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Let the
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word go forth, from this time and
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place, to friend and foe alike, that
1:42
the torch has been passed to a new
1:44
generation of Americans, born in
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this beautiful land of the great and beautiful.
1:49
May the torch be passed on to
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the next generation.
1:57
this
2:00
century, tempered by
2:02
war, disciplined by
2:04
a hard and bitter peace, proud
2:07
of our ancient heritage and
2:09
unwilling to witness or permit the slow undoing
2:12
of those human rights to which this nation
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has always been committed and to
2:16
which we are committed today, at home
2:20
and around the world. Let
2:22
every nation know, whether
2:24
it wishes us, well or ill,
2:28
that we shall pay any price, bear
2:30
any burden, meet any hardship,
2:33
support any friend, oppose
2:35
any foe, to assure
2:38
the survival and the success of liberty. That
2:42
Dominic was John F Kennedy's inaugural
2:44
address on the 20th of January 1961. Did
2:48
you enjoy that? I thought
2:51
it was pretty extraordinary to be honest.
2:56
So you said before you recorded this, what
2:59
were your expressions? I wasn't going to bother with precision,
3:01
it was about the vibe. Precision is for journeymen,
3:03
you said. Yes, well it's kind of like Picasso
3:06
painting a ball or something. You get
3:08
the sense of the ball but you don't get the kind of absolute
3:11
sense that it has four legs. You just have a sense
3:13
of ballness. You do. Explain
3:15
the pauses, the long pintaresque
3:18
pauses. Well if you watch it, he
3:20
has incredibly long pauses. Very
3:23
very long pauses. So I went through and I listened
3:25
to it and I was struck by those pauses because this is
3:27
what we impressionists do. You
3:29
pick up on the little kind
3:32
of hints of personality, things
3:34
that make it distinctive that other people might not
3:37
pick up on. And I went through and I put a dash
3:39
through that passage every time
3:41
there was a pause. Well that is what sets
3:44
the really top performers apart,
3:46
isn't it? I like to think so. The attention to
3:48
nuance and detail. I like to think so.
3:51
But it's tremendous rhetoric, isn't it? It's
3:53
great rhetoric written by Theodore Sorensen,
3:55
Ted Sorensen, his speechwriter who had been working for
3:57
him since the late 50s. Kennedy is a
3:59
great free... And he has a slightly
4:01
sort of, I don't think he's the best speaker
4:04
in the world, but he has this kind of declamatory
4:07
style, you know, slightly friends,
4:09
Romans, countrymen style that I think works
4:11
very well. It is. It's traditional
4:13
oratory. Yeah. As opposed to say to
4:15
Reagan's more folksy. Exactly.
4:18
Oh, kind of. Yeah, because JFK never really does
4:20
folksy. He would probably regard that as
4:22
too populist. He sees himself
4:24
as the leader of the new Rome. Yeah, exactly.
4:27
Exactly. So Tom, we are doing this series
4:29
about the assassination of John F. Kennedy. And
4:31
this week we're talking about the victim to try
4:33
and sort of shed some light on why he might have been assassinated.
4:37
Before we get into his presidency and how he becomes president,
4:39
we should just recap a bit to reflect on the man and the politician.
4:42
So as a man, I'm surprised how
4:45
much I like Kennedy having read up
4:47
on him for these episodes, because there's
4:49
parts of me that are always, you know,
4:51
he's so boring because he's so ubiquitous. You
4:54
know, it's like people who don't know the Beatles because they're over-familiar
4:56
with the Beatles. Yeah, but actually the Kennedy
4:58
that I think emerges from the first, let's say, 40 years of
5:01
his life, it's actually a pretty
5:03
likable guy. Charming,
5:05
funny, brave. Yeah, brave, anglophile. I
5:08
mean, what's not to like? Right. A big fan
5:10
of Winston Turtle, the North Melbourne, and
5:12
somebody who, as we know, most importantly,
5:15
defended Stanley Baldwin in his box while England
5:17
slept. Taking all the boxes. Who's
5:20
taking all the boxes? The one box that I think some
5:22
listeners may be wondering about is
5:25
the fact that he is so promiscuous
5:28
and that, you know, he's not a faithful husband. I
5:31
suppose the one thing I would say in defence of him, as
5:33
it were, not that I think it's historians' jobs
5:36
to attack or defend, he's not predatory.
5:39
He doesn't have non-consensual relationships.
5:42
He without exception has relationships with people
5:44
who are very keen to have them with him. But
5:47
also we were discussing this in the previous episode. I mean, it's
5:49
tied up with his daddy issues. It is. Because
5:52
his father, Joe Kennedy, has basically taught
5:55
his sons that it's fine. That this
5:57
is what you do.
5:58
I mean, his father is a terrible father.
5:59
He lobotomizes his
6:02
oldest daughter, Rosemary. Yeah, exactly.
6:04
In 1940, was it, or something? An absolutely tragic
6:07
story. So Rosemary had what we would now call severe
6:09
learning difficulties, and the family
6:11
decide, or Joe decides, we
6:13
don't really know how much his wife was involved with the decision,
6:16
he's persuaded by sort of people
6:19
he talks to, you know, surgeons
6:21
on Cape Cod or whatever, that the thing
6:23
to do is to have her sent for lobotomy. And
6:26
that destroys her life, effectively.
6:28
It's a terrible mistake to have made. It's not necessarily
6:30
his fault. He's following the advice. Well, yeah,
6:33
it's a ghastly story, Tom. It's an absolutely ghastly
6:35
story. But anyway, he's not a good father. No,
6:38
he's not. And maybe you could say
6:40
about JFK that what's incredible is he
6:42
turns out as well adjusted as he does. I
6:45
think that's actually a reasonable thing to say. We
6:47
reflect on the man, just reflect on the
6:50
politician for a second, because I think understanding the politician
6:52
is really important when we get into the theories about
6:54
why he was murdered. At the point that we
6:56
ended last time, the late 1950s, he
6:59
is an extremely conventional
7:02
politician. He is not on
7:04
the left of the Democratic Party. He
7:06
is kind of squarely in the middle. So
7:09
he's from Massachusetts. That
7:12
means he's almost automatically more
7:14
liberal than many, because Massachusetts is a
7:16
very liberal state, an urban state, big unions,
7:19
all that kind of thing. So he's not going
7:21
to be a big defender of segregation. It would be unthinkable
7:23
for a senator from Massachusetts to be a defender
7:25
of segregation, for example. And
7:27
he's not an isolationist or anything like that. But
7:30
there's nothing about JFK at this point that
7:32
would alarm people. Unless you're the kind of
7:34
person who thinks all Democrats are Marxists, and
7:37
there are people like that, that business
7:39
leaders, other politicians,
7:42
even sort of Southern Democrats or
7:44
Republicans in Congress, they've seen
7:46
plenty of people like him before. He's not
7:48
as left wing as FDR was, for example. So
7:50
this presumably makes him an ideal
7:53
person to run for the presidency. Absolutely.
7:55
I mean, he's the kind of figure that the Democrats at the moment
7:58
are significantly lacking. Because,
8:00
you know, the Kennedy that's floating around now believes all
8:02
kinds of mad stuff, doesn't he, about? Yes, Robert
8:04
Kennedy's son. Aliens and all
8:06
kinds of stuff. Exactly. But JFK is
8:09
straight down the road, bang on the nail, centrist,
8:12
exactly what you want if you want to win an election.
