free money you know you go and buy bunch of
5:31
in video gp use that i'm up in a in
5:33
a warehouse somewhere and you you turn around
5:36
and you're you're making money as long as the
5:38
price of bitcoin is high enough then you're
5:40
good
5:41
but then around this time
5:43
last year a crypto winter
5:45
in may as well we're experiencing right
5:47
now crypto as market value has
5:49
halved since it's peak light last
5:52
year hemorrhaging and eye watering two
5:54
point two
5:55
trillion dollars all humans
5:57
are down excitement as down
6:01
the thing about the crypto market is
6:03
it's extremely or has been extremely volatile
6:06
and when the prices go
6:08
down it doesn't make sense
6:10
to mind crypto anymore
6:13
the crypto winter hit in video
6:15
really hard in the second quarter
6:18
of last year the company's shares
6:20
lost nearly half their value
6:22
and so you had a situation
6:24
when the crypto winter hit where people
6:27
to suddenly didn't want his jeep using
6:29
more knowledge in need of within one's a
6:31
people are trying to offload i'm and it really skewed
6:34
the market and it was very
6:36
much not a good thing for invidious sales
6:38
but that wasn't the company's
6:40
only challenge
6:44
last year tensions between the us
6:46
and china spilled over into the chip
6:48
industry president biden announced
6:50
the us would restrict exports to china
6:53
of the most powerful chips like
6:55
invidious these restrictions
6:58
were designed to cut off china supply
7:00
of the most advanced semiconductors
7:01
and in video
7:04
was worried because
7:05
china accounted for a quarter
7:07
of it's sales at the time
7:09
and what kind of financial costs did that have
7:12
on the company it had a big one
7:15
in video said last
7:17
year that they
7:19
were lucky i will impact of bad for her
7:21
million dollars quarterly
7:24
because of this this move so
7:26
it's it's not a drop in the bucket
7:29
so in the fall of last year in video
7:32
was in a difficult position the
7:34
company was
7:36
challenged and in many different ways
7:39
they're facing markets pressures
7:42
they were facing your threat of
7:44
export restrictions they're facing
7:46
a lotta problems
7:49
but the company's luck would change
7:51
because of a bed that one had made
7:53
years ago on a i mean
7:57
that's next i'm
8:08
danny louis and i'm alex oh solar
8:11
on the wall street journal's future of everything podcast
8:14
we explore the projects free imagining the
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world of tomorrow
8:17
like using sound to rejuvenate
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coral reefs moving
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microchips beyond silicon to look
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on his more longer energy efficient and
8:26
how animals are helping treat human diseases
8:30
and the future of
8:32
everything is happening right now subscribe
8:35
wherever you get your podcasts
8:45
years ago when jensen hong saw
8:48
the potential of ai he leaned
8:50
in hard he spoke about it on
8:52
cnbc in march we change
8:54
the company from the bottom all the way to the top
8:56
and sideways every chip
8:58
that we made on was focused on artificial
9:00
intelligence or we
9:02
long went on to talk about the part
9:05
in video played in helping open a i
9:07
develop it's chat bot sensation
9:09
chat gp t and
9:11
i remember delivering my very first
9:13
a i super i hand delivered a myself
9:16
i deliver it open a i judge
9:21
gb t was build with invidious
9:23
chirps i according estimate the initial
9:26
version check gb cheat required ten
9:28
thousand a video chips in these these
9:30
are not cheap shirts either you know you think about
9:33
p c cause maybe a thousand
9:35
bucks or something like that you know a
9:37
server with numerous
9:40
advance and video chips
9:42
it it could easily costs upwards of
9:44
one hundred thousand two hundred thousand dollars even
9:46
what did the success of chat
9:49
gp t mean for in video
9:52
it was basically a gold rush
9:55
now hong says everyone
9:58
wants invidious chips the demand
10:01
is literally from every corner
10:03
of the world
10:06
so if you want to do a i and
10:08
video has like of the biggest tool box in the world
10:10
do a i was so invidious
10:12
chips are really the
10:15
only options right now
10:18
having seen chat gp t success
10:21
other large tech companies have accelerated
10:23
their own ai technology and
10:26
for that they'll need lots of chips
10:28
anybody who's interested in capitalizing
10:31
on the ai boom in the generative a i
10:33
wave said speak is is like in
10:35
a desperate for these chips there's
10:38
a lot of money at stake if you can make this work
10:40
for you see how these big companies like microsoft