8:14
Especially in an age, Tom, when the two big parties
8:16
are uneasy coalitions. They're
8:19
regional coalitions rather than ideological.
8:21
But they always are, aren't they? They are. But
8:23
in this period, to win, the Democrats
8:25
must win urban, northeastern
8:28
kind of cities and things. So, the Chicago's,
8:30
the Boston's, New York's and so on. Ideally,
8:34
they'd like to win California. And they would
8:36
also need to win the white segregationist
8:39
South, where a lot of black people can't vote.
8:41
So in other words, if you nominate somebody
8:44
who is a fervent
8:46
champion of black civil rights, you
8:48
will alarm white southern voters
8:51
and you will forfeit the support of
8:53
the kind of white southern power brokers. But
8:56
conversely, presumably, if
8:58
you are very associated with the
9:00
segregationist traditions, then you're not going to win
9:02
liberals in the northeast. Correct. Exactly.
9:05
Exactly. Yes, I see. Yes.
9:08
It's a coalition and it's a tough ask. And if you've got a young war hero
9:11
with a very beautiful wife, a
9:14
young family, loads of money,
9:17
you know, lots of glamour, then you're
9:19
laughing. And so when Kennedy announced
9:22
that he's standing, which is in January 1960, he's
9:24
obviously going to be very hard to beat. There
9:27
are two downsides. One, senators don't
9:29
normally won. So it's very rare
9:31
for a senator to get the nomination because senators are kind
9:33
of seen as legislators and not executives.
9:36
And secondly, he's a Catholic and America's
9:38
never had a Catholic president. There has been a Catholic
9:41
candidate for president, Al Smith, in 1928, but he was hammered
9:43
by Herbert
9:45
Hoover. So that kind of hangs
9:48
over Kennedy. Can he beat the wasps?
9:50
Can he beat the wasps? And he has to prove himself
9:52
by doing something that a lot of candidates don't bother
9:55
doing. He enters the presidential primaries. So
9:57
we now think of presidential primaries as the norm.
10:00
but they were quite exceptional in those days. Lots
10:02
of people didn't enter and thought they could kind of set
10:04
up the nomination at the convention. So
10:06
he enters the primaries and he wins
10:09
in two quite Protestant states, so
10:11
Wisconsin and West Virginia. There are the two big
10:13
tests. He beats the local favorite, who's
10:15
Hubert Humphrey from Minnesota. And
10:17
in doing so, he shows that Catholics
10:19
can win elections outside their own kind of
10:21
heartland. And how much kind of anti-Catholic
10:24
sentiment is there floating around his candidacy?
10:27
Is he gonna be ruled from Rome and all that
10:29
kind of thing? There's a fair bit of talk of this. I
10:31
think most Americans actually don't think this way at
10:33
all. There are always a few who do, because
10:36
there's still a fair bit of kind of sectarianism,
10:39
but most Americans don't. I mean, Kennedy puts that to
10:41
bed quite successfully. But I think because
10:43
it had never happened, he's always
10:45
being asked about it. I mean, it seems mad
10:47
now, looking back, that in 1960, the
10:50
candidates for the Democratic Party
10:52
was having to go around making speeches about his belief
10:55
in the separation of church and state. And
10:57
it seemed to him to go out of his way to say he
10:59
believed in the separation of church and state, and that he would not
11:01
be dictated to by Rome. That all
11:03
dates back to Gregory VII, the famous Pope of the 11th
11:05
century. So a historical irony
11:08
there. Well, this is a lovely teaser, Tom, for
11:10
your forthcoming episodes, which you would be
11:12
doing in 2029, did we agree? To
11:16
be discussed. Uncorrectly, the seven. Anyway,
11:18
he goes to the convention. He wins on the
11:20
first ballot. There are lots of other candidates. So
11:23
Lyndon Baines Johnson, the Senate Majority
11:25
Leader, Democrat, kind of Texan, is
11:27
one of the other candidates. And Kennedy actually
11:30
ends up picking him as his vice presidential
11:33
nominee. And that's to balance his
11:35
Northeast kind of liberal, Harvard,
11:37
Massachusetts vibe with a hard-drinking,
11:41
hard-pitten Southerner. Right,
11:44
yes, a Texan. So not
11:46
somebody from the real heartland, the segregationist
11:49
heartlands of, you know, Mississippi, South Carolina
11:52
or somewhere, but a Texan, so on the kind of
11:54
fringes of the South, but somebody who knows
11:56
how to work the system in Congress. Somebody
11:59
who's been around a lot. I mean, they're a very odd couple.
12:01
They have nothing in common, but it's a
12:03
sensible choice. And Kennedy makes
12:05
this grand speech at the convention about the new
12:07
frontier. You know, we stand on the frontier
12:10
of the 1960s. He appeals
12:12
to youth. He says, my cord is to the
12:14
young at heart, regardless of age. The
12:17
Cold War is crucial for him. So he says,
12:19
you know, we're in a struggle for mastery, a
12:21
race for mastery of the sky and the rain, the oceans
12:23
and the tides, the far side of space
12:26
and the inside of men's minds. This is
12:28
the kind of soaring rhetoric that
12:30
I think if somebody did now in the 21st century, people
12:32
would slightly laugh. But in 1960,
12:35
people would love it. I mean, they did love it. I don't
12:37
know. I think someone should try it. Can you see
12:39
Rishi Sunak coming out with this, Tom? No, not
12:41
Rishi. You know, someone in America. Yeah,
12:44
maybe. So he goes into the
12:47
general election and he's up against Nixon, the
12:49
vice president, with his five o'clock shadow,
12:51
with his five o'clock shadow. That's been
12:54
massively overstated, you know. So this is a reference
12:56
to the TV debate. Nixon wore
12:58
a pale suit and kind of looked very
13:01
paggard. Sweaty. He did look
13:03
sweaty because he said he was gonna visit every single
13:05
state to show his dynamism. So he visited
13:07
every single state and he was absolutely exhausted. And
13:09
he'd also hurt his knee and then
13:12
been hospitalized. And he drags himself
13:14
from his hospital bed to do this debate.
13:16
And actually, I mean, there's sort of
13:18
one clip of him looking a little bit sweaty. He's
13:20
not even looking that sweaty. He's looking a tiny bit sweaty.
13:23
And that's now become a staple of documentaries.
13:25
But actually, if you watch the whole debate, it's
13:28
actually very boring. They're both really
13:30
good by modern standards. I
13:32
mean, you watch it in disbelief at how far the standards
13:35
have plummeted since then. They're both
13:37
very articulate, really well-informed, very
13:39
thoughtful. They don't really disagree
13:42
on very much. The big issue is, Kennedy
13:44
says, under the Eisenhower administration, we've
13:47
fallen behind the Soviet Union. They sent
13:49
up a Sputnik satellite in 1957. Fidel
13:52
Castro has come to power in Cuba and the Cuban Revolution.
13:54
And also, Kennedy says there's this massive missile
13:56
gap. He goes on about this all the time. He
13:59
says the Russians... have family more missiles than we do.
14:01
So in a way, he's attacking Nixon from
14:04
the right. Yeah, if you want to see it that way. I
14:06
mean, I wouldn't describe it in left-right terms, but yeah, absolutely.
14:08
He says they're stagnant, you
14:11
know, conservative, and they've done nothing.
14:13
And they're falling behind in the Cold War. And
14:16
I will prosecute the Cold War with great dynamism
14:18
and vigor. I will have shiny rockets,
14:20
and we'll go to space, and we'll do all of these
14:23
exciting things. When does he give
14:25
his pledge to get a man on the moon? Say that's 1961 later. But
14:28
it's kind of incubating there. Oh, absolutely.
14:30
So when Gagarin is the first man into orbit,
14:34
his response to that is to say, we will
14:36
get somebody on the moon by the end of the decade. So
14:38
this is all part of his kind of new frontier thing. You
14:40
can understand why he's saying this, because America
14:43
has had... It's not perfect,
14:45
of course, it's had McCarthyism and the civil rights
14:48
issue. But America is by
14:50
far the richest, most affluent, most technologically
14:53
advanced country on Earth. Tremendous optimism
14:55
around, we can do what we want. We
14:57
can put a man on the moon. We can solve poverty.
15:00
We can win the Cold War. Kennedy is
15:02
the embodiment of that early 60s,
15:04
kind of shiny space age,
15:07
atomic age optimism. But
15:09
also Camelot, famously, is the word that's applied
15:12
to his White House. They're only afterwards,
15:14
Tom. Oh, not at the time. So
15:16
it's actually Jackie giving an interview
15:18
to Life magazine, I think months
15:21
after his assassination says, oh, it was
15:23
like Camelot. We love Camelot because
15:26
they love the musical. Yes. Very
15:28
much a musical. So when people go on about
15:30
the glamour of the Kennedy White House... What is it? What
15:33
do the common people do? I think they sing. That's
15:35
it, yes. Yeah. I can't remember
15:37
how it goes. But they're very much people who like to listen to Broadway musicals
15:40
and sipping martinis. That's
15:42
their kind of mad men. Yes.
15:45
Yeah. And that's the sort of Camelot mistake. Now,
15:47
actually, the interesting thing is we've listed all
15:49
Kennedy's great advantages and assets.
15:52
This is the closest election in
15:54
modern American history. Life candidates
15:56
win just over 49 and a half
15:59
percent of the vote. and actually
16:01
goes to two states in Annoyan, Texas.
16:04
And in both of those states, there were allegations that
16:06
it had been fixed and there had been fraud and
16:08
that people had stuffed boxes. Right,
16:11
because the allegation that Joe Kennedy
16:13
bought the presidency for his son is a
16:15
kind of Trump-esque complaint,
16:17
isn't it? That rumbles throughout his presidency.
16:20
And it plays a part in
16:22
the theories after Kennedy's death, because
16:24
some people listen to this, may well say they
16:27
fixed the election. Joe Kennedy
16:29
bought the election, but he didn't deliver, and then the
16:31
Mafia killed him. Okay, so let's bear that in mind. Well,
16:34
the truth of the matter, just on that election, he didn't buy
16:36
the election. They did spend a lot of money,
16:39
but was there a sense in 1960 that
16:41
it had been fraudulently bought? Not really. And
16:44
also, it's possible that
16:46
there had been a little bit of ballot box stuffing
16:48
in Illinois. The margin there was 9,000 votes. But
16:51
in Texas, the margin is 46,000 votes. That's a hell
16:53
of a lot of votes. So
16:57
most academics, in fact, almost all academics,
16:59
I think, who've looked into this, say that
17:02
was not a stolen election. Okay. You
17:04
know, actually, there's always a little bit
17:06
of gray area in some of these things, because
17:08
local election officials,
17:10
they make mistakes, they are appointed by the party,
17:13
they maybe lean one way or the other. But
17:15
this isn't a case of major fraud by any means. So Dick
17:18
Nixon slinks off to lick his wounds. And
17:21
Kennedy, meanwhile, is preparing to deliver his long
17:24
pause-strewn inaugural address. He is
17:26
indeed. Now, on his
17:28
administration, Tom, this is again important
17:30
when we come to the murder. A
17:32
common belief among conspiracy theorists
17:35
is that Kennedy was ultimately much more
17:37
left-wing than people realized. That
17:39
he's a radical who is going to alter
17:42
American foreign policy or domestic policy
17:44
in some alarming way. And
17:46
for that reason, he had to be eliminated. When
17:49
you look at the people in his administration, the
17:51
key players, they're all very
17:54
much the old kind of Washington insiders. So
17:57
his Secretary of State, Dean Rusk, had
17:59
been a state of the law. State Department official in
18:01
the 1950s and then he had run the Rockefeller
18:05
Foundation. His Treasury Secretary
18:07
Douglas Dillon was an Eisenhower Republican,
18:10
had been an Eisenhower official. And
18:12
his Defense Secretary Robert McNamara had
18:15
worked for the Air Force and then he had been head of
18:17
the Ford Motor Company. So these are not,
18:19
you know, firebrand
18:21
radicals by any stretch
18:23
of the imagination. They are very establishment
18:26
figures. Very military industrial complex
18:28
though, Dominic. They are very military industrial
18:30
complex, but is Kennedy himself
18:33
not somebody who would be military industrial complex
18:35
adjacent to Tom? People who've watched Oliver Stone's
18:37
film JFK will remember that he opens with
18:39
Eisenhower in his last broadcast
18:41
warning against the military industrial complex,
18:43
doesn't he? So I just throw that out. Which
18:46
he absolutely did, but I think Eisenhower's warning there
18:48
is partly a warning actually about let's
18:50
not overspend. Let's not throw
18:52
loads of money at expensive military white
18:55
elephants just to please, you know,
18:57
big business and their friends in the military who
18:59
want to build air bases and stuff everywhere and waste
19:02
everybody's money. I think this sort of the idea
19:04
that Eisenhower is actually secretly
19:06
Dwight Eisenhower hated the United
19:08
States and its mission in the world. I mean, that's
19:10
obviously nonsense. Eisenhower is incredibly patriotic
19:13
and has already toppled a government in Guatemala,
19:16
Tom, in 1954. All right,
19:18
Poirot. Carry
19:21
on with your account of the murder's administration
19:24
stacking up the clues or not. No, it's
19:26
possible, I suppose, that somebody might want to
19:29
murder Kennedy because they regarded
19:31
him as too left-wing domestically. It's
19:33
possible, but is it likely?
19:36
So if you look at his economic policy, that's the thing that
19:38
most people usually care most about. Not
19:40
the most eye-catching, but if you ask ordinary
19:43
people, it's bread and butter stuff. The
19:45
economy grew every year in Kennedy's administration
19:48
and the one big thing he did was to cut everybody's
19:51
taxes. So the economy
19:53
had stuttered a bit at the end of Eisenhower's
19:55
time. It had been a brief recession in the late
19:57
50s and Kennedy's keen to get it.
20:00
started again. Now he could do this
20:02
through his sort of Roosevelt type big
20:04
government public works
20:06
or he could cut taxes and give people
20:09
more money to spend. The Liz Truss
20:11
option.
20:14
That's not a comparison
20:16
you often hear is it? The Kennedy Truss
20:18
comparison.