10:43
or google itself try to defend his own turf to some
10:45
extent these guys are
10:48
driving a lot of the investment because they have really
10:50
deep pockets
10:52
is
10:52
inferior in a place to fulfill
10:55
this demand quite frankly
10:57
not entirely the
11:02
company doesn't have it's own factor
11:04
is it doesn't actually make chips
11:06
itself it designs the
11:08
chips and that it sends a circuit
11:10
blueprints to outsource manufacturers
11:13
to actually physically make them in
11:16
video relies on other companies
11:18
to produce it's chips the largest
11:20
of them is based in taiwan and
11:22
with the man sky rocketing chip
11:24
supplies are running low their
11:27
brushing to get in as
11:29
many orders that a candidate done that daves they said
11:31
in their earnings call last week that they've secured
11:34
more supplies for the second half of the year
11:37
at the same time currently if you want to get
11:39
a large number of and video gp use
11:42
good luck because you
11:43
really kind of can't you know i mean it's
11:46
it's gonna take some time according
11:48
to people who we've talked to who been
11:50
trying to get them so last
11:52
week at the wall street journal c
11:54
o council summit elon musk
11:57
talked about how hard it is to get chips
11:59
a gym user this
12:02
point can way hotter to get the drugs the
12:05
shortage of chips is expected to bleed
12:07
into next year and invidious
12:09
rivals are trying to get into the lucrative
12:11
market
12:12
there's a litany of competitors actually
12:15
even start that you've probably never heard of
12:17
that are developing a i chips and
12:20
the gold rush that in video
12:22
is having right now is probably only
12:24
going to encourage the competition
12:26
tid to invest more to do more because it you
12:28
know it's clear now that the profits
12:31
are there if you can do it while
12:32
and video struggles to meet demand in the
12:34
u it still has to navigate
12:37
the export restrictions the prevent
12:39
it from selling it's most powerful chips
12:41
to china the
12:42
company ended up making
12:44
a version of it's
12:46
chips that fell below threshold
12:49
specified by the us government
12:51
under which they would have needed a license
12:53
to export them to china but the
12:56
chinese market has been somewhat
12:58
closed off to in video because
13:00
of this us action last year but
13:02
the ai boom could help lifted
13:05
video beyond those challenges last
13:08
week the company projected demand
13:10
for it's newest a i chips will boost
13:12
sales this quarter to eleven billion
13:15
dollars that's compared with
13:17
about seven billion last quarter
13:20
after that announcement invidious stock
13:22
price sword
13:23
it gained as much value as netflix
13:25
is worth the
13:27
largest one day increase in a company's
13:29
value ever and
13:31
this push the company past the trillion
13:33
dollar valuation and what
13:35
does this say about the role
13:38
of chips in life the global
13:40
economy and global society
13:42
and life
13:44
in the world these days chips
13:46
matter the point
13:48
is chips have become a
13:51
chip if you fill in
13:54
the political world people
13:56
have realized in washington
13:58
and beijing
13:59
in countries all over the world that
14:03
if you have the world's best chips you
14:07
have power to
14:10
think this is more a story about the
14:12
potential of the ai or the role
14:14
of chips in
14:17
the world today
14:19
to some extent obviously it's about both even
14:21
though the invidious doing so well
14:24
we fundamentally still don't know whether
14:28
a eyes gonna be a super important
14:30
facet of our daily lives yet people
14:33
are clearly investing a lot of money
14:35
in the stuff and they're buying
14:37
lots of in video had shifts but
14:42
i can't name a single company today that's
14:45
you know has lake dozens
14:46
of billions of dollars a year in revenues
14:49
from like a i some sort
14:51
ai technology but what
14:53
about chips
14:55
yeah i think that's more clear the stage
14:58
you know chips are being used as a geopolitical
15:00
tool and they're
15:02
being understood more and more and a national
15:04
security context and
15:07
that's only going to continue to get more
15:09
pronounced
15:13
it's a statement of the
15:15
basic facts
15:17
that chips and computation
15:20
are essential and and in modern life
15:22
in an early going to be more essential in the future
15:35
that's all for today thursday
15:37
june first the journal is a
15:39
coal production of gimlet and the law street
15:42
journal he like are shall follow us
15:44
on spotify or wherever you get your podcast
15:46
were out every weekday afternoon
15:50
thanks for listening cmr
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