20:20
But it works for JFK. It
20:22
does work for JFK and he lasts longer than
20:24
Liz Truss. So he cut most tax
20:27
bans, there were about a thousand different tax
20:29
bans in America in the early 60s. The
20:31
average cut was about 20%. So if you were the top
20:33
rate taxpayer, so the people
20:35
who might be in a shadowy meeting Tom, yes
20:38
smoking cigars, yeah, deciding
20:40
to rub him out, you have JFK to
20:43
thank for slashing your rate of tax from 90% to 70%. So
20:45
whether such people are genuinely suffused
20:50
with rage against JFK's
20:52
socialistic policies, I will leave the listener
20:55
to decide for themselves. And
20:57
in fact, some liberals, it's often the thing among
20:59
liberal historians, they will say, JFK
21:01
is just an establishment centrist, centrist
21:04
dad. He's not actually doing all
21:06
the things that he should be doing. So there's that.
21:08
Okay, on the centrist daddery, of
21:11
course, the great domestic talking
21:13
point, the thing that's roiling
21:15
America is the Civil Rights Movement. So
21:18
we did episode didn't we on Martin
21:20
Luther King's great speech? Yes.
21:23
In 1962. And you talked there about how
21:26
Kennedy was kind of a bit
21:28
ambivalent about civil rights, was he
21:31
as an unfair to a degree, you know,
21:33
if Kennedy unusually had decided to spend
21:35
late nights at the White House, not with some imported
21:38
secretary, that his aides have brought him
21:40
for the occasion, but with you, Tom, he would
21:44
say to you, I do care about civil rights. I
21:46
think it's a disgrace that people are treated so bad
21:48
in the south. Of course, it's a long deep
21:51
problem that's been going on for generations. I
21:53
would hate it if I lived there. But he
21:55
would see it in quite academic terms. He'd see it
21:57
as a policy issue. How do we solve
21:59
this?
21:59
And is that
22:01
firstly because he's looking
22:03
at it as someone who wants to win re-election?
22:06
Of course. And doesn't want to alienate
22:08
white democratic voters in the South.
22:10
And secondly, is it because he
22:14
doesn't have much personal experience of
22:17
what it means for segregated
22:20
black people in the South to be denied
22:22
the vote and attacked with dogs
22:24
and denied basic rights? Absolutely.
22:27
Absolutely. Right on both counts. So
22:29
on the one hand, he's grown up in Gilded
22:32
Splendor in Massachusetts and been going around
22:34
to London and going on trips to Europe
22:37
and hobnobbing with actresses and all that stuff.
22:40
He spent far more time in Europe than he has ever
22:42
spent in the American South. I mean, he spent probably more
22:44
time in one city, London, than
22:46
most of the American South put together. To him,
22:49
he doesn't have black friends. There weren't black people
22:51
at Chote or, you know, would there
22:53
have been people at Harvard, not that he would
22:55
have associated with. It's just never
22:57
been an issue for him. So he has no emotional investment.
23:00
One of the things I remember from the episode that we did
23:02
on the Martin Luther King speech is that Kennedy
23:05
had never heard Martin Luther King speak before.
23:07
No, exactly. That's his first time
23:09
he hears him. Yeah. And then
23:12
there's the issue of the coalition. To
23:14
get anything through Congress, he'll probably
23:16
need to depend on Southern democratic
23:18
votes. Obviously, they will never vote for him on civil
23:20
rights. So if he wants to get that through, he'll
23:23
have to rely on Republican votes. He
23:25
appoints as attorney general, so he's in
23:27
charge of law and order. His younger brother, Robert.
23:30
Robert at this stage, he's a fascinating
23:32
character, actually, Tom, ends up being a great aficionado
23:34
of Greek tragedy, would you believe? I'm not surprised.
23:37
But Robert, at this stage, is a very hard man.
23:40
Robert is the fixer who does the dirty work for his
23:42
older brother. And he basically says
23:44
to Robert, just keep
23:46
me out of civil rights. Keep it quiet. We
23:48
can deal with that in the second term. I don't need
23:51
any grief about civil rights. And actually, what happens,
23:53
of course, is that civil rights becomes this colossal issue.
23:56
And on a couple of occasions, he has
23:58
to federalize. National Guard,
24:01
send in the National Guard over
24:03
the heads of state governors to
24:06
enforce the desegregation of universities,
24:08
first in Mississippi in 1962 and then in Alabama in 1963. So
24:13
circumstances are pushing him to take
24:15
a more and more interventionist line on civil
24:17
rights. And then in June 1963,
24:20
he finally realizes he has to bite the bullet.
24:22
He gives a landmark TV speech,
24:24
actually a really powerful speech, in
24:27
which he says, this is a moral issue as old
24:29
as the scriptures and as clear as the American
24:32
Constitution. He says, we
24:34
preach freedom around the world.
24:37
But how can we do that
24:38
when we say we are the land of the free,
24:40
except for the Negroes? We have no second class
24:43
citizens except for Negroes. We
24:45
have no class or caste system, no ghettos,
24:47
no master race, except with respect to
24:49
Negroes. And he also says, who
24:51
among us, if we were black, would
24:54
be content with the councils
24:56
of patience and delay? So
24:58
he says, okay,
25:00
enough, let's fix it. And
25:03
he says, I'm going to send to Congress a bill
25:05
to outlaw discrimination in schools and
25:07
public accommodations and employment
25:10
to end the age of discrimination. The issue
25:12
he has is, is he going to be able to
25:14
get this through Congress? And at
25:16
that point in the summer of 1963, it looks very
25:19
unlikely it looks like the Southern Democrats will
25:22
block it. So he's been pushed into taking this
25:24
position. And lots of black
25:26
civil rights leaders say he's been very
25:28
slow, he's dragged his feet. But at last,
25:32
he's given us the speech we dreamed of from a
25:34
president. But whether he can turn that
25:36
into legislative accomplishments, that's
25:39
a very different question. So presumably,
25:41
that is something that he would now having
25:43
made this speech, he has to look to
25:45
sell it to people in the south, and
25:48
to cities like Dallas in Texas.
25:51
Yeah. So that's Kennedy's domestic policies.
25:54
But let's take a break now. When we come back, let's look
25:56
at the dimension of foreign policy.
25:59
Cuba. missile crises and
26:01
the Cold War. So we're back in a few minutes.
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27:26
Hello, welcome back to the rest of history and we are looking
27:29
at the presidency of JFK.
27:32
Dominic, in the first half, we, well, you, to
27:34
be honest, gave us a survey of his domestic
27:36
record. But as
27:38
we said, his real focus,
27:41
the events that he's really remembered for,
27:43
are all pretty much in the dimension of foreign policy,
27:45
aren't they? They are, because that's what fascinated
27:48
him since he was a teenager. In
27:50
the first episode, we talked about him reading Winston Churchill's
27:53
book, The World Crisis. He read
27:55
a biography of Duke of Marlborough. He had
27:57
written his thesis about British politics in the 1930s.
28:00
But what those things had in common was that they're all really about
28:02
foreign affairs and kind of international relations,
28:05
and that's what fascinates him. Presumably, it's not just
28:07
that he's kind of, oh, I can't be bothered with
28:10
the domestic sphere. I mean, foreign policy
28:12
is intruding on him, isn't it? Because
28:14
he has this huge problem
28:17
that there is a communist outpost in the form
28:19
of Cuba right on America's doorstep.
28:22
Yes. And don't forget, he's come to office
28:25
proclaiming we will pay any price,
28:27
bear any burden in the
28:29
defense of liberty, or this kind of crusading
28:32
rhetoric. He believes in the Cold War.
28:34
Kennedy is more nuanced than just to say, he's
28:37
anti-communist, of course, but he's
28:39
been very conscious in the 50s because he has been to
28:41
places like Indochina, he's been to Vietnam.
28:44
He has seen the difficulty of what happens when
28:46
a European empire withdraws, and
28:49
then someone's going to fill the gap and there's competition,
28:51
is it going to be communists or anti-communists? What's
28:54
the United States going to do? He's
28:56
very conscious that the United States can't
28:59
just be the bully and can't be kind of
29:02
the sponsor always of the most repressive
29:05
conservative forces in society. So
29:07
he's kind of wrestling with that. But Cuba
29:09
is a particularly incendiary problem because
29:12
it's right on America's doorstep. A
29:14
lot of Americans have lost money because
29:16
of the Cuban Revolution. A lot of Cuban
29:18
exiles have ended up in Florida and Miami
29:21
and are pressing for action. And when
29:23
he comes in, he is briefed within
29:26
days, I think, by the CIA
29:29
that they have been planning an operation to retake
29:31
Cuba. They've been planning it for a year. They
29:33
have a scheme of basically
29:35
getting Cuban exiles, getting paramilitaries
29:38
and transporting them from Central
29:41
America to Cuba and giving
29:43
them air support with bombers under CIA
29:45
command and that they think there was
29:47
enough of a groundswell of anti-Castro feeling
29:49
in Cuba that they will be able to topple
29:52
Castro. And I mean, if this
29:54
goes ahead, it'd be a great coup
29:56
for Kennedy. Literally. Yeah,
29:59
it will be a great coup. Yeah, very good. Now,
30:01
straight away, some of Canada's
30:04
aides think,
30:06
this sounds kind of far fetched, like 1,500 people is not
30:08
many. Because these
30:10
are the same guys who are giving Castro
30:12
exploding cigars and... Well, they're not doing
30:15
that at this stage. Oh, have they not? Okay. They're
30:17
later on going to be exploding
30:19
cigars. Making his hair fall out. Right,
30:21
the beard falling out powder and so
30:23
on. These are very much the plan B. So
30:26
the plan A is the plan of pigs. And
30:28
at the time, some of Canada's aides, well,
30:31
they clearly have doubts.
30:33
But
30:34
the general mood, and you see this again with Vietnam
30:36
years later, the general mood is, you know, we
30:39
should look strong.
30:40
We should do things with the United States.
30:43
Let's give it a go. What could possibly go wrong?
30:45
So
30:46
in April 1961, they launched
30:49
the Bear Pigs operation. Now, I think the CIA
30:51
always thought that basically they could blackmail Kennedy.
30:53
You know, if things went wrong, he would have no choice
30:56
but to send a loss of support. Authorise
30:58
more airstrikes, all this kind of thing. And
31:01
actually what happens is the whole thing is pretty
31:03
much done and dusted in about three days. The
31:06
guys land. Cuba doesn't rise
31:08
as they hoped. They basically end up
31:10
either being killed or captured by Castro's
31:12
troops. And JFK, when people
31:14
say to him, will you send more air support?
31:16
He says, no, this is obviously a disaster.
31:19
Why would I bother? No. So
31:21
he doesn't want to get sucked into this flashpoint
31:25
that could cause problems with the Soviet Union.
31:27
Yeah. With Cuba's sort of communist
31:30
sponsor. So the
31:32
bear pigs are a disaster. And there's no
31:34
doubt that among some Cuban
31:36
exiles, they blame Kennedy and
31:39
there's a lot of bitterness. They think he let them down.
31:41
You know, it was a pretty stupid operation to begin with.
31:44
Kennedy hasn't given up on the idea of getting rid of Castro.
31:46
So this thing called Operation Mongoose, Tom,
31:49
which is your exploding cigars, seashells
31:52
planted that would explode when he picks them
31:54
up. Or these guys, it's sometimes
31:56
claimed, I think, in a lot of histories
31:59
that this is. Canada's personal obsession,
32:02
that when he wakes up in the morning, he's thinking about
32:04
exploding cigars. Because it's quite Churchill,
32:06
isn't it? It's the kind of thing Churchill would have loved. It is. Mad
32:09
schemes. Yes, it is a mad scheme. Exploding
32:12
gizmos. So is he influenced by
32:14
that at all or not? You see, I don't think actually
32:16
Kennedy is quite as into this as everybody
32:19
thinks he is. I think it's become conventional
32:21
wisdom that the Canada is thought of nothing else
32:23
but murdering Fidel Castro. I think
32:25
when it comes up in meetings, Kennedy says, sure,
32:28
go for it. But I don't think when he's off
32:30
with the latest secretary, I don't think this
32:32
is what's playing on his mind. Damn you, Castro.
32:34
Yes, yes. Is that what he's saying?
32:36
Yeah. Yeah. I think
32:38
it's annoying that Castro is still there, but
32:40
I don't think he's obsessed by it as we are
32:43
now with it, if you know what I mean. Because presumably
32:45
his real focus is with the Soviet Union. Yes.
32:48
Of course, absolutely it is. The guy who's written
32:50
that, who wrote that essay about Francois I
32:52
of France. Yeah. This is his field
32:54
of the cloth of gold or something going off to meet Christophe
32:57
and all that. Castro
32:59
is just an irritation. How
33:02
conscious is he of the shadow of the mushroom
33:04
cloud? Oh, he's very conscious of it. It's
33:06
there the whole time. It's absolutely there the whole time
33:08
in the early 60s. And he presumably has
33:10
lots of accurate briefings on what a
33:12
nuclear war would mean. Oh yeah, he does
33:14
see there's a nuclear war. I mean, he doesn't want a nuclear
33:16
war. And thanks in large degree
33:19
to Kennedy, there isn't a nuclear war.
33:21
So
33:22
funny enough, the one thing that often gets missed is
33:25
there could easily have been a nuclear war about Berlin. So
33:28
that would be a very obvious flashpoint. He
33:30
first meets Nikita Christophe, who's the relatively
33:33
new paramount leader of the Soviet Union.
33:35
In the summer of 1961, they go to Vienna. So
33:38
this is just a couple of months after the Bay of Pigs.
33:40
And he is off his face on painkillers,
33:43
isn't he? Kennedy. Yeah. Yeah.
33:46
I remember a brilliant book by David Reynolds. Is it David Reynolds?
33:49
David Reynolds, yeah. Summits. Yes.
33:51
Yeah. And the count of the summit there is amazing. But
33:54
Kennedy's just shoveling painkillers. But
33:56
this is true, Tom, for Kennedy throughout this
33:58
period. So the The reason
34:00
we spent so long talking about Kennedy's back,
34:03
his malaria, his urinary
34:05
issues, his Addison's disease,
34:08
is because in this point, if you look at photos
34:10
of Kennedy as a young man and then photos
34:13
of him as president, the one thing that is so
34:15
obvious is that as president he's like somebody
34:17
has puffed him up. His skin is
34:19
very puffy, his eyes are narrowed,
34:22
his face is kind of yellow and puffy. He's
34:25
still a handsome man, but the truth
34:27
is he is on a massive cocktail of drugs,
34:30
often working against one another because
34:32
the Addison's disease makes a mess
34:35
of all the other things. He
34:37
travels when he goes to Vienna, for example,
34:40
or when he goes to Dallas later on. He would
34:42
travel with a special kind of plank, like
34:45
a wooden plank and all this orthopedic
34:48
stuff. He has a kind of corset,
34:50
doesn't he? A corset that he has to wear
34:52
to basically keep him upright. Him
34:55
being off his face, as you put it in Vienna,
34:58
that's nothing unusual, but he's often in agony
35:00
actually. How do you judge his performance at Vienna?
35:03
He does really badly in Vienna. Kennedy
35:05
himself says that of Khrushchev, he beat the hell out of me, that
35:07
Khrushchev has gone in for a fight. Khrushchev
35:10
said later, I would have liked to be nice
35:12
to Kennedy, he seemed a nice guy, but
35:16
I was doing my job, which was to give
35:18
him a really hard time, and he does. They
35:21
want to kind of reconcile the status of Berlin,
35:23
which has obviously been divided since the Second World War.
35:26
The Soviets wanted to be part of East Germany, and
35:28
they basically won the West out. The West obviously
35:31
don't want that at all. Kennedy
35:33
just allows himself really to be shouted at by
35:35
Khrushchev, and he's really shaken when he comes
35:37
away, because he hasn't done himself justice.
35:40
Somebody who's so used to being the alpha male, actually,
35:43
he's used to people falling for his charm and finding
35:45
him funny and great company. And
35:47
Khrushchev's not interested in any of that, and Kennedy finds
35:50
that very troubling.
35:51
And then just two months later, Khrushchev
35:53
moves in Berlin. We
35:55
did the episode, Tom, about the Berlin Wall with Ian
35:57
McGregor, a wonderful guest, great episode.
36:00
episode, the Berlin Wall goes up. Now
36:02
that is a moment that a different president could have overreacted
36:05
to. And Kennedy protests, but he does nothing
36:07
about it really. He sends troops
36:10
to the checkpoint, the tanks squaring up.
36:12
The tanks, the footage and the photos,
36:14
it's extraordinary. I mean, that could be the beginning of the
36:16
Third World War. But Kennedy is very
36:19
conscious. We won't do anything to provoke
36:21
them because actually in some ways, the forced
36:23
partition of Berlin with the erection
36:25
of the wall, it's not a bad outcome from
36:28
his point of view. I mean, aside from anything else, it's a terrible
36:30
symbol of what the Cold War means. Yes,
36:33
but it freezes the conflict. I mean, if there's a bloody
36:35
big wall there, then you can't fight each other. So
36:37
how would you gauge his performance in that,
36:39
that he's kind of Goldilocks, tough,
36:42
but not too tough? Yeah,
36:44
I mean, in that first year, it's
36:47
Khrushchev and the Kremlin that are driving
36:49
the pace. And he's reacting, he's purely
36:52
reacting. But he's reacting in a fairly sensible
36:54
way. He's not escalating things.
36:57
He's not overreacted to
36:59
the provocation in Berlin. And
37:01
that's actually the pattern that you will see in the second year
37:04
with the great event of the second year, which is
37:06
the Cuban mytho crisis. So
37:08
that really is, even if you're a Kennedy
37:10
skeptic, even if you say he is
37:12
a spoiled brat, and he's entitled, and they're
37:14
making excuses for the womanizing, and, you
37:17
know, he's just a rich man's David Cameron,
37:20
even if you said all that, I think
37:22
his performance in the Cuban missile crisis is pretty
37:24
good. Because he gets these
37:27
photos on the 16th of June 1962, the
37:30
missiles are being installed Soviet missiles in Cuba,
37:33
and that clearly can reach the American mainland. And
37:35
this is a massive deal. I mean, this
37:37
is puts America itself under threat. And of course, Kennedy
37:40
is always a politician. So if news of this gets out,
37:43
he can't just do nothing. Because if news
37:45
got out that he knew about it and did nothing, he
37:47
would make him look so weak, especially after
37:49
what's happened in Berlin. So he doesn't
37:52
do what maybe Nixon would have done. Nixon
37:55
is a great man for brooding, you know, darkened
37:57
rooms, classical music.
38:00
playing, staring into the fireplace
38:02
and thinking about how miserable he is and how uncool
38:04
he is. Kennedy doesn't do any of that. And
38:07
he doesn't sort of secrete himself away with Henry Kissinger
38:09
and hook up some scheme. He convenes
38:11
this big kind of committee, it's called the
38:13
X-Com, and with generals and
38:16
advisers, and they're all sworn to secrecy. And
38:18
his brother, Robert, who's a really big
38:20
player in this, I mean, somebody that, as we said before,
38:23
is very happy to be his hard man and
38:26
to argue with everybody on Kennedy's behalf
38:28
and push the generals and all this kind
38:30
of thing. And Kennedy just sits there.
38:33
He's obviously always present in the discussions.
38:35
We know from the tapes and the transcripts that
38:37
he's an active participant, but
38:39
he's weighing up all the different options. Because
38:42
some of those generals, I mean, the most famous one is a
38:44
guy called General Curtis LeMay. He
38:46
would love to get going. Have a crack at the commies.
38:48
Let's have a crack at the commies. They
38:51
think that if at the end of all this, there's
38:53
one Russian left and two Americans, then we've
38:56
won. And that's a great result. And
38:58
he's very conscious. He's been in war. You
39:00
know, he didn't enjoy it. He came
39:02
back from war a weakened man,
39:05
a sickly man. He is very
39:07
conscious of the costs the whole
39:09
time. So we know that in
39:11
all these discussions, I mean, all the people
39:14
who've studied them, the historians, Max Hastings and
39:16
so on, Fred Logelwald, say he
39:18
is judicious, he's careful,
39:20
he says let's not rush. And
39:23
so the stakes are very high for himself personally,
39:25
for his administration, for the United
39:28
States. Is he thinking the
39:30
stakes are global? This could be the
39:33
end of humanity. Of course he is. Of
39:35
course he is. Yeah, we absolutely know that, you know,
39:38
the mood in these meetings is funereal,
39:41
is really somber. We're in an impossible
39:43
position here. We have to do something. We
39:45
can't not do anything. But we're very
39:47
conscious that if we do this wrong, you
39:49
know, the human race could be ravaged
39:52
beyond imagination. Whoops, apocalypse. Exactly,
39:55
absolutely, exactly. So they impose a blockade. They don't act
39:57
immediately. against
40:00
the missiles. They don't do what some of the
40:02
generals want, which is to strike at Cuba straight
40:04
away. He says, we'll have a naval blockade around
40:07
Cuba. I mean, this is a great subject for at
40:09
least one rest of history podcast. But
40:11
just to tell the story very quickly, they impose the blockade.
40:14
The Soviets look like they're going to ignore it. And they
40:16
have a ship steaming towards the islands.
40:19
The world holds its breath, Tom, I know you love
40:22
a BBC two documentary cliche. The
40:25
world holds its breath.
40:28
And then Khrushchev sends two messages,
40:30
the first of which seems to be quite emollient, the
40:32
second of which seems to be quite belligerent. And
40:35
Kennedy says, let's pretend the second one
40:37
never happened. Maybe he sent that answer to duress or
40:40
been drinking or whatever. Let's reply to the first
40:42
message. And let's do quietly
40:44
a little deal. They will withdraw their missiles
40:46
from Cuba. And we will withdraw
40:49
our missiles from Turkey,
40:51
which is obviously on the border of the Soviet Union. So
40:54
they will feel that they have got something out of
40:56
it. And that's what they do. So
40:58
Dominic, yeah, Khrushchev blinks,
41:01
was perceived as Khrushchev blinking. It's
41:03
a tiny bit more ambiguous
41:05
than that, because Khrushchev has got the removal
41:08
of the American missiles from Turkey out of it.
41:10
So he has got something. But in the world's press,
41:13
because of this image of the Soviet
41:15
ship steaming towards Cuba, and
41:18
then going back and then going back, it
41:20
looks if Khrushchev has blinked, good
41:22
optics. It's bad optics for Khrushchev,
41:25
who then gets the boot in Moscow,
41:27
not just because of that, but also because he's been kind
41:29
of very unreliable and eccentric. And
41:32
Kennedy comes out of it looking the
41:34
person who held his nerve and won the
41:36
day. Young, charismatic. The amazing
41:38
thing is that during all this, amid
41:41
all the stress, he was still carrying on having a mistress
41:43
called Mimi Beardsley smuggled
41:45
into the White House for Tris. Well,
41:48
I suppose if you know, you think the world's going to end. Yeah,
41:50
get on with it. Yeah, I think back on. Yes,
41:53
exactly. It could be the last chance you have. Now
41:55
there is one other thing. So on all this, Tom,
41:58
on the foreign policy. because we mustn't
42:00
forget we're thinking about motives to bump Kennedy
42:02
off. You can see why anti-Castro
42:05
Cuban exiles will be very, very cross with Kennedy.
42:08
You can actually see why, you know,
42:10
if a Cuban exile had been caught red-handed
42:12
with a revolver in his hand having shot Kennedy
42:14
in the White House, you wouldn't be surprised. I mean,
42:17
it's not inherently implausible. On the missile
42:19
crisis, on his handling of affairs with the Soviet
42:21
Union, he's definitely not weak. I
42:24
mean, he's not an appeaser like his father had been.
42:26
So what did the generals make of him in the wake
42:28
of the missile crisis? Do they kind
42:30
of express their respect or are there some who
42:32
think? I mean, there would be one or two who
42:34
would grumble, but I think most of them recognize
42:36
that he's done a decent job. There's no General
42:39
Pinochet waiting in the wings at a Pentagon
42:42
or anything. Now the other big thing is Vietnam.
42:44
So when I saw that Oliver Stone film JFK,
42:46
which we talked about in episode one, I
42:49
remember really vividly how
42:51
Vietnam absolutely hangs over that whole film
42:54
and the idea that Kennedy is going to withdraw from
42:56
Vietnam and that's why he was murdered. And
42:59
that is, put it
43:01
this way, I think it is hard to
43:04
sustain that claim with any authority
43:06
when you look at Kennedy's record in
43:09
Vietnam. So the United States is already committing
43:11
to Vietnam before he becomes president, but
43:13
not by masses of people.
43:16
It's really just the military advisors
43:18
level at that stage? Yeah. So
43:21
the military advisors has maybe something like a thousand
43:23
when he comes in. He increases
43:25
them quite radically in his
43:27
first three years. So there's about 16,000 by late 1963. Now,
43:32
don't forget, there's lots of American troops
43:34
and advisors in different parts of the world. So
43:36
this doesn't make Vietnam a complete outlier. He
43:40
is conscious that the Viet
43:42
Cong, the National Liberation Front, the
43:45
North Vietnamese have been pushing
43:47
and pushing since about 1961. They
43:50
are trying to strengthen their grip in the countryside.
43:53
Their dream is to unify North Vietnam, which
43:55
is communist, South Vietnam, which is anti-communist. But
43:58
there are loads of them. of examples
44:00
of Kennedy saying to people, I'm very
44:02
well aware how much we're hated. I'm well
44:05
aware of how much the Vietnamese people resent
44:07
outside interference. I'm very
44:10
worried about this. I don't want to lose South
44:12
Vietnam, but equally I don't want to see us stuck
44:15
in this terrible quagmire that we can't get out
44:17
of. So he's conscious of all this. Now, one
44:19
development that it kind of seems
44:23
uncanny given what we know is going to happen is
44:25
the President of Vietnam, South Vietnam, that he's
44:27
got reasonably close relationship with, I
44:29
call President Ziem. He
44:32
is toppled by a coup in October 1963. It's
44:34
not CIA orchestrated, but it's CIA
44:37
backed. It's a bit like the one in Chile that
44:39
we talked about. Yeah, it would have happened anyway, even if the Americans
44:41
didn't approve of it, but the Americans do say,
44:43
fine, go for it. He is toppled
44:46
and he is then murdered. And when
44:48
Kennedy hears that Ziem has been murdered,
44:51
he's very shocked. I mean, people say he's
44:53
furious. He thought he was just going to
44:55
be imprisoned or sent to exile or something,
44:58
but he is killed. And this is just
45:00
weeks before Kennedy's own death. And Kennedy is
45:02
very troubled by this. And
45:05
at this point, he is clearly dithering
45:07
about what to do in Vietnam. Now, there's some historians
45:10
who say he would probably
45:12
have got out. He would have said, listen, this is obviously a bit
45:14
of a basket case. We're not going to win. Let's
45:17
go home. There are others who say
45:19
he wouldn't have got out. The talk of
45:21
getting out was a political tool.
45:24
He was using that as a way of putting pressure on the
45:26
South Vietnamese. But actually he would
45:28
have stayed. The thing is, we know from
45:30
the United States, his involvement in other places, let's
45:33
say Iraq and Afghanistan this century,
45:35
how difficult it is actually in those situations
45:38
to pull yourself out of a cork Meyer,
45:40
Dominic, a morass, I think, or a Meyer,
45:43
a morass. They are the approved metaphors
45:46
for Vietnam and any other is wrong. No,
45:48
but Tom, he clearly hasn't made up his
45:50
mind, I would say, in 1963.
45:53
We will come to the argument about his
45:55
assassination. But is it plausible
45:58
that He is
46:00
so clearly committed to withdrawing
46:02
from Vietnam and that people
46:04
care enough that other people
46:07
in his administration or in the American establishment
46:09
care enough to have him
46:11
killed because of it. I mean, whether
46:13
that is plausible, again, I'll leave it for
46:15
the listeners to determine. We will discuss,
46:18
won't we? But you can probably tell from
46:20
the way I framed that, that
46:23
I don't regard that as overwhelmingly
46:25
convincing. Okay. Okay.
46:28
And then we'll come to the reasons that he goes to Dallas.
46:30
Yeah. Space. The
46:33
final frontier. The final frontier. I mean, there's lots of paranoid
46:35
theorizing about space,
46:38
aliens, Roswell. I have no idea
46:40
where you're going with this, Tom. I have to... I'm
46:42
just wondering whether you feel there's any credence
46:44
in ideas that...
46:47
Yeah, I find them very credible.
46:49
What do you expect me to say to
46:51
that? Okay. Well, I'm just putting that out there
46:53
because that's all part of the mix. So, hold on. I
46:56
want us to go to the moon and people say, we have to stop
46:58
him getting to the moon. It's not for you.
47:00
They've got stuff on the moon they don't want people
47:02
to see. It's all in the X-Files,
47:05
the things. I can't remember whether it's something about aliens
47:07
and stuff. So just to jump ahead to next week, there's a
47:09
guy called Vincent Bugiossi, who has written
47:12
a book, which I've sent you the manuscript of, Tom. I
47:14
know you haven't read it. And the reason I know you haven't read
47:16
it is I know that book is 2,500 pages long. So,
47:20
it's implausible that you will have read it when you're also
47:22
revising other things. But he has written
47:24
this absolutely monstrous book
47:26
looking at every conceivable assassination
47:29
theory and conspiracy theory. Did he not mention it?
47:31
I think aliens are present, but only very briefly
47:33
and dismissively. I
47:36
think it's fair to say. Well, it's my favorite one. So,
47:38
anyway, Jonny, that's brilliant. Sorry, I've let the
47:40
tone down. That was a very authoritative
47:42
and scholarly account. That interruption.
47:45
I wasn't an interruption. It was an intervention. It
47:47
was consistent with the tone with which
47:50
you began the podcasts, which is nice. So, you brought
47:52
us back full circle. Yeah, well, good.
47:54
With your precision is for Jonny Mann impression.
47:57
So, that's just then, obviously, what Kennedy
47:59
does in Vietnam.
48:00
Obviously, whether his civil rights legislation passes,
48:03
these things depend on the election. And
48:05
it's just worth pausing for a second to talk
48:07
about that. We're at the end of the autumn of 1963.
48:11
Next year, he will face a Republican,
48:13
probably the Arizona
48:15
Senator Barry Goldwater, who
48:18
is the great new hope
48:20
of conservatives. So he is
48:22
the guy, Tom, I know you love this. Yes.
48:25
I know what you're going to say. In your guts,
48:27
you know he's nuts. That's right, because
48:30
the slogan was, in your heart, you know he's right.
48:32
But in your guts, the Democrat said, you know
48:34
he's nuts. He's a libertarian,
48:37
actually, Goldwater. So he's not a religious
48:39
conservative or anything like that. He's a libertarian. But
48:41
at the time he was perceived as the most right-wing candidate
48:43
the Republicans could possibly nominate. Those
48:46
are the days. And could Kennedy
48:48
beat him? Well, if we look at the polls
48:51
and Kennedy's approval ratings, the
48:53
lowest approval rating Kennedy ever
48:55
had was in September 1963, and that was 56%. To
48:59
put that into context, that is incredibly
49:02
good. So that's very sapphologically promising.
49:05
His approval rating average, Tom,
49:07
so he doesn't even finish three years as president.
49:10
He does two years and
49:12
almost 11 months. His
49:15
average approval rating at that time was 70%. That
49:18
is the highest in modern American
49:20
history. That's not bad, is it? So it's not
49:22
just, you know, retrospective
49:25
sentimentalizing post-disassination
49:28
to say Kennedy is perceived
49:31
by the American public as an extremely
49:33
competent, emollient,
49:36
impressive political actor.
49:39
He absolutely is. And I think there's no doubt
49:41
that he would have won reelection had
49:43
he stood. The only issue
49:46
he has is, as you said, the South. And
49:48
he has another problem, which is that in
49:51
Texas, which has been so important to him in 1960,
49:54
his vice president state, there is a
49:56
big rift within the Texas
49:58
Democratic Party. two of the local
50:00
power brokers, a senator called Ralph Yarborough,
50:02
who's more liberal, and the Texas state
50:04
governor, John Connolly. And
50:07
it's the rift over civil rights. It's actually
50:09
much more about personalities and patronage.
50:12
It's a kind of patronage rate. So it's not over civil
50:14
rights specifically at all. But the fact that they are on different
50:16
wings of the party is currently basically
50:19
becoming a Republican. That's probably
50:21
in the air vaguely, but it's a kind
50:23
of court politics thing. And
50:25
so Kennedy thinks, I'll go down to Texas, get
50:28
that done and dusted, do a little tour.
50:30
His plan is to see five cities in two days, get
50:33
that done, come back home, run
50:35
up to Christmas, announce my reelection
50:37
campaign in early 64, see
50:40
if we can get the civil rights bill through before then.
50:43
But all the other things being equal, he thinks
50:45
is pretty set fair. He decides he's going to
50:48
go with Jackie. Now, why is he taking Jackie with him? Because
50:50
they have actually just lost a child, Patrick,
50:54
who lived, I think, for two days or so, was
50:56
born very sickly and died afterwards.
50:58
And Jackie had sunk into a very deep depression,
51:01
obviously completely understandably and naturally.
51:04
And aides and people who knew them said
51:07
their time in the White House, they'd had
51:09
lots of glamorous dinners and all that kind of thing. But there'd
51:11
been a lot of arguing and bickering and
51:13
normal kind of marital stuff compounded by
51:15
the fact of his affairs. But the
51:17
loss of Patrick, their little boy, had brought
51:20
them very close together. And
51:23
she was going to come with him now to Texas. He
51:26
wanted her with him. He wanted her with him. So on the 21st of November,
51:28
they visited San Antonio, Houston, and
51:31
Fort Worth. And the plan is they
51:33
will tour Dallas on the 22nd, and then
51:35
they will spend the evening in Texas at
51:37
Lyndon Johnson's ranch. And
51:40
so that, Tom, is the plan. And
51:42
of course, I hate to call it a
51:44
cliffhanger because everybody knows what
51:46
is coming next. But next time,
51:49
we will look at the day of the murder,
51:52
and then we will look at the various theories.
51:54
And the possible culprits. And
51:57
of course, as we said last time, the thing with
51:59
the murder mystery is he... just can't stop, can you? You're
52:01
just so excited to find out what happens. Yeah,
52:03
and you can actually do that with this, can't
52:06
you Dominic? Some lucky people, members of the
52:08
Restless History Club. The golden ticket. Yeah.
52:11
Yours for a very, very reasonably priced
52:13
admission. People have never heard this before, a lot
52:15
of people, because I imagine there's loads of people listening
52:18
to us for the first time. So for those people, I'll
52:20
say you have to go to restlesshistorypod.com and
52:22
you get an unbelievable range of benefits and
52:24
treats. We're practically giving it away, aren't we? It's
52:26
like Camelot, actually. It's very like the atmosphere,
52:29
the glamour. So if you go into our chat community,
52:32
it's not just incredible value. It's like the dazzling
52:34
repartee of Camelot in the
52:37
height of the Jack and Jackie regime.
52:39
I mean, that's pretty much what we are, Tom, actually.
52:42
Mad men. The Jack and Jackie of
52:44
history podcasting. Right. So if that doesn't
52:46
entice people to join the Restless History Club, I
52:48
don't know what will. Yeah, nothing will. And we will
52:51
see you next time. For the
52:53
day of the murder. And then we will be looking at
52:55
all the various theories. I don't think we'll
52:57
be revisiting the alien story, Tom. I'll tell
52:59
you that now. Well, we'll see. I mean,
53:02
you know, two of us in this party, Dominic.
53:04
There are. That's true. So we
53:06
will see. So coming up, we've
53:08
got the day of the assassination, the events
53:11
of that terrible day. That is episode
53:13
three. And then all the various theories about
53:16
who did it and why Russians, CIA,
53:19
mafia, aliens, whatever,
53:21
we'll be looking at them all. So whether it's immediately
53:24
after this episode or next week, we
53:26
will hopefully see very soon. Bye bye. Bye
53:28
bye.
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